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黄金开盘大跌,还会涨吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 07:45
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with a recent drop of over $30, indicating a bearish trend despite previous bullish signals [1][3]. Market Analysis - Gold has broken below the non-farm payroll low of 3311, suggesting further weakness in the market. The immediate resistance levels are identified at 3325-27, while the key support levels are at 3305 and 3290 [3]. - The upper resistance zone is between 3343-45, where any rebound that does not break this area is expected to lead to further declines. A breakthrough above this zone could lead to a rally towards the previous high of 3365 and potentially 3400 [3]. - Silver is also showing signs of weakness, with resistance at 37.3 and 37.8, while support is noted at 36.5 and 35.5-35.2 [3]. Trading Strategies - The current trading strategy emphasizes caution, advising against chasing positions and favoring short positions while maintaining some long positions as a hedge [3]. - Specific trading actions include reducing positions at 3343-44 and setting strict stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively [6][10].
冷艺婕:7.6黄金中期净收益分享 原油周初看震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 23:50
Group 1 - The market is experiencing fluctuations, and only those who can endure solitude will reap the rewards [1] - The trading strategy emphasizes not overtrading, not using heavy positions, and adhering to stop-loss principles to minimize losses and maximize gains [1] - The trading account has shown significant performance, with a focus on short-term trades and a notable profit margin achieved over a two-month period [2] Group 2 - Gold's overall trend remains bullish, with a strong support level at 3310, indicating a continuation of upward movement [3] - Oil is experiencing a sideways closing trend, with a critical resistance level around 68; a failure to break this level may lead to a downward trend [5]
突发意外情况,特朗普新关税来了,黄金会暴涨吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 14:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that having trading principles is crucial for success [1] - Gold prices experienced fluctuations this week, opening at 3276, reaching a low of 3245, and a high of 3366, closing at 3337, indicating a bullish trend [3][4] - The recent U.S. economic data, including ADP and non-farm payrolls, has had a significant impact on gold prices, with the market recovering from previous declines [4][5] Group 2 - The upcoming week will focus on the impact of tariffs on gold prices, with expectations of continued bullish momentum [5] - Technical analysis suggests that key resistance levels for gold are at 3365 and 3400, while support levels are identified at 3310-15 and 3290-95 [5] - Silver also showed a bullish trend this week, with resistance at 37.3 and 37.8, and support at 36.5 [6] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar showed a mixed performance, with fluctuations around the 97.5 level, indicating potential for further movements depending on economic data [8][9] - The oil market remained relatively stable, with Saudi Arabia's production increase posing potential downward pressure on prices [6]
非农数据爆冷,黄金大跌终结三连阳,多头结束了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 04:00
止损,永远是对的,错了也对! 死扛,永远是错的,对了也错! 横批:止损无条件! 如果没有交易原则,那么,一切技术等于零! 昨天黄金大跌,主要是美国公布的非农就业数据,无论是新增就业人数还是失业率均录得好于市场预期的结果;与周三晚上adp数据的负值形成截然的对 比;在数据后,黄金快速大跌,最低至3311一线后并迎来反弹,之后行情围绕3330震荡到收盘;日线最终以中阴线收盘。 昨日黄金走势在我们预期之内,我们强调黄金超买严重,短线多头难以为继;早盘3365回落后依托3340走反弹,欧美盘则日内高点压制继续下跌;非农数据 只不过是个助力而已。黄金在继续着大扫荡走势,切不可追涨杀跌,关键位置高抛低吸是目前正确的交易方式。 因美国独立日假期,昨天美国市场提前休市,美股今天全天休市,贵金属和原油市场今日也是提前休市。并且今日周五,从早盘的开盘来看,预计今日不会 有太大的波动,应该是真的运行为主,整体偏向于空头,周一至周三连续三个交易日的上涨,是对上周暴跌的修正,只是反弹的幅度稍大了一些;接下来, 继续看下跌回落,然后关注周线收盘情况。具体而言,今日3340压制下看空为主,下方重点是昨日低点3315~10区域,下破前还有反 ...
重大利空,黄金跳水暴跌!非农后的机会!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 14:01
Group 1 - The recently released US non-farm employment data showed better-than-expected results in both new job creation and unemployment rate, contrasting sharply with the previous ADP data, which negatively impacted gold prices [3] - After a three-day surge, gold was deemed overbought, leading to a short-term adjustment, with key support levels identified at 3315-3312 and 3300-295, suggesting potential buying opportunities before further declines [5] - Silver was expected to face challenges in breaking through the 37 area, with recommendations to reduce positions and maintain short positions, while support levels were noted at 36-35.8 and 34.5 [6] Group 2 - The dollar's performance aligned with expectations, with the non-farm data being favorable for the dollar, indicating a potential successful bottoming out [10] - Recommendations for forex trading included holding short positions in EUR/USD and long positions in USD/CHF, with other products suggested for reference [10]
黄金,6月收官之战,注意反弹后再跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 02:11
Group 1 - The current gold market is in a state of indecision, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements depending on whether key support levels are maintained or broken [4] - The analysis indicates that if the price breaks below the support level of 3245, it could lead to further declines, potentially testing the 3120 area [4] - Conversely, if the long-term trend support holds, there is a possibility for a bullish reversal [4] Group 2 - Short-term trading strategies suggest that traders should look for buying opportunities around the 3250 level, with a target of 70-80 [5] - The market is expected to experience volatility, with significant resistance identified in the 3280-83 range, which could determine the next direction of the market [3][6] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of strict stop-loss measures to manage risk in the current trading environment [5]
波段买入以及止盈的空间概念
猛兽派选股· 2025-06-24 06:16
从各种资料上看,马克米讷维尼的交易手法应该属于中短线比较灵活的样子,主级别是日K线。就是 说,买进以后拿得住就拿,拿不住立马就走。 首先体现在止损,他有一个很关键的观点:能涨的股票应该买进以后很快就会浮盈,如果与预期相反, 应该立即退出,不要管它掉了3个点还是8个点,要尽快回到理性评估的空杯状态。他讲,一只股票的买 入初期,这样忽进忽出是常有的事情,不要太在意对错和交易费。似乎很多交易大师都抱有类似的观 点。 接着,股价实现如期上涨的话,马克又有一个很重要的建议:如果你的强制止损比例是7个点,那么你 可以在2R~3R浮盈比例时就开始卖出,也就是14~21个点。关于这一点,其实是适合大多数股票的上升 情况的,也符合实战体验,后面我会有统计数据予以佐证。 然后,在运气和实力加持下,碰巧买入的股票出现连续不断地上涨,这时就需要用到一些高级技巧,马 克的书里都有介绍,主要是两个分支:强势卖出和转弱卖出。除了书里面讲的一些手法,本ID在以往 文章中还有推荐的是次级别动量背离法,和TR持股线法。 但是,大多数时候我们抓不到这样的股票,即便认知和技巧再高,实际买到的往往是相对平庸或者略微 优秀的票居多。这是事实,也是统计概 ...
伊朗挨揍,黄金大跌,避险还能王者归来吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 13:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the ongoing volatility in the gold market, characterized by frequent price fluctuations and a "super sweep" trend that is expected to continue [3][5]. - The recent Federal Reserve decision to maintain interest rates has led to a decrease in the probability of rate cuts in 2025, impacting market sentiment and contributing to gold's price movements [3]. - Current support levels for gold are identified at 3345-50, with resistance at 3385 and 3400, indicating a potential for further price action depending on market developments [3][6]. Group 2 - Recent military actions involving the U.S. and Israel targeting Iranian nuclear facilities have not significantly affected gold prices, despite being perceived as a risk factor [5]. - The market sentiment is leaning towards bearish for gold, with specific price levels to watch for potential short positions, particularly if the price breaks below key support levels [6][8]. - Trading strategies are being advised to include strict stop-loss measures to mitigate risks associated with the current market volatility [8].
黄金,小心继续暴涨,超级扫荡反复上演!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 02:42
止损,永远是对的,错了也对! 死扛,永远是错的,对了也错! 横批:止损无条件! 如果没有交易原则,那么,一切技术等于零! 黄金超级大扫荡还要继续上演,日线大阳线大阴线不断!今日关注美国adp就业数据,明天欧元区再融资利率,周五晚上还有美国非农数据!其他方面,继 续关注关税消息,美联储消息及全球地缘政治局势! 昨天黄金最高3392美元,最低3332,全天波幅60美元,日线以下影中阴线收盘!具体而言,黄金上周五大跌3272后止跌回升,本周一突破3325-30区域多头 迎来加速,至昨天早盘最高至3392,随后一路下跌,欧盘延续跌势,美盘最低3332一线成功止跌并探底回升,日线下影阴线收盘! 06-03 18:18:00 昨日我们强调,行情要涨不回调,回调不会涨,3380是多空强弱分界,一旦下破则将跌向3360-55区域,这里日内分水岭,下破则有望大阴灭大阳!最终, 行情在早盘破位强弱分界线后一路下跌,期间3355区域曾反弹3365再跌,晚上在跌向3330区域我们提示这里作为多头突破口,趋势线位置,并且是1.618位 置和黄金分割50%位置,坚守我们看探底回升;最终行情和预期一样美盘探底大涨! 目前来看,黄金周一光头 ...
黄金,跳水大跌!3280区域定乾坤!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 10:04
止损,永远是对的,错了也对! 死扛,永远是错的,对了也错! 横批:止损无条件! 如果没有交易原则,那么,一切技术等于零! 黄金,日内大跌,截止目前为止日内最高3350.03,最低3292.2一线,跌幅达60美元。黄金日内整体符合我们3353-57压制看跌一波的预期,早间给的思路是 看跌短线3335-25,破位则3300-3290区域,基本达成空头目标!早间给的3350空单,速度太快了,保守进不去,但至少没有让高位去做多,激进的话空单入 场则是大赚的。 今天文章我们强调,黄金要突破了,小单边一触即发;日内下破3120以来趋势支撑,空头占据主动。目前上周五低点区域受到支撑,欧盘则震荡或反弹为 主,日内小单边已经发生,至于接下来空头能否扩大战果,那要看3280-85区域支撑情况。首先,在下破前,我们倾向于反弹一波,并且周线来看3365应该 不是本周或者接下来的高点。 所以,欧盘及美盘前后倾向于低多,上方关注冲击3215-25短线,其中3325区域这里是上方多空分水岭,如果上破3325那么势必冲击日内高点及3365。下方 的话,对于3280-85区域,一旦跌落,也不要死守多头,关注行情向下调整至多头突破口3250-5 ...