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8月8日【港股Podcast】恆指、中移動、海螺水泥、贛鋒鋰業、美團、洛陽洛陽鉬業
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 10:52
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24,858 points, with bearish investors indicating a target drop to 24,500 points next week [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, with 9 sell signals, 4 buy signals, and 10 neutral signals [1] - Key support and resistance levels are identified at 24,395 points and 25,355 points respectively [1] Group 2: China Mobile (00941.HK) - China Mobile's stock price closed at HKD 89.6, breaking through the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [3] - The stock has resistance levels at HKD 90.1 and HKD 93.4, with a neutral technical analysis signal [3] Group 3: Conch Cement (00914.HK) - Conch Cement's stock price closed at HKD 23.86, showing a significant upward movement and stabilizing above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [6] - The stock has 2 sell signals, 10 buy signals, and 11 neutral signals, with a resistance level at HKD 24.9 [6] Group 4: Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price has broken through the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with a current buy signal [9] - The stock has resistance levels at HKD 30.5 and HKD 32.3, indicating potential to break above HKD 32 [9] Group 5: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock price closed at HKD 120.8, showing a downward trend from a high of HKD 136.1 [12] - The technical signal is a sell, with 11 sell signals and 1 buy signal, and support levels at HKD 111.6 and HKD 110.7 [12] Group 6: Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) - Luoyang Molybdenum's stock is viewed positively, with a current buy signal and resistance levels at HKD 10.4 and HKD 10.84 [14] - Investors are optimistic about reaching HKD 11 with call options at that strike price [14]
7月31日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、金山軟體、泡泡瑪特、中芯、金沙
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-31 21:32
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is experiencing a downward trend, with investors anticipating further declines, particularly around the 24600 level, while some see support at 24700 and are considering bullish options with a recovery price of 24200 [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, indicating a 50% probability of either rising or falling as it approaches the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [1] Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - The stock price is nearing the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands, with a strong buy signal indicated by 16 buy signals and 1 sell signal [3] - Resistance levels are identified at 81 and 87.1, while support is close to 69.7, aligning with investor expectations around 70 [3] Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) - The stock is showing resilience in a declining market, stabilizing above the recent low of 34.7, with a target range of 38-40 [6] - Technical signals suggest a buy, with resistance at 37.9 and support at 33.7 and 32.6 [7] Pop Mart International (09992.HK) - The stock closed at 246, with a sell signal indicated, and primary support identified at 236 [10] - Investors are holding put options with a strike price of 178.78, which may be too far from the current price, leading to lower price sensitivity [10] Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) - The stock opened high but closed at 51.1 after reaching a peak of 52.95, with a recent volatility of 9.2% [13] - Technical signals indicate a buy with 13 buy signals and 4 sell signals, resistance levels at 54.2 and 56.8, and support at 47.2 and 45.2 [13][14] Sands China Ltd. (01928.HK) - The stock closed at 19.04, maintaining position above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [17] - A buy signal is indicated, with resistance at 19.6 and 20, and support at 18.3 and 17.3 [17][20]
7月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、泡泡瑪特、藥明、華虹、蔚來
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-24 11:37
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is perceived by bullish investors as entering a slow bull market, with all stocks reaching new highs, targeting levels between 25,700 and 26,000 [1] - Bearish investors anticipate a short-term correction to fill the gap below, with a recovery price of 25,900 for overnight bear certificates [1] - Technical analysis indicates a high of 25,735 points, with 15 buy signals and 4 sell signals, suggesting a bullish trend [1] Group 2 - Meituan (03690.HK) is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band at 134.6 HKD, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 137.7 HKD and 147.6 HKD [3] - The closing price is 134 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 178.98 HKD, indicating a potentially high entry point for investors [3] - Investors are advised to consider options with exercise prices closer to the current market price to mitigate risks associated with high exercise prices [3] Group 3 - Pop Mart (09992.HK) shows a weak recent trend, with a closing price near the middle Bollinger Band at 255.8 HKD and a buy signal, though not a strong buy [5] - Resistance levels are identified at 263 HKD and 273 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 225 HKD providing a defensive position for investors [5] - Investors are encouraged to compare the terms of options when selecting products to manage risk effectively [5] Group 4 - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is viewed positively with a strong buy signal, facing a resistance level at 31.1 HKD and 33.3 HKD [8] - Investors are optimistic about the stock's potential to break through the 30 HKD level, with a target price of 46 HKD [8] Group 5 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is under observation for its structural stability, with a target price of 40.6 HKD [11] - The stock is currently showing a strong buy signal, indicating positive sentiment among investors [11] Group 6 - NIO Inc. (09866.HK) is experiencing a slight downward trend, with the stock price near the upper Bollinger Band at 38.99 HKD [14] - The stock maintains an overall upward trend with 14 buy signals and 6 sell signals, suggesting cautious optimism [14] - Resistance levels are set at 41.7 HKD and 47.3 HKD, while support levels are at 33.7 HKD and 29.9 HKD for put options [14]
保力加通道擴張,小米短線動能增強
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-22 18:52
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi (01810.HK) is experiencing positive market sentiment with investors targeting a price of 60 HKD, supported by strong demand for call options with a strike price of 68.88 HKD [1] Technical Analysis - Xiaomi's stock price closed above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a bullish signal for investors [1] - Key resistance levels are identified at 59.8 HKD and 61.1 HKD, while immediate support is at 55.5 HKD, with a potential drop to 54.5 HKD if this support is breached [3] - The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, suggesting increasing short-term momentum, although the RSI is neutral at 55, indicating a need for more volume before challenging resistance [1][3] Derivative Instruments - Recent price fluctuations have created trading opportunities for derivative investors, with HSBC and UBS offering call options with leverage ratios of 4.9x and 5.1x, respectively [6] - Notable performance of structured products includes a 44% increase in JPMorgan's bull certificate and a 33% rise in UBS's bull certificate following a 2.85% rise in Xiaomi's stock [3] - Bearish strategies include put options from UBS and JPMorgan, both providing leverage of 4.8x, with strike prices around 53.94 HKD and 53.99 HKD [9] Market Sentiment - The overall sentiment towards Xiaomi remains optimistic, with a focus on potential price movements and the effectiveness of derivative products in capitalizing on market volatility [1][6]
多空激戰121元關口!京東技術指標釋放這些重要信號
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-14 10:16
Core Viewpoint - JD Group's stock price is currently fluctuating around HKD 121.6, showing a decline of 1.38%, with significant market divergence observed [2][5]. Technical Analysis - The stock is trading below key moving averages: MA10 at HKD 126.04, MA30 at HKD 128.3, and MA60 at HKD 130.6, indicating a prevailing "sell" signal [2]. - The technical strength index is low at 14, suggesting dominant downward pressure, while the RSI is at 41, nearing the oversold zone [2]. - Key support levels are identified at HKD 119.4 and HKD 115.2, with resistance at HKD 128 and potential further resistance at HKD 133.4 [5]. Market Sentiment - Recent trading activity shows a significant increase in bearish derivative products, with notable gains in put options as JD's stock price fell [5]. - The trading volume for JD's stock was reported at HKD 2.099 billion, indicating that capital has not significantly exited the market [5]. Derivative Products - Active trading in JD's warrants suggests potential short-term rebounds, with specific warrants offering leverage of 4.7 to 6.1 times [8]. - Investors looking for bearish positions can consider high-leverage put options, which have shown competitive pricing and volatility [8]. Bull and Bear Certificates - For aggressive investors, a bull certificate with a recovery price of HKD 118 offers a high leverage of 14.5 times, while a more conservative option has a recovery price of HKD 115 with 9.9 times leverage [10]. - Bear certificates are also available for those anticipating a rebound followed by a decline, with both options providing around 6.3 times leverage [10].
黃金爆發!招金礦業(1818)認購證兩日飆升近30%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-22 19:48
Group 1 - Zhaojin Mining (01818) has shown strong recent performance, with technical indicators suggesting continued upward momentum in the short term. As of 11:30 AM, the latest price was HKD 20.15, up 2.7%, with the 10-day moving average (HKD 18.3) crossing above the 30-day moving average (HKD 18.01), forming a "golden cross" that reflects a positive short-term trend [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 67, nearing the overbought zone but not extreme, while the MACD shows a "buy" signal. The Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating potential increased volatility. Key support levels are at HKD 18.6 and HKD 17.8, with resistance at HKD 20.9 and HKD 21.7. A breakthrough above HKD 20.9 could challenge higher levels [1] - The leverage effect of warrants has amplified returns, with Zhaojin Mining's stock price rising 8.76% on May 19, leading to significant gains in related warrants. Morgan Stanley's call option (27406) and UBS's call option (27337) recorded increases of 27% and 29%, respectively, exceeding the stock's rise by more than three times [4] Group 2 - Investors optimistic about Zhaojin Mining's potential to break through the HKD 20.9 resistance should consider longer-dated slightly out-of-the-money call options to balance time decay and leverage benefits. Current call options have varied terms, with exercise prices concentrated around HKD 18 and HKD 30. For instance, in-the-money products like Morgan Stanley's call option (27839) and UBS's call option (27337) have a leverage of 2.8 times, while out-of-the-money products have a leverage exceeding 3.3 times, with expiration dates in late November [7] - The market sentiment around Zhaojin Mining is influenced by strong gold prices and a robust technical outlook, although the RSI and Williams indicators are approaching overbought levels, raising questions about potential profit-taking in the short term. Investors are encouraged to share their strategies regarding whether to opt for warrants or directly purchase the underlying stock [10]