为什么老头们这么在意ROE呢 ？ 其中的道理其实很简单 ： 以下文章来源于长线是金11 ，作者长线是金11 长线是金11 . 记录本人的投资心得，希望能对大家有所帮助 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 长线是金11 来源：雪球 前几天 ， 抛出净资产收益率是比增长更重要的选股指标这一观点后 ， 立刻有人提出异议 ， 认为 ROE和增长都很重要 ， 不存在谁更重要一说 。 我想持这种观点的人 ， 大概率是没读过巴菲特历年致股东的信 ， 事实上无论老巴还是芒格 ， 几 乎很少提到增长这个话题 ， 相反两老从中年到暮年 ， 反反复复强调的就是一定要求高股权回报 率 。 其三 ， 估值是否提升并不是赚钱的关键 ， 关键是出价 。 例如 ， 2014年的格力只有６倍PE ， 到2018年达到了17倍 ， 表面上它一直没进入过高PE区间 ， 但是PE值的提升也差不多有２倍 。 １ 、 能长期保持高ROE状态的公司 ， 通常都具备某种长期竞争优势 ， 也就是我们所常说的护城 河壁垒 。 而这一因素则是企业未来能继续发光发热的最可靠保障 。 ２ 、 从实业投资的角度 ...

ROE——透视当下经营质量的"三棱镜" 为什么巴菲特说"如果只能看一个指标，我选ROE"？因为这个看似简单的数字，藏着企业盈利的基因密码。ROE=净利润／净资产，本质是用股东的钱赚 了多少回报。财务中经典的杜邦分析法将其拆解为三个维度——净利率x资产周转率x杠杆率，审视企业如何在利润厚度、资产流速与风险敞口之间寻找动 态平衡，探究企业究竟是"价值创造者"还是"资本消耗者"。 作者：陈世敏中欧国际工商学院朱晓明会计学教席教授、副教务长（案例中心） 在资本市场的浪潮中，每家企业都是一座漂浮的冰山。股价K线、营收利润不过是水面浮光，真正决定其能否穿越周期的，是水下深处的三大支柱—— ROE、现金流、成长性。这三项指标看似独立，实则构成了企业价值评估的"黄金三角"：缺其一则失衡，强其三则无敌。 2024年A股市场的数据验证了这个铁律：71.92万亿营收背后，全市场4.3%的ROE显示盈利能力普遍退潮，2582家企业盈利质量堪忧敲响财务警钟，而电 子行业35.8%的净利润增长则彰显成长性的破局力量。三大指标的动态博弈与力量消长，在数据交织的图谱中，勾勒出企业价值的兴衰轨迹。 | 行业分类 | ROE | | 净利率 | ...

投资建议：当前煤炭板块已处于预期底部，估值明显偏低，伴随动力煤长协基准提升、焦煤长协价预计 维持高位，资源优质企业具备长期价值，转型企业具备成长空间，板块估值提升开启，1）全年主线： 高股息、绿电转型、成长性煤化工，推荐：靖远煤电、电投能源、兖矿能源、中国旭阳集团等；2）推 荐资源优质企业：陕西煤业、淮北矿业、中煤能源、山西焦煤、潞安环能、兰花科创、盘江股份、平煤 股份。 风险提示：宏观经济不及预期；煤炭供给维持高位。 预计高分红将持续，带动煤炭板块估值长期提升。煤企将于2022年3月份后陆续披露年报，部分企业此 前的股东回报方案已经到期（如行业龙头中国神华上个股东回报方案为2019~2021年），新的分红方案 值得期待。行业资本支出顶部已现，市场格局持续向好，"碳中和"战略大趋势下行业资本开支将持续下 降，"资本支出-现金流-财务-利润-分红"将出现可持续优化。由于担忧煤炭价格变动导致盈利中枢变 动，市场此前并未给与高股息估值，随着未来盈利稳健、高分红更加确定，高股息公司的估值将得到持 续提升。 业绩预告陆续披露，更多的是超预期。本周兰花科创、安源煤业、山煤国际、靖远煤电等企业持续相继 披露2021年业绩预 ...

截至2025年4月30日，A股上市公司2024年年报披露季正式收官。在5411 家上市公司中，5403家已揭晓年度"成绩单"：全年营收总额达71.92万亿元，同比 微降0.9%；归母净利润总额5.21万亿元，同比下滑2.3%。值得关注的是，实现盈利的企业占比降至75%，较前三年的88%、82%、80%持续走低，市场整 体盈利承压特征显著。 中欧国际工商学院会计学教授陈世敏及助教宋希允从——ROE（净资产收益率）、现金流和成长性这三个核心问题出发，告诉你怎么从一家上市公司的年 报中看出企业价值的玄机。 =2024 ■2023 | 家用电器 | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.85 | 1.83 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色金属 | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 0.71 | 0.74 | 1.92 | 1.87 | | 食品饮料 | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 0.62 | 0.64 | 1.48 | 1.4 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 595 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 68 million yuan, a decline of 8.2% year-on-year. The revenue met expectations, but profit fell short [6] - The long-term growth potential of the company is viewed positively due to a clear strategy focused on product quality and brand reputation, particularly in fish, egg, and bean products [6] - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by fish and bean products, with a focus on new channel breakthroughs in the upcoming quarters [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 2,788 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.6%. Net profit is projected at 331 million yuan, reflecting a 13.6% increase [5] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 29.91%, a slight decrease of 0.11 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising raw material costs [6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 19.5% for 2025, with a gradual increase expected in subsequent years [5]

与此同时，麦加芯彩今年一季度的产品综合毛利率和净利率都得以提升，综合毛利率从20.37%增加到 23.76%；净利率则从9.36%提升到11.82%，公司的单位收入盈利能力同步显著提升。 随着麦加芯彩业务应用领域的不断扩展，公司未来发展的天花板也在不断抬高。麦加芯彩此前表示，公 司将不断复制过去已经实现的在集装箱涂料领域和风电涂料领域的国产替代成功经验，不断丰富其应用 领域，提升公司核心竞争力，将公司打造为"中国工业涂料最具竞争力的平台企业"。(厉平) 分业务来看，今年一季度，麦加芯彩的集装箱涂料业务收入3.09亿元，同比增加41%；而风电涂料实现 销售收入1.14亿元，同比增幅达到47%。 4月28日晚，麦加芯彩（603062）披露2025年一季报，公司在今年一季度实现营业收入4.24亿元，较上 年同期增加40.50%；实现归母净利润5014万元，较上年同期增加77.35%；实现扣非后归母净利润4643 万元，较上年同期增加104.93%。这一亮眼成绩的取得，超出了市场预期。 同时，从公开披露的信息看，麦加芯彩所处的工业涂料领域，主要竞争对手大部分为外资跨国企业，但 公司的光伏涂层、海工涂料、储能涂料、桥梁 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance has declined due to falling self-produced coal prices, but it shows potential for high dividends and growth [1][4] - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 38.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.6% [1][4] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 17.05 billion, 18.47 billion, and 19.07 billion yuan, respectively, with a year-on-year change of -11.8%, +8.3%, and +3.3% [1][4] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 3.98 billion yuan, down 20% year-on-year and 15.5% quarter-on-quarter [1][4] - The average selling price of self-produced coal in Q1 2025 was 491.7 yuan per ton, a decrease of 17.7% year-on-year [4] - The comprehensive cost of coal in Q1 2025 was 371 yuan per ton, down 13.4% year-on-year [4] Business Growth Potential - The company has ongoing construction of two coal mines, with expected production capacities of 4 million tons/year and 2.4 million tons/year, respectively [5] - The company plans to enhance its dividend payout, with a total cash dividend of 6.35 billion yuan in 2024, resulting in a dividend ratio of 32.87% [5] - The current dividend yield is 4.6%, indicating strong potential for continued high dividends [5] Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 1.29, 1.39, and 1.44 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 8.1, 7.5, and 7.3 times [1][7] - The company's total market capitalization is 1384.20 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 955.47 billion yuan [1]

机构看好西部矿业未来成长性。根据机构一致预测，西部矿业今年、明年以及2027年净利分别达到37.28亿元、43.61亿元和49.93亿元，同比增长 27.16%、16.99%和14.50%。从估值角度来看，公司仍处于行业低位。根据机构一致预测按今年净利计算，公司最新预测市盈率为9.87倍，在铜板 块中最为低估。 （原标题：西部矿业一季度多项关键财务数据创历史同期新高，控股股东及一致行动人火速完成增持计划） 4月25日盘后，西部矿业发布一季报，一季度营业收入165.42亿元，同比增长50.74%；归属于母公司所有者的净利润8.08亿元，同比增长9.61%； 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润7.81亿元，同比增长9.17%。从经营来看，今年一季度西部矿业矿产铜产量同比增加14.35%、环 比增加5.81%，矿产锌产量同比增加18.17%、环比增加6.95%，矿产铅产量同比增加38.38%、环比增加32.76%。 从业绩规模来看，西部矿业今年一季报营收、净利均创出历史同期新高，一季报营收更是创出季度历史新高。除了业绩指标亮眼外，西部矿业一 季报在现金流指标上同样表现出色，经营活动产生的现金流量净额超过2 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to "Recommended" due to sufficient growth potential in installed capacity and long-term value [6][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.88 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.30 billion yuan, up 8.6% year-on-year [3]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant revenue increase of 21.84% year-on-year, reaching 5.39 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.51 billion yuan, up 41.56% year-on-year [3]. - The growth in power generation is driven by new energy installed capacity, new hydropower stations coming online, optimized scheduling of the Lancang River cascade, and increased domestic electricity demand [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 24.88 billion yuan and a net profit of 8.30 billion yuan, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.46 yuan [3][7]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.93 billion yuan, 9.99 billion yuan, and 10.34 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.50 yuan, 0.55 yuan, and 0.57 yuan [6][7]. Installed Capacity and Generation - As of the end of 2024, the company had an installed capacity of 31.01 million kilowatts, including 27.31 million kilowatts from hydropower and 3.70 million kilowatts from new energy sources [4]. - The total power generation for 2024 was 112.01 billion kilowatt-hours, a 4.6% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from both large and small hydropower stations [4]. Future Growth Prospects - The TB hydropower station, with a total installed capacity of 1.4 million kilowatts, is expected to generate approximately 6.23 billion kilowatt-hours annually, contributing to future growth [5]. - The company plans to raise up to 6 billion yuan to fund the construction of new hydropower stations, indicating a positive outlook for long-term economic benefits [5]. Pricing and Cost Management - The average on-grid electricity price for Q1 2025 was 0.253 yuan per kilowatt-hour, reflecting a slight decline due to increased renewable energy capacity and market price fluctuations [6]. - The company has optimized its debt financing structure, resulting in a decrease in financial expenses and improved profitability [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to "Recommended" due to sufficient growth potential in installed capacity and long-term value [6][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.88 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.30 billion yuan, up 8.6% year-on-year [3]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant revenue increase of 21.84% year-on-year, reaching 5.39 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.51 billion yuan, up 41.56% year-on-year [3]. - The growth in power generation is driven by new energy installed capacity, new hydropower stations coming online, and increased electricity demand in Yunnan [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 24.88 billion yuan, with a net profit of 8.30 billion yuan and a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.46 yuan [3][7]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.93 billion yuan, 9.99 billion yuan, and 10.34 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.50 yuan, 0.55 yuan, and 0.57 yuan [6][7]. Installed Capacity and Generation - As of the end of 2024, the company had an installed capacity of 31.01 million kilowatts, including 27.31 million kilowatts from hydropower and 3.70 million kilowatts from new energy sources [4]. - The total power generation in 2024 was 112.01 billion kilowatt-hours, a 4.6% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from new energy sources [4][5]. Future Growth Potential - The TB hydropower station, with a total installed capacity of 1.4 million kilowatts, is expected to generate approximately 6.23 billion kilowatt-hours annually, contributing to future growth [5]. - The company plans to raise up to 6 billion yuan for the construction of new hydropower stations, indicating a positive long-term economic outlook [5]. Pricing and Revenue Structure - The average on-grid electricity price for Q1 2025 was 0.253 yuan/kWh, reflecting a decrease of nearly 2 cents year-on-year, influenced by increased new energy capacity and market price fluctuations [6]. - The company's electricity revenue accounted for 99.15% of total revenue, highlighting its reliance on power generation for income [6].