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5月经济数据传递这些积极信号
Xin Hua She· 2025-06-16 14:15
Economic Stability - In May, the national economy demonstrated resilience and vitality, with stable production demand and overall employment situation [2][3] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.8% year-on-year, while the equipment manufacturing sector saw a growth of 9% [3] Employment and Consumer Trends - The urban survey unemployment rate in May was 5%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [6] - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a gradual strengthening of domestic demand [10] Consumption Growth - Social retail sales increased by 6.4% year-on-year in May, with a growth acceleration of 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [11] - The implementation of consumption upgrade policies and promotional activities contributed to the acceleration in market sales [11] Industrial Upgrades - The manufacturing of digital products grew by 9.1%, significantly outpacing the overall industrial growth rate [17] - The production of lithium-ion batteries, shipbuilding, and boiler manufacturing saw year-on-year increases of 28.6%, 12.8%, and 11.8%, respectively [16] Foreign Trade Resilience - In May, China's total goods import and export value increased by 2.7% year-on-year, with exports rising by 6.3% [24] - Despite global economic challenges, China's foreign trade showed strong resilience, particularly in diversifying markets beyond the U.S. [24]
关于当前中国经济的几个判断,国家统计局权威解读
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-06-16 13:04
6月16日,国新办举行新闻发布会,介绍5月份国民经济运行情况。从主要指标来看,工业、服务业、消 费、投资等均保持增长。外贸顶住压力,保持平稳增长。 其中,消费和服务业两项增速比上月有所加快,显示出在一系列促消费政策带动下,国内消费潜力得到 释放。工业增加值平稳较快增长,固定资产投资继续扩大。房地产继续朝止跌回稳的方向迈进。 全年即将过半,上半年GDP将于下月中旬揭晓。"作为数据生产者,又来进行预测,本身是存在一定矛 盾的。"国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖表示,统计部门一般不做这方面预 测,但从整个经济运行情况来看,全年经济仍有较好支撑,上半年有望保持总体平稳、稳中有进的发展 态势。 宏观政策持续发力,为经济平稳运行提供支撑 主要指标中,消费和服务业两项增速均比上月有所加快。5月份,社会消费品零售总额同比增长6.4%, 增速比上月加快1.3个百分点。全国服务业生产指数同比增长6.2%,比上月加快0.2个百分点。 "从5月份相关指标看,宏观政策持续发力,为经济平稳运行提供了重要支撑。"付凌晖表示。 以消费品以旧换新政策为例,在政策带动下,5月份,家用电器和音像器材类、通讯器材类、文化办公 用品 ...
东莞百余政企深度融入鸿蒙生态,携手打造数字化发展新引擎
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 12:53
Group 1 - The event "HDD·Dongguan Harmony Ecosystem Partner Forum" gathered over a hundred institutions and enterprises to witness the innovative experiences brought by Harmony, highlighting Dongguan's commitment to digital economic transformation and smart transition [1] - Dongguan's government and enterprises are focusing on enhancing information security, collaborative management, and efficiency during their digital transformation, with Harmony's advantages meeting diverse digital service needs [1] - The Guangdong government is prioritizing the development of the open-source Harmony ecosystem, introducing policies like the "Ten Measures for Open-source Harmony" to drive ecological development and support industrial applications [2] Group 2 - Dongguan's manufacturing sector has a strong foundation in smart mobile terminals, robotics, smart home devices, and other fields, which will enhance product competitiveness and market expansion through integration with the Harmony ecosystem [2] - 2025 is identified as a critical year for the maturity of the Harmony ecosystem, with Huawei's terminals fully entering the Harmony era, aligning with the trends of digital technology and industrial upgrades in Guangdong [2] - Various enterprises shared their practical experiences in the Harmony ecosystem, showcasing innovations in finance, healthcare, and artificial intelligence, emphasizing the collaborative potential of the ecosystem [3] Group 3 - Huawei is actively providing training, technical support, resource sharing, and market promotion to encourage partners to join the Harmony ecosystem, aiming to create a favorable development environment for various industries [3] - The forum emphasized the collective effort to establish Guangdong as a highland for Harmony ecosystem development, unlocking new potential in the digital industry [3]
活性染料行业动态研究:H酸价格中枢有望上行,活性染料一体化产能更受益
Guohai Securities· 2025-06-16 11:19
2025 年 06 月 16 日 行业研究 评级:推荐(首次覆盖) [Table_Title] H 酸价格中枢有望上行, 证券分析师: 董伯骏 S0350521080009 活性染料一体化产能更受益 ——活性染料行业动态研究 最近一年走势 | 行业相对表现 | | 2025/06/13 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 基础化工 | 1.0% | 0.3% | 8.8% | | 沪深 300 | -0.8% | -1.2% | 9.6% | 相关报告 《化工新材料产业周报:2024 年我国氢能消费规 模世界第一,星舰第九次试飞失败(推荐)*基础 化工*李永磊,董伯骏,陈云》——2025-06-03 《新材料产业周报:台积电计划 2028 年生产 A14 芯片,长征二号 F 运载火箭起飞(推荐)*基础化 工*李永磊,董伯骏,陈云》——2025-04-27 《铬盐行业点评之五:金属铬价格持续上涨,铬盐 产业链受益(推荐)*基础化工*李永磊,董伯骏, 陈云》——2025-04-22 《铬盐行业点评之四:新疆沈宏进入破产重整,铬 盐行业集中度 ...
暴跌70%,是谁将榴莲价格打了下来?
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-16 10:15
Core Insights - The price of durians has significantly dropped this summer, with wholesale prices falling from 69.26 yuan/kg in April to 51.38 yuan/kg by May 23, marking a 25.8% decrease [5][17]. - This price collapse reveals deep-seated contradictions within the durian industry, affecting both consumers and producers [7][19]. Historical Context - Durians were introduced to China in the 1980s through small-scale trade, initially being a luxury item for expatriates [8][10]. - The entry of Thai durians into the Chinese market accelerated after China's WTO accession in 2001, leading to increased imports and a rise in consumer accessibility [12][14]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The breakthrough in cold chain technology has significantly reduced spoilage rates, allowing for more efficient distribution of durians from Thailand to Chinese markets [14][16]. - Companies like Hongjiu Fruits have established a supply chain system that connects Southeast Asian farms directly to Chinese consumers, enhancing market influence [16]. Market Challenges - The oversupply of durians, driven by increased production in Thailand and neighboring countries, has led to a significant drop in prices and quality issues [17][19]. - Consumers are becoming more cautious, preferring smaller, ripe durians over larger, unripe ones, indicating a shift in purchasing behavior [21][23]. Industry Evolution - Traditional trade models are being disrupted by new retail platforms that connect consumers directly with producers, reducing the role of middlemen [26][28]. - The rise of domestic durian production in Hainan is generating mixed reactions, with consumers hoping for quality improvements while questioning pricing strategies [33][36]. Future Outlook - The durian industry is expected to undergo a transformation, focusing on quality control and sustainable practices to avoid past mistakes of overproduction [36][43]. - Investment opportunities may arise in areas such as domestic durian cultivation technology and quality detection methods, emphasizing the need for a shift from scale to value [42][45].
消费回升能持续吗?——5月经济数据解读【陈兴团队·财通宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2025-06-16 09:16
核 心 观 点 国家统计局公布5月经济数据,当月工业生产高位略降、而消费转升,投资全面回落、地产继续回落。 首 先, 从 需求端 来看 ,5月外需受对等关税波动影响显著,对美出口继续回落,但转口贸易和欧洲复兴支 撑出口维持中高区间。考虑到对等关税豁免即将到期,出于担心后续到港货物被加征关税,抢出口趋势或 有所下行。 其次 ,从 内需 来看, 投资全面回落,消费有所回升。投资 受地产和基建拖累下行,其中销 售趋弱导致地产投资继续下行,基建投资有所放缓,抢出口力度走弱带动制造业高位续降。 消费 方面, 以旧换新叠加消费节,相关行业表现仍强,服务消费继续修复,旅游出行相关增长较快。 最后,生产端 高位续降,5月工增同比降至5.8%,主因关税扰动导致抢出口走弱,服务业生产受益于消费修复,高位上 行。 地产量跌价升 , 5月新房销售面积增速降幅扩大,而各线城市新房、二手房价格同比降幅继续收窄。 往后看, 国内生产、消费表现不错,关注抢出口和消费可能走弱的拐点,届时国内政策可能需要再度对 冲。 此外,还有两点值得关注, 一是本月消费为何回升?首先, 以旧换新与消费节的组合,对消费刺激效果 提升更加明显。 其次, 5月假日 ...
5月规上工业增加值增5.8%,装备制造业领跑
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-16 08:40
21世纪经济报道见习记者冉黎黎 北京报道 6月16日,国家统计局发布数据显示,5月份,全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.8%,环比增长 0.61%。从行业来看,在产业升级背景下装备制造等重点行业增长较快,有效支撑了工业稳定增长,5 月份,规模以上装备制造业增加值增长9%,对工业生产贡献率达到54.3%。从产品来看,高技术产品产 量快速增长,5月份3D打印设备产品产量同比增长40%,机器人减速器、工业机器人产量分别增长1倍 和35.5%。 同日,国新办就2025年5月份国民经济运行情况举行新闻发布会,国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综 合统计司司长付凌晖在会上表示,在宏观政策发力显效和产业升级发展带动下,工业生产保持平稳较快 增长,展现出较强韧性和增长潜力。工业高端化、智能化、绿色化发展稳步推进,为经济高质量发展蓄 势赋能。 中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬对21世纪经济报道记者表示,5月规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.8%, 较4月放缓0.3个百分点,环比增长0.61%,大体符合季节性规律。 5月份,规模以上工业增加值同比实际增长5.8%(增加值增速均为扣除价格因素的实际增长率)。从环 比看,5月份,规模以上工业增加 ...
保利 “天” 字系再霸榜羊城,用好房子重新定义豪宅市场
21世纪经济报道· 2025-06-16 08:05
值得注意的是,当"好房子"首次出现在政府工作报告中,意味着安全、舒适、绿色、智慧 的"好房子"正成为人们的高品质居住需求。在广州核心区域,由品牌房企开发的高品质住 宅,依然吸引大量购买力,甚至出现局部"热销"的现象。 2025年5月网签图(图片来源:克而瑞) 这在保利发展在广州核心区布局的几个高端品质"天"字系项目中表现尤为突出,各大项目售 楼部都在上演一场场"疯狂抢房"大戏。市场数据显示,荔湾区的保利珠江天悦,截至2025年5 月,该项目网签金额已近10亿元,稳居区域豪宅成交榜首;位于珠江新城核心滨江带的保利 天曜,在5月17日、18日两天,实现了210套的成交,揽金高达33亿元;位于琶洲南的保利天 奕项目,截至5月,网签金额已近20亿元,位列全广州5月网签套数第一…… 在业内观察人士看来,保利"天"字系项目能受到市场追捧,不仅在于多年来的品牌背书,还 在于其产品打造上的"内外兼修",一方面是核心地段赋予的稀缺资源带来的产品溢价,另一 方面是产品设计的独具匠心带来的独特尊享感受,以及基于"客户为中心"提供真正全维度全 方位的好产品、好服务与好生活。随着政策利好释放的楼市企稳态势显现,保利将借此推动 城市豪宅 ...
平稳运行!重要经济数据公布
21世纪经济报道· 2025-06-16 08:05
整体来看,5月经济维持平稳运行,消费品以旧换新等宏观政策效应在持续释放,我国出口部 门维持韧性。 作 者丨周潇枭 编 辑丨周上祺 视频编辑柳润瑛 5月份,社会消费品零售总额同比增长6.4%,比上月加快1.3个百分点,为今年以来月度最高 增速。在"五一"和端午假期、"6·18"平台促销、消费品以旧换新政策等共同作用下,6月商品 消费进一步加快。1-5月服务零售额增长5.2%,也比1-4月加快0.1个百分点,假期消费对服务 消费的拉动作用依然明显。 (近一年的社会消费零售总额月度增速,数据来源:国家统计局) 不过,5月的投资和出口增速较上月有所下行。1-5月份,全国固定资产投资(不含农户)同 比增长3.7%,较1-4月份回落0.3个百分点。其中,房地产投资依然是拖累项,1-5月份房地产 投资同比下降10.7%,降幅较1-4月份扩大0.4个百分点。制造业投资和基建投资整体维持较高 水平,像1-5月份制造业投资同比增长8.5%,基建投资同比增长5.6%。 6月16日,国家统计局发布5月经济数据。 本期编辑 黎雨桐 伊美核谈判取消,伊朗:现在与美对话毫无意义!普京透露俄准备出手,特朗普也表态了 张朝阳后悔"退货"的绝版 ...
步长制药:中期分红议案落地 同投资者共享企业发展红利
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-06-16 06:40
Core Viewpoint - Company is enhancing investor returns through its first-ever mid-year dividend, reflecting confidence in sustainable high-quality development and responding to the new "National Nine Articles" policy [1][2]. Group 1: Investor Returns - Company has approved a mid-year dividend arrangement for 2025, marking its first such initiative since listing, aimed at boosting investor confidence [1]. - Since its listing in 2016, the company has distributed over 7.5 billion yuan in dividends, with an average payout ratio exceeding 85%, significantly surpassing the raised funds [2]. - As of April 30, 2025, the company has repurchased 6,620,630 shares, representing 0.60% of total shares, with a total expenditure of approximately 98 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Corporate Social Responsibility - Company has contributed nearly 32 billion yuan in taxes since its establishment, supporting local economic development [3]. - The company has initiated the "Together, Forge China's Heart" public welfare project, providing high-quality medical volunteer services to nearly 2 million people in highland areas over 17 years [3]. Group 3: Business Development - Company is a leading player in the traditional Chinese medicine cardiovascular sector, with proprietary products maintaining a strong market position [5]. - It holds 468 valid patents and has 213 products in development, covering the entire industry chain from traditional Chinese medicine to advanced biopharmaceuticals [5][6]. - The company aims to expand into high-tech fields such as biopharmaceuticals and vaccines, with ongoing research in various therapeutic areas [6].