Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that while the financial situation of American consumers remains stable, their outlook on the future economy is cautious, reflecting a mix of stability and concern [1][3][7] - Approximately 73% of American adults reported their financial situation as "fair" or "comfortable," a figure that remains consistent with 2023 but slightly lower than the 78% recorded in 2021, indicating a stable yet not historically high perception of financial health [1][3] - The percentage of adults able to cover an unexpected expense of $400 remains stable at 63%, similar to previous years, highlighting ongoing economic vulnerability despite a relatively high percentage [1][3] Group 2 - Only 29% of respondents believe the economic situation in 2024 will be "good" or "excellent," a slight increase from 2023 but significantly lower than the 50% recorded in 2019, suggesting persistent long-term economic concerns among consumers [3][7] - The proportion of adults who feel their financial situation has worsened compared to the previous year is 29%, down from a peak of 35% in 2022, yet still above pre-pandemic levels, indicating ongoing economic pressure [3][7] - Inflation remains a significant challenge for consumers, particularly with rising prices for food and everyday goods, although the percentage of those affected has decreased compared to 2023, suggesting improved adaptability among consumers [7] Group 3 - Housing affordability continues to be a pressing issue, with median rent increasing by approximately 10% annually since 2022, leading to greater financial strain on many households [7] - The survey reflects complex consumer emotions in the face of an uncertain economic environment, with stable financial conditions juxtaposed against low confidence in future economic prospects [7] - High prices and housing pressures are identified as the most prominent challenges in the current economy, emphasizing the need for policymakers to address these issues while maintaining economic growth [7]

美联储将于当地时间5月7日（北京时间5月8日2:00）发布5月的利率决议。目前市场普遍预期美联储将按兵不动。 市场普遍预计今晚美联储将维持利率不变。CME美联储观察的数据显示，此次决议降息的概率仅为1%，维持当前利率不变的概率为99%。 CME美联储观察利率 即使当天维持利率不变，市场仍然希望能从会议声明以及新闻发布会上获得更多信息，特别是关税影响以及未来降息路径的指引上。 美联储主席鲍威尔将于决议公布30分钟后举行新闻发布会，预计关税和通胀问题将是他回答的重点，同时投资者也在期望他如何解释不急于调整利率的主要 原因。 市场上，美股三大股指小幅高开，其中，道指涨0.36%，纳指涨0.06%，标普500指数涨0.15%。 宏观数据坚挺美联储难降息 预计美联储在会后声明中将对经济状况描述进行调整。由于第一季度GDP受进口驱动出现萎缩，委员会将无法重申整体经济活动"继续稳步扩张"。摩根大通 预计，美联储将下调对经济活动的评估——表明经济活动已"放缓"，而非"继续以稳健的速度扩张"。 但目前美国各项经济数据尚属坚挺，除了一季度GDP出现萎缩外，3月通胀数据有所缓和，4月失业率保持稳定。数据显示，美联储最爱的通胀指标降 ...