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重庆银行(601963):经营全面向好
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
重庆银行25Q1 经营全面向好,盈利动能改善、资产质量向好。 数据概览 重庆银行2025Q1 营收同比增长5.3%,增速较24A 提升1.8pc;归母净利润同比增长5.3%,增速较24A 提 升1.5pc。2025Q1 末不良率1.21%,环比下降4bp;2025Q1 末拨备覆盖率248%,环比提升3pc 盈利动能向好 资产质量向好 25Q1 末不良率环比-4bp 至1.21%,测算的不良TTM 生成率环比-5bp,不良环比改善。拨备方面,25Q1 末拨备覆盖率248%,环比+3pc,风险抵补能力增强。 盈利预测与估值 预计重庆银行2025-2027 年归母净利润同比增长6.8%/7.9%/9.7%,对应BPS16.50/17.66/18.95 元。给予目 标估值2025 年PB 0.72x,对应目标价11.85 元/股,现价空间15%,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示:宏观经济失速,不良大幅暴露。 2025Q1营收同比增长5.3%,增速较24A提升1.8pc;归母净利润同比增长5.3%,增速较24A 提升1.5pc。 驱动因素来看,主要是息差水平回升、规模扩张提速,带动利息净收入增速显著回升。25Q1 利息净收 ...
光大银行(601818):存贷增速提升 资产质量平稳
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - Everbright Bank reported a revenue of 33.086 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.06%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.464 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.31% year-on-year. The bank's income structure is becoming more balanced, with net interest income and non-interest income showing different trends [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Everbright Bank achieved a net interest income of 22.538 billion yuan, down 6.84% year-on-year, but the decline was less than that of the entire year of 2024 [1]. - Non-interest income for Q1 2025 was 10.548 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.46%, driven by growth in fee income and investment net income [1]. - The bank's projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 41.7 billion, 41.8 billion, and 42.4 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.05%, 0.20%, and 1.51% respectively [1]. Group 2: Loan and Deposit Growth - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total loan principal was 4.11 trillion yuan, representing a year-to-date growth of 5.24%, which is higher than the growth rates observed in 2024 [2]. - The deposit balance at the end of Q1 2025 was 4.27 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.49% year-on-year, reversing the negative growth trend seen in the previous three quarters [2]. - The bank's deposit cost rate decreased by 14 basis points to 2.18% year-on-year, partially offsetting the decline in asset yield [2]. Group 3: Asset Quality and Dividends - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.25% at the end of Q1 2025, indicating overall asset quality stability [3]. - The provision coverage ratio was 174.44%, down 6.15 percentage points from the end of 2024 [3]. - The cash dividend payout ratio increased to 30.14% of net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders, up from 28.41% in 2023, with a dividend yield of 4.86% as of April 28, 2025 [3].
沪农商行(601825):基数效应影响营收增速 分红比例继续抬升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Insights - The company's revenue growth has significantly declined in Q1 2025 compared to the same period last year, primarily due to the impact of one-time asset disposals in the previous year [1] - Credit growth continues to rebound, which may alleviate the pressure on net interest margins [2] - The company's projected net profit growth for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 is modest, with estimates of 0.3%, 1.8%, and 1.6% respectively [3] Financial Performance - As of Q1 2025, the company's revenue, PPOP, and net profit attributable to shareholders showed year-on-year growth rates of 0.9%, -7.4%, and -3.6% respectively [1] - Net interest income decreased by 5.6% year-on-year, indicating ongoing pressure on net interest margins despite total assets growing by 6.8% [1] - The company experienced a significant decline in non-interest income, with a year-on-year decrease of 14.4% and a quarter-on-quarter drop of 44.8% [1] Credit and Asset Quality - Total assets and loan amounts grew by 6.8% and 6.0% year-on-year as of Q1 2025, with loan growth showing a continuous rebound over three consecutive quarters [2] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable, while the attention rate increased by 21 basis points [2] - The company’s provision coverage ratio and loan-to-deposit ratio decreased by 13.1 percentage points and 11 basis points respectively as of Q1 2025 [2] Valuation and Forecast - The projected book value per share (BVPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is estimated at 13.37, 13.92, and 14.47 yuan respectively [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.65X, 0.62X, and 0.60X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] - A valuation premium of 10% is applied due to the company's strong core tier one capital adequacy ratio and dividend rate, resulting in a reasonable value of 9.18 yuan per share for 2025 [3]
长沙银行(601577):2024年分红比例提升 25Q1信贷投放靠前发力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
事件:长沙银行披露2024 年报及2025 年一季报,2024 年实现营收259亿元,同比增长4.57%,归母净利 润78 亿元,同比增长4.87%。2025 年一季度实现营收68 亿元,同比增长3.78%,归母净利润22 亿元, 同比增长3.81%。2025Q1 末不良率、拨备覆盖率分别为1.18%、309.82%,较上季度末分别提升1bp、下 降3pc。此外,2024 年公司以每10 股派发现金股利4.20 元,全年分红比例达22.49%(2023 年为 21.39%)。 1、业绩表现:中收表现亮眼 25Q1 营业收入、归母净利润增速分别为3.78%、3.81%,分别较24A 下降0.8pc、下降1.1pc,中收大幅增 长、成本费用节约预计对业绩形成正向贡献,具体来看: A、24Q4 企业贷款不良率(0.69%)较23Q4 下降12bps,主要源于建筑业、批发零售业、租赁和商务服 务业不良率改善。 B、24Q4 个人贷款不良率(1.87%)较23Q4 提升35bps,个人贷款资产质量波动,或主要源于个人经营 性贷款、信用卡等领域的不良生成压力加大,整体与行业趋势保持一致。 2)24A 不良生成率为1.21 ...
上海银行(601229):业绩稳健;风险改善;息差韧性强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
上海银行1Q25 营收同比+3.9%(vs 2024 全年同比+4.8%),1Q25 净利润同比+2.3%(vs 2024 全年同比 +4.5%)。2024 年全年业绩实现稳步向好,进入1Q25,业绩继续实现稳定增长,负债端成本下降支撑 息差环比改善,手续费降幅收窄,1Q25 债市波动下其他非息仍实现6%正增长。 1Q25 单季净利息收入环比+11%,单季年化净息差环比提升11bp 至1.15%,同比仅下降2bp,息差较为 坚挺:单季年化资产收益率环比下降5bp 至2.91%,计息负债付息率环比下降16bp 至1.76%。年初负债 端支撑力度加强。 资产端:2024 年批零行业、信息传输计算机行业投放占比相较2023 年显著提升。(1)1Q25 生息资产 同比+3.3%(2024 同比+3.9%),贷款同比+0.5%(2024 同比+2.1%)。 (2)从2024 年度信贷结构来看:新增占比方面,对公新增占91.7%,票据新增占52.8%,零售 占-44.5%。行业情况来看,泛政信类(61%)、批发零售类(36.2%)、制造业类(32.2%)、信息传输 计算机软件(13.4%)分占前四。政信类、批零、信息计算 ...
常熟银行(601128):不忘初心 夯实家底 业绩持续领跑
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
事件:常熟银行披露2025 年一季报,1Q25 实现营收30 亿元,同比增长10.0%,实现归母净利润11 亿 元,同比增长13.8%。1Q25 不良率季度环比下降1bp 至0.76%,拨备覆盖率季度环比下降11pct 至 490%。 集中兑现债市投资收益叠加利息净收入平稳正增支撑营收延续双位数增长,业绩增速略有放缓但预计仍 保持行业第一梯队。1Q25 营收同比增长10.0%(2024:10.5%),归母净利润同比增长 13.8%(2024:16.2%)。细拆驱动因子,① 一季度非息收入高增,一方面源自4Q24 滞后反映债市浮 盈,另一方面也体现1Q25 国债利率明显回升前及时兑现的精准择时。1Q25 非息收入同比增长62%,贡 献营收增速9.3pct,投资相关其他非息增长49%(4Q24 同比下降17%),贡献营收增速7.1pct。② 以量 补价下利息净收入延续正增长。 1Q25 利息净收入同比增长0.9%,规模扩张(正贡献7.4pct)对冲息差收窄扰动(拖累6.7pct)。③ 主动 处置、增提拨备夯实资产质量,拨备小幅拖累利润增速0.3pct。 一季报关注点:① 信贷投放主动降速,全年主线回归小微本源、优 ...
渝农商行(601077):利润总额双位数增长 资产扩张能力得到验证
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Insights - The company reported a solid growth in net interest income and a double-digit increase in total profit for Q1 2025, with revenue, PPOP, and net profit growth rates of 1.4%, 3.8%, and 6.25% year-on-year respectively [1] - The company’s asset expansion capability was validated in Q1 2025, with total assets and loan amounts growing by 8% and 6.8% year-on-year respectively [2] - The company forecasts a steady growth in net profit for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 5.5%, 7.9%, and 8.5% respectively [3] Financial Performance - As of Q1 2025, net interest income grew by 5.6% year-on-year, supported by a robust net interest margin and strong asset expansion [1] - Fee income continued to decline at -3.2% year-on-year, although it improved by 6.8 percentage points compared to the end of 2024 [1] - Other non-interest income saw a significant decline of -16.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a notable pullback in the bond market [1] Asset Quality and Structure - The company maintained a stable asset quality with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17%, a decrease of 1 basis point from the end of 2024 [2] - The provision coverage ratio remained stable at 363%, providing ample profit space [2] - The company’s financial investment structure has shifted significantly over the past three years, with OCI's share increasing from 18.4% at the end of 2022 to 40.9% in Q1 2025 [1] Future Projections - The company projects earnings per share (EPS) of 1.05, 1.13, and 1.23 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a corresponding book value per share (BVPS) of 11.85, 12.70, and 13.62 [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.57X, 0.53X, and 0.50X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] - Given the strong regional financing demand, the company maintains a 10% valuation premium compared to peers, projecting a reasonable value of 7.6 yuan per share for 2025 [3]
江苏金租(600901):业绩稳健、资产优良、利差提升 股息仍具备吸引力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
事件:4 月25 日,江苏金租公布2024 年报及2025 年一季报。2024 年实现归母净利润29.4 亿 元/yoy+10.6%,实现营收52.8 亿元/yoy+10.3%;1Q25 归母净利润7.7 亿元/yoy+8.4%。2024 年公司每股 分红0.27 元,分红率为53.15%/yoy+2.02pct,对应25/4/25 股息率为5.18%。 25/4/25 收盘价对应公司25-27E 动态PB 分别1.17x、1.10x、1.03x。 24 年生息资产规模保持双位数增长,1Q25 净利差环比提升。1)资产规模看:24 年面对外部环境不确 定性增加与租赁行业竞争加剧双重挑战,公司保持战略定力、推动资产规模稳步扩张;24 年末公司资 产总额1373 亿元/yoy+14.5%(1Q25 末较年初+8.9%),其中融资租赁资产规模1278 亿/yoy+12.0%;新 增投放829.2 亿元/yoy+14.5%,其中直接租赁投放金额同比增长22%、直租占比达到47%。2)1Q25 净 利差环比提升:24 年公司租赁业务净利差为3.62%/yoy+0.01pct,1Q25 净利差为3.91%/yoy+0.2 ...
宁波银行(002142):存贷两旺,不良生成率持续下降
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:22
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ningbo Bank is "Buy" and it is maintained [5]. Core Views - Ningbo Bank reported a revenue of 18.5 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.4 billion yuan, also up by 5.76% year-on-year [1][2]. - The bank's asset quality continues to improve, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 370.54% as of the end of Q1 2025, indicating stable risk compensation capabilities [3]. - The bank is expected to maintain high growth in both deposits and loans, with projections for revenue and profit growth of 8.36% and 8.19% respectively for 2025 [4]. Performance Summary - Revenue and net profit growth rates for Q1 2025 were 5.63% and 5.76%, respectively, which are slightly lower than the previous year's growth rates [2]. - Net interest income increased by 11.59% year-on-year, although the net interest margin decreased to 1.80%, down by 6 basis points from the previous year [2]. - Fee and commission income decreased by 1.32% year-on-year, while other non-interest income fell by 7.18% [2]. Asset Quality - The NPL generation rate for Q1 2025 was 1.09%, showing a decline of 8 basis points from the previous quarter, continuing a downward trend since Q1 2024 [3]. - The bank's write-off amount for Q1 2025 was 3.05 billion yuan, with recoveries amounting to 670 million yuan [3]. Asset and Liability Management - As of Q1 2025, total assets and loans reached 3.40 trillion yuan and 1.64 trillion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.58% and 20.41% [4]. - Total deposits amounted to 2.18 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.92% [4].
江苏银行(600919):净利息收入高增
CMS· 2025-04-28 14:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for Jiangsu Bank (600919.SH) [4] Core Views - Jiangsu Bank's net interest income saw a significant increase of 22% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 16.6 billion yuan, driven by rapid asset growth and optimized liability costs [2][3] - The bank's asset quality remains robust, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.86% and a provision coverage ratio of 343.51% as of Q1 2025 [2][3] - The bank's non-interest income experienced a decline of 32.72% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant drop in fair value changes, although investment income increased by 30.1% [3] Summary by Sections Performance - In Q1 2025, Jiangsu Bank reported a revenue growth of 6.21%, PPOP growth of 7.88%, and a net profit growth of 8.16% compared to the previous year [1][11] - The bank's total assets reached 4.46 trillion yuan, with total deposits of 2.46 trillion yuan [11] Non-Interest Income - The bank's net fee and commission income grew by 21.77% year-on-year in Q1 2025, benefiting from a recovery in the capital market and macroeconomic conditions [2][3][29] Interest Margin and Asset Quality - The bank's interest-earning assets grew by 27.82% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 18.83% [2] - The net interest margin showed a slight decline but was supported by effective cost management on liabilities [2][3] Capital and Shareholder Information - Jiangsu Bank's return on equity (ROE) was reported at 16.50% for Q1 2025, with a target price of 10.13 yuan per share [4][27] - The bank's major shareholder is Jiangsu International Trust Co., holding a 6.98% stake [4]