Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the utility sector [4] Core Views - The thermal power sector continues to show high growth in performance, with significant improvements in profitability and cash flow [7][10] - The report indicates that the current coal price increase is nearing its end, and the pessimistic expectations for electricity prices are easing [7] - The utility sector is currently undervalued, with a notable decrease in fund holdings, suggesting potential investment opportunities [7][14] Summary by Sections Thermal Power Performance - In Q3 2025, the thermal power sector's gross margin reached 18.9%, above the historical average of 17.8%, with a year-on-year increase of 3.6 percentage points [7][10] - Total revenue for sample companies in Q3 2025 was 314.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.1% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 24.7 billion yuan, an increase of 38.3% [10][12] - The average price of Q5500 thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port was 715 yuan/ton, reflecting a 10.6% increase compared to the previous quarter [7][10] Fund Holdings and Market Performance - As of Q3 2025, the utility sector's fund holdings dropped to 1.15% of total fund equity investments, a decrease of 0.55 percentage points [14] - The utility sector index rose by 0.6% during the week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.0 percentage points [47] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality dividend assets within the utility sector, particularly thermal power, hydropower, and nuclear power [7] - Specific stocks recommended include Guodian Power (600795), Huadian International (600027), and Huaneng International (600011) for thermal power [7] - For hydropower, recommended stocks include Yangtze Power (600900) and Sichuan Investment Energy (600674) [7]

Group 1 - The current market exhibits seemingly contradictory phenomena: weak economic data but a rebound in risk appetite and dividends, raising questions about the sustainability of this trend [1] - Historical downturns with internal industry cycles have limited overall impact, but when combined with balance sheet contractions, the effects can be more severe and prolonged [1] - Recent targeted policies, including large-scale debt restructuring and fiscal measures to stabilize consumption and capital markets, have helped mitigate potential "balance sheet recession" risks [1] Group 2 - Investors recognize that the worst periods are being supported by policy measures, leading to a decrease in systemic risk and a recovery in risk appetite, indicating a new trend rather than a temporary rebound [2] - The appeal of dividend assets during economic downturns as safe havens is shifting, with a re-evaluation of stable high-dividend assets driven by both risk reduction and value reassessment [2] - Current policies aimed at economic recovery and cash flow stabilization enhance the sustainability of cash flows behind dividend-paying companies [2]

Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector, including lithium batteries, showed strong performance on October 30, with Tianqi Lithium (002466) hitting the daily limit and closing up 9.67% [1][2] - Several rare metal-themed ETFs rose over 2%, while other cyclical sectors like oil and gas, steel, and shipping also performed well [2] - The ChiNext 50 ETF (159371) surged over 12% the previous day but experienced a significant pullback, closing down over 9% with a premium rate dropping to 0.22% [1][4] Group 2: Fund Flows - There has been a notable influx of funds into broad-based ETFs, with the A500 ETF (512050) and the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF (510050) seeing net inflows exceeding 2 billion yuan each from October 27 to 29 [1][7] - The recent trend indicates a shift towards broad-based ETFs, with significant net inflows into ETFs tracking the CSI 500, CSI 300, and others [7] - Conversely, gold and banking-themed ETFs have seen substantial outflows, with the gold ETF (518800) experiencing a net outflow of over 1.3 billion yuan on October 29 [7][8] Group 3: ETF Performance - Various rare metal ETFs reported positive daily performance, with the Rare Metal ETF (159608) up 2.77% and the Rare Metal ETF Fund (159671) up 2.53% [3] - In contrast, technology growth sectors such as AI, communications, and innovative pharmaceuticals saw declines, with several related ETFs dropping over 3% [3][4] - The Hong Kong stock ETFs, including the Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) and the Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130), experienced significant trading activity, with the Hong Kong Securities ETF achieving a trading volume of 17.567 billion yuan [5][6] Group 4: New Indices - The China Securities Index Company announced the launch of six new indices, including the CSI 500 Equal Weight Index and the CSI 100 Equal Weight Index, aimed at providing diversified investment strategies [10]

Core Insights - Nanhua Fund's actively managed equity funds ranked 20th among 152 comparable fund managers in absolute return over the three years ending September 30, 2025, indicating strong performance in the industry [1] - The company emphasizes a clear investment style and strategy to cater to various risk preferences, aiming for wealth enhancement through well-researched products [1][3] Investment Strategies - Nanhua Fenghui focuses on investing in stocks of companies with sound governance, stable operations, excellent performance, and sustainable growth potential, employing a diversified and flexible investment strategy [1] - Nanhua Fengchun, managed by Xu Chao, targets high-end manufacturing sectors such as humanoid robots and solid-state batteries, aiming for steady asset appreciation through a forward-looking and research-driven approach [2] - Nanhua Ruiying demonstrates strong flexible allocation capabilities, with a stock asset ratio of 60%-95%, focusing on emerging consumption and AI applications to capture multi-layered investment opportunities [2] Research and Management - Under the leadership of experienced fund managers, Nanhua Fund aims to balance value and growth in its product line, translating research capabilities into tangible results [3] - The company maintains a long-term investment philosophy, prioritizing the interests of its investors while managing risks and capturing opportunities in a complex market environment [3]

Core Insights - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility Index has shown a positive performance, with a rise of 0.74% as of October 30, 2025, and notable increases in constituent stocks such as Huayu Automotive (4.87%) and Baosteel (1.98%) [1][3] Market Performance - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF (515300) increased by 0.75%, with an intraday turnover of 0.68% and a total transaction value of 32.5842 million yuan [3] - Over the past month, the ETF has averaged daily transactions of 150 million yuan, with a current scale of 4.743 billion yuan [3] - In the last ten trading days, there were net inflows on six days, totaling 49.8513 million yuan [3] Historical Returns - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF has seen a net value increase of 60.06% over the past five years, ranking 103 out of 1031 index equity funds, placing it in the top 9.99% [3] - Since its inception, the ETF's highest monthly return was 13.89%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being five months and a maximum increase of 14.56% [3] - The average return during rising months is 3.57%, and the annualized return over the past six months has exceeded the benchmark by 6.46% [3] Institutional Investment Trends - Insurance funds have accelerated their allocation to dividend stocks in the first half of 2025, with an increase of nearly 320 billion yuan in allocations, surpassing the total for the previous year [4] - Despite rising valuations, the opportunity for concentrated investments in dividend stocks is diminishing, with an estimated under-allocation of 800 billion to 1.6 trillion yuan across the industry [4] - It is suggested to focus on companies with resilient balance sheets and balanced growth [4] Top Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility Index include China Shenhua, Shuanghui Development, Gree Electric Appliances, Sinopec, Huayu Automotive, Daqin Railway, Midea Group, China State Construction, Baosteel, and China Mobile, collectively accounting for 35.84% of the index [4][6]

Core Viewpoint - The CSI 300 index is exhibiting "absolute low volatility" characteristics in the current market environment, appealing to long-term capital that prefers strong growth and dividend assets [1] Industry Analysis - Long-term capital has a longer assessment cycle and does not require frequent trading, focusing on assets with strong growth trends and dividends [1] - The crowding effect in the CSI 300 index is less significant compared to specific industry sectors, particularly in dividend assets like the CSI Dividend Index and low-volatility dividend stocks, which show more effective crowding indicators due to similar stock logic [1] - Dividend assets, such as banks, are entering a high win-rate zone in the current market environment, suggesting increased attention towards the end of the year and the beginning of the next [1] Company Insights - The CSI 300 Enhanced ETF (561300) not only tracks the CSI 300 index but also incorporates quantitative strategies aimed at pursuing excess returns based on quality beta [1]

Core Insights - Recent surge in fund dividends, with ETFs being the primary beneficiaries, showcasing significant dividend distributions in the billion range [1] - Tianhong Fund announced changes to the dividend distribution principles for its Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend ETF, effective from October 30, 2025 [1] Fund Dividend Distribution - The adjusted distribution principles allow the fund manager to evaluate excess returns relative to the benchmark and available distributable profits monthly, enabling flexible dividend distribution based on actual conditions [1] - Under the new rules, if dividends are based on excess returns, the net asset value (NAV) post-distribution may fall below par value, while if based on distributable profits, the NAV must remain above par value [1] ETF Performance - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend ETF was listed on September 2, 2023, and has shown a price increase of over 3.5% as of October 28, 2023 [2] - The underlying index focuses on sectors with stable cash flows, such as finance, energy, utilities, and transportation, making it attractive during a declining interest rate environment [2] Market Context - The domestic interest rate decline has shifted asset allocation focus from growth to returns, increasing market interest in dividend assets [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Index is becoming a key tool for investors seeking high cash flow and low volatility investments, supported by favorable market conditions and increasing corporate dividend payouts [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the dividend sector has significant investment value during low interest rate periods, with excess returns negatively correlated to government bond yields [1][3] - The ten-year government bond yield has reached its lowest point since 2002, suggesting an opening for price appreciation in dividend assets [1] - The China Securities Red Chip Low Volatility Index, which includes 50 stocks with high liquidity and consistent dividends, has seen a decline of 0.5% [1][3] Group 2 - The Heng Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index, tracking 50 stocks in the Hong Kong market, has decreased by 0.8% [1][6] - The index composition reflects high dividend levels and low volatility, with over 65% of the stocks in the financial, industrial, and energy sectors [7] - The E Fund Dividend ETF has experienced a net inflow of over 1.4 billion yuan in the current month [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and strategy of fund manager Huang Hai, emphasizing his continued focus on the coal industry despite recent underperformance compared to the market index [3][6][18]. Fund Performance - In 2025, Huang Hai's flagship fund, Wan Jia Xin Li Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund, reported a year-to-date return of 9.14%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 9 percentage points [3][7]. - Huang Hai's management scale has decreased to just over 3 billion yuan, reflecting investor dissatisfaction due to underperformance [3][6]. Industry Analysis - The coal industry faced significant challenges in early 2025 due to high inventory levels and declining prices, but began to recover in the summer with increased demand during peak electricity usage [6][7]. - By the third quarter of 2025, coal companies showed signs of recovery, with major firms like China Shenhua and New Energy showing improved net profits [7][8]. Investment Strategy - Huang Hai maintains a high concentration in coal stocks, with 73% of his fund's net value invested in this sector as of the third quarter [7][8]. - Despite criticism, Huang Hai's investment style remains consistent, focusing heavily on coal and showing little diversification [8][12]. Portfolio Adjustments - In the third quarter, Huang Hai made minor adjustments to his portfolio, reducing holdings in certain coal stocks while increasing positions in gold mining companies, which performed well [14][15]. - The top ten holdings in his flagship fund include several coal companies, with notable increases in gold stocks like Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Gold [15][14]. Future Outlook - Huang Hai believes that traditional dividend-paying cyclical sectors, such as coal, steel, and non-ferrous metals, will not be absent in future bull markets and will provide substantial absolute returns [16][17]. - The article suggests that long-term capital will likely increase allocations to dividend-generating cyclical assets as manufacturing capacity cycles clear [17][18].

Group 1 - Hong Kong stock indices showed volatility with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.02%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 0.95%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 1.48% as of the midday close on October 27 [1] - Popular ETFs in Hong Kong, particularly the Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230), saw an increase of nearly 1.5%, with top holdings like Alibaba, Shenzhou International, Budweiser APAC, Tencent Holdings, Li Auto, Gu Ming, and China Feihe showing significant gains [1] - Lao Pu Gold announced its third price adjustment of the year, with multiple products seeing price increases exceeding 20%, following earlier increases of 5% to 13% in August [1] Group 2 - The U.S. CPI for September rose by 3% year-on-year, the highest since January, but below market expectations of 3.1%. Core CPI showed a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, also lower than anticipated, leading to increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters was reported at 5.2%, with quarterly growth rates of 5.4%, 5.2%, and 4.8% respectively [1] - The overall valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is currently at a historically high level, with expectations of wide fluctuations in the market moving forward [1] Group 3 - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on sectors benefiting from increased market risk aversion, such as precious metals [2] - There is a rising interest in dividend assets as market styles shift, particularly those that have previously shown lower gains [2] - The technology and consumer sectors are expected to attract funding attention based on the policy priorities outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan [2]