俄罗斯副总理诺瓦克呼吁欧佩克+国家在石油市场的供需平衡中作出平等贡献，敦促欧佩克+国家遵守 石油产量限制和补偿计划。 ...

Group 1 - The recent trade tensions and "reciprocal tariffs" have led to a reassessment of global oil supply and demand expectations, with major institutions like IEA and OPEC lowering their oil demand growth forecasts [1][2] - IEA has significantly revised its oil demand growth forecast for this year and next, reducing GDP support for oil demand from 3.1% to 2.4% and 2.5%, respectively, and expects global oil demand growth to decline from 1.03 million barrels per day to 726,000 barrels per day this year [1][2] - OPEC has also adjusted its oil demand forecast for the first time since December 2024, lowering the expected growth for global daily oil demand in 2025 from 1.45 million barrels to 1.3 million barrels [3] Group 2 - The supply side is influenced by OPEC+'s production decisions, with Saudi Arabia pushing for a tripling of planned production increases, while non-OPEC countries like the US, Canada, Brazil, and Guyana are expected to achieve record production levels this year [2] - EIA has also downgraded its global oil demand growth forecast for this year to 900,000 barrels per day, a reduction of about 400,000 barrels per day from its March estimate, citing concerns over the long-term impact of tariff policies on global economic growth [2][3] - Oil prices have seen significant fluctuations, with WTI and Brent crude futures dropping to near four-year lows before rebounding, indicating market volatility due to tariff uncertainties and supply-demand dynamics [4][5]

光大期货能化商品日报 光大期货能化商品日报（2025 年 4 月 17 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周三油价重心大幅上移，其中 WTI 5 月合约收盘上涨 1.14 美元至 | | | | 62.47 美元/桶，涨幅 1.86%。布伦特 6 月合约收盘上涨 1.18 美元 | | | | 至 65.85 美元/桶，涨幅 1.82%。SC2505 以 482.1 元/桶收盘，上涨 | | | | 8.3 元/桶，涨幅为 1.75%。随着美国总统特朗普试图加大对德黑兰 | | | | 的压力，并将伊朗石油出口降至零，美国发布了针对伊朗石油出 | | | | 口的新制裁。同时发布的新的制裁名单，其中包括一家山东地炼 | | | | 企业，市场担忧风险再度上升。OPEC 表示，该组织已收到伊拉 | | | 原油 | 克、哈萨克斯坦和其他国家进一步减产的最新计划，以补偿超过 | 震荡 | | | 商定配额的产量，这进一步提振了石油价格。EIA 表示，上周美 | | | | 国原油库存增加，而汽油和馏分油库存下降。截至 4 月 11 日当 | | ...