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刚刚 美以讨论美伊谈判失败“后手”!金银大幅震荡 美联储降息预期有变
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2026-02-12 00:17
Group 1: US-Israel Meeting and Iran Negotiations - The closed-door meeting between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and US President Trump lasted approximately three hours, focusing on the potential for a US-Iran agreement and the need for a joint action plan if negotiations fail [1][3] - Both parties expressed skepticism about the likelihood of reaching an agreement with Iran, emphasizing Israel's security needs and the importance of ensuring Iran cannot acquire nuclear weapons [3][4] - Iran reiterated its stance on nuclear negotiations, indicating that while it is open to discussions, it has not received specific proposals from the US [3][4] Group 2: Military Deployments and Preparedness - The US military is enhancing its presence in the Middle East, with plans to deploy a second aircraft carrier strike group in preparation for potential military action against Iran [5][7] - Recent satellite imagery shows an increase in military assets at US bases in Qatar, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Diego Garcia, indicating heightened readiness [5][7] - Israel is also strengthening its domestic defense capabilities, having completed complex tests of the "David's Sling" missile defense system, marking a significant technical and operational advancement [7] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Outlook - The US labor market showed strong performance in January, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 130,000, significantly exceeding expectations, and the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3% [8][9] - This robust employment data has led to a reduction in market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, with a 94.1% probability of maintaining current rates in March [9][10] - Analysts suggest that the strong job growth and stable unemployment rate provide evidence of economic resilience, potentially influencing the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged in the near term [8][9]
逸仙电商股价波动上涨,中概股活跃带动板块情绪
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 17:53
来源:经济观察网 经济观察网 近期中概股整体表现活跃,资金流向亚洲科技股趋势明显,主要受美联储降息预期早于预 期等因素推动。逸仙电商作为中概股成分,可能受到板块情绪带动。 以上内容基于公开资料整理,不构成投资建议。 股票近期走势 逸仙电商(YSG.N)近7天股价呈现波动上涨态势。区间累计涨幅达7.57%,振幅为12.53%。具体来 看:2月10日股价上涨3.99%,收盘于4.17美元,成交量显著放大至37,812股。2月9日上涨1.78%,2月6 日上涨2.34%,2月5日微涨0.52%。最新交易日股价小幅回调1.20%,报收4.12美元,当日成交清淡,显 示短期资金活跃度下降。股价波动与中概股整体走势同步,但个人用品板块同期下跌0.82%,逸仙电商 表现相对独立。当前总市值约3.87亿美元,市盈率(TTM)为负值,反映公司仍处亏损状态。 ...
凯撒娱乐股价下跌3.08%,受宏观市场及行业基本面拖累
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-11 17:16
Group 1 - Caesars Entertainment (CZR) stock price fell by 3.08% to $20.11, influenced by macro market sentiment, industry fundamentals, and technical trading behavior [1] - The stock market experienced volatility, with the Nasdaq index declining at one point, as investor sentiment turned cautious due to adjusted expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts based on economic data [2] - The gaming industry, where Caesars operates, is facing challenges from a decline in visitor numbers to Las Vegas, leading to a drop in revenue for the company's Las Vegas segment in Q3, reflecting weak consumer spending [3] Group 2 - Caesars Entertainment's trading volume was approximately $26.63 million, with a volume ratio of only 0.40, indicating low trading activity and potentially exacerbating stock price volatility in a low liquidity environment [4] - The company's removal from the S&P 500 index may impact passive fund allocations, compounding the effects of fundamental factors and macroeconomic fluctuations on its stock price [3]
重磅数据,远超预期!美联储降息预期“正在起变化”!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 15:57
Group 1 - The U.S. labor market showed stronger-than-expected growth in January, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 130,000, significantly surpassing the Dow Jones estimate of 55,000 [2][3] - The unemployment rate decreased slightly to 4.3%, below the market expectation of 4.4%, indicating an overall improvement in the employment situation [3][4] - The healthcare sector was the primary driver of job growth, adding 82,000 positions, while the social assistance sector contributed 42,000 jobs [3][4] Group 2 - The report indicated a downward revision of initial employment data by 898,000 for the year prior, aligning with Wall Street expectations [4] - Analysts noted that the strong job growth in January may stabilize the labor market, despite ongoing weaknesses, providing a more encouraging outlook for the year ahead [4] - Following the employment data release, expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut were pushed back from June to July, with the probability of a rate cut in March dropping from 19.6% to 6% [5][6]
道明证券:将美联储下一次降息时间的预期从3月份推后至6月份。
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 15:45
道明证券:将美联储下一次降息时间的预期从3月份推后至6月份。 ...
重磅数据,远超预期!美联储降息预期“正在起变化”!
证券时报· 2026-02-11 15:44
美股三大股指高开低走,集体转跌。 当地时间2月11日(周三),美国劳工统计局发布的就业报告显示,美国1月非农就业人口新增13万人,远超市场预期。 数据发布后,交易员已将下次美联储降息的预期时点从6月推迟至7月。 据CME"美联储观察",截至发稿,美联储到3月降息25个基点的概率由19.6%降至 6%,维持利率不变的概率已升至94%。 盘面上,美股三大股指集体高开,随后一路向下并转跌。截至发稿,道指跌0.19%,标普500指数跌0.11%,纳指跌0.39%。 | 0 য 田 03 | | 价格 = | 涨跌幅 ◆ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯指数 | | 50092.57 | -0.19% | | .DJI | | | | | 标普500指数 | | 6934.04 | -0.11% | | SPX | | | | | 纳斯达克综合指数 | | 23012.49 | -0.39% | | .IXIC | | | | | | is to | | | | | ad th | | | 就业数据超预期 各行业就业表现呈现明显分化,医疗保健行业依旧是就业增长的主力军,新增8.2万个岗 ...
2026年有色金属趋势展望:资源博弈与科技革命加速格局重塑,战略资源价值攀升
材料汇· 2026-02-11 15:23
点击 最 下方 关注《材料汇》 , 点击"在看"和" "并分享 添加 小编微信 ,遇见 志同道合 的你 (请添加小编微信,后续会组建 相关微信群 ) 正文 五矿证券 珍惜有限 创造无限 1. 2025年有色金属——关税影响、降息预期与战略金属价值重估 1.1 2025年主要有色金属价格,宏观与地缘政治扰动成为主因 ロ 2025年受到关税和美联储降息预期的波动,以及地缘环境下战略金属政策等影响,有色金属价格除铅、中重稀土基本出现普涨。 ロ 大类涨跌幅来看,贵金属涨幅居前(>100%),小金属涨幅(≈78%,分化明显),工业金属(≈30%)。 ロ 具体品种来看,2025年钨价涨幅领先达到343%,COMEX黄金白银分别上涨81%、178%;铜、锡上涨51%、67%,氧化错较涨 幅达到97%,氧化简跌幅较大。 图表1:2025年有色金属价格涨跌幅与预期差异 珍惜有限 创造无限 图表2:2025年有色金属行业利润(上)、板块表现(下) 3 年度涨幅 收入YOY % 归母净利润YOY% 有色金属板块涨跌幅 40.9 71.72 9.5 SW金属新材料 58.89 8.1 8.24 6.51 51.12 SW磁性材料 3 ...
亮眼非农令市场下调美联储降息预期 美国国债应声走低
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 14:20
美国非农就业数据表现强于预期,促使交易员下调对美联储今年降息幅度的预期,美国国债应声下挫。 周三,各期限美债收益率普遍走高,其中对央行政策变化最敏感的2年期收益率跃升近8个基点,至 3.53%。交易员充分消化的美联储下一次降息的时点从此前的6月推后至7月。 "市场原本带着对疲弱数据的预期入场,结果却得到了相反的结果,"法国外贸银行美国利率策略主管 John Briggs表示。"至于市场对降息的定价,鉴于美联储对劳动力市场的关注,降息预期正在回落。" 周一美国国债走强,白宫国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特表示,未来几个月美国就业数据可能会较 低。美债的上涨在周二进一步加速,此前公布的零售销售数据表现疲软,显示假日购物季接近尾声之 际,消费支出动能减弱。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑:李肇孚 美国非农就业数据表现强于预期,促使交易员下调对美联储今年降息幅度的预期,美国国债应声下挫。 周三,各期限美债收益率普遍走高,其中对央行政策变化最敏感的2年期收益率跃升近8个基点,至 3.53%。交易员充分消化的美联储下一次降息的时点从此前的6月推后至7月。 利率互换市场显示,数据公布后,交易员认为决策者在3 ...
市场快讯:有色贵金属板块企稳碳酸锂大幅反弹
格林大华期货· 2026-02-11 13:15
市场快讯 -- 有色贵金属板块企稳,碳酸锂大幅反弹 > 碳酸锂 2026年2月11日 宝碳酸锂周度库存及变化(吨) 将出现好转。 数据来源: wind,格林大华期货 从业资格 F0276812 交易咨询:Z0021310 联系方式:wangchen@greendh.com 研究员:土琛 ",本很每的信息却来源于公开资料,我公司过些信息的准确性及完整还不作住何保证。不保证都告信息已改集新资产。因不得正分析师模给的年例建议不会发生自何变更。在印度加下,很有的信息或新规划的意见 品种买卖的出价或刺分。在任何使,下,我公司不就报告中的任何内容对任何投资所做出任何形式的组织。放资者展放改、投资风险自我承担、我公司和准发出与并那告意见不一致的英也是告。本报音反 代表我公司的立场。未经我公可同意,任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、便利或对本报告进行有停原意的册节和修改 基本面表现较强:截止2026年2月5日,富宝数据碳酸锂库存10.4万 吨,环减0.73%(减少约760吨)。据行业最新排产数据显示,2026 年3月锂电池行业整体排产预计达199GWh,较2月环比提升23%, 较2025年3月同比增长57%,创下单月排产 ...
埃氏金业股价波动显著,黄金市场多空博弈加剧
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-11 13:05
以上内容基于公开资料整理,不构成投资建议。 近期事件近期国际黄金市场经历剧烈波动,影响黄金板块。2026年1月,伦敦现货黄金价格飙升至历史 峰值5598.75美元/盎司,但1月底单日暴跌9%,最低触及4440美元/盎司;2月初快速反弹,2月4日突破 5050美元/盎司,随后呈现宽幅震荡。这一波动主要受地缘政治风险、美联储降息预期及全球央行购金 行为驱动,市场多空博弈加剧。 机构观点机构对黄金中长期走势保持乐观。摩根大通、德意志银行等近期增持黄金ETF,并预测金价仍 有上行空间;富国银行将2026年目标价上调至6100-6300美元/盎司区间。瑞银集团指出,黄金的避险属 性和信用重估成为核心支撑,短期调整不影响长期逻辑。 经济观察网埃氏金业(EGO.N)近7个交易日(2026年2月5日至2月10日)股价波动显著。根据行情数据,2月 5日收盘价36.99美元,单日下跌6.94%;2月6日反弹至39.02美元,上涨5.49%;2月9日收于41.98美元, 上涨7.59%;2月10日最新收盘价43.51美元,上涨3.64%。区间涨幅达9.46%,振幅为17.61%,成交额累 计约3.75亿美元,反映市场交易活跃。 ...