Core Viewpoint - The investment framework is being actively updated by fund managers in response to market changes, with a focus on balancing dividend assets and growth sectors as market dynamics evolve [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The growth style, particularly in technology, has become mainstream in the market, overshadowing dividend assets that have performed well since 2022 [1]. - As of September 24, nearly all actively managed equity and mixed funds have positive net value growth rates over the past year, averaging over 50%, while dividend-related funds have an average return of 19.31% [2]. Group 2: Fund Manager Insights - Fund managers acknowledge that while the short-term advantages of dividend assets may have weakened, their long-term value remains significant [2]. - The demand for dividend assets is expected to persist due to increasing dividend payout ratios as companies move past capital expenditure peaks, supported by ample liquidity [3]. Group 3: Strategy Adjustments - The "barbell strategy" combining dividend and small-cap stocks is facing challenges, prompting a shift towards a "dividend+" era where performance differentiation among dividend assets is anticipated [4]. - Fund managers suggest that in the early stages of economic recovery, small-cap stocks may benefit from higher earnings elasticity, while dividend stocks provide defensive characteristics, indicating a need for flexible adjustments based on market conditions [4][5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The mid - term report landed smoothly, with the median revenue and net profit attributable to the parent of convertible bond underlying stocks in the 2025 mid - term report growing by 4.56% and 0.31% respectively, continuing the repair trend of Q1. The performance of medium - cap underlying stocks represented by CSI 500 was the best, while small and micro - cap stocks showed an obvious situation of increasing revenue but not profit. After the mid - term report disclosure at the end of August, small and micro - cap stocks may have relative repair opportunities. The technology growth sector with TMT as the mainstay has entered the performance realization period, and its performance after September is worth focusing on [1][10][12]. - Recently, the net redemption pressure of convertible bonds has increased. From the end of June to the end of August, public funds and securities asset management increased their holdings of convertible bonds, while most other institutions reduced their holdings. The net subscription of secondary bond funds reversed at the end of August, which put pressure on the convertible bond market valuation in the short term. However, in the expectation of a positive equity market, short - term capital disturbances may provide trading opportunities [2][21][27]. - After the decline at the end of the month, the cost - performance of convertible bonds has significantly increased. Although the convertible bond market meets the pre - conditions for continuous valuation compression, the upward trend of the equity market has not been broken, and the convertible bond premium rate has quickly returned to a relatively reasonable range of 26 - 30%. The convertible bond valuation is expected to continue to fluctuate in the medium and short term [4][28]. - In August, the convertible bond market and underlying stocks rose slightly, and the valuation increased significantly. The trading volume of the convertible bond and equity markets continued to grow, and margin trading funds strengthened rapidly. The new bond supply decreased seasonally, but the pace of new bond issuance plans accelerated [51][60][63]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Mid - term Report Landed Smoothly, and the Capital Situation Changed Significantly at the End of August 3.1.1 Mid - term Report Landed Smoothly, and Technology Growth Performance Accelerated Realization - In the 2025 mid - term report, the median revenue and net profit attributable to the parent of convertible bond underlying stocks were 4.56% and 0.31% respectively, continuing the repair trend of Q1. About 62% of the underlying stocks achieved year - on - year revenue growth, and more than half achieved positive growth in net profit attributable to the parent, providing a performance basis for the healthy operation of the market after September [10]. - The performance of medium - cap underlying stocks represented by CSI 500 was the best, with the median year - on - year revenue and net profit attributable to the parent being 4.87% and 5.22% respectively. Small and micro - cap stocks, especially those in the CSI 2000, showed an obvious situation of increasing revenue but not profit, with the median net profit attributable to the parent growth rate being - 8.89%. After the mid - term report disclosure at the end of August, small and micro - cap stocks may have relative repair opportunities [12]. - Except for agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, and non - bank finance, the industries with the top median net profit attributable to the parent growth rate of convertible bond underlying stocks this year include media, electronics, communication, and computer. The technology growth sector with TMT as the mainstay has entered the performance realization period, and its performance after September is worth focusing on [13][18]. 3.1.2 Recently, the Net Redemption Pressure of Convertible Bonds Increased, and Attention Should be Paid to the Capital Situation - Except for public funds, most mainstream institutions reduced their holdings of convertible bonds. From the end of June to the end of August, public funds increased their holdings of convertible bonds by about 20.83 billion yuan in face value, and securities asset management increased by about 3.518 billion yuan. Other institutions such as insurance, enterprise annuities, securities self - operation, private funds, individual investors, and QFII/RQFII all reduced their holdings [21]. - From July 1 to August 29, the total share of convertible bond ETFs increased from 3.503 billion shares to 5.683 billion shares. The net redemption of first - level bond funds was obvious in August and accelerated at the end of August. The secondary bond funds had continuous large - scale net subscriptions from July to August, but there was an obvious reversal of net redemptions from August 29 to September 1 [21]. - Brokers and wealth management subsidiaries were the main net redeemers. In first - level bond funds, brokers mainly redeemed in August, and wealth management subsidiaries accelerated redemptions at the end of August. In secondary bond funds, brokers and wealth management subsidiaries also showed obvious net redemptions at the end of August [25]. 3.2 Valuation Outlook: After the Decline at the End of the Month, the Cost - performance Significantly Increased - In August, the convertible bond market valuation was at a high level. Although it met the pre - conditions for continuous valuation compression, the upward trend of the equity market was not broken. The rapid adjustment at the end of August made the convertible bond premium rate quickly return to a relatively reasonable range of 26 - 30%. The convertible bond valuation is expected to continue to fluctuate in the medium and short term [28]. - As of August 29, 2025, the convertible bond premium rate was 27.92%, up 1.10 pct from the end of July. The valuation of growth - oriented convertible bonds continued to rise, while that of bond - oriented and balanced convertible bonds decreased. Most industries' convertible bond premium rates decreased, and the manufacturing and technology sectors decreased the most [30][34]. 3.3 Key Convertible Bonds to Focus On - From August 5 to August 29, the convertible bond portfolio in August rose by 3.47%, outperforming the benchmark index by 0.27 pct. Huayi, Mingli, and Zhanggu in the recommended portfolio had relatively high increases, while only Xingqiu had a relatively large decline [41]. - Looking forward to September, the equity market may continue the rapid rotation market. The "Huachuang Convertible Bond" September key - focus portfolio was adjusted to include Xingqiu, Mingli, Nuitai, Zhanggu, Huayi, Taifu, Yifeng, Ziyin, Qingnong, Chongyin, and Xingye [44]. 3.4 Market Review: Convertible Bonds and Underlying Stocks Rose Slightly, and the Valuation Increased Significantly 3.4.1 Market Performance: Most Convertible Bond Sectors Rose, and Technology - related Concepts Heated Up Significantly - In August, most underlying stock sectors and convertible bond sectors rose. Among the Shenwan primary sectors, communication, electronics, and comprehensive sectors led the gains, and only the banking sector declined. In the convertible bond market, non - ferrous metals, communication, machinery, equipment, automobile, and electrical equipment sectors led the gains, and only the banking and building decoration sectors declined [54]. - Among the popular concepts, optical communication, server, optical chip, and other concepts led the gains, while weight - loss drugs, water conservancy and hydropower construction, and other concepts declined [56]. 3.4.2 Capital Performance: The Trading Volume of Convertible Bond and Equity Markets Continued to Grow - From August 1 to August 29, 2025, the average daily trading volume of CSI convertible bonds was 92.286 billion yuan, up 26.61% from July. The average daily trading volume of Wind All - A was 2.307831 trillion yuan, up 41.27% from July [60]. - Margin trading funds strengthened rapidly. As of August 28, 2025, the total margin trading balance in Shanghai and Shenzhen was about 2.24 trillion yuan, an increase of 258.046 billion yuan from the end of July. Most industries received net margin purchases in August, and only coal was net sold [63]. 3.5 Supply and Demand Situation: New Bond Supply Decreased Seasonally, and the Pace of New Bond Issuance Plans Accelerated 3.5.1 Four Convertible Bonds Were Issued in August, and Weidao Convertible Bond Was Listed - In August, the issuance of new convertible bonds decreased seasonally. Four convertible bonds, Shenglan Zhuan 02, Jinwei, Kaizhong, and Weidao, were issued, with a total scale of 3.221 billion yuan. Weidao Convertible Bond was listed, with a scale of 1.17 billion yuan [65]. - The online subscription for new convertible bonds heated up in August, with the average effective subscription amount being 8.65 trillion yuan, a month - on - month increase. The total effective subscription was 34.60 trillion yuan, and the online winning rate was 0.0014%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.0082 pct [70][74]. - As of August 29, 2025, the total scale of convertible bonds to be issued was about 105.785 billion yuan. Two listed companies obtained approval for convertible bond issuance, with a planned issuance scale of 3 billion yuan. Four listed companies' convertible bond issuances had passed the review meeting, with a total scale of 7.429 billion yuan. In August, 15 new board proposals were added, with a total scale of 23.66 billion yuan [76]. - In September 2025, 19 convertible bonds will be delisted, all due to forced redemptions. In addition, Huayou, Honghui, Yonghe, and Dayuan convertible bonds announced redemptions but have not announced delisting arrangements [80]. - Four convertible bonds announced downward revisions, and four proposed downward revisions. Twenty - four convertible bonds announced early redemptions, and many others announced non - early redemptions or were expected to meet redemption conditions [83][88]. 3.5.2 In August, the Holders in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Slightly Reduced Their Holdings as a Whole, and Public Funds Were Active - In August, the total face value of convertible bonds held by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges was 632.773 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.081 billion yuan from July, a decline of 2.33%. The Shanghai Stock Exchange held 391.832 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 7.474 billion yuan, a decline of 1.87%. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange held 240.941 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 7.607 billion yuan, a decline of 3.06% [92]. - Public funds increased their holdings of convertible bonds in both exchanges. In August, the total face value of convertible bonds held by public funds in the two exchanges was 237.728 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 5.77%, accounting for 37.57%, a month - on - month increase of 2.88 pct [97]. - Enterprise annuities reduced their holdings of convertible bonds in both exchanges. In August, the total face value of convertible bonds held by enterprise annuities in the two exchanges was 100.728 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 5.31%, accounting for 15.92%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.50 pct [98]. - Securities asset management reduced their holdings of convertible bonds in both exchanges. In the Shanghai Stock Exchange, securities self - operation and asset management had different changes in holdings and proportions. In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, securities self - operation and collective financial management also had different changes [100].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the recent downturn in the A-share market, particularly affecting small-cap stocks, with the CSI 2000 index dropping by 2.32% and the Wind micro-cap index declining nearly 4% as of August 27 [1] - Small-cap stocks had previously experienced significant gains, with some quantitative private equity strategies achieving over 100% returns since the beginning of 2024 [1][2] - The rise in small-cap stocks is attributed to several factors, including a recovery from previous valuation compressions, strong support from the technology growth sector, and favorable industrial policies [1][2] Group 2 - The current strength of small-cap stocks is primarily driven by quantitative funds, which have a high concentration in these stocks, and the increasing margin financing focused on sectors like AI and robotics [2] - The trading congestion in small-cap stocks is noted to be high, approaching levels seen during previous market peaks, although it has not yet reached historical extremes [2][3] - Private equity firms are adopting various strategies to manage the high trading congestion, including actively adjusting their portfolios to capture market opportunities while avoiding excessive exposure to single strategies [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The small-cap stocks have shown strong performance since the "9·24" market rally, leading to significant gains in related funds, with many products now entering purchase restrictions [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Since the "9·24" rally, the small-cap index has surged by 120.96%, with a year-to-date increase of 55.71% despite a mid-June pullback [2]. - The average return of 39 small-cap funds reached 84.6%, with 12 funds exceeding a 100% net value increase [2]. - The ChiNext small-cap index and the Guozheng 2000 index have risen by 83% and 68%, respectively, ranking among the top two in performance among 20 Guozheng scale indices [2]. Group 2: Fund Restrictions - Currently, 21 small-cap funds are under purchase restrictions, accounting for nearly 54% of the total [4]. - The average scale of small-cap funds is below 4 billion yuan, with 32 funds having a scale under 1 billion yuan [4]. - The restrictions are attributed to the relatively weak liquidity of small-cap stocks compared to mid and large-cap stocks, which could impact trading costs if fund sizes grow too quickly [4]. Group 3: Market Drivers and Risks - The strong performance of small-cap stocks is driven by policy support, liquidity easing, valuation recovery, and capital speculation [3]. - There are concerns regarding the sustainability of small-cap stock gains, as the current market relies heavily on liquidity rather than earnings growth [5]. - The potential for increased trading costs and reduced strategy effectiveness as fund sizes expand poses risks to future performance [6].

Core Viewpoint - Since the "9·24" market rally, small-cap funds have seen an average return of over 84%, with more than half of the products now subject to purchase restrictions [2][6]. Performance Summary - The A-share market has shown strong upward movement, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the previous high of 3674 points set on October 8 last year, reaching a nearly four-year high since December 14, 2021 [4]. - The Wind data indicates that since September 24 last year, the Wind Micro-Cap Index has surged by 120.96%, with a year-to-date increase of 55.71%. The ChiNext Small Cap Index and the CSI 2000 Index have risen by 83% and 68%, respectively, ranking among the top two in performance among 20 national indices [4]. - As of August 15, 39 small-cap funds have achieved an average return of 84.6%, with 12 funds exceeding a 100% increase in net value [4]. Fund Purchase Restrictions - With rising net values, the number of small-cap funds imposing purchase restrictions has increased. Currently, 21 small-cap funds are either suspended from new subscriptions or large subscriptions, accounting for nearly 54% [7]. - The average fund size of small-cap funds is relatively small, with most below 4 billion yuan, and 32 funds having sizes under 1 billion yuan [8]. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The underlying logic for the excess returns of small-cap stocks is attributed to policy catalysts, liquidity easing, valuation recovery, and capital speculation. In a weak economic recovery environment, small and medium-sized enterprises are seen as innovation carriers [5]. - There are differing opinions on the future performance of small-cap stocks. Some believe that small-cap styles will continue to outperform due to market sentiment, liquidity environment, industry trends, and policy benefits [8]. - However, skepticism exists regarding the sustainability of small-cap stock gains, with concerns about high price-to-earnings ratios and the reliance on liquidity rather than earnings growth [9].

Market Performance - A-shares opened strong on August 13, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a high of 3688.09 points, surpassing the previous high of 3674.4 points from October 8, 2024, and approaching the December 13, 2021 high of 3708.94 points, marking a new three-and-a-half-year high [1] - By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.56%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.81%, with a market turnover of approximately 1.33 trillion yuan, an increase of 118.1 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The military industry sector showed strong performance, with the aerospace technology stock achieving five consecutive daily limit-ups in the past week, and Changcheng Military Industry reaching a new high [3] - The AI industry chain stocks collectively surged, with Guangku Technology hitting a historical high with a 20% increase, while other stocks like New Yisheng and Zhongji Xuchuang also reached new highs [3] - The ground equipment sector index surged over 6%, reaching a historical high, with a rapid increase of over 100% in the past two months [6] Notable Stocks - Longcheng Military Industry has seen a continuous rise for 13 trading days, with 7 days of limit-ups and a total increase of over 425% in two months [6] - The securities sector experienced significant movements, with stocks like Changcheng Securities and Guosheng Jinkong hitting the daily limit, and Dongwu Securities approaching the limit, while Zhongyin Securities rose nearly 8% [10] Market Sentiment and Trends - The current market sentiment is driven by liquidity easing and positive policy expectations, with improved investor sentiment stemming from favorable external conditions [11] - The market is characterized by active participation from retail investors and leveraged funds, indicating a collective bullish sentiment [11] - Analysts suggest that the ongoing market rally is supported by long-term capital inflows and a favorable policy environment, contrasting with the volatility seen in 2015 [12]

Economic Data Release - The National Bureau of Statistics of China will hold a press conference on August 15 to release various economic reports, including industrial production, fixed asset investment, real estate development and sales, retail sales, and energy production [2] - July financial data, including M2, new loans, and social financing, is expected to be released this week, with estimates of new RMB loans around 220 billion and social financing around 1.3 trillion, showing a year-on-year increase [3] - The People's Bank of China will have a total of 1.1267 trillion yuan in reverse repos maturing this week, with specific amounts maturing each day [4] Real Estate Market - The National Bureau of Statistics will also release the monthly report on commodity residential sales prices on August 15, with previous data indicating a decline in prices across major cities, although the rate of decline is narrowing [5] International Economic Data - Key international economic data to watch this week includes the UK unemployment rate, US CPI, and various economic indicators from Germany, Australia, and Japan [6] Sector Events - The 2025 World Humanoid Robot Games will be held in Beijing from August 14 to 17, focusing on the development of humanoid robots and their practical applications [8] - A new certification rule for mobile power supplies and lithium-ion batteries will be implemented on August 15, requiring compliance with updated standards [9] - The 2025 China (Guangzhou) Cross-Border E-Commerce Fair will take place from August 15 to 17, featuring over 1,000 supply chain companies and major cross-border e-commerce platforms [10] Corporate Actions - China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry stocks were suspended on August 13 due to a merger approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission [15] - Over 300 A-share companies are set to release their semi-annual reports this week, including major firms like Kweichow Moutai and China Unicom [16] - Kaipu Cloud is planning a significant asset restructuring involving the acquisition of Shenzhen Jintaike Semiconductor Co., which may constitute a major asset restructuring [17] - Black Sesame's actual controller is set to change to Guanglv Health after an agreement to acquire a 20% stake from its current major shareholder [18] Lock-up Expiration - A total of 33 companies will have lock-up shares released this week, amounting to 3.057 billion shares with a total market value of approximately 232.51 billion yuan based on the closing price on August 8 [20] - The peak of lock-up expirations will occur on August 12, with seven companies releasing shares worth a total of 196.11 billion yuan, accounting for 84.35% of the week's total [20] New Stock Issuance - One new stock, Hongyuan Co., is set to be issued this week, with approximately 35.28 million shares expected to raise around 324 million yuan [24] Market Outlook - CITIC Securities emphasizes that model capability remains a key factor in the robotics sector, with significant advancements in perception and planning control capabilities [27] - Founder Securities notes that small-cap stocks still have room for valuation increases, with small-cap companies showing excess returns in 2025 [28] - Xiangcai Securities predicts that the A-share market will continue to operate in a "slow bull" manner in the second half of 2025 [29] - Great Wall Securities highlights investment opportunities in computing power across various segments due to increasing demand from AI applications [30] - Open Source Securities maintains a positive outlook on the technology sector, expecting strong performance from companies with solid earnings support [31]

Core Insights - Recent performance of small and micro-cap indices has significantly outpaced major broad-based indices, with notable gains in related thematic funds [1][2] - Due to limited capacity for small-cap stocks to absorb capital, several funds have implemented purchase restrictions to protect investors [2][3] - Fund managers are adjusting strategies by diversifying investments and shifting capital towards larger-cap stocks to manage increased fund sizes [3][4] Group 1: Market Performance - Small-cap indices such as the CSI 2000 and Guozheng 2000 have seen substantial increases of 34.04% and 29.29% respectively since April 7, with micro-cap indices rising over 56% [2] - The performance of thematic funds focused on small-cap stocks has been impressive, with funds like Nuoan Multi-Strategy Fund gaining over 60% and Jianxin Flexible Allocation Fund nearly 50% year-to-date [2] Group 2: Fund Purchase Restrictions - Several funds have announced purchase limits due to the rapid increase in fund sizes and the need to protect investor interests, including Nuoan Multi-Strategy and CITIC Prudential Multi-Strategy [2][3] - Specific limits include the suspension of large purchases over 5,000 yuan for Nuoan Multi-Strategy and 1,000 yuan for CITIC Prudential Multi-Strategy, marking multiple announcements of such restrictions this year [2] Group 3: Strategy Adjustments - Fund managers are reducing their holdings in small-cap stocks to mitigate the impact on stock prices, with some funds shifting to larger-cap stocks as their assets under management grow [3][4] - For instance, CITIC Prudential Multi-Strategy Fund's assets increased from under 700 million yuan to 1.199 billion yuan, leading to a decrease in individual stock weightings [3] - Other funds, like the招商量化精选, have shifted focus from small-cap stocks to larger companies, reflecting a broader trend among funds adapting to market conditions [4]

Group 1: Macro News - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in July showed a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, reversing a previous decline of 0.1%, while the core CPI rose by 0.8% year-on-year, marking the third consecutive month of growth [3] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, but the rate of decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating a potential stabilization in industrial prices [3] Group 2: Financial Sector - The China Securities Index Company announced adjustments to the CSI 1000 index, effective after market close on August 8, 2025, with three stocks being added and three ST stocks being removed [9][10] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission proposed a fine of 160 million yuan against *ST Gao Hong for information disclosure violations, which may lead to its forced delisting [11] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Beijing's Economic and Technological Development Zone launched a plan to support the development of embodied intelligence robots, with ten measures to promote industry growth [13] - The Henan provincial government introduced policies to support the artificial intelligence industry, focusing on model development, computing power, and talent cultivation [15] - The establishment of the Hubei Brain-Computer Interface Innovation Development Alliance aims to accelerate the clinical application of brain-computer interface technologies [16] Group 4: Market Strategies - CITIC Securities suggests focusing on strong industry trends while avoiding high valuation micro-cap stocks, as the market remains cautious about earnings realization [22] - Guojin Securities highlights two strategies: targeting undervalued sectors with improving profitability and identifying stocks with low price positions that attract individual investors [23]

Core Insights - The report from Founder Securities indicates that after a continuous rise in stock prices, the valuation levels of small and micro-cap stocks have significantly increased, yet both absolute and relative valuation levels remain considerably below historical extremes [1][3] Valuation Analysis - Small-cap companies are expected to yield significant excess returns by 2025, with the CSI 2000 index showing a year-to-date increase of 25.3%, outperforming other major indices [2] - The Wande Micro-cap Index has surged over 50%, reaching historical highs, while the overall P/E ratio of the CSI 2000 index is currently at 146 times, and the P/B ratio is 2.75, both being the highest since the index was launched in 2023 [2] - The overall valuation of small-cap stocks is heavily influenced by a few loss-making companies, with the CSI 2000 index reporting a total net profit of 77.5 billion, contrasted by losses totaling 121.1 billion from loss-making firms [2] Relative Valuation Comparison - A comparison of the smallest 20% of A-share companies against the largest 20% shows a median P/E ratio of 1.17 times and a median P/B ratio of 1.09 times, indicating that relative valuation levels are consistent with those of the CSI 2000 constituents and even lower [3] - Despite the increase in stock prices, the valuation levels of small and micro-cap stocks have risen but still have a significant distance to historical peaks, suggesting that the small-cap style may reflect the innovative exploration characteristics during the economic transformation and upgrading period [3]