Group 1 - The article discusses the popularity of kelp as a food item and its common presentation in various dishes like hot pot and spicy soup [1] - Kelp is often tied in a knot for easier transportation and storage, improving its visual appeal for consumers [2] - Knotted kelp is easier to pick up with chopsticks and helps prevent it from sticking together during cooking [3][4] - Cooking kelp in a knot helps retain its nutritional value, particularly iodine, which is sensitive to high temperatures [5][6]

Group 1 - The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President, Goolsbee, indicated that new tariffs announced by President Trump have disrupted inflation expectations, making it harder for him to support the requested interest rate cuts [1] - Goolsbee noted that the recent tariffs could reignite inflation concerns, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to maintain a wait-and-see approach until clearer information is available [1] - Despite political pressures, Goolsbee expressed confidence in the Federal Reserve's independence in interest rate decisions [1] Group 2 - U.S. stock markets closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.63%, Nasdaq down 0.22%, and S&P 500 down 0.33% [3] - Nvidia's stock reached a new all-time high of $167.89, with a market capitalization of $4.07 trillion, before closing at $164.92, a 0.50% increase [3][4] - Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang sold approximately $36.4 million worth of stock as part of a pre-established plan, having already sold shares worth about $15 million earlier this year [3] Group 3 - Bitcoin reached a historical high, rising 4% to $118,865, with a year-to-date increase of 26% and a 41% rise over the past three months [8] - The total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency industry has expanded to approximately $3.7 trillion [8] Group 4 - The S&P 500 index has set five historical highs in the past nine trading days, indicating exceptionally high market sentiment [11] - A warning was issued regarding potential market corrections, as the trading volume of declining stocks has reached its lowest level since 2020, suggesting over-optimism [12] - Concerns were raised about the U.S. facing "stagflation" pressures in the second half of the year, with inflation expected to rebound and the Federal Reserve remaining cautious about interest rate cuts [12]

智通财经APP获悉，芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比周五表示，美国总统特朗普最新公布的一轮关税计划使通 胀前景变得更加复杂，也令他更难支持特朗普所要求的降息措施。 过去几个月，在特朗普于4月暂缓执行双边高关税之后，市场对关税推升物价的担忧明显缓解，这也为 美联储未来再次降息铺平了道路。然而，随着特朗普政府宣布将于8月1日对部分加拿大进口商品征收 35%的关税、对巴西商品征收高达50%的关税，新的通胀担忧再度升温。古尔斯比指出，这些举措可能 迫使美联储维持"观望"立场，直到政策前景更加明朗。 "我希望我们重新去和企业交谈时，他们不会说'这又让我们回到了4月3日的情景'，"古尔斯比说，"但我 不确定，因为这一切刚刚发生。" 不过，特朗普对鲍威尔及美联储的公开批评、以及他对低利率政策的坚持，令美联储的前进方向更加复 杂。特朗普将在明年提名下一任美联储主席，目前市场猜测他将挑选一位倾向于宽松政策的候选人。 白宫经济顾问委员会主任凯文·哈塞特、财政部长斯科特·贝森特、现任美联储理事沃勒，以及前联储理 事凯文·沃什都被视为潜在热门人选。 本周四，白宫更进一步施压鲍威尔，要求其就美联储位于华盛顿总部翻修费用超支问题做出解释。 面对外 ...

Core Viewpoint - The potential new tariff threats may delay interest rate cuts according to the Chicago Federal Reserve President and 2025 FOMC voting member Goolsbee [1] Group 1 - Goolsbee's comments highlight concerns regarding the impact of tariffs on monetary policy decisions [1] - The statement suggests that external economic pressures, such as tariffs, could influence the timing of interest rate adjustments [1] - The remarks indicate a cautious approach to future monetary policy in light of evolving trade dynamics [1]

Core Viewpoint - The latest tariff threats may delay interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as indicated by Goolsbee [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the impact of tariffs on the economy, which could influence monetary policy decisions [1] - Goolsbee emphasized that the uncertainty surrounding tariffs is a significant factor in the Fed's decision-making process [1] - The potential for delayed interest rate cuts could affect market expectations and economic growth [1]

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.62%, S&P 500 futures down 0.59%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.51% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 0.91%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.45%, France's CAC40 down 0.85%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.95% [2][3] Oil Market - WTI crude oil increased by 1.11% to $67.31 per barrel, while Brent crude oil rose by 0.96% to $69.30 per barrel [3][4] Economic Insights - Thrasher Analytics reports that the volume of declining stocks has reached a low of 42% of total trading volume, indicating potential overconfidence in the market [5] - The upcoming earnings season is expected to be a significant test for the market [5] Federal Reserve Outlook - San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly suggests that two rate cuts this year are still possible, with manageable impacts from tariffs on inflation [5] Liquidity Concerns - The potential rebuilding of the Treasury General Account (TGA) could lead to a liquidity loss of approximately $510 billion by the end of September, impacting market liquidity [5] Oil Demand Forecast - OPEC predicts that global oil demand will continue to rise, projecting an increase from 103.7 million barrels per day last year to 113.3 million barrels per day by 2030, and nearing 123 million barrels per day by 2050 [6] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin has reached a new high of $118,000, driven by strong institutional demand and favorable policies from the Trump administration [7] Company Developments - Apple plans to launch a series of new products in early 2026, including a new low-end iPhone and upgraded Mac computers, aiming to revitalize growth [8] - Tesla has applied to test its Robotaxi service in Arizona, indicating a push to catch up with Waymo in the autonomous vehicle market [9] - BP expects an increase in oil production and strong trading performance in Q2, signaling a positive outlook for the company [10] - SAP's CEO is optimistic about revenue growth driven by customer migration to cloud services, with a focus on deep analytics and data services [11]

美联储官员立场不一，7月降息概率不大，黄金站稳3330？点击观看GMA指标直播分析 相关链接 ...

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View On July 10, the liquidity tightened marginally, with major repo rates rising slightly. Under the influence of multiple negative factors, the bond market weakened significantly. The convertible bond market followed the equity market and rose, with most individual convertible bonds increasing. Yields of U.S. Treasuries across various tenors generally increased, and yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies also mostly rose [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News**: The Shanghai Stock Exchange held a policy briefing on the "1 + 6" reform of the Science and Technology Innovation Board. The National Development and Reform Commission plans to increase investment in key areas of new - type urbanization using "two important and two new" funds [3]. - **International News**: On July 10, Fed Governor Waller suggested considering a rate cut in July, stating that the current federal funds rate is overly restrictive [4]. - **Commodities**: On July 10, international crude oil futures prices declined (WTI August crude futures fell 2.19% to $66.88/barrel, Brent September crude futures fell 2.2% to $68.64/barrel), while international natural gas prices rose (NYMEX natural gas prices rose 4.96% to $3.365/ounce), and COMEX gold futures rose 0.38% to $3333.67/ounce [6]. 3.2 Liquidity - **Open - Market Operations**: On July 10, the central bank conducted 90 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed - rate and quantity - tender method, with an operating rate of 1.40%. With 57.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net capital injection was 32.8 billion yuan [8]. - **Funding Rates**: On July 10, the liquidity tightened marginally, with DR001 rising 0.56bp to 1.323% and DR007 rising 1.78bp to 1.495% [9]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - Rate Bonds** - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On July 10, affected by factors such as the continuous improvement of the stock market, marginal tightening of liquidity, and rumors that Hebei Province guided rural commercial banks to reduce the proportion of bond investments, the bond market weakened significantly. By 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond 250011 rose 1.45bp to 1.6595%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active bond 250210 rose 1.40bp to 1.7380% [11]. - **Bond Tendering**: Details of bond issuances including various bonds such as 25贴现国开清发02, 25国开清发02(增发19), etc., are provided, including their tenors, issuance scales, winning yields, over - subscription ratios, and marginal ratios [13]. - **Credit Bonds** - **Secondary - Market Transaction Anomalies**: On July 10, 2 industrial bonds ("H1碧地02" down over 34% and "23亦庄06" up over 11%) and 1 urban investment bond ("20泗阳佳鼎债" down over 18%) had transaction price deviations exceeding 10% [14][15]. - **Credit Bond Events**: Events include bond restructuring of Longfor Group, regulatory warnings for Lan创建设, debt - related issues of Xi'an Quwen Investment, Jiangsu Nantong Sanjian, etc., as well as bond repayment and interest - rate adjustment plans of some companies [16]. 3.4 Convertible Bonds - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indexes**: On July 10, the three major A - share indexes rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index up 0.48%, 0.47%, and 0.22% respectively, and the full - day trading volume reaching 1.52 trillion yuan. The main convertible bond indexes also rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index up 0.40%, 0.40%, and 0.45% respectively. The trading volume of the convertible bond market was 68.377 billion yuan, a decrease of 994 million yuan from the previous trading day. Among 469 convertible bonds, 338 rose, 123 fell, and 8 remained flat [17]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: On July 10, Zhite Convertible Bond announced an early redemption, and Hongcheng Convertible Bond announced that it was about to meet the early redemption conditions [19]. 3.5 Overseas Bond Markets - **U.S. Bond Market**: On July 10, the yield of the 2 - year U.S. Treasury remained unchanged at 3.86%, while yields of other tenors generally increased. The yield of the 10 - year U.S. Treasury rose 1bp to 4.35%. The 2/10 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread widened by 1bp to 49bp, and the 5/30 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread narrowed by 2bp to 93bp. The break - even inflation rate of the 10 - year U.S. Treasury Inflation - Protected Securities (TIPS) rose 1bp to 2.34% [20][21][22]. - **European Bond Market**: On July 10, the yield of the 10 - year UK government bond remained unchanged, while yields of 10 - year government bonds in other major European economies generally increased. The yield of the 10 - year German government bond rose 3bp to 2.66%, and yields of 10 - year government bonds in France, Italy, and Spain rose 4bp, 4bp, and 1bp respectively [23]. - **Chinese - Issued Dollar Bonds**: Price changes of Chinese - issued dollar bonds as of the close on July 10 are provided, including daily and monthly changes of bonds issued by companies such as Oceanwide, Country Garden, NIO, etc. [25].

Group 1 - The Shanghai gold futures closed at 773.56 CNY per gram on July 11, with a daily increase of 0.31% and a trading volume of 217,649 contracts [1] - The spot price of gold in Shanghai was quoted at 770.70 CNY per gram, indicating a discount of 2.86 CNY per gram compared to the futures price [1] - U.S. President Trump is considering imposing tariffs of 15%-20% on goods that fail to reach an agreement within a 90-day suspension period, which is an increase from the previously announced 10% [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai gold price increased by 0.07% to 771.70 CNY per gram, while silver rose by 1.45% to 9,014 CNY per kilogram [2] - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. was reported at 227,000, marking a decline for four consecutive weeks and the lowest level in two months [2] - Federal Reserve officials indicated the possibility of interest rate cuts in July, with significant uncertainty surrounding the policy outlook due to rising inflation concerns linked to the U.S. fiscal deficit and Trump's tariff threats [2]

欧洲央行执委施纳贝尔：进一步降息将需要显著偏离通胀目标。 ...