Core Viewpoint - China Pacific Insurance's Q1 2025 performance slightly missed expectations, with a year-on-year decline in net profit primarily due to interest rate fluctuations and market volatility [1] Financial Performance - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 9.63 billion, down 18.1% year-on-year; the new business value (NBV) was 5.78 billion, up 39% year-on-year [1] - The net asset value decreased by 9.5% compared to the beginning of the year, influenced by changes in discount rates and interest rates [1] - The company's total investment income showed a non-annualized net return of 0.8% and a total investment return of 1.0%, remaining stable year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The growth rate of premium income varied across channels, with significant contributions from bancassurance, which saw a 130.7% increase in new single premium income [2] - The number of agents remained stable at 188,000, with a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, indicating effective recruitment and retention strategies [2] - The property and casualty insurance segment continued to grow, with premium income up 1.0% year-on-year, and the combined ratio (COR) improved to 97.4%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Investment Insights - The company's investment scale exceeded 2.81 trillion, up 2.8% from the beginning of the year, with a focus on high-dividend assets contributing to the growth of equity investments [3] - The total investment return is under pressure due to fluctuations in bond and stock valuations, but the company expects to smooth out market volatility through increased OCI [3] Future Outlook - The company maintains a strong recommendation rating, anticipating steady growth in NBV and underwriting profits, despite short-term investment pressures [3] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 49.8 billion, 54.5 billion, and 59.0 billion, with growth rates of 10.8%, 9.3%, and 8.2% respectively [3]

在寿险"最冷开门红"寒意未散之时，监管短时间内连发两道文件，剑指寿险两大柱石——万能险和个险代理人队伍。 4月25日，监管发布《关于加强万能型人身保险监管有关事项的通知》（简称"14号文"）而在一周之前，4月18日，国家金融监管总局官网发布《关于推动 深化人身保险行业个人营销体制改革的通知》（简称"13号文"）。 监管核心管理思路是降低风险。其实现途径是从"三差"入手——死差上，主要是此前调整生命表；利差上，主要是预定利率动态调整机制；费差上，管控 行业整体销售费用过高的问题。 在利率不断下行之时，监管为压降行业负债端成本，可谓用心良苦。 但，也或是刮骨疗毒。 金妹妹从第一个发布财报的中国平安（601318.SH）的代理人数据中发现，2025年3月底寿险代理人数为33.8万，相比去年末的36.3万人，环比下降了 6.9%。"清虚"代理人的风，还在继续吹。 同时，金融监管总局发布的数据显示，今年前3个月保险业实现人身险原保险保费收入1.79万亿元，增速仅有0.24%。 而今寿险再迎来剧变，究竟几家欢喜几家愁？ 01 "3.0%保底"终结 14号文最被广泛讨论的点是，保险公司应明确万能险最低保证利率，允许保险公司 ...

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth of ZBAO Technology, with a 73.7% year-on-year increase in revenue, driven by the expansion of its 2B2C business model and overseas market exploration [1][2]. Financial Performance - ZBAO Technology reported a revenue of 146.4 million RMB for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, marking a 73.7% increase compared to the previous year [1]. - The company's brokerage business revenue increased by 69.6 million RMB, while a decrease of 7.5 million RMB in managed general underwriting (MGU) services partially offset this growth [2]. - Marketing expenses decreased from 21 million RMB in the previous year to 18.6 million RMB, attributed to the company's established reputation reducing the need for advertising [2]. Market Opportunities - The 2B2C model is expected to grow due to the identification of insurance needs in niche markets and the expansion of product types [1][3]. - ZBAO Technology has developed over 40 digital insurance solutions applicable to various sectors, including tourism, sports, logistics, utilities, and e-commerce [2]. - The company aims to expand its partnerships with B-end channels and explore new sectors such as the new energy vehicle market [3]. International Expansion - ZBAO Technology is actively pursuing international business, with plans to expand into Southeast Asia, where the digital capabilities are relatively weak, presenting significant market opportunities [5][6]. - The company has established a reinsurance subsidiary in Malaysia to create synergies with its brokerage business [5]. - ZBAO Technology has signed a cooperation agreement with an insurance company in Singapore and is considering further expansion into the U.S. market [6]. Regulatory and Competitive Landscape - The "reporting and implementation consistency" policy has impacted many brokerage firms, prompting ZBAO Technology to diversify its revenue sources beyond commission fees [4]. - The company acknowledges the challenges of international expansion, including regulatory compliance risks and competition with local institutions [5][6]. - ZBAO Technology emphasizes its risk management capabilities and selective risk assumption to maintain control over its operations [6].

金融监管总局数据显示，2024年我国保险业原保险保费收入约5.7万亿元，其中人身险业实现保费收入 4.26万亿元，占据行业绝对大头。 "'负面清单'正是通过明确禁止性要求，来强化人身险产品的合规性。"对外经济贸易大学创新与风险管 理研究中心副主任龙格在接受《金融时报》记者采访时表示，"负面清单"涵盖人身保险产品的全流程， 包括条款表述、产品设计、费率厘定及报送管理等，是促进保险公司合规经营的重要参考。 记者注意到，首版"负面清单"发布于2018年。彼时，原银保监会对人身险产品列明了52条开发设计"红 线"，并于2019年建立了人身险产品通报制度。2021年起，原银保监会发布2021版人身保险产品"负面清 单"并持续至今。 从数量上看，近年来"负面清单"持续扩容，从2021版的73条到2022版的82条，再到2023版的90条，2024 版增至94条，直至如今2025版的103条。金融监管总局明确要求，各公司要认真对照"负面清单"持续加 强对产品精算工作的管理，切实提升合规经营意识。各公司总精算师要切实履职尽责，持续提升专业 性、独立性和职业道德，做好产品的全周期管理。 "监管持续更新'负面清单'体现出动态治理 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (看好) indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][12]. Core Insights - The report discusses the recent notification from the regulatory authority aimed at enhancing the quality of individual insurance sales channels, marking a significant shift towards high-quality development in the insurance sector [2]. - Individual insurance channels are identified as the core channel for the life insurance industry, playing a crucial role in integrating insurance into the wealth management ecosystem [2]. - The report emphasizes the strategic importance of individual insurance channels, highlighting the control and flexibility they provide to insurance companies, as well as their high new business value margin (NBVM) [2]. - The notification outlines three key strategies for high-quality development in individual insurance channels, focusing on professionalization, cost control, and enhancing long-term service capabilities [4]. Summary by Sections Individual Insurance Channel Development - The notification defines individual insurance sales personnel and outlines the transition towards a high-quality development model [2]. - The report notes that since 2019, the life insurance industry has faced challenges due to demographic changes, prompting a shift from a high turnover recruitment model to a focus on quality [2]. Strategic Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-elasticity life insurance targets and companies with stable fundamentals, specifically mentioning companies like New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and China Life Insurance [2]. - It suggests enhancing the professionalization and welfare of sales teams, optimizing management structures, and establishing sustainable commission systems for independent agents [4]. Financial Metrics - The report includes a valuation table for key insurance companies, providing metrics such as market capitalization and price-to-earnings ratios [6]. - For instance, China Life Insurance has a market capitalization of 853.2 billion RMB, with a PE ratio of 9.63 [6]. Regulatory Impact - The report highlights the importance of regulatory changes in shaping the future of the insurance industry, particularly in terms of cost management and compliance [4]. - It emphasizes the need for a balanced commission incentive mechanism to ensure sustainable growth and compliance within the sales force [4].

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·保险Ⅱ 保险Ⅱ行业点评报告 深化寿险代理人体制改革，佣金递延与报行 合一规范渠道发展 增持（维持） 投资要点 ◼ 负债端、资产端均有改善机会，低估值+低持仓，攻守兼备。1）我们认 为市场储蓄需求依然旺盛，同时在监管持续引导和险企主动性转型下， 负债成本有望逐步下降，利差损压力将有所缓解。2）近期十年期国债 收益率稳定在 1.65%左右，我们预计，未来伴随国内经济复苏，长端利 率若继续修复上行，则保险公司新增固收类投资收益率压力将有所缓 解。3）当前公募基金对保险股持仓仍处于低位，估值对负面因素反应 较为充分。2025 年 4 月 18 日保险板块估值 0.50-0.80 倍 2025E P/EV， 处于历史低位，行业维持"增持"评级。 ◼ 风险提示：长端利率趋势性下行；股市持续低迷；新单增长不及预期。 2025 年 04 月 18 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 曹锟 执业证书：S0600524120004 caok@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -12% -5% 2% 9% 16% 23% 30% 3 ...

| 人保财险 | 保险服务收入 | 485.223 | 457.203 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 保险服务费用 | 465.392 | 431,991 | | | 综合成本率(2(%) | 98.5 | 97.6 | | | 综合赔付率3(%) | 72.7 | 70.4 | | 人保寿险 | 保险服务收入 | 22,384 | 18,204 | | | 保险服务费用 | 7.483 | 16,859 | | | 签发保险合同的合同服务边际 | 92,555 | 75.633 | | | 当期初始确认签发的保险合同的 合同服务边际 | 14.151 | 9,237 | | | 新业务价值(4) | 5.024 | 3,664 | | | 内含价值(4) | 119,731 | 101,470 | | | 退保率(%) | 3.6 | 5.1 | | 人保健康 | 保险服务收入 | 27,217 | 25,619 | | | 保险服务费用 | 17.752 | 23,109 | | | 签发保险合同的合同服务边际 | 20,189 | 16,979 | | | 当期初始确认 ...

业绩出炉后，3月28日，中国人保在北京、香港两地召开业绩发布会。中国人保董事长丁向群携一众高管详解业绩情况，回应寿险利差、市值管理等热点问 题。 中国人民保险集团股份有限公司（以下简称"中国人保"）披露的2024年度业绩报告显示，该公司2024年实现归属于母公司股东净利润428.69亿元，同比增长 88.2%；原保险保费收入6930.15亿元，同比增长4.7%。 值得一提的是，这也是丁向群就任中国人保董事长后，首次出席该公司业绩发布会。 打造世界一流保险金融集团 中国人保2024年实现归属于母公司股东净利润428.69亿元，同比增长88.2%；原保险保费收入6930.15亿元，同比增长4.7%。 丁向群回应中国人保的发展目标称，要扎实做好金融"五篇大文章"，始终坚守"人民保险，服务人民"的初心使命，立足保险风险保障和资金融通的功能性 质，聚力做保险业守护民生福祉的"领头雁"、助力社会治理的排头兵、服务实体经济的主力军，坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路，建设功能卓著、运营高 效、主业鲜明、治理现代、具有国际竞争力的世界一流保险金融集团。 那么，人保财险、人保寿险和人保健康三家保险子公司将分别有哪些侧重点？丁向群表 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Pacific Insurance (02328) maintains an "outperform" rating, with a target price increase of 17.6% to HKD 14.7, reflecting a positive outlook for 2025 despite challenges in 2024 due to natural disaster losses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's premium income increased by 4.3% year-on-year to CNY 538.1 billion, while market share decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 31.8% [2] - Net profit rose by 30.9% to CNY 32.2 billion, aligning with expectations, driven by improved stock market conditions [3] - Total investment assets grew by 4.3% year-on-year, with total investment return increasing by 2.0 percentage points to 5.5% [3] Group 2: Underwriting and Cost Ratios - The combined ratio (CoR) for 2024 increased by 1.0 percentage point to 98.8%, primarily due to higher-than-expected natural disaster losses [2] - The combined loss ratio rose by 2.4 percentage points to 73%, with the net loss from major disasters exceeding the average of the past five years by 50.9% [2] - The CoR for auto insurance improved by 0.1 percentage point to 96.8%, while the non-auto insurance CoR decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 101.9% [2] Group 3: Dividend and Long-term Outlook - The annual dividend per share increased by 10.4% to CNY 0.54, slightly below expectations, but the long-term operational trend supports strong future dividend capacity [4] - The company is viewed as a long-term stable investment option, considering dividend growth and net asset increases [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in net profit and dividends, with a year-on-year growth of 201.1% to 26.229 billion yuan, exceeding the upper limit of the previously announced performance forecast [1] - The company adjusted its investment return and risk discount rate assumptions downward by 50 basis points, while maintaining a positive growth in embedded value (EV) [1] - The company achieved a new business value (NBV) of 6.253 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 106.8%, surpassing expectations [2] Group 1: Profit and Dividend Performance - The company's net profit for 2024 reached 26.229 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 201.1%, exceeding the forecast range of 17.5%-19.5% [1] - The total dividend per share was 2.53 yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 197.6%, with a dividend payout ratio of 30.1% [1] - The dividend yield based on the closing prices on March 27 was 4.9% for A shares and 9.5% for H shares [1] Group 2: Investment and Economic Assumptions - The company lowered its non-investment-linked life insurance investment return assumption by 50 basis points to 4.0% and the risk discount rate by 50 basis points to 8.5% [1] - The embedded value (EV) increased by 3.2% year-on-year to 258.448 billion yuan, with a growth of 17.3% when excluding the impact of economic assumption changes [1] Group 3: New Business Value (NBV) and Sales Channels - The company achieved an NBV of 6.253 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 106.8%, and an increase of 27.6 percentage points from the previous quarters [2] - New business sales in the fourth quarter showed a significant improvement, with a year-on-year increase of 140.7% to 5.17 billion yuan [2] - The NBV margin (NBVM) improved significantly, reaching 14.6%, driven by better channel structure and new business quality [2] Group 4: Individual Insurance and Sales Performance - The individual insurance channel's NBV grew by 37.2% year-on-year to 4.025 billion yuan, with new business and NBVM also showing positive growth [3] - The average performance of the sales force improved, with a year-on-year increase in the number of high-performing agents [3] - The bancassurance channel's NBV saw a substantial increase of 516.5%, despite a decline in new business sales [3] Group 5: Investment Performance - The company achieved net, total, and comprehensive investment returns of 3.2%, 5.8%, and 8.5%, respectively, with total investment assets growing by 21.9% year-on-year to 1.63 trillion yuan [4] - The allocation to stocks and funds increased year-on-year, indicating a proactive investment strategy [4] - The company raised its profit forecast for 2025-2027, reflecting strong market recognition of its high elasticity attributes [4]