Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up 0.74%, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 0.67%, indicating a rebound in tech stocks, including JD Health and New Oriental, both up over 2% [1] - Huatai Securities reports that the recent rebound in Hong Kong tech stocks is driven by accelerated domestic AI developments, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising nearly 20% since July [1] - CITIC Securities forecasts that Hong Kong stocks will see earnings stabilize and achieve positive growth in the first half of 2025, with revenue and profit growth rates recorded at 1.9% and 4.6% respectively as of September 15 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities estimates that the earnings growth rate for Hong Kong stocks will reach an inflection point in the second half of 2025, with sectors like materials, healthcare, and technology maintaining high growth [2] - The report from CITIC Jinpu indicates that the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will directly benefit Hong Kong stocks, with a focus on sectors supported by strong liquidity and AI narratives [2] Group 3 - According to Guotai Junan, dividend assets are characterized by stable performance and sustainable cash flows, providing investors with consistent high dividend returns, with Hong Kong stocks offering better value compared to A-shares [3] - The average cash dividend ratio for Hong Kong stocks from 2017 to 2024 is 44%, higher than A-shares at 36%, and the dividend yield for the Hang Seng Composite Index is 2.9%, compared to 1.9% for the Wind All A Index [3] - Hong Kong's high dividend assets have a lower valuation level, with the Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index PE and PB at 7.2x and 0.6x, respectively, lower than the corresponding figures for the CSI Dividend Total Return Index [3]

Core Viewpoint - The investment framework is being actively updated by fund managers in response to market changes, with a focus on balancing dividend assets and growth sectors as market dynamics evolve [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The growth style, particularly in technology, has become mainstream in the market, overshadowing dividend assets that have performed well since 2022 [1]. - As of September 24, nearly all actively managed equity and mixed funds have positive net value growth rates over the past year, averaging over 50%, while dividend-related funds have an average return of 19.31% [2]. Group 2: Fund Manager Insights - Fund managers acknowledge that while the short-term advantages of dividend assets may have weakened, their long-term value remains significant [2]. - The demand for dividend assets is expected to persist due to increasing dividend payout ratios as companies move past capital expenditure peaks, supported by ample liquidity [3]. Group 3: Strategy Adjustments - The "barbell strategy" combining dividend and small-cap stocks is facing challenges, prompting a shift towards a "dividend+" era where performance differentiation among dividend assets is anticipated [4]. - Fund managers suggest that in the early stages of economic recovery, small-cap stocks may benefit from higher earnings elasticity, while dividend stocks provide defensive characteristics, indicating a need for flexible adjustments based on market conditions [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - Since September 24 of last year, the A-share market has experienced significant growth, with funds established around that time achieving notable returns [1][4]. Group 1: Fund Performance - Funds established at low points have not produced "doubling funds" this year, with average returns lagging behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indices [2][8]. - Nearly 50 actively managed equity funds were "precisely established" during this period, with all included funds showing positive performance and an average return rate of 35.94% [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The investment logic in the A-share market has shifted, with sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and artificial intelligence leading the charge, resulting in several funds performing exceptionally well [4]. - The issuance of new equity funds was significantly impacted by market conditions, with only 50 billion units issued in July and August 2024, compared to 355 billion and 472 billion units in the same months this year [4]. Group 3: Fund Strategy and Holdings - Many funds that were established during low market conditions adopted a cautious investment strategy, focusing on high-dividend and value stocks, which limited their ability to capitalize on the subsequent market rally [8][9]. - For instance, the Allianz China Select fund initially invested in high-dividend stocks but later shifted to high-growth stocks to capture better returns [8]. Group 4: Dividend Resilience - Despite the recent market adjustments, high-dividend stocks have shown resilience, with expectations for increased dividend payouts as companies move past capital expenditure peaks [11][12]. - The long-term outlook for dividend assets remains positive, with a focus on stable cash flow companies that can provide consistent returns to investors [12].

Core Viewpoint - Despite differing short-term market outlooks among institutions, there is a consensus on "controlling positions and maintaining a good investment mindset" as the market shifts towards performance verification trading logic with gradual valuation recovery [1][4]. Position Control - Analysts suggest focusing on position control to manage market exposure effectively, allowing investors to stay attentive to market changes while maintaining a stable investment mindset [4][6]. - Active investors are advised to hold stocks during the holiday to capture potential risk premiums, while conservative investors should focus on high-dividend or domestic consumption sectors, which are expected to have lower volatility [3][4]. Market Sentiment and Trading Activity - The market is currently experiencing high trading activity, with financing transactions at levels not seen since 2018, indicating a resurgence in investor participation [3]. - Analysts predict that if no major risk events occur during the holiday, funds may flow back into the stock market post-holiday, despite existing uncertainties in the overseas environment [3][4]. Investment Strategies - The "long-term base + short-term elasticity" investment model is gaining attention, aiming to balance stable long-term returns with short-term risk control [5]. - This model suggests a combination of low-valuation, high cash flow defensive assets for stability, alongside high-growth potential sectors for enhanced overall returns [5][6]. Economic and Market Outlook - Future A-share market performance will be influenced by overseas monetary policies, geopolitical situations, and domestic economic recovery [6]. - Analysts emphasize the importance of maintaining a certain level of positions during market uptrends and focusing on key sectors without overly pursuing left-side trading strategies [6].

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in major stock indices is attributed to multiple factors, including pre-holiday fund retraction, portfolio adjustments by fund managers, and new tariffs announced by the Trump administration, which have increased market uncertainty. The stable performance of the Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) highlights the defensive value of the "high dividend + low volatility" strategy in a volatile market [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On September 26, the major stock indices collectively fell, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2%. The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) closed flat at 1.149 yuan, with a turnover rate of 1.73% and a transaction volume of 351 million yuan, leading its category [1]. - The ETF has shown significant liquidity, with a cumulative transaction amount of 8.506 billion yuan over the last 20 trading days, averaging 425 million yuan daily. Since the beginning of the year, it has reached a total transaction amount of 75.503 billion yuan over 181 trading days, maintaining a high level of activity among similar products [3]. Group 2: Fund Inflows and Yield - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) has seen net inflows of 189 million yuan over the last 5 trading days and 395 million yuan over the last 20 trading days. Over a 60-day period, net inflows reached 1.595 billion yuan, reflecting strong market demand for stable yield assets in a low-interest-rate environment [3]. - As of July 2025, the dividend yield of the CSI Dividend Index was 6.37%, surpassing the 10-year government bond yield by 4.69 percentage points, emphasizing its "quasi-bond" characteristics [3]. Group 3: Fund Performance and Strategy - The Huatai-PineBridge Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890), established in December 2018, has achieved a cumulative return of 129.50% as of September 25, 2025, outperforming its benchmark and ranking in the top 20% among 502 similar products [4]. - The ETF has consistently delivered positive returns for six consecutive years from 2019 to 2024, making it one of the few A-share market ETFs to achieve this "annual positive return full mark" [4]. - Analysts emphasize that dividend assets will remain a key investment direction in the medium to long term, driven by high demand for high-probability investments and the scarcity of high-growth sectors in the current market [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Experts recommend that ordinary investors consider the Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) as a core component for stable returns in their asset allocation, suggesting a systematic investment approach to mitigate short-term volatility [5].

恒生指数低开0.8%，恒生科技指数跌0.97%。阿里巴巴跌跌超2%。医药股普跌，信达生物跌近3%。 华泰证券研报称，得益于国内AI进展的再加速，近期港股科技股快速反弹。恒生科技和恒生港股通科 技指数从7月低点累计上涨近20%。华泰证券此前就提出科技将引领港股第三次重估，一方面负面的因 素如外卖大战等预期基本计入，另一方面AI模型、芯片采购和资本开支有望提速。展望来看，在美联 储新一轮宽松周期开启、互联网及科技新一轮进展等启动下，港股情绪或仍有进一步改善空间，科技板 块或依然处在布局区。 国泰海通研报称，红利资产的本质是业绩稳定、现金流可持续的优质公司，能够为投资者提供稳定的高 股息回报，因此红利资产具备更高的股息率水平、可持续的稳定现金流、更稳健的财务结构、维持性的 资本开支。若对比两地红利资产看，港股性价比相对更高，第一，港股现金分红比例高于A股，2017- 2024年全部港股现金分红比例均值为44%，明显高于A股的36%；第二，相较A股，港股股息率优势明 显，港股恒生综合指数股息率为2.9%，高于万得全A指数的1.9%；第三，港股红利资产估值水平相对更 低，恒生高股息率R指数PE、PB分别为7.2倍、0. ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the long-term allocation value of Hong Kong dividend assets, highlighting their resilience in market volatility and superior risk-return characteristics, with a return drawdown ratio of 2.2 times [1][10] - Policy support has significantly increased the attractiveness of dividend assets, with a notable increase in dividend payouts from A-share companies in 2024, enhancing the long-term valuation of these assets [1][18] - There is a sustained demand for long-term capital allocation from insurance funds, which are expected to continue flowing into dividend assets due to their stable returns and low volatility [1][23] Group 2 - The report focuses on the China Securities National Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend Index, which selects high-dividend central enterprises from the Hong Kong Stock Connect range, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [3][36] - Since 2020, the National Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend Index has achieved a cumulative return of 37.2%, outperforming major A/H indices and similar products [3][39] - The index is heavily weighted towards high-quality large-cap central enterprises in sectors such as energy and telecommunications, providing a distinct advantage over other indices [3][39] Group 3 - The Invesco Great Wall China Securities National Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend ETF offers investors a tool to gain exposure to the Hong Kong central enterprise dividend sector, with a current circulation scale of 4.92 billion [4] - The ETF aims to closely track the underlying index, minimizing tracking deviation and error to achieve returns similar to the index [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the utility sector [7] Core Insights - The report indicates that the decline in electricity consumption growth in August 2025 is primarily due to a high base effect from August 2024, rather than a weakening demand [7] - It is expected that electricity consumption will maintain rapid growth from September to December 2025 as the base effect dissipates [7] - The report highlights that the electricity consumption growth rate for August 2025 was +5.0%, a decrease of 3.6 percentage points from July 2025, with a two-year CAGR of +6.9% [7] - The report notes that the electricity consumption growth rates for different sectors in August 2025 were +9.7% for primary industry, +5.0% for secondary industry, +7.2% for tertiary industry, and +2.4% for residential use [7] - The report anticipates that the growth rate of hydropower generation will improve marginally in the future, despite a decline in August 2025 [7] Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to August 2025 increased by +4.6% year-on-year [10] - The cumulative electricity consumption for the primary industry was +10.6%, secondary industry +3.1%, tertiary industry +7.7%, and residential use +6.6% [13][17] Power Generation - Cumulative power generation from January to August 2025 increased by +1.5% year-on-year [18] - Cumulative thermal power generation decreased by -0.8%, while hydropower generation decreased by -5.5% [20] - Cumulative nuclear power generation increased by +10.1%, wind power by +11.6%, and photovoltaic power by +23.4% [22] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the utility sector, emphasizing the attractiveness of dividend assets in the current low-interest-rate environment [7] - Specific recommendations include focusing on thermal power, hydropower, nuclear power, and wind/solar power sectors, with identified stocks for potential investment [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing attractiveness of equity assets in the A-share market, driven by favorable policy support, liquidity, and improving market sentiment, suggesting a potential for further market expansion in various sectors such as technology, new energy, and cyclical stocks [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - The A-share market has shown significant performance, with active stock funds and mixed equity funds reporting net value growth rates of 58.17% and 56.98% respectively over the past year [4]. - The technology sector has been a leading driver of market recovery, with AI and semiconductor industries highlighted as key areas for investment [6][7]. - The new energy sector, particularly solid-state batteries, is experiencing a strong recovery due to policy support and technological advancements, indicating a favorable investment environment [7]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Insights - Fund managers suggest that the current low-risk yield environment necessitates the inclusion of risk assets in investment portfolios to achieve higher returns, with equities being particularly attractive [5]. - A focus on companies with strong competitive advantages is recommended to ensure better performance during market fluctuations [8]. - The "fixed income plus" products are highlighted as a strategy to balance stable bond returns with the potential for higher equity returns, aiming for a robust investment experience [9].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up 0.07%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.13%. Chery Automobile saw a first-day increase of over 11%, Zijin Mining rose nearly 4%, and JD Group increased by nearly 2% [1] - Huatai Securities reported that the recent rebound in Hong Kong tech stocks is driven by accelerated domestic AI developments, with the Hang Seng Tech Index and Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech Index rising nearly 20% since July [1] - CITIC Securities indicated that Hong Kong stocks are expected to see a bottoming out of earnings in the first half of 2025, with revenue and profit growth rates recorded at 1.9% and 4.6% respectively as of September 15 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities forecasts a turning point in earnings growth for Hong Kong stocks in the second half of 2025, with high growth expected in materials, healthcare, and technology sectors, while sectors like energy and consumer staples may see a turnaround [2] - CITIC Jiantou noted that the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will directly benefit Hong Kong stocks, with ample liquidity and continued inflow of southbound funds [2] Group 3 - Guotai Junan's report emphasized that dividend assets are characterized by stable performance and sustainable cash flows, providing investors with stable high dividend returns, with Hong Kong stocks offering better value compared to A-shares [3] - The average cash dividend ratio for all Hong Kong stocks from 2017 to 2024 is 44%, higher than A-shares at 36%, and the dividend yield for the Hang Seng Composite Index is 2.9%, compared to 1.9% for the Wind All A Index [3] - Hong Kong's high dividend assets have a lower valuation level, with the Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index PE and PB at 7.2 times and 0.6 times respectively, lower than the CSI Dividend Total Return Index at 7.9 times and 0.8 times [3]