证券研究报告：计算机|点评报告 发布时间：2026-02-11 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 5546.12 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 6151.34 | | 52 | 周最低 | 4080.58 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 2025-02 2025-04 2025-07 2025-09 2025-11 2026-02 计算机 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:李佩京 SAC 登记编号:S1340525080003 Email:lipeijing@cnpsec.com 分析师:王思 SAC 登记编号:S1340525080002 Email:wangsi1@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《AI for Science，重在 AI+制药赛 道》 - 2026.01.15 大厂积极备战春晚，入口之争引领 AI 行情 ⚫ 国内 CSP 大厂抢占春节级流量，"超级入口之争"有望成 为 26 年 AI 主旋律 2026 ...

文｜周鑫雨 编辑｜苏建勋 如果没有亲自上手，真的很难形容Loopit的产品定位。 它像是内容"活过来"的抖音。通过Feed流喂给用户的内容，不只是视频、图片、音乐，而是可以通过点击、划动、自拍、语音、摇一摇等玩法，进行互动 的内容。 由于产品交互太新，在和Loopit创始人陈炜鹏交流之前，他极力嘱咐我们："不能只看demo，一定要亲自体验！" 此前，陈炜鹏是搜狗和百川智能的技术负责人。2025年6月，他创立了AI应用公司"涌跃智能"，产品方向为AI内容社区。《智能涌现》独家获悉，涌跃智 能过去30天内完成了两轮融资。据测算，最新估值较1个月前提升了6倍。 2026年2月10日，旗下产品Loopit正式上线，一名海外用户将使用视频，发布到了X，随即得到了埃隆·马斯克的评论转发。 △马斯克转发Loopit。图源：马斯克X账号 的确，在一众工具型、服务垂直场景的AI产品中，这款名为Loopit的平台型AI社区应用，形态和玩法，都令人眼前一亮。 △打开Loopit，就能看到单列Feed流中，有用户发布的各种互动内容，比如用手指滑动掉落的柚子，让它们在卡皮巴拉头上保持平衡。图源：作者试用 在内容生产的另一端，与UGC平 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The release of Byte's Seedance 2.0 marks a significant advancement in video generation technology, supporting multi-modal inputs (image, video, audio, text) and enhancing controllability, which is expected to drive industrialization in the video generation sector [1][21] - The traditional "gacha" mechanism in the AI drama industry, which incurs additional costs due to the randomness of AI-generated content, is addressed by Seedance 2.0's improved controllability, potentially reducing production costs and timelines [2][22] - Sensitivity analysis indicates that adopting Seedance 2.0 could lower total generation costs by approximately 5% under conservative assumptions and by 37% under neutral assumptions, compared to industry peers [2][30] Summary by Sections 1. Seedance 2.0 Release - Seedance 2.0 has been launched with enhanced multi-modal capabilities, allowing for a richer creative process by integrating various input types [1][11] - The model's foundational capabilities have improved, with better accuracy in instruction understanding and physical realism, leading to more natural and fluid video generation [12][14] - The model's controllability has significantly increased, enabling precise replication of complex camera movements and actions, enhancing the overall coherence of generated videos [17][19] 2. Implications for the Industry - The enhanced controllability of Seedance 2.0 is expected to facilitate a leap in the industrialization of video generation, addressing the cost burdens associated with the "gacha" mechanism in AI-generated content [22] - The report highlights the potential for reduced production costs and timelines in the AI drama industry due to the improved efficiency of Seedance 2.0 [2][22] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in AI drama, such as Wanxing Technology, Kuaishou, Fubo Group, and New Guodu, as well as multi-modal technology firms like Danghong Technology and Hongruan Technology [3][30]

【申万宏源通信】多模态需求+春节应用推广，看好算力底座/IDC成长(20260210早） #字节多模态Seedance2.0加码算力需求。 Seedance2.0在分镜运镜、音画同步、多镜头叙事能力等方面进步显著；一旦多模态渗透率提升，对tokens和算力底 座需求量将指数级增长。 年底年初字节、阿里等招投标进展，初步推动IDC估值修复。 但中长期真正打开 【申万宏源通信】多模态需求+春节应用推广，看好算力底座/IDC成长(20260210早） #字节多模态Seedance2.0加码算力需求。 Seedance2.0在分镜运镜、音画同步、多镜头叙事能力等方面进步显著；一旦多模态渗透率提升，对tokens和算力底 座需求量将指数级增长。 腾讯链： 年底年初字节、阿里等招投标进展，初步推动IDC估值修复。 但中长期真正打开智算中心需求的，是云厂应用/agent/多模态的商业化进展。 伴随CSP春节期间持续营销投流打开泛化AI入口，IDC作为算力底座真实需求将显著提升，预计行业持续高景气。 #从选股的角度，字节、阿里、腾讯等后续有望轮动表现。 看好绑定云厂的核心IDC。 字节链（优先推荐）： #东阳光（字节核心、远 ...

Core Insights - Recent advancements in domestic multimodal models and applications have accelerated, particularly in the video generation sector, with Seedance 2.0 and Keling 3.0 achieving significant breakthroughs in consistency, controllability, and audio-visual synchronization [1] - The commercialization of AI applications is progressing rapidly, with leading AI video products showing improved revenues; Keling's revenue exceeded $20 million in December, driven by the new version's sequential revenue increase [1] - The simultaneous advancement of domestic multimodal models in capability and commercialization is reshaping content production efficiency and industry supply structure, enhancing the long-term investment value of the Hong Kong tech sector amid historically low valuations [1] Market Analysis - The Hang Seng Tech Index consists of the 30 largest stocks related to the tech theme listed in Hong Kong, focusing on core tech assets; the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index targets Hong Kong internet platform companies, gathering China's core AI enterprises [1] - Both indices have rolling price-to-earnings ratios below 25 times, positioned at the 24.3% and 20.8% percentiles since their inception, respectively [1] Investment Trends - According to Wind data, the net inflow for the Hang Seng Tech ETF (E Fund, 513010) and the Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF (E Fund, 513040) last week was 1.8 billion and 600 million respectively, indicating investor confidence in the future development of AI applications [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the advancements in AI technologies by companies like Anthropic and OpenAI, showcasing their new products and capabilities [1] - Anthropic has released Claude Opus 4.6, which utilizes Agent Teams and adaptive thinking to enhance integration within the Office ecosystem and manage complex engineering tasks, facilitating deeper penetration of AI in vertical sectors such as finance and law [1] - OpenAI has introduced GPT-5.3-Codex, which not only sets new standards in programming and terminal operations but also demonstrates an internal cycle of AI automated development through edge environment takeover and self-building capabilities [1] Group 2 - In the multimodal field, ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 has entered internal testing, addressing consistency issues in video generation through comprehensive multimodal references and refined lens control [1] - The collaboration between Seedance 2.0, Doubao, and Seedream is expected to form a full multimodal matrix, significantly reducing content production costs and accelerating commercialization [1]

Core Insights - The competition in the video model space is intensifying, with ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 and Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 emerging as significant players, each with distinct focuses on video creation and production capabilities [3][6][9] - The advancements in video models are expected to bridge the gap between real and virtual content, with the potential to revolutionize video production processes by 2026 [6][9] - The Chinese AI companies are leveraging their strengths in short video and live streaming ecosystems, which are globally leading, to drive the development of video models [9][10] Group 1 - ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 is noted for its innovative approach to video generation, enhancing the ecosystem for short video creators [3][10] - Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 is recognized for its focus on professional filmmaking and industrial capabilities, targeting directors and studios [3][4] - The competition between these two models is not just about technology but also about market positioning and user engagement [4][9] Group 2 - The release of new video models by major players like Elon Musk's Grok and Google's Genie 3 indicates a broader trend towards video-centric AI solutions [6][9] - The evolution of AI in coding and multi-modal applications is seen as a key factor in making AI more accessible to the general public [4][7] - The Chinese market's unique characteristics and the existing demand for video content provide a fertile ground for AI advancements, contrasting with the U.S. market's focus on AI coding [9][10] Group 3 - ByteDance is actively fostering internal competition to identify the next major product, with multiple teams vying for leadership in AI-driven applications [13][14] - The company's dynamic culture and strong desire for innovation are highlighted as key factors in its ongoing success [13][14] - Upcoming announcements in the AI space are anticipated, suggesting a continued wave of significant developments in the industry [14]

Core Insights - The Chinese AI market is expected to be highly competitive in 2026, with major players like Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance vying for dominance [2][58] - Alibaba's strategic investment in "Qianwen" and Tencent's aggressive marketing tactics, such as distributing "Yuanbao red envelopes," are significant moves in this competitive landscape [2][58] - ByteDance is positioned as a formidable competitor, having established a leading presence in the AI to consumer (AI To C) market and holding substantial user traffic [2][58] Group 1: Competitive Landscape - The competition in the AI sector is likened to previous major battles in ride-hailing, payments, and food delivery, indicating its critical importance [3][58] - The "AI Six Tigers" have reached a pivotal moment with recent IPOs and funding rounds, necessitating a focus on self-sustainability and differentiation in their business models [3][59] - The urgency for these companies to find unique commercial paths is emphasized, as the current market lacks mature business models [4][60] Group 2: Business Models and Commercialization - Various business models are emerging, including subscription and advertising for consumer services, API sales for businesses, and performance-based pricing [4][60] - The AI application space is seen as the most promising for startups, with aspirations to achieve significant revenue and acquisition by larger firms [4][60] - The current state of AI commercialization is still in exploration, with no single model deemed fully mature yet [4][60] Group 3: Company Strategies - ByteDance's decision to prioritize multi-modal capabilities and its recruitment of top talent are crucial for maintaining its competitive edge [6][64] - Alibaba's "Qianwen" aims to serve as both a consumer-facing AI entry point and a foundational AI capability platform for its diverse business units [10][69] - Tencent's strategy involves refining its product offerings and clarifying the roles of its various platforms, such as WeChat and Yuanbao, to enhance user experience [13][75] Group 4: Future Trends and Challenges - The AI market is expected to see significant growth, with opportunities for new entrants to carve out niches in vertical markets [29][31] - The need for companies to adapt quickly to user demands and iterate on their products is highlighted as a key factor for success [11][70] - The integration of AI capabilities into existing services and the development of personalized user experiences are critical challenges for all major players [18][78]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a structural differentiation in the Hong Kong internet and technology sector, highlighting a focus on AI and profitability realization as key investment themes for 2026 [4][5][6]. Valuation Perspective - Since early 2025, the valuation of the Hang Seng Technology sector has been on the rise, with the Hang Seng Technology PE-TTM at 20.05 times as of December 31, 2025, which is 0.77 standard deviations below the historical average [4][9]. - The Hang Seng AH premium index stood at 123.46 as of December 31, 2025, below the historical average of 193.92, indicating a low valuation environment [9]. Funding Perspective - There has been a significant acceleration in southbound capital inflows since 2025, with notable increases in allocations to consumer, technology, and pharmaceutical sectors [5][13]. - The proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings in internet companies has increased, with Tencent's share rising from 10.1% to 11%, Kuaishou from 11.61% to 16.64%, Meituan from 10.4% to 20.76%, and Kingdee from 24.22% to 28.22% by December 31, 2025 [5][18]. - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to provide a liquidity floor for Hong Kong stocks, leading to a market characterized by strong indices, structural differentiation, and increased concentration among leading firms [5][19][21]. Internet Sector Dynamics - User traffic in the internet sector is stabilizing, with a strategic shift towards high-quality growth, driven by generative AI technologies that are penetrating high-frequency demand scenarios [22][28]. - The user base for AI applications is growing robustly, with significant increases in monthly active users (MAU) for various AI apps and platforms [28][30]. - Major internet companies are focusing on AI as a strategic direction, with substantial capital expenditures planned for AI development, including Alibaba's projected capex of 1,252 billion RMB, ByteDance's 1,600 billion RMB, and Tencent's 863 billion RMB for FY2026 [6][35]. AI and Advertising Integration - AI is becoming a critical driver for revenue generation, with domestic companies like Tencent and Alibaba leveraging AI in advertising to enhance efficiency and effectiveness [41][43]. - The report highlights the positive feedback loop between capital expenditure on AI and revenue generation, as seen in global leaders like Google, which is expected to invest between 910 to 930 billion USD in AI-related capital expenditures in 2025 [37][38]. Recommendations - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the technology sector, focusing on companies such as Tencent, Alibaba, Bilibili, NetEase, Kuaishou, JD Health, and XPeng Motors as key investment targets [7].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference discusses the current state of the AI application and computer hardware industry, highlighting a divergence in stock prices due to performance differences and market concerns, such as AbbVie's market cap decline despite a 68% revenue growth and 82% adjusted net profit margin in Q3 2025 [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - AI applications are expected to see significant growth in 2026, termed the "year of AI applications and intelligent agents," driven by technological breakthroughs and the emergence of new applications like Claude Bot [2]. - Major companies like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent are intensifying their investments in AI, leading to increased competition. ByteDance is leveraging its partnership with the Spring Festival, while Alibaba is integrating its ecosystem, and Tencent is focusing on talent acquisition [7][8]. - Domestic AI application companies face challenges from insufficient domestic demand and slowing growth in traditional businesses. For instance, Salesforce's stock price nearly halved, with Q3 revenue growth at only 8.3% [5]. Performance of Key Companies - Among 238 computer companies, 36% expect positive net profits, with over 60% anticipating profit growth. Leading firms like iFlytek and Deepin Technology are performing well, indicating a positive trend in the AI sector [6]. - Palantir reported Q4 revenue of $1.41 billion, a 70% year-over-year increase, but faced challenges with only 8% growth in overseas B-end revenue, leading to varied market expectations [4]. Emerging Trends and Investment Opportunities - Investors should focus on two main investment themes: clear and actionable super industry trends such as AI programming and personal intelligent assistants, and long-term collaboration opportunities within large tech company ecosystems [9]. - Companies like Zhuoyue Information and Zhiyu Technology are highlighted as core players in the AI programming sector, showing significant progress and growth potential [10]. Importance of Network Services - NetEase Technology's role in the AI era is emphasized due to its low latency, high interaction frequency, and massive data processing capabilities, which are crucial for AI applications [14]. - The demand for CDN services is expected to rise significantly, with projections indicating a "volume and price rise" scenario, making it an attractive investment opportunity [15][16]. Multi-modal Development - The development of multi-modal applications, such as AI short dramas and comics, is identified as a key growth area, with companies like Zhaochi and Wanxing Technology leading the charge [12]. Conclusion - The conference highlights the dynamic landscape of the AI and computer hardware industry, with significant opportunities for growth and investment, particularly in AI applications and network services, as major companies ramp up their efforts in this space.