Workflow
新自由主义
icon
Search documents
硬刚特朗普,卢拉能否带领巴西放弃幻想,抗住美式霸凌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-06 05:40
Group 1: Core Insights - Trump's tariff threat against Brazil has raised tariffs by an astonishing 50%, drawing significant attention in international trade [3] - The long-term trade data shows that the US has a cumulative surplus of over $400 billion with Brazil over the past 15 years, with 80% of US exports to Brazil enjoying zero tariffs [3] - Analysts argue that Trump's tariff policy contradicts his stated goal of restoring trade balance and lacks solid economic theory [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Context - Brazil, as the largest and strongest economy in South America, faces immense political and economic pressure from the US [4] - President Lula's pragmatic cooperation approach, termed "Lulaism," is being tested by Trump's aggressive tactics [4] - Lula has publicly criticized Trump's approach, asserting that no foreign leader has the right to dictate to Brazil [4] Group 3: Opportunities and Challenges - The global tariff war initiated by Trump has ironically created new opportunities for Brazil's agriculture and livestock sectors [6] - Lula's ability to withstand Trump's economic pressure will significantly impact Brazil's position in the global trade landscape and South America's strategic standing [6] Group 4: Trade Relations and Responses - Brazil's trade with the US constitutes only 1.7% of its GDP, and the majority of its exports to the US are raw materials, which are in demand globally [29] - Lula's government has shifted to a more confrontational stance against Trump's threats, including the possibility of taxing US internet companies [29] - Protests erupted in São Paulo against Trump's tariff threats, indicating strong domestic backlash [29] Group 5: Historical Context and Lessons - Historical experiences show that South American countries have faced development bottlenecks due to US imperialism, regardless of their chosen strategies [30] - The current geopolitical climate is pushing Brazil towards a more hardline stance, moving away from its traditionally pragmatic approach [30]
法国的全民度假,要取消了?
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-30 08:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the cultural significance of vacation in France, highlighting how it has become a societal norm across all classes, rooted in historical labor and social movements [6][7][13]. Group 1: Historical Context - The first generation post-World War II focused on rebuilding the country, leading to economic recovery and industrial modernization, which laid the foundation for the "Glorious Thirty Years" of growth [9][10]. - The second generation, growing up during economic prosperity, fought for labor rights and social equity, resulting in increased vacation time and a shift in societal values towards leisure [11][12][13]. - The third generation solidified vacation as a legal right, with significant policies introduced in the early 1980s that extended paid vacation to five weeks, impacting the tourism industry positively [20][21]. Group 2: Current Developments - The current discussion in France revolves around a proposal to cancel two public holidays to increase productivity, which is met with widespread opposition and could lead to significant protests [22]. - The article draws parallels between the current situation in France and emerging trends in other countries, where there is a shift towards better work-life balance and labor rights [22][23].
专栏丨谁在制造“债务陷阱”?——一份英国报告揭示的真相
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-18 10:53
Group 1 - A recent report by the UK NGO "Debt Justice" reveals that from 2020 to 2025, 39% of external debt repayments from low-income countries will go to commercial lenders outside of China, while only 13% will go to China [1] - The report highlights that Western commercial lenders and multilateral financial institutions are primarily responsible for the debt crisis in developing countries, contrary to the narrative that blames China as the largest creditor [1][2] - The nature and conditions of the debt are more critical than the amount itself, with Western lenders often imposing high-interest rates and strict repayment terms, leading to a "trap" for developing nations [1] Group 2 - Historical practices by Western nations have significantly impacted the development paths of countries in the Global South, with financial tools being used to impose conditions that undermine economic sovereignty [2] - To address the long-standing debt issues of developing countries, a focus on economic diversification and sustainable development is essential, with China supporting these efforts through long-term investments in infrastructure [2] - The narrative of the "debt trap" reflects a deeper geopolitical struggle for development rights and discourse, with China's cooperative model offering an alternative to the restrictive frameworks imposed by Western debt systems [3]
全球关税:起源、演进历程及对财政的贡献|国际
清华金融评论· 2025-08-17 08:58
Core Viewpoint - Tariffs have re-emerged as a focal point in global economic and trade policies, particularly due to the rise of trade protectionism in the U.S. and the reevaluation of tariff policies by multiple countries amid geopolitical conflicts and fiscal pressures [5]. Summary by Sections Origin and Characteristics of Tariffs - Historically, tariffs originated as a form of transit fee for cross-border goods, primarily aimed at controlling the movement of people and goods, rather than for fiscal purposes [7]. - Tariffs have evolved from being a minor component of national fiscal systems to a crucial tool for economic intervention and revenue generation, especially since the 16th century with the rise of international trade [8][11]. Functions of Tariffs - Tariffs serve three main functions: revenue generation, protection of domestic industries, and economic regulation [11]. - The role of tariffs has shifted over time, influenced by economic development and prevailing economic ideologies, with their revenue-generating function becoming less significant in developed countries [12][19]. Evolution of Tariff Systems - The evolution of global tariff systems can be divided into five main stages from the 16th century to the present, reflecting changes in economic thought and development levels [13][14]. - **First Stage (16th-18th Century)**: Mercantilism dominated, with tariffs primarily used for revenue collection [15]. - **Second Stage (19th Century)**: The rise of free trade theories led to a reduction in tariffs in industrialized nations, while developing countries continued to rely on tariffs for revenue and protection [16]. - **Third Stage (Early 20th Century)**: Protectionism surged post-World War I, reinforcing tariffs as tools for revenue and industry protection [17]. - **Fourth Stage (Post-WWII to 2017)**: Establishment of a global free trade system led to a general decline in tariffs and a shift towards income and consumption taxes as primary revenue sources [18]. - **Fifth Stage (2018-Present)**: A resurgence of protectionism, particularly in the U.S., has seen tariffs used again for industry protection and economic regulation [19]. Dependency on Tariff Revenue - Global economies can be categorized based on their dependency on tariff revenue, with developed economies generally showing low dependency (below 3%), while some developing economies exhibit medium (3%-5%) or high dependency (over 5%) [20][23][26]. - Countries like Japan, Canada, and the U.S. have low tariff revenue contributions to their overall fiscal income, while nations like the Philippines show a high reliance on tariffs due to weaker tax systems [23][28].
“自由市场”从何而来:一场思想史的祛魅之旅
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 02:55
Core Ideas - The article discusses the evolution of the concept of the free market, linking it to historical philosophical perspectives and the interplay between morality, government intervention, and economic systems [1][5][10]. Historical Context - The free market is not merely a transactional space but a complex interplay of human desires, ideologies, and historical conditions, as articulated by thinkers like Karl Polanyi [2]. - The philosophical roots of modern free market thought can be traced back to Marcus Tullius Cicero, who emphasized the moral and political dimensions of economic freedom [5][6]. Philosophical Perspectives - Cicero's vision of economic freedom was tied to a moral society where land ownership and virtuous behavior were essential for a stable market [5][6]. - The transition from Cicero's moral economy to a rigid philosophical stance on free markets is explored, highlighting concerns from economists like Mises and Friedman regarding government intervention [1][5]. Economic Evolution - The decline of Rome illustrated the necessity of state intervention to restore market order amidst societal collapse, challenging the notion of a self-regulating market [10][11]. - The emergence of commercial republics in 14th-century Europe marked a shift towards a more secular moral view of wealth, where hard work and profit were seen as virtues [11]. The Role of Government - Historical figures like Jean-Baptiste Colbert advocated for a balance between state intervention and market freedom, emphasizing the importance of a stable environment for trade [14][15]. - The article critiques the oversimplified view of free market proponents who dismiss the role of government, arguing that effective governance is crucial for market functionality [26][27]. Modern Implications - The article suggests that the ideal of a self-sustaining market is increasingly questioned in light of economic crises and growing inequality, indicating a need for a reevaluation of the relationship between government and market [26][27]. - It posits that a mixed economic model, incorporating both free market principles and government oversight, is more effective in addressing contemporary challenges [27][28].
深度解析马斯克怒建美国党背后的原因
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-10 00:43
Group 1 - The Biden administration has not yet established a new policy order or reshaped electoral politics, despite passing significant legislation like the CHIPS and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act [1][10] - The concept of "post-neoliberalism" indicates the difficulty in achieving a new consensus, as both left and right coalitions are unprepared for the challenges posed by geopolitical, economic, and technological competition [1][2] - The shift from a Fordist economy dominated by large manufacturers to a "fractured" economy driven by intellectual property and financial rents has profound implications for corporate and investor behavior [3][4] Group 2 - Neoliberalism has provided ideological justification for the shift towards a fractured economy, with policy changes acting as key catalysts, such as the reduction of tariffs and the weakening of antitrust laws [5][6] - The hollowing out of manufacturing and the abandonment of capital-intensive industries have weakened the U.S.'s innovation capacity and economic standing, leading to internal tensions and a loss of technological leadership [6][10] - The current political landscape reflects a departure from traditional political projects, with both parties struggling to propose coherent policy agendas, resulting in a fragmented political environment [15][16] Group 3 - The environmental movement has shifted to a more prominent role in national industrial policy, yet it struggles to transcend neoliberal frameworks and mobilize a broad political project [22][23] - The rise of "woke" politics has polarized discussions, making it difficult to form a consensus around economic issues, as both progressives and conservatives cling to their respective narratives [24][25] - The lack of a unifying political project has led to a focus on individual self-fulfillment rather than collective governance, complicating the potential for a new post-neoliberal consensus [27][28]
地球和火星都容不下马斯克的“新和联胜”
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-08 00:34
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Elon Musk's recent political ambitions, including the establishment of a new political party, and critiques the underlying motivations and implications of such actions in the context of American politics and society [3][10]. Group 1: Musk's Political Aspirations - Musk's announcement of forming a new political party, referred to as the "American Party," is seen as a continuation of his political ambitions, which some view as a response to the perceived failures of existing political structures [10][12]. - The article argues that Musk's political ideals are not aligned with the majority of American voters, suggesting that his views are more representative of a niche group within Silicon Valley rather than the broader electorate [12][15]. Group 2: Ideological Underpinnings - The article highlights that Musk and other Silicon Valley figures, such as Peter Thiel, possess distinct political ideals that are intertwined with their business interests, suggesting that their political actions are driven by a desire to protect their economic empires [5][6]. - It is noted that Musk's vision of establishing a utopia on Mars reflects a broader desire among certain right-wing factions to escape what they perceive as a deteriorating social order in the U.S. [8][9]. Group 3: Critique of Governance Philosophy - The article critiques Musk's approach to governance, arguing that his business-oriented mindset, which emphasizes cost-cutting and efficiency, is ill-suited for managing a nation, as it overlooks the complexities of societal needs [13][15]. - The tension between Musk's technological optimism and the realities of political governance is emphasized, suggesting that his reliance on technology as a panacea for societal issues is fundamentally flawed [19][21]. Group 4: Challenges Ahead - The article points out the inherent challenges Musk faces in establishing a viable political party, including the difficulty of gaining traction in a political landscape dominated by two major parties and the need to build local support networks [16][24]. - It concludes that Musk's political endeavors are likely to fail due to a disconnect with the broader electorate and the complexities of American political dynamics [15][24].
沃尔夫冈·施特雷克:当下美欧政策变化是出于绝望的盲动,切勿赋予其过高的战略意义
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 07:14
Group 1 - The article discusses the critical point of capitalism, indicating that the "buying time" strategy is nearing its limits due to the disconnection between debt repayment capacity and economic growth potential [1] - The U.S. national debt has surpassed $37 trillion since the 2008 financial crisis, with ongoing debates about the debt ceiling becoming a political tool, suggesting that the "myth of American economic invincibility" is at risk of collapse [2] - The trend of de-globalization has been ongoing since the 2008 financial crisis, indicating a shift in governance that reflects a desperate response to systemic failures of neoliberalism [5][6] Group 2 - The article highlights the transformation of the "tax state" into a "debt state," where the burden of public spending is shifted to lower-income groups, leading to increased wealth inequality [7] - The ongoing rise in public debt and the inability of Western democracies to maintain legitimacy is illustrated by the rise of right-wing populism, particularly in countries that have ceded some sovereignty to the EU [10] - The EU's tightening policies have stripped member states of their economic sovereignty, revealing a governance vacuum in the face of cross-border capital flows [9]
南非变成穷国,是黑人的错还是白人的错?
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-08 08:30
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent conflict between Trump and Musk, highlighting Musk's controversial statements regarding South Africa and land reform [1][3][26] - It emphasizes Trump's historical criticism of South Africa's land reform policies, labeling them as racial discrimination against white farmers [2][25] - The article argues that the portrayal of white South Africans as victims is misleading, as they still hold significant economic advantages over the black population [4][5][6] Group 2 - The land reform in South Africa is framed as a necessary response to historical injustices stemming from colonialism and apartheid, where white settlers appropriated land from indigenous populations [7][15][18] - The article outlines the slow progress of land reform since the end of apartheid, with only a fraction of the targeted land being redistributed to black South Africans [16][27] - It critiques the neoliberal policies adopted by the African National Congress (ANC), which have hindered effective land reform and exacerbated social inequalities [28][32][33]
美学者:也许我们应该更多地学习中国,而不是对其成功视而不见
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-07 22:40
Group 1 - The core argument presented by Richard D. Wolff is that the resilience of the Chinese economy in the face of trade wars is rooted in its unique institutional advantages, contrasting sharply with the profit-driven nature of American capitalism [1][4][8] - Wolff critiques American capitalism as being fundamentally profit-driven, leading to structural issues that manifest in trade wars and a lack of domestic prosperity [2][3][8] - He highlights that the U.S. has outsourced manufacturing to lower-cost countries, which has not resulted in domestic economic growth, but rather reflects a systemic issue within American capitalism [2][3] Group 2 - Wolff emphasizes that China's economic model is characterized by a strong government role that guides development in key sectors, allowing for rapid advancements in areas like high-speed rail and renewable energy [5][6] - The mixed economy in China, which combines state-owned and private enterprises, is seen as a mechanism to address market failures and ensure that critical sectors are not neglected [6][7] - The institutional goals in China focus on serving national development and public interests, contrasting with the shareholder-centric approach of American corporate governance [7][8] Group 3 - Wolff argues that the efficiency and organizational capacity of China's system are significant factors contributing to its economic success, especially in the context of trade tensions with the U.S. [8][9] - He posits that the U.S. is experiencing a decline, with internal crises exacerbated by a focus on profit over public welfare, leading to deteriorating infrastructure and social division [8][9] - The discussion raises the question of whether the U.S. has the willingness to learn from China's institutional strengths, despite the complexities and challenges present in Chinese society [9][10]