Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Guangxi plans to establish the first coastal modern coal chemical industry base in the Beibu Gulf region, aiming for a significant increase in industrial output by 2035 [1][2] - The development plan includes the construction of a diverse petrochemical industry system, with key products such as 1.8 million tons/year of methanol and 1.2 million tons/year of acetic acid already in place [1] - The plan aims to create a modern coal chemical industry base characterized by advanced technology and green low-carbon practices, targeting an additional output value of 180 billion by 2035 [1] Group 2 - The strategy focuses on building downstream high-end industrial clusters in four key areas: advanced manufacturing, light industry and textiles, green energy, and carbon reduction [2] - The spatial layout of the industry is based on a "dual-core, one belt, multiple linkages" approach, with key development zones identified in Qinzhou and Beihai [2] - The implementation of this development plan is expected to elevate the local coal chemical industry and serve as a model for green development in the national coal chemical sector [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the ongoing weakness in the chemical industry chain, with various products in the energy and chemical markets experiencing fluctuations despite some temporary boosts from crude oil prices [1] - The polyester operating rate has fallen below 90%, with a significant decline of 7% in the last two weeks for both the spinning and weaving operating rates [1] - The downstream operating rates for styrene have also decreased, with the largest downstream EPS operating rate dropping by 4.8% [1] Group 2 - Crude oil prices are experiencing fluctuations as OPEC+ considers increasing production in September, leading to a continued consolidation in the market [1] - The cost support for LPG is weakening, maintaining a loose fundamental outlook, while asphalt and high-sulfur fuel oil face significant downward pressure [1] - Methanol's spot support is limited, and the market is expected to remain volatile, while urea supply and demand are both weak, with short-term fluctuations anticipated [1] Group 3 - Ethylene glycol's downstream operating rate has declined, while its own operating rate has increased, indicating a bearish outlook in the short term [1] - PX and PTA have rebounded due to a general rise in commodity prices, while short fiber operating rates remain stable, following raw material fluctuations [1] - The market outlook for the energy and chemical sectors is expected to remain weak, awaiting new supply and demand drivers [1]

原油产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年7月11日 宙 扬 Z0020680 | 原油价格及价差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品中 | 7月11日 | 7月10日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 車位 | | Brent | 68.64 | 70.19 | -1.55 | -2.21% | | | WTI | 66.81 | 66.57 | 0.24 | 0.36% | 美元/桶 | | SC | 512.80 | 520.30 | -7.50 | -1.44% | 元/相 | | Brent M1-M3 | 1.87 | 2.14 | -0.27 | -12.62% | | | WTI M1-M3 | 2.43 | 2.33 | 0.10 | 4.29% | 美元/桶 | | SC MI-M3 | 15.90 | 16.90 | -1.00 | -5.92% | 元/桶 | | Brent-WTI | 1.83 | 2.07 | -0.24 | -11.59% | | | EFS | 1.78 | 1 ...

| | | | | 聚酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0017251 | 2025/7/11 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | 指标 | 2025/7/9 | 2025/7/10 | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | SC | INE原油(元/桶) | 519.7 | 522.5 | 2. 80 | 成交情况: PTA:华东市场PTA价格4746元/吨,跌2元/吨。聚酯工 | | | PTA-SC(元/陣) | 941.3 | 944.9 | 3. 65 | 厂官宣继续减产,PTA需求利空继续发酵,日内PTA基 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1.2492 | 1. 2489 | -0. 0004 | 差继续走弱,加之国际油价对PTA成本提振效果一般, 日内PTA现货微幅下跌。 | | | CFR中国PX | 850 | 852 | 2 | | | PX | | | | | | | | PX-石脑油价差 | 264 | 254 | - ...

责任自负。本报告仅向特定客户推送,未经国贸期货授权许可,任何引用、转载以 传播的行为均构成对国贸期货的侵权,我可将视情况适究法律 险,入市需谨慎。 ITG 国贸期货 世界500强投资企业 国贸期货有限公司 成为一流的衍生品综合服务商 入 用 市 市 W FF fød 官 方 网 站 服 热线 la jat 400-8888-598 www.itf.com.cn 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | 一 国贸 期货 瓶片短纤数据日报 | | | | | 投资咨询号: | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | Z0017251 2025/7/11 | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 陈胜 | 从业资格号: | | | | | | F3066728 | | 指标 | 2025/7/9 | 2025/7/10 | 变动值 | | | PTA现货价格 | 4750 | 4735 | (15.00) | 现货资讯: | | MEG内盘价格 | 4347 | 4374 | 27.00 | 短纤:涤纶短纤涨8至6528。现货市场:涤纶短 | | ...

作为国民经济的支柱之一，化工行业的发展质量直接关系产业链供应链的稳定性与实体经济的活力。然 而近年来，行业逐渐陷入"内卷"困局，这不仅制约了自身高质量发展，更对上下游产业产生连锁影响。 据恒力产融化工学院副院长赵曦明介绍，我国化工产能约占全球的45%，当前市场呈现"供需两旺"格 局，整体开工率维持在75%左右，但结构性过剩趋势已然形成，尤其是乙烯、丙烯、聚酯、聚烯烃等产 品仍处于投产周期，这使得行业"内卷求生存、外卷挤压国际市场"的特征愈发明显。 从竞争格局来看，化工行业"冰火两重天"：一边是传统大宗品深陷产能释放与低利润泥潭，一边是高端 电子化学品、生物基化工等细分领域凭借技术突破与政策红利蓬勃发展。"在此背景下，行业未来必然 聚焦新质生产力，走向精细化、一体化、低碳化，在新能源材料与高端新材料的国产替代、生物基与可 降解材料、资源循环与低碳技术、农化与医药中间体等领域重点发力。"赵曦明表示。 当前，化工行业的"内卷"已从单纯的供需错配延伸至全产业链的低价无序竞争，企业陷入"扩产—降价 —亏损—再扩产"的循环。广发期货能化分析师苗扬表示，这种状况不仅削弱了行业整体盈利能力，更 制约了研发投入与技术升级，导致 ...

6月25日，在辽宁盘锦举行的第十三届亚洲炼油和化工科技大会生物基分论坛上，记者了解到，近年 来，生物基产业在政策与需求的双重驱动下快速发展，将向原料非粮化、产业规模化、应用场景多元化 的全产业链协同方向升级。未来，生物制造可从六大方向实现高质量发展。 持续替代化石原料 生物基产品具有原料可再生、生产碳排少、能源节约等优势，有望持续替代化石原料。许多跨国化企布 局了生物基材料领域。巴斯夫(中国)有限公司高级经理邹源指出，巴斯夫将生物基材料视为碳管理战略 的重要组成部分，2023年，其可持续发展销售额占比达41%，目标是到2030年提升至50%以上。 我国高度重视生物基产业的发展，将其作为战略性新兴产业和实现"双碳"目标的重要支撑。2024年12 月，工信部等4部门联合印发的《标准提升引领原材料工业优化升级行动方案(2025—2027年》，明确将 生物基新材料列为"关键战略材料"。中国石油和化学工业联合会党委常委、副秘书长庞广廉表示："从 政策层面看，生物基、生物制造已被提升到前所未有的高度。" 当前，我国生物基材料生产工艺水平不断提升、产品种类更加丰富，产业化关键技术取得创新突破，在 塑料制品、纺织纤维、涂料等 ...

Supply and Demand - As of July 10, the PTA operating rate has recovered to 79.7%, an increase of 1.5% [3] - The polyester comprehensive operating rate has declined to approximately 88.9%, a decrease of 1.3% [3] - The operating rates for downstream spinning, weaving, and dyeing are 62% (down 7%), 58% (down 4%), and 67% (unchanged) respectively [3] - Downstream factories are reducing raw material inventory, with most operating on a rigid 3-5 day basis [3] Market Conditions - On July 10, PTA spot prices were discussed in the range of 4720 to 4750, with some transactions slightly lower [1] - The PTA processing fee has decreased to approximately 135 yuan/ton for spot and 300 yuan/ton for the TA2509 futures [2] - The PTA basis has weakened significantly recently due to reduced demand and expectations of lower production in downstream polyester factories [4] Outlook - The expectation for PTA supply and demand has turned weaker due to strong production cut expectations in downstream polyester factories and continued weak terminal demand [4] - Despite the PTA processing fee being at a very low level, the absolute price rebound space for PTA is limited due to rising oil prices and intensified negative feedback from the terminal [4] - The short-term strategy for TA is to treat it as a range-bound market between 4600 and 4800 [4]

期 货 研 究 2025 年 07 月 11 日 对二甲苯：单边震荡市 PTA：关注长丝工厂减产情况，月差反套，多 MEG 空 PTA MEG：低库存，单边震荡市，月差逢低正套 贺晓勤 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0017709 hexiaoqin@gtht.com | 期货 | PX 主力 | PTA 主力 | MEG 主力 | PF 主力 | SC 主力 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨日收盘价 | 6782 | 4742 | 4325 | 6440 | 522.5 | | 涨跌 | 6724 | 24 | 42 | -88 | 2.8 | | 涨跌幅 | 58 | 0.51% | 0.98% | -1.35% | 0.54% | | 月差 | PX9-1 | PTA9-1 | MEG9-1 | PF8-9 | SC8-9 | | 昨日收盘价 | 64 | 12 | -33 | 102 | 10.2 | | 前日收盘价 | 74 | 28 | -29 | 110 | 8.1 | | 涨跌 | -10 | -16 | -4 | -8 | 2.1 | | 现货 ...

王江楠（F03108382，Z0021543），联系电话：010-82295006 | | PX&PTA&PR | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/7/11 | 品种 | 更新日期 | 单位 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌(幅) | | | 期货结算价(连续):WTI原油 | 2025/7/10 | 美元/桶 | 66.57 | 68.38 | -2.65% | | 上 | 期货结算价(连续):布伦特原油 | 2025/7/10 | 美元/桶 | 68.64 | 70.19 | -2.21% | | 游 | 现货价(中间价):石脑油:CFR日本 | 2025/7/10 | 美元/吨 | 591.00 | 598.25 | -1.21% | | | 现货价(中间价):二甲苯(异构级):FOB韩国2025/7/10 | | 美元/吨 | 726.00 | 724.50 | 0.21% | | | 现货价:对二甲苯PX:CFR中国主港 | 2025/7/10 | 美元/吨 | 852.00 | 849.67 | 0.27% | ...