肯定无家可归的立场就是成为一个真正的尼采主义者。《善恶的彼岸》（Beyond Good and Evil）、 《论道德的谱系》（Genealogy of Morality）、《查拉图斯特拉如是说》（Thus Spoke Zarathustra）和 《快乐的科学》（Gay Science）里的尼采是个坏德国人。对尼采来说，民族主义只是被人类谋杀的上 帝的替代品。这样来看，世俗化克服了植根于柏拉图–基督教教义的虚无主义，但这种克服并不彻底： 它仍试图找寻上帝的替代品。祖国（Vaterland）填补了上帝死后留下的超越性的空缺。换言之，民族主 义正是欧洲虚无主义的延续，或者更准确地讲，我们可以把它称作"尚不彻底的虚无主义"。上帝死后， 民族主义开始赋予生存意义，正如我们在《瞧，这个人》（Ecce Homo）里读到的： 也就是要对欧洲所患的民族主义这样一种民族神经官能症（névrose nationale）负责，要对欧洲小国、 渺小政治的永恒化负责：德国人使欧洲本身丧失了意义，失掉了自己的理性——他们把欧洲带进了一条 死胡同。——除了我，还有谁知道走出这条死胡同的路呢？……［还有谁知道］一项足以把诸民族重新 联合起来 ...

2025年的一轮中美交手后，特朗普更换了怎样的隐蔽"打法"？美国对国际秩序的破坏是否是永久性的？ 面对不确定的国际局势，中国该如何清醒应对，信心与底气来源于何处？针对以上话题，观察者网在新 春之际对话了知名美国问题专家金灿荣教授。 观察者网：这次我们编辑部策划了一个专题，叫"新大陆与旧地图：全球体系的认知重启"。其中提出一 个判断：世界可能正从"相互依存的地球村"，走向一个多中心、多规则、多联盟的碎片化时代。对于这 样的描述，您怎么看？这种"碎片化"的判断是否已经形成较广泛的共识？还是说，这只会是一个短期的 过渡现象？ 金灿荣：这个世界应该讲正在发生巨变。习主席讲世界进入"百年未有之大变局"，而且是一个现在进行 时。所以，现在就给这个世界做一个定性的描述，我觉得还早了一点，还不能下最终结论。 我们只能说，变化中确实出现了一些趋势，可以讨论。但这个世界最后会走向什么形态，现在还不好 说。但有一点我比较确定：我们正在熟悉的那个世界，正在消失。我们熟悉的是什么世界？就是二战后 的国际秩序。这个二战后的国际秩序，在整个人类国际关系史上，其实是一个例外，而不是常态。 从美国"退群"联合国到特朗普筹办"和平委员会"，听命 ...

Core Viewpoint - Anutin is expected to continue leading the new government in Thailand after unexpectedly winning the election, forming a coalition with the Pheu Thai Party [2][5]. Group 1: Election Results - The Thai general election held on February 8 resulted in Anutin's party, the Bhumjaithai Party, becoming the largest party in the House of Representatives, winning 193 seats out of 500 [4]. - The Pheu Thai Party and the Palang Pracharath Party ranked second and third, securing 118 and 74 seats respectively [4]. - The Bhumjaithai Party's strategy focused on practical policies for improving livelihoods rather than institutional reforms, which resonated with voters [4]. Group 2: Coalition Formation - The Bhumjaithai Party, unable to secure a majority, has reached an agreement with the Pheu Thai Party to form a coalition government, with specific details to be discussed later [5]. - The Pheu Thai Party has close ties to former Prime Minister Thaksin, and its candidate for Prime Minister is the son of Thaksin's brother-in-law [6]. Group 3: Political Landscape - The election results have created a three-party dynamic among the Bhumjaithai Party, the Pheu Thai Party, and the Palang Pracharath Party, with each party leveraging nationalism and populism to gain support [2][4]. - Analysts suggest that the Bhumjaithai Party's moderate ideology and focus on continuity and feasibility in policy-making provide it with an advantage in coalition negotiations [6]. Group 4: Economic Challenges - The new government will face significant challenges in economic growth, as Thailand's economic performance lags behind other ASEAN countries [6]. - Structural issues such as insufficient export competitiveness, slow industrial upgrades, and high household debt will complicate recovery efforts [6].

Core Viewpoint - Post-pandemic, consumerism in China is overtaking nationalism, with consumers focusing more on quality and value rather than national origin, despite ongoing diplomatic tensions with Japan and the U.S. [2] Group 1: Consumer Behavior Changes - The rise of consumerism over nationalism is evident as consumers prioritize quality, cost-effectiveness, and emotional value in their purchasing decisions [2][8] - The younger generation and urban middle class are increasingly making purchasing decisions based on rationality rather than nationalism, indicating a shift in consumer identity [8][21] - The demand for affordable luxury products has surged, with brands like Xiaomi thriving by offering high-quality products at reasonable prices [20][21] Group 2: Impact of Diplomatic Tensions - Recent diplomatic disputes between China and Japan have not led to widespread boycotts of Japanese products, as seen in the sales growth of Toyota and Sushi restaurants [9][12] - Despite official warnings against travel to Japan, many consumers continue to visit, showing a disconnect between government sentiment and consumer behavior [9][12] - The success of Japanese brands in China, such as Toyota and Sushi restaurants, highlights the diminishing impact of nationalism on consumer choices [9][12] Group 3: Cultural Influence - American cultural products remain popular among Chinese consumers, with Disney's "Zootopia 2" achieving record box office success in China, indicating that cultural ties can transcend political tensions [14] - The appeal of brands like Ralph Lauren is growing among urban consumers, who value quality and brand image over nationalistic sentiments [16] Group 4: Emotional Consumption Trends - Emotional consumption is becoming a significant trend, as consumers seek products that provide emotional comfort and align with their lifestyles, regardless of the brand's origin [21] - The shift towards emotional consumption reflects a broader societal change, where consumers are less influenced by nationalist sentiments and more by personal values and experiences [21]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming national parliamentary elections in Bangladesh on February 12 are significant as they follow Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's resignation due to nationwide protests, with the nationalist party led by Tarique Rahman likely to win according to polls [1] Group 1: Political Landscape - The nationalist party is projected to receive about 70% support from voters, with expectations of winning more than two-thirds of the seats [3] - Tarique Rahman, a key figure in the nationalist party, has returned from exile and is seen as a unifying force for the party, enhancing its electoral prospects [3][4] - The nationalist party emphasizes economic growth, job creation, and governance reform, promising a gradual approach to economic recovery if elected [4] Group 2: Other Political Parties - The Islamic Party, in alliance with the National Citizens Party, has a support rate of 31% and is working to strengthen its grassroots organization [6] - The Islamic Party's campaign includes 26 priority issues aimed at political reform and anti-corruption, gaining traction among the youth [6][7] - However, the Islamic Party faces challenges in attracting a broader voter base due to its religiously-based policies and internal coalition disputes [7] Group 3: Election Dynamics - Two key variables are expected to influence the election outcome: the potential for violence and external interference [9][10] - The temporary government's ability to manage violence is crucial, as high levels of conflict could threaten voting security and legitimacy [9] - External influences, particularly from the U.S. and India, may sway young voters towards non-traditional parties, complicating the electoral landscape [10][11]

Core Insights - Thailand is at a critical juncture with the upcoming elections on February 8, 2025, following the dissolution of the House of Representatives by Prime Minister Anutin [1][3] - The elections will determine the composition of the new House of Representatives, with 500 members to be elected, and the results are expected to be announced by April 9, 2025 [1][3] Economic Context - Thailand faces significant economic challenges, including household debt nearing 90% of GDP, one of the highest in Asia, which is suppressing consumption and economic growth [3] - The Ministry of Finance has revised its economic growth forecast for 2026 down from 2.2% to 2% due to weak manufacturing output [3] - The economic uncertainty is expected to heavily influence voter decisions in the upcoming elections [3] Political Landscape - Pre-election polls indicate that the Move Forward Party (representing reformist forces) is leading in support over the ruling Palang Pracharath Party and the Pheu Thai Party, associated with the former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra [4] - Analysts suggest that no single party is likely to achieve an overwhelming majority, leading to a coalition government formed through negotiations [4][5] - The election is characterized by a three-way competition among the Move Forward Party, Pheu Thai Party, and Palang Pracharath Party, contrasting with the previous two-party system [4] Party Strategies - The Move Forward Party is focusing on attracting young voters and addressing issues like corruption and economic revitalization, while distancing itself from previous controversial positions [7][8] - The Palang Pracharath Party is leveraging nationalist sentiments and has positioned itself as a protector of the monarchy, which may resonate with certain voter demographics [11][13] - The Pheu Thai Party is attempting to maintain its influence despite internal challenges and criticisms of being a tool for the Shinawatra family [14][16] Constitutional Referendum - On the same day as the elections, a referendum will be held to decide whether to replace the current constitution, which is seen as heavily influenced by military interests [5][17] - Supporters of the referendum argue that the current constitution grants excessive power to non-elected bodies, which can undermine elected officials [17][19] - The process for amending the constitution is complex and may take years, with significant implications for Thailand's political structure [18][19]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid decline in popularity of the military influencer "Tingfeng de Can," whose follower count dropped from over 20 million to around 300,000 due to platform violations and content deletions, highlighting the risks associated with extreme nationalism and populism in self-media [2][4][8] Group 1: Background and Rise - "Tingfeng de Can," originally named Zhu Wei Yi, transitioned from a prosecutor to a successful self-media figure, amassing over 50 million followers by leveraging military themes and a storytelling style that appealed to a broad audience [2] - The influencer's content often capitalized on nationalist sentiments, which is a known strategy for gaining traction in the self-media landscape [2][4] Group 2: Controversies and Misleading Claims - The influencer has been criticized for historical inaccuracies, such as comparing the current military to the Ming Dynasty army, which reflects a tendency towards historical nihilism and the manipulation of nationalistic emotions [4] - Despite showing some familiarity with military knowledge, the influencer has been noted for spreading misinformation and lacking depth in professional expertise, leading to the dissemination of scientifically inaccurate claims [4][5] Group 3: Content Quality and Audience Reception - The storytelling style of the influencer is engaging but lacks the depth and rigor necessary for sustained success, leading to a shift towards more populist and sensationalist content [7] - The audience, particularly in the "lower-tier market," tends to prefer efficiency in information over depth of thought, which has allowed such content to thrive despite its potential for misinformation [7][8] Group 4: Implications and Future Outlook - The rise of populist narratives can create a "digital mob" effect, posing significant risks both online and offline, which has led to the influencer's recent decline as platforms respond to the negative impact of such content [8] - There is a growing awareness among the audience to differentiate between genuine patriotism and opportunistic nationalism, suggesting a potential shift in consumer behavior away from such influencers [7][8]

特朗普彻底不装了，公开否认国际法，选择直接摊牌，一口气锁定了4个目标，不仅要在国际上制造事端，还要对美国国内出手，更大的混乱可能出现。特 朗普如此频繁出手，他的真正目的是什么？ 日前，特朗普在接受媒体专访时，毫不掩饰表示"我不需要国际法，只有道德才能约束我"，但实际上，特朗普不仅否认国际法，他也不遵守美国的国内法， 包括宪法。从这个情况看，放弃了维持"国际秩序"的特朗普，很可能将美国从共和国推向"帝国"，这个过程将出现大量的纷争和混乱。而且，特朗普在近日 再次宣布美国进入"国际紧急状态"，只是为了阻止美国法院扣押"委内瑞拉石油相关的收入"。这个情况，说明特朗普不惜牺牲美国的"民主自由灯塔""国际 秩序捍卫者"的声誉和形象，只是为了让他个人获利。就在这个时候，美联储主席鲍威尔面临刑事调查，他直言这是自己不愿屈从特朗普意志的结果。显 然，特朗普已经不满足于现有的权力，他要打破美国的"三权分立"，集大权于一身。 那么，在锁定了多个目标后，特朗普下一步会对谁动手？有分析认为，格陵兰岛的可能性最大，但特朗普不太可能采取跟委内瑞拉一样的模式。因为从欧洲 的情况看，他们对美国的施压几乎没有抵抗能力。一方面，因为经济、制造业 ...

2026.01. 23 西班牙经济学家胡伦·博利亚因在社交媒体上说，特朗普在达沃斯的言论"令人不安"。其危险逻辑在 于试图以力量替代规则、以威胁替代外交。"过去一年，特朗普政府将贸易讹诈常态化，轻视多边主 义，加剧市场紧张，并将外交政策庸俗化为展示力量的表演。" 特朗普在演讲中抨击欧洲的移民、绿色能源等政策，称欧洲"没有走在正确方向上"，一些地方如 今"面目全非"，这种变化"并非积极意义上的"，而是朝着负面方向演变。 本文字数：936，阅读时长大约1.5分钟 据新华社，美国总统特朗普21日在瑞士达沃斯举行的世界经济论坛年会发表演讲，其言论引发多方 批评和质疑，其政府外交政策被认为可能会"持续冲击世界秩序"。 美国加利福尼亚州州长纽森讽刺特朗普的演讲"无聊"且"粗鲁"。他说，对于特朗普寻求得到格陵兰 岛，如果欧洲"不采取坚决回应，不坚定站出来捍卫自身立场，那么他们就应该感到担忧"。 比利时弗拉芒大区政府首席大臣马蒂亚斯·迪彭代勒在接受新华社记者采访时说，特朗普的言论中只 有声称不武力入侵格陵兰岛"算个好信号"，他还批评特朗普的政策"缺乏逻辑"。 欧洲绿党联合主席武拉·采齐呼吁欧洲各国领导人"团结一致，抵制特朗普 ...

美国总统特朗普1月21日在世界经济论坛年会上发表的演讲中，批评欧洲的移民、绿色能源等政策，称 欧洲"没有走在正确方向上"。在格陵兰岛问题上，特朗普称这是美国"核心国家安全利益"，将寻求立即 就美国"收购"该岛展开谈判。美方相关言论引发多方批评和质疑，指责其政策缺乏逻辑、破坏多边秩 序，存在明显霸权主义倾向。 瑞典首相克里斯特松当天下午在瑞士达沃斯举行的记者会上对瑞典媒体说，特朗普演讲的内容和措 辞"处处显示出不公正"，令人深感失望。特朗普在演讲中继续发表对欧洲国家充满威胁和讽刺的言 论，"这些言论与事实不符"。克里斯特松表示，特朗普近期言论和美国的一系列行为，已招致全球舆论 严厉批评，即便在美国国内，也受到强烈反对。他认为，欧洲需要加强国防建设、增强经济实力、提升 科技水平，更需要减少对美依赖。瑞典将在后续谈判中坚定支持丹麦和格陵兰岛，"作为丹麦的自治领 土，格陵兰岛不可出售，我们完全认同这一点"。 丹麦首相弗雷泽里克森1月22日接受丹麦媒体采访时表示，丹麦的红线始终如一：我们不会放弃主权， 格陵兰岛是丹麦王国的一部分。 欧洲绿党联合主席武拉·采齐强烈呼吁，欧洲各国领导人"团结一致，抵制特朗普的霸凌行径"。她 ...