Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong stocks are expected to experience a rebound as sectors with better-than-expected interim results are likely to catch up in performance [1] Group 1: Market Valuation - The absolute valuation of Hong Kong stocks is at a relatively low level, while the valuation percentile is at a historically mid-to-high level [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - High dividend stocks can provide relatively stable returns for investors amid uncertainties both domestically and internationally [1] - Sectors benefiting from favorable policies or ongoing policy support, such as stablecoin concept stocks, innovative pharmaceuticals, AI industry chain, and "anti-involution" industries, are recommended for attention [1] - Sectors that have reported better-than-expected interim results are expected to see a rebound in performance [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continues to gain momentum with accelerated rotation of market hotspots, as evidenced by the performance of major indices [1][2] - For the week of July 14 to July 18, the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.84%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 5.53%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index climbed by 3.44% [2][4] - Among the ten sectors in the Hong Kong stock market, all but the real estate sector saw gains, with healthcare, information technology, and consumer staples leading the way with increases of 9.52%, 4.16%, and 3.92% respectively [2][7] Group 2 - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the week was HKD 246.725 billion, an increase of HKD 4.213 billion from the previous week [2][13] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 21.456 billion, which is a decrease of HKD 4.899 billion compared to the previous week [2][13] - The price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for the Hang Seng Index as of July 18 were 11.04 and 1.16, respectively, both of which are at the 81% and 82% percentile levels since 2019 [2][18] Group 3 - The report highlights that the overall valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is relatively low compared to global equity markets, with the Hang Seng Index's risk premium at 4.62%, which is at the 8% percentile since 2010 [2][20] - The report suggests that sectors benefiting from favorable policies, such as stablecoin concept stocks, innovative pharmaceuticals, AI industry chains, and "anti-involution" industries, should be closely monitored [2][37] - The performance of companies exceeding expectations in their mid-year reports is expected to rebound, indicating potential investment opportunities [2][38]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continues to gain momentum with accelerated rotation of market hotspots, as evidenced by the performance of major indices [1][2] - For the week of July 14 to July 18, the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.84%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 5.53%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index climbed by 3.44% [2][4] - Among the ten sectors in the Hong Kong stock market, all but the real estate sector saw gains, with healthcare, information technology, and consumer staples leading the way with increases of 9.52%, 4.16%, and 3.92% respectively [2][7] Group 2 - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the week was HKD 246.725 billion, an increase of HKD 4.213 billion from the previous week [2][13] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 21.456 billion, which is a decrease of HKD 4.899 billion compared to the previous week [2][13] - The price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for the Hang Seng Index as of July 18 were 11.04 and 1.16, respectively, both reflecting increases of 2.69% from the previous week [2][18] Group 3 - The report highlights that the overall valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is relatively low compared to global equity markets, with the Hang Seng Index's risk premium at 4.62%, indicating a favorable investment environment [2][20] - The report suggests focusing on sectors that may benefit from favorable policies, such as stablecoin concept stocks, innovative pharmaceuticals, AI industry chains, and sectors showing better-than-expected interim performance [2][37][38] - The report notes that the performance of the Chinese economy remains resilient, with GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, and a strong industrial output growth of 6.8% in June [2][36]

Market Performance - On July 8, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.7%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 1.46%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.39%[3] - The total trading volume on July 8 was 1.47 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 240 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day[1] Sector Analysis - All sectors except for banking and utilities experienced gains, with notable increases in communication, power equipment, and construction materials[1] - The photovoltaic sector showed significant upward movement, indicating a strong market signal and potential for further growth[1] Capital Flow - On July 8, net inflows into the Shanghai Stock Exchange were 25.048 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange saw net inflows of 29.912 billion yuan[4] - The top three sectors for capital inflow were photovoltaic equipment, communication equipment, and components, while the sectors with the highest outflows included city commercial banks, ground military equipment, and insurance[4] Industry Trends - The film industry reached a total box office of over 30 billion yuan by July 8, 2025, 28 days earlier than the previous year[9] - A coalition of 33 construction companies issued a "reverse involution" initiative to promote industry transformation and fair competition[10] Policy Developments - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announced the expansion of the Southbound Trading program to include brokers, insurance companies, and asset management firms[5] - The People's Bank of China is actively researching measures to further open the bond market to foreign investors, enhancing cross-border financing convenience[8]

Market Overview - On July 7, the market experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.02%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% and 1.21%, respectively[2] - The trading volume on July 7 was 1.23 trillion CNY, a decrease of approximately 220 billion CNY compared to the previous trading day[1] Sector Performance - More than half of the sectors saw gains, with utilities, real estate, and light industry leading the increases, while coal, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, and home appliances faced declines[1] - The utilities sector had several stocks hitting the daily limit up, indicating strong performance despite mixed results in the coal and electricity sectors[1] Investment Trends - Recent focus has shifted towards underappreciated sectors, particularly in renewable energy such as lithium batteries and photovoltaic materials, which are currently seen as having strong safety margins[1] - The military industry has shown a consistent upward trend despite recent adjustments, suggesting potential re-entry opportunities for investors[1] Fund Flow - On July 7, the net inflow for the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 6.945 billion CNY, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange saw a net outflow of 5.266 billion CNY[2] - The top three sectors for net inflow were electricity, power grid equipment, and software development, while consumer electronics, liquor, and chemical pharmaceuticals experienced the highest outflows[2] Economic Indicators - As of the end of June, China's gold reserves stood at 7.39 million ounces (approximately 2298.55 tons), marking an increase of 70,000 ounces (about 2.18 tons) for the eighth consecutive month[5] - The Ministry of Civil Affairs reported that the sales of welfare lottery tickets reached 107.198 billion CNY in the first half of the year, raising approximately 31 billion CNY for public welfare[8]