Impact of Document No.136 on China PV Projects 136 号文如何影响光伏项目 Abstract 摘要 Investment consulting business qualification：CSRC License [2012] No. 669 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669 号 | 何颢昀 | He Haoyun | 从业资格号 Qualification No：F3100810 | 投资咨询号 Consulting No.：Z0021074 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 张默涵 | Zhang Mohan | 从业资格号 Qualification No：F03097187 | 投资咨询号 Consulting No.：Z0020317 | | 桂晨曦 | Gui Chenxi | 从业资格号 Qualification No：F3023159 | 投资咨询号 Consulting No.：Z0013632 | 中信期货国际化研究 | CITIC Futures International Research 202 ...

Core Viewpoint - The integration of solar energy and energy storage has become an inevitable trend in energy transition, with major solar companies entering the energy storage sector to enhance their market positions [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 25, A-shares opened higher, with the solar ETF Huaxia (515370) rising by 0.91%, and key holdings such as Hongyuan Green Energy, Shangneng Electric, and Sunshine Power increasing by over 2% [1]. Group 2: Company Developments - Longi Green Energy plans to acquire approximately 61.9998% of the voting rights of Suzhou Jingkong Energy Technology Co., Ltd. through multiple methods, achieving sole control over this energy storage "unicorn" [1]. - Other major solar companies, including Tongwei Co., JA Solar, Trina Solar, and JinkoSolar, have also entered the energy storage market this year, marking a significant shift in their business strategies [1]. Group 3: Industry Trends - Wanlian Securities believes that the integration of solar and storage is a key pathway for building a new power system, transitioning from an optional to a necessary component, and upgrading from auxiliary power to a primary power source [1]. - The Huaxia solar ETF (515370) tracks the CSI Solar Industry Index, covering upstream, midstream, and downstream companies in the solar industry, including silicon wafers, polysilicon, battery cells, cables, solar glass, battery modules, inverters, solar brackets, and solar power plants, providing a comprehensive reflection of the solar industry's overall performance [1].

Core Insights - The power industry is undergoing a profound transformation from scale expansion to high-quality development, with photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage as core pillars of the new power system [1] - The integration of PV and energy storage has shifted from an optional choice to a mandatory requirement, emphasizing the need for a robust ecosystem [1] Industry Transition - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period marks the end of subsidy-dependent growth in the PV and energy storage sector, transitioning to a market-driven high-quality development phase [2] - Industry competition has evolved from mere scale to a comprehensive assessment of technology, application scenarios, and service capabilities [2] - The urgency of restructuring market rules is highlighted, as it significantly impacts production costs and the healthy development of the industry [2] Technological Innovation - New energy storage, particularly grid-forming storage, is becoming essential for integrating renewable energy, with a shift from policy-driven to market-driven operations [2] - Safety is emphasized as a fundamental requirement for energy storage's participation in market transactions, with proactive monitoring systems being developed to enhance safety [3] - The focus on scenario innovation is crucial, with policies mandating that new renewable energy projects must have supporting scenarios [3] Market Strategies - Companies are adopting strategies focused on high-quality orders, particularly in overseas markets, to achieve mutual benefits through product upgrades and service optimization [4] - The integration of PV manufacturing and energy storage technologies is seen as a natural synergy, enhancing cost efficiency and reliability [8] Ecosystem Development - The industry is moving towards a collaborative ecosystem that bridges laboratory innovations to industrial applications, unlocking economic, social, and ecological value [9] - Continuous R&D investment is identified as a key driver for companies to maintain technological leadership and ensure the feasibility of industrial applications [9] - The establishment of collaborative initiatives, such as the "700W+ Photovoltaic Open Innovation Ecosystem Alliance," is crucial for scaling high-efficiency technologies [11] Future Directions - The focus on high-end, intelligent, and green production is seen as essential for industry upgrades, with AI technology expected to enhance manufacturing and operational efficiency [11] - The challenge of industrializing advanced technologies, such as solid-state and lithium-sulfur batteries, is acknowledged, with partnerships for pilot testing being a potential solution [12]

Core Viewpoint - The power industry is undergoing a profound transformation from scale expansion to high-quality development, with the integration of photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage becoming a necessity rather than an option [1][3]. Industry Trends - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period marks the end of subsidy-dependent growth in the PV and energy storage sector, transitioning to a market-driven high-quality development phase [3]. - Industry competition has shifted from mere scale to a comprehensive evaluation of technology, application scenarios, and service capabilities [3]. - The urgency of restructuring market rules is emphasized, as it significantly impacts production costs and the healthy development of the industry [3]. Technological Innovations - New energy storage technologies, particularly grid-connected storage, are transitioning from policy-driven mandates to independent market operations, with high quality, safety, and economic efficiency as core requirements [3][4]. - Companies are focusing on technological innovations such as the integration of AI and advanced materials to enhance energy efficiency and reduce costs [11][12]. Application Scenarios - The integration of PV and energy storage is expanding from traditional power plants to diverse fields, necessitating a shift from single-device supply to system-level collaborative solutions [7]. - Key application scenarios identified include green electricity substitution for high-energy-consuming enterprises, optimization of renewable energy transmission channels, and support for green computing centers [7][8]. Safety and Risk Management - Safety is highlighted as a fundamental aspect of high-quality energy storage development, with proactive monitoring and risk management systems being implemented to ensure operational safety [5][6]. - The focus is on transitioning from passive responses to active prevention of safety risks through advanced monitoring technologies [5]. Ecosystem Collaboration - The industry is moving towards a collaborative ecosystem that bridges laboratory innovations with industrial applications, aiming to unlock economic, social, and ecological value [10]. - Companies are investing in R&D and forming alliances to promote the large-scale application of advanced technologies, ensuring a balance between technological leadership and industrial feasibility [10][11]. Market Dynamics - The market is witnessing a shift from price competition to value competition, driven by technological advancements and the need for sustainable practices [10][12]. - The establishment of virtual power plants and the integration of distributed energy resources are becoming popular directions in the industry [8].

储能赛道发展提速。国家能源局公布的数据显示，截至今年三季度末，我国新型储能装机规模超过1亿 千瓦，与"十三五"末相比增长超30倍，装机规模占全球总装机比例超过40%，跃居世界第一。 储能作为光伏、风力等新能源发电的重要消纳方式，已经成为光伏龙头企业重点布局的赛道。 近日，陕西省市场监督管理局网站发布的信息显示，隆基绿能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"隆基绿 能"）拟通过股权收购、增资入股及表决权委托等多重方式，取得苏州精控能源科技股份有限公司约 61.9998%的表决权，实现对这家储能"独角兽"企业的单独控制。 至此，去年光伏组件全球出货量排名前五的光伏龙头企业已经全部入局储能赛道。 而晶科能源股份有限公司（以下简称"晶科能源"）、晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"晶澳科 技"）、天合光能股份有限公司（以下简称"天合光能"）等龙头亦早已入局储能赛道。Infolink数据显 示，晶科能源位列2024年全球光伏组件出货榜榜首，晶澳科技和隆基绿能并列第二，天合光能位列第 四，通威股份位列第五。 "光储融合已成为能源转型的必然趋势，也是构建新型电力系统的关键路径。"万联证券投资顾问屈放在 接受《证券日报》记者采访时表 ...

Core Insights - The rapid development of China's new energy industry is highlighted, with a focus on the "14th Five-Year Plan" achievements and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizing energy security and the transition to a new energy system [1][5][9]. Group 1: Industry Development - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to promote quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen energy, and new energy storage as new economic growth points [1]. - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," China's energy consumption structure improved significantly, with the average cost of global wind power projects decreasing by over 60% and solar photovoltaic (PV) project costs dropping by over 80% in the past decade [3][5]. - The new energy sector is expected to transition from subsidy-dependent growth to a market-driven high-quality development phase during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [15]. Group 2: Technological Trends - The solar PV industry is focusing on optimizing silicon technology to maintain cost advantages, with a shift towards using less silver and more affordable metals like copper and aluminum [7]. - Lithium-ion batteries, particularly lithium iron phosphate batteries, are projected to dominate the new energy storage market, maintaining over 90% market share in the next five years [9]. - The integration of digital technologies in energy management is becoming crucial for enhancing operational efficiency and enabling smart decision-making in the energy sector [26][27]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The global market for energy equipment is expected to reach approximately $1.27 trillion in 2024, with significant growth potential in the energy digitalization sector, projected to reach $173 billion by 2025 [27][28]. - The focus is shifting from merely increasing installed capacity to achieving efficient collaboration across the energy system, enhancing the penetration and reliability of new energy sources [11]. - The energy storage industry is urged to achieve equal treatment in capacity pricing with other flexible resources, emphasizing the need for fair compensation for the services provided by energy storage [9][15]. Group 4: Policy and Strategic Initiatives - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of energy security as a primary task for the energy industry, necessitating a shift towards a new energy system and collaborative strategies [5][13]. - The launch of the "Energy Digitalization Development White Paper" aims to explore the strategic significance and implementation paths for energy digitalization in China [28].

Core Insights - The distributed energy storage industry is experiencing explosive growth driven by national policy support and increasing demand for renewable energy, with projections indicating that by 2024, new energy storage installations will account for over 40% of the global total [1][6] - The industry is transitioning from policy-driven growth to market-driven and economic viability, with a clear delineation of the supply chain from upstream materials to downstream applications [1][5] Industry Overview - Distributed energy storage systems are deployed close to energy consumption points, enabling local production, storage, and consumption of electricity, which helps stabilize the output fluctuations of renewable energy sources [2][4] - The industry is characterized by various technologies, including lithium-ion batteries and mechanical storage systems, and is categorized based on application scenarios such as user-side, grid-side, and power-side storage [2][3] Policy Landscape - A series of national policies have been introduced to support the development of distributed energy storage, including guidelines for enhancing grid peak-shaving capabilities and plans for high-quality development of new energy storage manufacturing [5][6] Supply Chain Structure - The supply chain of the distributed energy storage industry is well-defined, with upstream focusing on core materials and components, midstream on system integration and EPC services, and downstream covering applications across generation, grid, and user sides [5][6] Current Market Dynamics - The industry has seen a significant increase in installations, with projections for 2024 indicating a cumulative installed capacity of 73.76 million kilowatts, representing an annual growth rate exceeding 130% [6][7] - The market is dominated by lithium iron phosphate batteries, which hold nearly 90% market share due to their mature technology and cost advantages [6][7] Application Scenarios - The application landscape is evolving, with grid-side storage becoming the main contributor to new installations, expected to account for 60% of the market by 2025 [7][8] - Distributed photovoltaic systems are also gaining traction, with cumulative installed capacity reaching 370 million kilowatts by the end of 2024, significantly enhancing the energy structure transition [7][8] Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by leading companies such as CATL and BYD dominating the manufacturing sector, while others like Sungrow and Huawei lead in PCS technology [8][9] - The competitive landscape features a mix of large enterprises and smaller firms focusing on niche markets, with significant clusters in regions like the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta [8][9] Future Trends - The industry is moving towards diversified, market-driven, and intelligent development, with applications expanding beyond simple energy storage to integrated solutions that enhance energy efficiency and reliability [9][10] - Technological advancements are expected to shift from a lithium-dominated landscape to a more diversified approach, incorporating long-duration storage technologies [10][11] - The business model is transitioning from policy-driven to market-oriented, with distributed energy storage expected to participate more actively in electricity markets and auxiliary services [11]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the transition of JA Solar Technology from a "photovoltaic leader" to a "solar + storage enabler," highlighting its strategic evolution in response to global energy challenges [3][4] - JA Solar aims to integrate solar energy production with storage solutions to create a more flexible and sustainable energy system, positioning itself as a key player in the global energy transition [1][8] Strategic Evolution - JA Solar's strategy involves leveraging its extensive experience in the photovoltaic sector to maximize the synergistic value of "solar + storage" through intelligent energy management systems [3] - The company is focusing on deepening customer value integration into its technology strategy, promoting "solar as the body, storage as the wings" as a core pathway for high-quality energy development [3][4] Ecosystem Development - JA Solar has established a robust "horizontal and vertical" smart energy ecosystem, breaking down barriers between different energy forms and creating a digital energy platform with sensing, decision-making, and evolution capabilities [4] - The company operates in 180 countries, emphasizing a "deep cultivation" approach to local markets, addressing specific regional energy needs with tailored "solar + storage" solutions [4] Product Innovation - JA Solar has developed a comprehensive energy storage product matrix covering power generation, grid, and user sides, including the JAGalaxy system for large-scale storage and the JAPlanet system for commercial applications [5][7] - The JAStar system for residential users incorporates high safety standards and intelligent energy management, providing a smart and low-carbon electricity experience [5] Application Scenarios - JA Solar's storage solutions have been successfully applied in various scenarios, including smoothing power generation fluctuations, enhancing power trading, and improving overall reliability in grid operations [7] - The company offers diverse solutions for commercial users, significantly reducing electricity costs and improving power quality, while also promoting clean energy alternatives in off-grid areas [7] Future Outlook - JA Solar is committed to being a leading provider of energy storage system solutions that create value for customers, focusing on technological innovation to overcome energy challenges and contribute to sustainable development [8]

Group 1 - Tianhe Solar's founder Gao Jifan and Wu Chunyan confirmed the wedding of Zhang Junjie and Gao Haichun, expressing gratitude for the blessings [1] - Zhang Junjie, a notable entrepreneur in the new tea beverage industry, founded the brand Bawang Chaji in November 2017, expanding its presence to over 7,000 stores globally [1] - Bawang Chaji went public on NASDAQ in April this year, becoming the first new tea beverage stock in the US, with a current stock price of $14.22 and a market capitalization of approximately $2.61 billion [1] Group 2 - Gao Haichun, born in 1993, has been involved with Tianhe since 2017 and became the chairman of Tianhe Fuhua in June 2022, which focuses on distributed household photovoltaic business [2] - Tianhe Solar initiated the plan to spin off Tianhe Fuhua for an IPO in April 2023, but the plan was terminated in December 2024 [2] - Gao Haichun joined the board of Tianhe Solar in June 2024 and was elected co-chairman in January this year, aiming to lead the company's transformation into a smart energy solution provider [2]

Group 1 - The wedding invitation of Zhang Junjie, founder of Bawang Chaji, and Gao Haichun, daughter of Gao Jifan, founder of Trina Solar, has been confirmed, indicating a notable connection between the new tea beverage industry and the solar energy sector [1] - Bawang Chaji, founded in November 2017, has expanded its presence significantly, with over 7,000 stores globally, including locations in Malaysia, the United States, Thailand, Singapore, Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines [1] - Bawang Chaji went public on NASDAQ in April 2023, becoming the first new tea beverage company listed in the U.S., with a current stock price of $14.22 per share and a market capitalization of approximately $2.61 billion [1] Group 2 - Gao Haichun, born in 1993, has been involved with Trina Solar since 2017 and became the chairman of Trina Wealth in June 2022, a subsidiary focused on distributed household photovoltaic business [2] - Trina Solar initiated the process to spin off Trina Wealth for an IPO in April 2023, but the plan was terminated in December 2024 [2] - Gao Haichun joined the board of Trina Solar in June 2024 and was elected co-chairman in January 2025, tasked with leading the company's transition from a photovoltaic manufacturer to a smart energy solutions provider [2]