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华尔街到陆家嘴精选|美国零售销售几无增长!金价仍处牛市?苹果供应链加速向印度转移 特朗普反对?美国拟下调银行资本金要求?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 02:10
Group 1: Retail Sales and Economic Outlook - US retail sales growth slowed to only 0.1% month-on-month in April, with 7 out of 13 categories declining, indicating consumer spending contraction due to tariff concerns [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell announced a review of the monetary policy framework, suggesting adjustments to the average inflation target and employment gap language, emphasizing a commitment to a 2% inflation target [1][2] - Consumer data reflects potential preemptive spending before anticipated price increases, raising uncertainties about the future of the US economic recovery [1] Group 2: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices experienced a significant rebound, rising nearly 2% in a single day, with a price swing of over $100, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over US fiscal policy [3][4] - Analysts remain optimistic about gold's long-term prospects, with predictions of prices potentially reaching $4000 per ounce due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and central bank gold purchases [3][4] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Industry Impact - Trump's executive order to lower drug prices significantly affects pharmaceutical companies, with Citigroup upgrading Regeneron and downgrading AbbVie based on their exposure to policy risks [5][6] - The order links US drug prices to lower prices in other developed countries, creating valuation risks for major pharmaceutical firms, particularly European companies like Novo Nordisk [5][6] Group 4: Semiconductor Manufacturing in India - Foxconn received approval to invest $435 million in a semiconductor manufacturing facility in India, aiming for production by 2027, which aligns with Apple's strategy to diversify its supply chain [7][8] - Apple's production in India has increased significantly, with 20% of global iPhone shipments now produced there, although high-end models remain manufactured in China [7][8] Group 5: Banking Sector Regulation Changes - US regulators are preparing to announce the largest reduction in bank capital requirements in over a decade, which could enhance banks' lending capacity and improve profitability [9][10] - The adjustment of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) may lead to increased bank stock valuations and market performance, although it carries potential risks of excessive lending [9][10] Group 6: Surge in Container Shipping from China - Following tariff adjustments, US importers significantly increased orders from China, with container bookings surging by 277% in a week, indicating a strong demand rebound [11][12] - Logistics companies anticipate further increases in container shipping volumes in the coming weeks, although this surge may not represent a sustainable trend [11][12]
财经早报:商务部回应美方加严限制中国芯片,押注“东升西降”!桥水最新持仓曝光
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-05-15 23:34
Group 1 - The Chinese government emphasizes strengthening the domestic circulation as a strategic move to stabilize and promote long-term economic growth, aiming for high-quality development [2] - The Ministry of Commerce urges the U.S. to correct its restrictive measures on Chinese chips, asserting that such actions hinder sustainable cooperation between enterprises [3] - The Ministry of Commerce reiterates that all parties involved in the sale of the port by CK Hutchison must not evade regulatory scrutiny, highlighting the importance of fair market competition [4] Group 2 - Bridgewater's latest holdings report reveals significant changes, including a substantial increase in positions in Alibaba and a new investment in JD.com, while reducing its stake in Nvidia [6] - The Federal Reserve is reassessing its policy framework to adapt to post-pandemic inflation dynamics, with potential adjustments expected to be announced in August or September [7] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has revised regulations on the use of raised funds by listed companies, emphasizing dedicated use for core business and supporting the real economy [8] Group 3 - Alibaba's latest financial report shows a revenue of 236.45 billion yuan for Q4 of fiscal year 2025, marking a 7% year-on-year increase, with adjusted EBITA rising by 36% [21][22] - Xiaomi announces the upcoming release of its self-developed SoC chip named "Xuanjie O1," which is expected to enhance mobile performance [20] - Wahaha responds to production issues due to capacity constraints, indicating adjustments in production and outsourcing to meet market demands [23][24]
美联储重大调整!鲍威尔最新警告:美国经济和央行将迎艰巨挑战
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-15 23:32
据央视新闻报道,当地时间5月1 5日,美联储主席鲍威尔在第二届托马斯·劳巴赫研究会议上发表讲话。鲍威尔称, 未来通胀可能更加波动,美国 可能正在进入一个供应冲击更频繁、持续时间也更持久的时期 ,这对经济和央行来说都是一个艰巨的挑战。 鲍威尔还透露,美联储正在调整其总体政策制定框架,以应对2020年疫情后通胀和利率前景的重大变化,计划在未来几个月内完成对该框架具体修改的审 议。 鲍威尔 图\新华社 鲍威尔最新警告 据券商中国报道,据美联储官网发布的演讲稿,鲍威尔表示:"实际利率上升也可能反映出,未来通胀可能会比21世纪10年代两次危机之间的时期更加波 动。我们可能正在进入一个供应冲击更频繁、可能更持久的时期——这对经济和央行来说都是一个艰巨的挑战。" 他还强调,重新考虑平均通胀目标是合适的。稳固通胀预期对美联储所做的一切都至关重要。在巨大的冲击中,必须传达对通胀前景的不确定性。 值得一提的是,在此之前,鲍威尔曾多次提到政策变化可能使美联储陷入支持就业和控制通胀之间的艰难平衡。 鲍威尔表示,自2020年以来,经济环境已发生重大变化,美联储的评估将反映这些变化的考量。美联储于五年前采用当前框架,并于今年启动对该框架 ...
深夜,美联储重大转变,一个时代结束
凤凰网财经· 2025-05-15 22:52
美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一,道指涨0.65%,标普500指数涨0.41%,纳指跌0.18%。大型科技股多数下 跌,亚马逊、Meta跌超2%,特斯拉跌超1%,苹果、英伟达、谷歌小幅下跌;奈飞涨超2%,微软、英 特尔小幅上涨。 热门中概股多数下跌,纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌2.37%。向上融科跌超8%,阿里巴巴、文远知行跌逾 7%,富途控股跌超5%,京东、百度、蔚来跌逾3%。Q1营收超预期,网易大涨超14%,股价逼近历史 新高。 国际贵金属期货普遍收涨,COMEX黄金期货涨1.74%报3243.90美元/盎司,COMEX白银期货涨1.07%报 32.79美元/盎司。 当地时间5月15日,美联储主席鲍威尔在第二届托马斯·劳巴赫研究会议上发表讲话。鲍威尔 称,未来通胀可能更加波动, 美国可能正在进入一个供应冲击更频繁、持续时间也更持久的 时期,这对经济和央行来说都是一个艰巨的挑战。 方式短期内不会改变。 鲍威尔认为,重新考虑"就业不足"的措辞是必要的,以避免将低失业率本身视为通胀风险信 号。同时,美联储对"平均通胀目标"框架也进行了类似调整,强调新共识声明需适应更广泛 的经济环境变化。 这一策略被视为美联储的重大转变,即 ...
美联储主席鲍威尔:美联储正在调整总体政策制定框架
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 14:59
周四的讲话中,鲍威尔没有谈及当前的货币政策或经济前景。他预计4月个人消费支出价格通胀将降至 2.2%——这是一个温和的数据,但仍可能没有反映出即将到来的关税驱动的价格上涨。鲍威尔称,美 联储的一些做法是永久性的,例如对通胀预期的关注,良好的通胀预期使美联储能够在不危及通胀稳定 的情况下为部署工作提供后续支持。 新华财经北京5月15日电(王姝睿) 美联储主席鲍威尔周四表示,美联储正在调整其总体政策制定框 架,以应对2020年疫情后通胀和利率前景的重大变化。 (文章来源:新华财经) 美联储五年前采用了目前的框架,并于今年开始对该框架进行评估。评估不太可能影响美联储目前设定 利率的方式。鲍威尔此前曾表示,美联储可能会在8月或9月之前完成这一过程并公布结果。鲍威尔表 示,2020年疫情之后,通胀调整后的"实际"利率上升,可能会影响美联储当前框架的要素。他表 示,"我们可能正在进入一个供应冲击更频繁、可能更持久的时期——这对经济和央行来说都是一个艰 巨的挑战。" 鲍威尔称,框架必须能够适应多种情况。同时,正在考虑对美联储的沟通内容进行修订,官员们同意需 要重新考虑围绕就业不足的措辞,这样美联储就不会将低失业率本身视为通 ...
鲍威尔抛出重磅信号:低失业率≠通胀风险,未来供应冲击更严峻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 13:56
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is reassessing the terminology of "labor market slack" to avoid interpreting low unemployment as a signal of inflation risk [2] - The Fed is adjusting its "average inflation target" framework to adapt to broader economic changes, indicating a willingness to accept higher inflation for stronger employment growth [2] - Powell anticipates that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price inflation will decrease to 2.2% in April, but tariffs may still drive prices up [3] Group 2 - The Fed is modifying its overall policy framework to address structural changes in inflation and interest rate outlook post-pandemic, with a focus on the increased instability of inflation due to rising real interest rates [4] - The evaluation of the new policy framework is expected to be completed and announced in August or September, while current interest rate decision-making will remain unchanged in the short term [4] - Powell warns that increasing supply shocks will pose significant challenges for the economy and the central bank [4]
鲍威尔:需要重新考虑就业不足和平均通胀率的措辞
news flash· 2025-05-15 12:58
鲍威尔:需要重新考虑就业不足和平均通胀率的措辞 金十数据5月15日讯,美联储主席鲍威尔表示,他们认为重新考虑"就业不足"的措辞是合适的,这样美 联储就不会将低失业率本身视为通胀风险的信号。鲍威尔表示,"在上周的会议上,我们对平均通胀目 标也有类似的看法。我们将确保我们的新共识声明在广泛的经济环境和发展中是强有力的。"他的言论 表明,美联储可能会对一项策略进行大规模修改,该策略在一开始就被视为美联储的重大转变,即愿意 承担更多风险,以促进就业市场走强,并愿意在经历了一段时间的疲软后容忍更高的通胀。 ...
美国4月“恐怖数据”略超预期,PPI意外大降温!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-15 12:54
在特朗普于4月初宣布了震惊全球的对等关税计划后,最新的数据显示,当月美国经济零售额仍略有增长,但增速明显放缓。 美国4月零售销售月率录得0.1%,略高于市场预期的0%,前值从1.4%上修至1.5%。美国4月PPI年率录得2.4%,低于预期的2.5%和前值的2.7%,为连续第三 个月下降,创去年9月以来新低;4月PPI月率录得-0.5%,创2020年4月以来新低,远低于市场预期的0.2%,前值为-0.4%。美国至5月10日当周初请失业金人 数小幅增长至22.9万人,与预期一致。 数据公布后,现货黄金短线走高近4美元,美元指数短线走低超10点。 他说,"稳固通胀预期对我们所做的一切都至关重要。 在巨大的冲击中,必须传达对前景的不确定性。重新考虑平均通胀目标是合适的。 " 持续更新中...... 零售销售数据被视为消费者支出模式和情绪的关键晴雨表,目前的数据表明,消费者的态度较为谨慎。消费者支出是美国整体经济活动的关键驱动力。 鲍威尔此次讲话聚焦于更具深远影响的事项:美联储正在调整其总体政策制定框架,以应对2020年疫情后通胀和利率前景的重大变化。 他表示:"自2020年 以来,经济环境发生了重大变化,我们的评估将 ...
【美联储主席鲍威尔:重新考虑平均通胀目标是合适的】美联储主席鲍威尔:稳固通胀预期对我们所做的一切都至关重要。在巨大的冲击中,必须传达对前景的不确定性。重新考虑平均通胀目标是合适的。
news flash· 2025-05-15 12:49
在巨大的冲击中,必须传达对前景的不确定性。 【美联储主席鲍威尔:重新考虑平均通胀目标是合适的】美联储主席鲍威尔:稳固通胀预期对我们所做 的一切都至关重要。 重新考虑平均通胀目标是合适的。 ...
美联储主席鲍威尔表示,重新考虑平均通胀目标是适当的。
news flash· 2025-05-15 12:45
美联储主席鲍威尔表示,重新考虑平均通胀目标是适当的。 ...