国泰君安期货·能源化工 短纤、瓶片周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所 陈鑫超 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020238 贺晓勤 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0017709 钱嘉寅（联系人）期货从业资格号：F03124480 日期：2025年4月27日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 观点小结 上游观点汇总 短纤：短期震荡市，中期偏弱 瓶片：震荡偏弱 供需平衡表 02 瓶片（PR） 估值与利润 基本面运行情况 短纤（PF） 估值与利润 基本面运行情况 CONTENTS 2 01 03 观点小结 01 观点总结 瓶片观点总结 短纤观点总结 瓶片：累库延续，逢高空加工费，轻仓过节 （1）高开工预计延续，总库存累库仍是确定性趋势，时间延后。市 场存在联合减产的传闻，但短期供应端开工率反而有进一步提高，本 周开工90.8%，5月初仍有三房巷75万吨装置复产。利润和库存方面， 盘面加工费仍然维持500元/吨水平，下游低价仍有补货，工厂库存压 力不大。因此一方面工厂当 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of increased tariffs by the U.S. government on various countries, including China, has raised global concerns, but the direct impact on the company's operations is minimal [1] Procurement Impact - The company has a small proportion of U.S. products in its distribution, with less than 100 SKUs out of nearly 20,000 being sourced from the U.S., accounting for only about 0.2% of total procurement [1] - Most U.S. products are primarily involved in research and design, with manufacturing occurring outside the U.S. [1] Sales Impact - The company's customer base is predominantly domestic, with export business representing approximately 2% of total revenue for 2024, and there is virtually no export to the U.S. [1] - The impact of the U.S. tariffs on the company's sales operations is very limited [1]