近日，人民同泰发布2024年财报。披露公司去年营收下降3.29%至100.48亿元，归属净利润下降27%至2.13亿元。 对于净利润减少，公告解释称，一是销售同比降低，利润减少，二是毛利率同比下降，其中批发板块毛利空间收紧； 零售板块品种的销售结构变化，本期 DTP 品种销售占比提高，毛利减少。公司合理控制费用支出，仍无法弥补毛利额 下降导致的净利润减少。 对于医药零售业务，公告介绍，截至报告期末，公司旗下直营门店数量 382 家，其中，哈尔滨市内门店数量为 237 家，市外门店数量为 145 家，会员人数 260 余万人，会员销售占比约 78%。报告期内，公司 DTP 专业药房发展良 好，带动零售业务收入增长，由于行业政策、销售品种结构变化及市场竞争加剧等多重因素影响，零售业务毛利率下 降。 公司以市场需求为导向，强化供应链管理工作，持续优化商品结构。同时，公司积极推行多元化营销策略，优化门店 布局，加强对会员的精准服务，不断提升专业服务能力。 公司加大新品引进力度，多渠道丰富商品品种，构建多元化的大健康品类矩阵，提升商品满足率。此外，公司持续强 化商品品牌力，打造具有竞争力的产品梯队，优化商品采购、调拨及 ...

证券研究报告|医药生物|2025年3月21日 www.hczq.com 华创医药投资观点&研究专题周周谈·第118期 2024年零售渠道中成药表现 本周专题联系人：高初茜 | 华创医药团队： | | | --- | --- | | 首席分析师 郑辰 | 执业编号: S0360520110002 邮箱: zhengchen@hcyjs.com | | 联席首席分析师 刘浩 | 执业编号: S0360520120002 邮箱: liuhao@hcyjs.com | | 医疗器械组组长 李婵娟 | 执业编号: S0360520110004 邮箱: lichanjuan@hcyjs.com | | 中药和流通组组长 高初茜 | 执业编号：S0360524070002 邮箱：gaochulei@hcyjs.com | | 分析师 万梦蝶 | 执业编号：S0360523080008 邮箱：wanmengdie@hcyjs.com | | 分析师 王宏雨 | 执业编号：S0360523080006 邮箱：wanghongyu@hcyjs.com | | 分析师 朱珂琛 | 执业编号: S0360524070007 邮箱: ...

Market Overview - The overall market sentiment for the pharmaceutical sector remains cautious, with the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index rising by 1.08%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.03 percentage points, ranking 18th among 30 CITIC first-level industry indices [4][7]. - The top ten stocks by weekly gain include Kanghui Pharmaceutical, *ST Jingfeng, and Rongchang Bio, while the biggest losers include Beiyikang and Wuxi Jinghai [3][4]. Investment Themes - The pharmaceutical sector is currently undervalued, with public funds (excluding pharmaceutical funds) showing low allocation to this sector. The outlook for the pharmaceutical industry in 2025 remains optimistic due to macroeconomic factors such as the recovery of US Treasury yields and the driving effect of large categories on the industry [7]. - In the innovative drug segment, there is a shift from quantity to quality, emphasizing differentiated and internationalized pipelines. Companies like Heng Rui, Bai Ji, and Bei Da are recommended for investment [7]. - The medical device market is witnessing a recovery in bidding volumes, particularly in imaging equipment, with companies like Mindray and United Imaging being highlighted. The home medical device market is also expected to benefit from subsidy policies [7]. - The CXO and life sciences services sector is anticipated to see a rebound in investment, with a focus on companies that can deliver high profit elasticity as they enter the return phase [7]. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) Market - The retail sales of TCM are projected to remain stable, with a slight decline expected in 2024. The total retail sales are expected to reach 168 billion yuan, down 3.6% year-on-year [9][10]. - The top categories in TCM retail sales for 2024 include cold medicine, health supplements, and cardiovascular drugs, with notable products like Ganmao Ling Granules and Ejiao experiencing varying growth rates [15][19][24]. Specific Drug Categories - **Cold Medicine**: The retail sales are expected to decline by 8.4% in 2024, with the top product, Ganmao Ling Granules, showing a growth of 5.4% [20][21]. - **Health Supplements**: Despite a high base, the market is expected to see a slight decline, with Ejiao projected to drop by 13.4% [19][21]. - **Cardiovascular Drugs**: This category is experiencing its first decline in recent years, with a projected drop of 5.9% in 2024 [24]. - **Cough and Phlegm Relief**: Retail sales are expected to decrease by 4.3%, with products like Mi Lian Chuan Bei Pi Pa Gao showing a slight increase [29]. - **Gastrointestinal Drugs**: The market remains stable, with a projected decline of 3.4% in 2024 [33]. - **Musculoskeletal Drugs**: This category is expected to continue its downward trend, with a projected decline of 3.7% [36]. - **Urological Drugs**: The market has seen a significant decline, with a projected drop in sales [46]. - **Nervous System Drugs**: This category is expected to maintain stability, with a slight decline of 0.3% [48]. Conclusion - The pharmaceutical sector is navigating a complex landscape with varying performance across different categories. While some areas show promise for recovery and growth, others are facing challenges that could impact overall market sentiment and investment strategies [7][9][20][24].

Market Review - The weekly performance of the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index increased by 1.08%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.03 percentage points, ranking 18th among 30 primary industries [4] - The top ten stocks by increase included Jincheng Pharmaceutical, Wuxi Jinghai, and Zhongke Meiling, with increases of 42.43%, 39.74%, and 39.09% respectively [3][4] - The top ten stocks by decrease included Shuangcheng Pharmaceutical, Haichuang Pharmaceutical-U, and Ailis, with decreases of 12.21%, 21.21%, and 20% respectively [3][4] Sector Insights and Investment Strategy - The pharmaceutical sector is currently undervalued, with public funds (excluding pharmaceutical funds) having low allocations to this sector. The outlook for the pharmaceutical industry in 2025 remains optimistic due to macroeconomic factors and the growth potential of major products [6] - In the innovative drug sector, there is a shift from quantity to quality, emphasizing differentiated and internationalized pipelines. Companies such as Heng Rui, Bai Ji, and Bei Da are recommended for investment [6] - The medical device sector is witnessing a recovery in bidding volumes, particularly in imaging equipment, and there is a growing market for home medical devices. Companies like Mindray and Yuyue are highlighted for their growth potential [6] - The CXO and life sciences services sector is expected to see a rebound in investment, with a positive trend in orders and a recovery in demand. Companies in this space are likely to benefit from increased profitability as the market matures [6] - The pharmaceutical manufacturing sector is poised for growth, with a focus on specialty APIs and the expiration of patents leading to new opportunities. Companies such as Tonghua Dongbao and Huahai Pharmaceutical are recommended [6] Industry and Company Events - The neurointerventional market is expanding, with a significant increase in the number of procedures performed. The lifetime stroke risk for individuals over 25 is 24.9%, with a projected increase in stroke cases in China [11][13] - The penetration rates for neurointerventional procedures in China are still low compared to the US, indicating substantial growth potential. The market for neurointerventional consumables is expected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 16% from 2017 to 2022 [17][23] - The collection of centralized procurement has led to price reductions, stimulating demand and increasing the market share of domestic manufacturers. Companies like MicroPort and Guichuang Tongqiao are experiencing rapid revenue growth [25][29] - The domestic neurointerventional device market is becoming more competitive, with an increasing number of registered products and a shift towards domestic alternatives. The market is expected to consolidate around leading manufacturers [24][29]

Market Review - The overall market sentiment for the pharmaceutical sector remains cautious, with the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index declining by 2.78%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.56 percentage points, ranking 21st among 30 primary industries [4] - The top ten stocks by growth this week include Nuo Cheng Jian Hua-U, Chang Yao Holding, and Shanghai Yi Zhong, with growth rates of 20.98%, 20.96%, and 18.78% respectively [3][4] - Conversely, the bottom ten stocks include Jiangsu Wu Zhong and Xin Gan Jiang, with declines of 4% and 6% respectively [4] Industry and Stock Events - The pharmaceutical sector's valuation is currently low, with public funds (excluding pharmaceutical funds) also underweight in this sector. The outlook for the pharmaceutical industry in 2025 remains optimistic due to macroeconomic factors such as the recovery of US Treasury yields and the driving effect of large categories and products [7] - In the innovative drug segment, there is a shift from quantity logic to quality logic, emphasizing the importance of product differentiation and internationalization. Companies to watch include Heng Rui, Bai Ji, and Nuo Cheng Jian Hua [7] - The medical device sector is expected to benefit from the acceleration of equipment renewal policies, with key companies like Mai Rui Medical and Xin Hua Medical positioned to gain from increased orders [7] - The IVD market is anticipated to return to high growth, with a focus on companies like An Tu Biology and Di Rui Medical, as domestic market penetration continues to expand [7] - The blood products sector is set for growth, with a favorable regulatory environment for plasma collection and increasing demand post-pandemic. Companies such as Tian Tan Biology and Bo Ya Biology are recommended [12] Antibiotics Industry Update - The global antibiotic market is projected to grow steadily, with a market size of approximately 98 billion yuan in China from 2017 to the third quarter of 2024. The top three hospital antibiotics in 2024 are expected to be injectable formulations of Piperacillin and Tazobactam, with sales of 4.94 billion yuan [15][16] - The production capacity for key antibiotic intermediates is under strict regulatory control, with the latest guidelines from the National Development and Reform Commission continuing to restrict new capacity in antibiotic intermediates [17] - The price trends for key antibiotic products such as Penicillin and 6-APA have shown fluctuations, with 6-APA's price reaching 320 yuan per kilogram by January 2025 [24][25]