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前三季度新增就业1057万人 下一步稳就业这样发力
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-29 12:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the stability of employment in China, with 10.57 million new urban jobs created in the first three quarters of 2023, and a slight decrease in the urban survey unemployment rate to 5.2% in September [1] - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security has implemented various employment support policies, including a reduction in unemployment insurance fees that saved enterprises 138.4 billion yuan, and the issuance of 19.6 billion yuan in wage retention funds [1] - The "Three Supports and One Assistance" program for college graduates has recruited 42,500 personnel, exceeding the central government's recruitment plan by over 8,000 [1] Group 2 - The government is focusing on creating a supportive environment for entrepreneurship to drive employment, including a four-part support system for entrepreneurship that encompasses training, services, incubation, and activities [2] - Special loans for job retention and expansion have been introduced, with a maximum credit limit of 50 million yuan for enterprises and 10 million yuan for individuals, alongside tax incentives and fee reductions for small businesses and key groups [2] - Labor brands have emerged as significant contributors to employment, with nearly 60 million people employed through these brands, which are being developed to enhance quality and integration into industries [2] Group 3 - Future initiatives will focus on the high-quality development of labor brands, including skill development and organized labor output, with policies in place for vocational training subsidies and employment service support [3] - Tax and loan interest subsidies will be available for individuals involved in innovative entrepreneurship within labor brands [3]
十五五规划建议:强化逆周期和跨周期调节,实施更加积极的宏观政策,持续稳增长、稳就业、稳预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 09:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the release of the "Suggestions on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, emphasizing the need to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness and promote an economy driven by domestic demand and consumption [1] Group 1: Economic Governance - The document highlights the importance of strengthening the strategic guiding role of national development planning [1] - It calls for better coordination between fiscal and monetary policies to enhance overall economic governance [1] - The need to leverage various policies, including industry, price, employment, consumption, investment, trade, regional, environmental, and regulatory policies, is emphasized to foster a more domestically driven economic model [1] Group 2: Macroeconomic Policies - The article advocates for stronger counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments to implement more proactive macroeconomic policies [1] - It stresses the importance of maintaining stable growth, employment, and expectations through consistent macro policy orientation [1] - The need for enhanced evaluation of policy implementation effectiveness and the establishment of a sound expectation management mechanism is also mentioned [1] Group 3: High-Quality Development - The document underscores the importance of optimizing the comprehensive performance assessment for high-quality development [1]
管涛:美联储降息的溢出效应与中国政策应对
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 10:46
Group 1: Federal Reserve Policy Adjustments - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy adjustments are becoming a focal point for global financial markets, with increasing expectations for interest rate cuts due to a growing disconnect between economic data and actual economic sentiment [1] - In September 2025, the Federal Reserve initiated its first interest rate cut of the year, signaling a shift in focus from controlling inflation to stabilizing employment amid a cooling labor market [4][5] - The Federal Reserve's dual mandate is under pressure, with Chairman Powell indicating that the risks of inflation have diminished while the risks to employment have increased, suggesting a need for policy adjustments [4][5] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Predictions - The U.S. economy exhibited characteristics of stagflation, with GDP contracting by 0.6% in Q1 2025, marking the first negative growth in three years, followed by a strong rebound in Q2 with a revised GDP growth rate of 3.8% [2][3] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts a slowdown in U.S. economic growth from 2.8% in 2024 to 2.0% in 2025, with inflation expected to rise in the latter half of the year due to tariff impacts [3] - Employment data from ADP indicated a decline of 32,000 jobs in September, reinforcing concerns about the labor market and increasing market expectations for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [6][7] Group 3: Global Economic Impact - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to reshape global capital flows and create a more favorable policy environment for non-U.S. economies, as a weaker dollar may lead to a rebalancing of investments [9][10] - Emerging markets are likely to benefit from a declining dollar, historically outperforming developed markets during such periods, which could enhance relative returns [9] - The Federal Reserve's actions may provide a "policy window" for China, allowing for more flexible monetary policy while maintaining a focus on domestic economic conditions [10] Group 4: Strategies for China - In response to the spillover effects of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, China should prioritize domestic economic stability while being prepared for external volatility, utilizing a comprehensive policy framework to manage capital flows and currency stability [11] - The IMF suggests that emerging markets, including China, should prepare for potential economic scenarios and develop preemptive policy responses to enhance readiness and credibility [11] - Chinese investors should remain cautious of market volatility stemming from U.S. economic uncertainties and the potential for abrupt shifts in Federal Reserve policy [12][13]
二十届四中全会公报学习体会学习体会:“夯实基础、全面发力”
Bank of China Securities· 2025-10-24 01:47
Economic Development Goals - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for significant improvements in economic strength, technological capability, national defense, and international influence by 2035, with a target of achieving a per capita GDP at the level of moderately developed countries[3] - The focus is on solidifying the foundation and making comprehensive efforts in advanced manufacturing and new productive forces as key areas for future economic development[2] Consumption and Investment Strategies - The meeting emphasizes the importance of boosting consumption and expanding effective investment, with a strategic focus on building a strong domestic market[2] - It highlights the need to combine "investment in goods and investment in people," suggesting that effective investment in innovation can drive new consumer demand[2] - The government plans to enhance residents' income levels as a fundamental basis for increasing consumer spending, indicating that income growth will be a key driver of consumption during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period[2] Policy Implementation and Economic Stability - The meeting stresses the need to achieve annual economic and social development goals, focusing on stabilizing employment, enterprises, and market expectations[2] - Macro policies are expected to continue to exert force, with a recent announcement of 500 billion yuan allocated to local governments from debt limits, indicating ongoing fiscal support[2] - The "steady real estate" policy is anticipated to yield positive effects, contributing to overall economic stability[2] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include overseas recession and uncertainties in geopolitical relations, which could impact economic performance[2]
四中全会强调:坚决实现全年经济社会发展目标
第一财经· 2025-10-23 09:40
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of achieving the annual economic and social development goals set by the Chinese Communist Party, focusing on stabilizing employment, businesses, markets, and expectations to maintain the economic foundation and promote recovery momentum [1] Group 1: Economic Stability Measures - The meeting highlighted the need for macro policies to continue to exert force and to be adjusted as necessary, ensuring the implementation of enterprise support policies and special actions to boost consumption [1] - It is crucial to safeguard the "three guarantees" at the grassroots level and to actively and prudently resolve local government debt risks [1] Group 2: Employment and Social Welfare - The meeting stressed the importance of ensuring livelihood security through multiple channels, enhancing job stability for key groups, and increasing efforts to rectify wage arrears [1] - There is a focus on improving basic public services and addressing urgent issues faced by the public, particularly in disaster recovery and ensuring warmth for affected populations during winter [1] Group 3: Safety and Stability - The meeting underscored the necessity of ensuring safety in production and maintaining stability, with a strong emphasis on accountability for safety production and strict enforcement of regulatory systems to prevent major accidents [1] - It also called for comprehensive supervision of food and drug safety, conflict resolution, and the legal crackdown on various crimes, alongside effective public opinion guidance to mitigate ideological risks [1]
博时市场点评10月20日:三大指数上涨,创业板涨近2%
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-10-20 08:36
Economic Overview - The GDP for the first three quarters of 2025 is reported at 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [2] - In September, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.5% year-on-year and 0.64% month-on-month [2] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in September reached 41,971 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.0% [2] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) for the first three quarters was 3,715.35 billion yuan, down 0.5% year-on-year, with real estate development investment decreasing by 13.9% [2] Market Performance - The A-share market saw an increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,863.89 points, up 0.63%, and the ChiNext Index rising by 1.98% to 2,993.45 points [5] - The communication, coal, and electric equipment sectors led the gains, with increases of 3.21%, 3.04%, and 1.54% respectively [5] - The market turnover was 17,514.91 billion yuan, showing a decline compared to the previous trading day [6] Real Estate Sector - In September, the housing prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities showed a mixed trend, with first-tier cities experiencing a month-on-month decline of 0.3% [3][4] - The year-on-year decline in new residential prices in first-tier cities was 0.7%, indicating a narrowing of the decline compared to the previous month [3][4] - The real estate market remains under pressure, with buyer sentiment still cautious, although there are signs of price stabilization due to ongoing policy support [4] Monetary Policy - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for one year remains at 3.0% and for five years or more at 3.5%, unchanged since May [2] - The current low interest rates for both corporate and personal loans are expected to support economic stability [3] Future Outlook - The upcoming 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session is anticipated to provide insights into the 14th Five-Year Plan, which may influence market sentiment [1] - The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions are expected to impact global trade and China's exports, necessitating continued efforts for economic stability and job security [3]
国家统计局:要推动更加积极有为的宏观政策落地增效 着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-20 02:33
Core Viewpoint - The overall economic performance in the first three quarters shows stability and progress, with effective high-quality development measures being implemented [1] Economic Indicators - Major macroeconomic indicators remain stable, indicating a steady economic operation with positive developments [1] - The need for further consolidation of the economic recovery foundation is emphasized due to existing risks and challenges [1] Policy Recommendations - The next phase should focus on implementing more proactive macro policies to enhance effectiveness [1] - Key areas of focus include stabilizing employment, businesses, markets, and expectations to promote sustainable and healthy economic development [1]
43岁也能考公了,机会多了VS竞争大了?
21世纪经济报道· 2025-10-17 12:55
最近,2026年国考公告正式发布,一年一度的"公考大戏"拉开帷幕了,今年有一个重大变化 ——35岁不再是考公的门槛,报考年龄放宽到38周岁,应届硕博更是放宽到43岁以下! 38岁的门槛,确实给了更多人希望,报考池子里瞬间涌进更多"80后"。这背后到底释放了什 么信号?是机会来了,还是竞争更激烈了?今天咱们就来把这次国考重大变化彻底讲清楚。 首先,我们先聊聊为什么国家要这么做呢? 背后的逻辑其实是延迟退休。 你发现没有?年龄放宽的节奏,正好和"渐进式延迟退休"对上 了。上海、江苏、四川、山东等地已陆续放宽事业编和公务员报考年龄,这其实是顺应趋 势,把公务员队伍的"入口"和"出口"重新对齐,为更多有经验的社会人才提供机会,为政府部 门带来更多样化的社会阅历和专业视角。 但机会多了,竞争也会更激烈。 一个必须要留意的事实是,2026年国考计划招录3.81万人,较2025年减少约1600人,这是 近 十年来首次出现明显缩招趋势 。不过可以理解,恰恰是因为前几年的扩招,国家公务员队伍 已经相对稳定,所以2026年招录缩减也在很多人意料之中。但对于考生们来说,高校毕业生 人数还在增长,且全社会就业形势依然复杂,2026年 ...
以就业之稳夯实民生之本
Liao Ning Ri Bao· 2025-10-17 01:05
Core Viewpoint - The employment market in Liaoning, China, is thriving despite external challenges, with a focus on expanding job opportunities and improving employment quality through new industries and technologies [1][2][3][4] Group 1: Employment Growth - Liaoning's urban new employment figures rose from 462,000 in 2022 to 486,200 in 2024, with 2.284 million new urban jobs created by the end of August this year, exceeding the target of 2.1 million by 108.8% [1] - The province has implemented the "Spring Warmth Liao-Shen" initiative for four consecutive years, providing financial support and policy relief to stabilize employment, resulting in 1,088.1 million job positions being maintained [2] Group 2: Youth Employment Initiatives - Special recruitment events targeting college graduates are being organized, focusing on key industries and projects to facilitate job matching, with advanced technologies like "AI portraits" being utilized [2] - The trend of retaining young talent in Liaoning is being reinforced through targeted recruitment efforts [2] Group 3: Innovative Employment Models - New entrepreneurial initiatives, such as the "Journey of Life" entrepreneurial street, are being developed to attract young entrepreneurs and create job opportunities [3] - The number of labor service brands in the province has increased from 40 to 142, generating employment for 850,000 people through skill training and industry collaboration [3] Group 4: Community Employment Support - The establishment of 609 "Comfortable Employment" service stations has made job services more accessible, helping 390,000 individuals facing employment difficulties find jobs since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4] - Community-based employment events have successfully connected local residents with job opportunities, enhancing the overall employment landscape [4]
35岁天花板,终于破了
首席商业评论· 2025-10-16 04:09
Core Viewpoint - The relaxation of the age limit for civil service examinations from 35 to 38 years signals a significant shift in employment policies, reflecting the changing demographics and labor market dynamics in China [5][11]. Group 1: Age Limit Changes - The age limit for civil service recruitment has been raised from 35 to 38 years, with some regions extending it to 40 or even 45 years for specific positions [5][7]. - The initial 35-year age limit was established in 1994, primarily to promote youth in leadership roles, but has become outdated as the average age of the labor force has risen significantly [8][10]. - The average age of the labor force in China has increased from 32.25 years to 39.72 years between 2022, indicating a demographic shift that necessitates policy adjustments [8][10]. Group 2: Implications of the Policy Change - The recent policy changes are part of a broader initiative to ensure equal employment rights and eliminate age discrimination, as emphasized in the "24 Measures" for stabilizing employment [11]. - The removal of the 35-year age limit is expected to set a precedent for further reforms, potentially leading to the elimination of age barriers in various sectors [11][12]. - The 35-year age limit disproportionately affects the 80s and 90s generations, which constitute a significant portion of the workforce, highlighting the importance of their employment stability for overall economic health [12][15]. Group 3: Labor Market Dynamics - The 80s and 90s generations, totaling over 400 million people, are crucial to the current employment landscape, making up a significant share of the workforce [12][15]. - This demographic is characterized by a high employment rate among individuals aged 30 to 49, with those aged 30 to 39 representing 27.6% of the workforce [15]. - The stability of employment for these age groups is essential for maintaining social stability and economic growth, as they are the most experienced and adaptable to market changes [15].