稀土博弈
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中国亮出了稀土这张王牌,而光刻机交付的推迟不过是个开端罢了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 05:53
这台价值4亿美元的顶级光刻机,本该因其庞大的运输规模而引人注目,却最终被几公斤的中国稀土材料"卡住了脖子"。这一事件让全球芯片行业震动不 已,原因是荷兰的光刻机巨头——阿斯麦(ASML)公司,突然宣布延迟交货。这一变故的背后,德国经济部的严重担忧引发了欧盟委员会的快速反应,他 们发布声明,呼吁中国成为一个"可靠的伙伴"。与此同时,美国媒体也将中国的稀土出口管制比作了一场"经济核战争"。 中国稀土为何如此重要?中国的稀土资源占据全球市场主导地位,特别是在稀土开采、冶炼分离和磁体制造方面,控制了全球大部分的供应。美国虽然拥有 一些稀土矿,但由于技术不足,必须将矿石运送到中国加工后再进口。即便美国计划独立建立供应链,但没有十年以上的时间根本无法完成。 中国的这一举措,究竟有多强硬?10月9日,中国商务部发布了两则公告,宣布将稀土管控升级为"精准打击"。从12月1日起,含有0.1%以上中国重稀土的磁 体或半导体材料出口将需要经过中国的审批,甚至对于使用中国技术在国外生产的相关产品,也必须得到中国的批准。更为引人关注的是,中国发布的《进 一步加强军用半导体控制的意见》中明确表示"原则上不批准"军用半导体的生产,并将对半 ...
美国财长表态中国,愿意取消100%加税,但是稀土限制必须撤销
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 17:58
美国财政部长贝森特在福克斯商业频道的那番话让我有点意外,不是因为他说了什么,而是因为这话出现的时间点太微妙了。就在几天前,他的老板特朗普 才在10月10日放话,要从11月1日开始对中国产品加征额外100%的关税。结果很快,口风就软了。贝森特说,"对华商品加征100%关税不一定要发生",条 件是中国得取消稀土出口限制。 这已经不是一般的态度转变,而是一次急刹车 。你要知道,美国对稀土的依赖,是它自己都心虚的事。这不仅是有色金属的问题,这是整个高科技和军工产业链的命门。 有意思的是,特朗普在威胁加税后的两天里,社交媒体上的语气也变了。他甚至把中国加强稀土管制说成是中方"心情不好"。你细品,这句没什么建设性的 评论,反而透出一点不得不安抚市场的意味。 贝森特随后出现在国际货币基金组织2025年年会上,更明确地释放出信号,美国希望和中国保持密切沟通,美中双边峰会会继续如期举行。表面看是在求 稳,但结合近期中国的动作,你就会明白,这其实是因为美国心里清楚它的稀土软肋被掐住了。 稀土这个词,很多人觉得很遥远,其实离我们每天用的东西都很近。它包含17种特殊元素,是从国防武器到手机芯片、电动汽车马达都离不开的材料。美国 的导 ...
中国升级稀土管制,为何欧盟感到深深寒意?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 12:11
最近,欧盟委员会突然跳出来,对中国刚刚实施的稀土出口管制措施表示"深切关切"。 欧洲人话说的很客气,但字里行间全是藏不住的焦虑——毕竟,中国这一招,直接打在了欧洲工业的命 门上。 想想也很好玩。 "关切"背后,是欧洲不敢掀桌的无奈 欧盟贸易发言人奥洛夫·吉尔面对记者时,强调"期待中国作为可靠合作伙伴",表示深切关切,其实, 你不谴责,只是关切,那就是怂了。 因为就在前几天,欧盟还气势汹汹地宣布对中国钢铁加征50%关税,配额砍掉45%,摆明了要配合美国 围剿中国制造业。 结果中国反手一张"稀土牌",直接把欧盟的算盘砸了个稀烂。 更讽刺的是,欧盟原本还想对中国稀土"强制限价",没想到中国根本没接招,反而抢先一步控住了源 头。 用网友的话说:都是千年的狐狸,玩什么聊斋? 稀土的较量,是一场"看不见的战争" 中国为什么此时出手?答案很简单:打主人给狗看。 这里的"主人"是谁?美国。 "狗"是谁?欧盟、日韩这些跟着吆喝的盟友。 中国的新政策明确传递了一个信号:谁老老实实申报需求,稀土照常买卖;谁敢偷偷转卖给美国,对不 起,断供没商量! 而欧盟的处境有多尴尬? 90%以上的稀土依赖中国,短期内根本绕不开; 自家建的稀土冶 ...
稀土博弈新动向:“巴铁”助力美国,建港口外还要提供关键矿产?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 04:24
Core Viewpoint - Pakistan is seeking to balance its relationships with both the United States and China by proposing the construction of a port and the sale of key mineral resources to the U.S. [1][3] Group 1: Strategic Proposals - Pakistan's military advisors have proposed the construction of a port in Pasni with an initial budget of $1.2 billion, aimed at facilitating the transport of critical minerals like copper and antimony [1][3] - The port project is designed to complement a new railway system to efficiently transport these resources, which are in high demand in the U.S. [1][3] Group 2: Geopolitical Implications - The proposed port construction is not just an economic initiative but could significantly impact regional geopolitical dynamics, potentially balancing the influence of Gwadar port, which is backed by China [3][9] - Supporters argue that this move allows Pakistan to hedge its complex international relationships with major players like the U.S., China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia [3][9] Group 3: Current Status and Developments - The port proposal has not yet been formalized as an official policy, as discussions have been private and not submitted through official channels [5] - U.S. companies are already engaging with Pakistan, as evidenced by a memorandum signed between a Missouri-based strategic metals company and the Pakistani military to establish a refining facility [5] Group 4: Long-term Considerations - The development of a complete rare earth industry requires long-term investment and technological development, indicating that Pakistan is becoming a strategic player in the U.S. efforts to reduce reliance on China for rare earth resources [7][9] - The relationship between China and Pakistan remains strong, but the dynamics may shift as Pakistan navigates its interests with both superpowers [7][9]
欧盟依赖中国稀土供应,明确告诉特朗普:会自主决定是否对华加税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-01 13:50
Group 1 - The core strategy of the Trump administration to impose tariffs on China has been effectively countered, as allies like Japan and the EU have rejected these demands [1][3] - The EU has asserted its autonomy in tariff decisions, indicating that U.S. requests are aimed at pressuring Russia rather than addressing trade issues with China [3] - China's dominance in critical resources, particularly rare earth metals, has created a significant dependency for the EU, which is reflected in a 21% increase in rare earth exports to the EU, reaching 2,582 tons in August [5][6] Group 2 - The EU's manufacturing sector is facing challenges due to supply shortages of critical materials, with seven production interruptions reported in August attributed to insufficient raw materials [5] - The EU's reliance on China for rare earth elements is stark, with nearly 100% of its rare earth imports coming from China, highlighting vulnerabilities in the supply chain [5][6] - In response to U.S. tariffs, China has implemented export controls on key rare earth materials, impacting European automotive manufacturers and leading to production delays [6][8] Group 3 - The geopolitical dynamics between the U.S., EU, and China are illustrated by the rare earth supply chain, as the EU must balance its industrial needs against U.S. pressure [8] - The EU's aspirations to be a significant player outside of U.S.-China relations are jeopardized if its high-end industries continue to suffer from external pressures [8]
31国向中国稀土“宣战”,绞尽脑汁憋出4招,没想到正中中方下怀
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 11:28
能复制的。" 国际经贸专家警告,西方当前的对抗策略无异于"经济自残"。在新能源革命加速的今天,与中国建立稳定的稀土贸易关系,才是确保产业链 安全的明智之举。这场稀土博弈的最终结局,或许早在中国的产业布局中就已注定。 分析人士指出,31国内部立场分歧严重,政策协调面临巨大挑战。更危险的是,这些措施可能适得其反:关税战会推高西方企业成本,限价 政策可能招致中方反制。中国已着手开拓新兴市场,并建立战略储备体系,随时可以调整供应策略。 全球稀土争夺战进入白热化阶段!G7和欧盟31国近日密谋四招,试图打破中国在稀土领域的垄断地位。然而专家分析指出,这些措施不仅难 以撼动中国的主导地位,反而可能让西方国家陷入更严重的供应链危机。 数据不会说谎:即便其他国家开采出稀土矿石,仍需要运往中国进行加工。这种技术壁垒让美欧此前的替代尝试全部折戟——美国本土开采 计划因资本冷遇而搁浅,欧盟的太空采矿构想更是天方夜谭。中国稀土联盟负责人表示:"我们拥有从矿山到工厂的完整生态,这不是短期 最新情报显示,西方国家正在推动四项关键措施:加强外资监管限制对华投资、设定本地稀土采购配额、对中国稀土加征关税和碳税、模仿 美国设定稀土价格下限。但现 ...
中国稀土暴增660%背后,美国军工库存告急!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 02:31
Core Viewpoint - China's export of rare earth magnets to the U.S. surged by 660% in June, reaching 353 tons, highlighting the strategic leverage China holds over U.S. military and industrial sectors [1][3]. Group 1: Military Implications - The F-35 fighter jet requires 417 kg of rare earth materials, while Virginia-class submarines consume around 4 tons, indicating a heavy reliance on these materials for military capabilities [3]. - U.S. defense contractors like Lockheed Martin and Raytheon are facing production halts due to a lack of rare earth supplies, with Raytheon reportedly having only 90 days of stock left for critical components [3]. - The U.S. government's attempts to boost domestic rare earth production have been ineffective, as local processing capabilities remain significantly lower than China's, with a cost disadvantage of 2.3 times [3][10]. Group 2: Civilian Market Impact - Tesla's production costs have increased by $2,200 per vehicle due to the need to switch to alternative materials, while Apple has delayed the release of the iPhone 17 due to shortages of rare earth components [6]. - Boeing's production line for the 787 aircraft has come to a standstill, resulting in a 12% drop in stock price, underscoring the critical role of rare earth materials in the aerospace sector [6]. Group 3: Strategic Responses - The U.S. Department of Commerce has quietly removed 11 Chinese semiconductor companies from the entity list in an effort to secure rare earth supplies, which has been criticized as a strategic capitulation [8]. - China has demonstrated a significant technological advantage in rare earth processing, achieving a purity level of 99.9999% in certain materials, far exceeding U.S. capabilities [8][10]. - The U.S. Senate is pushing for legislation to reduce reliance on Chinese rare earths to 30% by 2027, but this has faced opposition from major companies like Tesla and General Motors, who warn of potential industry collapse [13]. Group 4: Future Projections - The demand for rare earth materials is expected to increase by 300% by 2026, driven by advancements in technologies such as humanoid robots, with Chinese companies already securing 90% of the necessary magnet orders [11][13]. - China's strategic initiatives include patent registrations and the establishment of environmental standards that could disadvantage foreign competitors, further solidifying its dominance in the rare earth market [13][15].
中国送出稀土大礼包,美国却回赠三记闷棍,逼中国付出更高代价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 20:21
Group 1 - China's rare earth exports to the U.S. surged by 75% in July, reaching 5,577 tons, marking a record high for the year [3][5] - The U.S. relies heavily on Chinese rare earths, which are essential for high-tech products, with China controlling 90% of global rare earth processing capacity [3][5] - The increase in exports from May to July shows a clear trend of growing dependence of the U.S. on Chinese rare earths [5] Group 2 - The U.S. responded to China's goodwill with aggressive actions, labeling China as a "hostile nation" and imposing sanctions on Chinese companies [5][11] - The U.S. Treasury Department sanctioned two Chinese companies under the pretext of aiding Iran, reflecting a strategy to intimidate other nations from engaging with China [9][11] - The U.S. has also targeted Chinese students, subjecting them to unreasonable questioning upon arrival, indicating a broader strategy to disrupt people-to-people exchanges [11][25] Group 3 - The U.S. government's approach towards China has shifted from cooperation to confrontation, with bipartisan consensus on viewing China as a significant threat [19][28] - Historical parallels are drawn to Japan's experience in the 1980s, suggesting that the U.S. may react similarly to perceived threats from China [17][19] - The U.S. is increasingly anxious about China's technological and industrial capabilities, as evidenced by its contradictory actions of seeking rare earths while imposing sanctions [19][26] Group 4 - China has responded to U.S. actions with a clear strategy, emphasizing the importance of international law and the protection of its citizens' rights [21][25] - In the financial sector, China has shifted its assets, including repatriating 4,110 tons of gold and selling $41.3 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds, indicating a strategic realignment [21][22] - China's advancements in technology, such as Huawei's chip performance and agreements with Russia for energy trade, demonstrate its resilience against U.S. sanctions [22][26]
无视中国禁令!美国买通两个内鬼,不到4个月运走中国4000吨稀土
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 12:14
Core Insights - The article highlights the ongoing issue of U.S. attempts to circumvent China's export restrictions on rare earth elements, with reports of 4,000 tons being smuggled out of China through intermediaries [1][4][6]. Group 1: Importance of Rare Earth Elements - Rare earth elements are crucial for various industries, including smartphones, computers, electric vehicles, and advanced military equipment [3]. - China holds 23% of the world's rare earth reserves but accounts for over 60% of global production, making it a key player in this market [3]. Group 2: U.S. Actions and Strategies - Despite China's export controls implemented in December, the U.S. has sought ways to bypass these regulations by employing intermediaries based in Hong Kong and Singapore [4][6]. - The smuggled 4,000 tons of rare earths are valued at approximately $200 million, sufficient for U.S. military production for several months [8]. Group 3: China's Response and Future Strategies - In light of these developments, China plans to enhance its export control system to close potential loopholes and prevent further smuggling [12]. - The country aims to upgrade its rare earth industry by moving up the value chain, focusing on deep processing and high-value products, making it harder for the U.S. to rely on Chinese resources [12].
打法变了,稀土对美国开放,特朗普忙活180天,给中国做了嫁衣
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 11:34
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant shift in the U.S.-China trade dynamics, particularly regarding rare earth elements, where the U.S. military-industrial complex is increasingly reliant on China for essential materials [2][4][6] - On August 12, a new agreement was reached between the U.S. and China, extending a tariff truce for 90 days while maintaining a 10% tariff, indicating a tactical retreat from both sides [4][6] - The U.S. defense sector is facing severe supply chain disruptions due to China's control over rare earth elements, with prices for certain elements skyrocketing, leading to production slowdowns in critical military projects [8][10] Group 2 - The U.S. Department of Defense reports that 87% of key military equipment relies on Chinese rare earths, highlighting the strategic vulnerability of the U.S. military [10][12] - The U.S. government has attempted to mitigate this dependency by providing subsidies to domestic companies, but these efforts have proven inadequate compared to China's production capabilities [12][14] - China's dominance in rare earth production is underscored by its control over 90% of the global refining capacity, making it a critical player in the supply chain [16][18] Group 3 - The article discusses the strategic implications of the tariff truce, suggesting that the remaining 10% tariff serves as leverage for the U.S. while China uses its rare earth control to maintain influence over U.S. military operations [20][22] - The ongoing trade dynamics are reshaping international trade rules, with emerging markets increasingly engaging in trade with China using local currencies, indicating a shift away from dollar dependency [24][26] - The article concludes that the trade war initiated by the Trump administration has inadvertently strengthened China's position in the global supply chain for rare earths, solidifying its role as a strategic resource provider [26]