以下文章来源于画不多说 ，作者懂私募的灵魂画手 画不多说 . 话不多说，画多说。用最通俗易懂的方式，讲述私募的故事。 提到"分红"，大多数投资者脑海中浮现的第一个画面， 是 我们买了 一 只 红利股， 然后像地主收租一样，坐等每年获得稳定的现金回 报。 能持续稳定分红的公司，通常经营稳健、现金流充沛，是公司盈利能力的体现。 站在投资人角度，分红后股价会进行"除息"，股价下降，所以其实总资产并没有发生变化。 这么看， 分红 ，并没有带来额外的收益 ，而是一个【从左口袋到右口袋】的资金转移过程。 但这笔钱落袋为安，是实打实的真金白银到手。 所以有很多人喜欢买高分红的公司，为的是稳定的现金流和稳健的盈利增长。 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 私募基金分红，也是如此吗？ 这篇我们来详细了解下， 什么是 基金 的 分红 、分红有哪些形式、以及分红对咱买了的人有什么好处呢。 首先，到底什么是【基金分红】？ 基金能够分红， 意味着基金本身是盈利的——有可以进行分配的收益。 换句话说，基金亏损状态，是不会分红的哦。 分红时，我们买的人会有两种选择：现金分红、红利再投。 现金分红 ： 收益分配之后，分红资金到手了，但基金 ...

以下文章来源于懒汉养基 ，作者懒人养基 懒汉养基 . 懒人养基小号【懒汉养基】。主号【懒人养基】专注于基金投资，小号【懒汉养基】则记录并小范围分享自己个人成长、投资理财、旅行旅居、读书休 闲、健身养生等方面的一些思考、感悟和经历。感兴趣的朋友欢迎关注。 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 懒人养基 来源：雪球 在投资者认知里，"高风险高收益"几乎是条铁律，每当牛市来临，那些翻倍基金的神话总让人血脉贲张，仿佛只要咬牙承受波动，财富自由就在对 岸向你招手。 然而，一轮牛熊下来，绝大多数追着高波动奔跑的投资者，最终到手的不是高收益，而是伤痕累累的本金和一颗千疮百孔的心。 01 高收益的幻影：看得见却"吃"不着 高波动资产的"高收益"是一种统计结果，但它建立在一个前提之上：投资者全程持有、不动如山。 可现实中，绝大多数人根本做不到。行为金融学早已揭示了这个真相：投资者在亏损时感受到的痛苦，是盈利时快乐的两倍。这种不对称的心理机 制，注定了我们会在最不该撤退时落荒而逃，在最不该贪婪时奋不顾身。一只年化收益20%的基金，如果中 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses unexpected investment strategies that have been adopted by some funds, particularly focusing on the performance of the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) and its impact on fund returns [4]. - Funds heavily invested in BSE stocks, such as Xinghua Jingcheng Mixed Fund, Tongtai Kaitai Mixed Fund, and Tongtai Yuanjian Mixed Fund, have shown significant short-term performance due to the BSE's recent outperformance compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [5][6]. - The BSE has a 30% limit on price fluctuations, which, combined with its lower liquidity compared to the main board, results in higher volatility for funds employing this strategy. This limits the scale of such funds, making it challenging for larger companies to participate [7]. Group 2 - The article introduces the concept of global rotation, where funds adjust their market allocations across different regions, such as A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. stocks. An example is the Chuangjin Hexin Global Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Fund, which has successfully adjusted its allocations this year, particularly reducing Hong Kong stocks and increasing U.S. stocks [8][9]. - Some sectors or themes may be more suitable for global rotation strategies, indicating potential for more products to explore this approach [9]. - The article also mentions ETF rotation strategies, particularly among funds of funds (FOFs) like Guotai Industry Rotation Stock Fund, which can engage in ETF rotation despite having limited positions [10][11]. - FOF products capable of ETF rotation tend to exhibit higher volatility compared to their peers, often ranking at both ends of the performance spectrum, which requires not only skill but also a strong mindset from investors [12].

以下文章来源于大马哈投资 ，作者我叫大马哈 大马哈投资 . 雪球2021年度基金影响力账号，做专业靠谱有深度的基金研究 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 大马哈投资 来源：雪球 过去几年 " 红利为王 " 的市场背景使得红利资产从几年前的 小众策略 进入到 " 无人不知无人不晓 " 的阶段 。 尽管去年9.24以来投资者风险偏好提升 ， 市场风格转为成长 ， 但投资者对红利资产的配置热情依旧不减 ， 红利类基金规模维持着快速的增长 。 尤其是最近一段时间 ， 随着市场波动的加大 ， 投资者们对红利资产的配置价值的讨论明显增多 。 不过 ， 在配置红利类资产的过程中 ， 很多投资者也会出现各种疑问 ， 比如该什么时候配置红利 ？ 市面上红利类指数这么多 ， 该如何选 ？ 哪 只红利类指数长期会表现最好 ？ 等类似林林总总的问题 ， 关于大家的这些疑问 ， 今天咱们就来聊聊这些大家关注度颇高的问题 。 一 、 红利投资并非坦途 尽管红利投资很受欢迎 ， 但客观来说红利投资并非坦途 。 先说红利指数的投资时点 ， 尽管 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The three major indices collectively adjusted, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.55%, Shenzhen Component Index down 1.1%, and ChiNext Index down 1.77% [2] - The total market turnover was 1.79 trillion yuan, a decrease of 324.6 billion yuan from the previous day, with nearly 3,000 stocks in the red [2] Group 2: Liquor Industry - The liquor sector rebounded, with stocks like Huangtai Liquor and Jinzongzi Liquor hitting the daily limit, and Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye rising by 0.38% and 0.76% respectively [4] - Moutai's provincial distributors held a meeting to discuss the 2026 distribution strategy, focusing on three core products with price anchors set at 600 yuan+, 1500 yuan+, and 2000 yuan+ [6] - Following this news, the price of Moutai has seen a significant increase, with the price of a single bottle reaching 1580 yuan and the original box surpassing 1600 yuan [7] - Guizhou Moutai emphasized a demand-driven approach and channel resilience, with future strategies expected to be announced around December 28 [8] Group 3: Retail Sector - The retail sector showed strength, with several stocks like Quanxinhao and Baida Group hitting the daily limit, and Baida Group achieving three consecutive daily limits [10] - From January to November, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 4.56067 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.0% [12] - The Ministry of Commerce plans to enhance collaboration with financial institutions to support consumption and retail sector transformation, aiming to create a robust domestic market [12] Group 4: Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector remains hot, with stocks like Aerospace Mechatronics hitting the daily limit [14] - SpaceX is preparing for an IPO, with its valuation reportedly reaching 800 billion dollars, doubling from earlier this year [16] - China's new reusable rocket, Long March 12A, is set for its first launch in December 2025, aiming for successful recovery and orbit insertion [16] - The commercial aerospace market in China is projected to approach 10 trillion yuan by 2030, indicating significant growth potential [17]

以下文章来源于六亿居士 ，作者六亿居士 六亿居士 . 雪球2024年度十大影响力用户。每周发布指数估值表，坚持指数基金(ETF)低估定投，分享指数基金基础分析，让我们：买入有依，持有有底，卖出有 据。 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：六亿居士 来源：雪球 每年12月的第二个星期五的下一交易日 ， 是大部分指数的年度调仓日 。 如果平常注意指数编制规则 ， 我相信对此会有较深印象 。 今天正是这样的一个调仓日 ， 收盘之后不少指数的样本将发生变化 ， 指数的估值情况 、 行业分布 ， 也会随之产生一些调整 。 01 这几天 ， 我们可能会看到一些批判的声音 。 比如 ： 上证50又追涨杀跌啦 ， 沪深300纳入了某些涨幅巨大的科技股 ， 市值规模指数怎么剔除 了某个跌了很久的大白马 ？ 而与之相对的 ， 一些策略指数因为编制特性 ， 会出现高抛低吸的状态 。 比如红利类指数基于编制策略 ， 会剔除股息率下降较大的成份股 ， 纳入股息率较高的成份股 ， 从而完成指数的新老更替 。 这些现象 ， 本身并不假 ， 但如果 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the differences in investment experiences between the Chinese A-share market and the US stock market, highlighting the challenges of timing the market in A-shares compared to the more stable performance of US stocks [3][4][6]. Group 1: Market Performance Comparison - Over the past 20 years, the annualized returns of the CSI 300 and the S&P 500 have been similar, around 8%-9% [3]. - Despite similar returns, investors feel that making money in the US stock market is easier due to its relatively stable performance [4][6]. - The A-share market experiences significant volatility, with most returns concentrated in short bursts, making it difficult for investors to profit without precise timing [9][10]. Group 2: Challenges of Market Timing - Market timing is inherently difficult due to unpredictable short-term fluctuations influenced by sudden events, emotions, and policies [19]. - Successful market timing requires a strong psychological disposition, as it involves buying during significant downturns and selling during peaks, which is challenging for most investors [21][28]. - Ordinary investors lack the advantages that institutional investors have in terms of information, research capabilities, and tools, making it harder for them to time the market effectively [28]. Group 3: Strategies for Investment - To navigate the difficulties of market timing, the article suggests focusing on investment strategies that yield stable and consistent returns over time, reducing the need for precise timing [30][32]. - A diversified approach across different assets and strategies can help ensure that some components of the portfolio remain effective regardless of market conditions, leading to smoother returns [39][47]. - The "Snowball Three-Point Method" is highlighted as a strategy that emphasizes asset diversification and the use of various fund strategies to mitigate risks and enhance long-term returns [47].

以下文章来源于思想钢印 ，作者思想钢印 思想钢印 . 雪球2020年度十大影响力用户，私募基金经理 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：思想钢印9999 来源：雪球 01 有时胆小 ， 有时烂赌 ？ 来看两个投资中常见的现象 ： 现象一 ： 大部分散户 ， 盈利的持仓拿不住 ， 小盈即止 ， 亏损的持仓死里拿 ， 大亏出局 现象二 ： 指数经历了一段时间的单边下跌后 ， 会渐渐止跌 ， 在一个区域内震荡 ， 由于基本面并没有大的变化 ， 市场普遍认为估值合理 、 调 整到位 ， 但此时会出现再次下跌 。 现象一是个体投资行为 ， 现象二是市场整体特征 ， 但这两个现象之间存在一定的因果关系 ， 是个人行为经过集体共振后放大为市场的波动特征 很久没有行业金融学系列文章了 ， 本周就来聊一聊这两者的关系 ， 看完本文 ， 你能 ： 。 1 、 对自己的投资行为偏差产生的原因 ， 有更清醒的认识 2 、 对市场在某个典型阶段的走势 ， 有一定的预见性 这两个现象都涉及行为经济学中的 " 损失厌恶 " ， 这门学科喜欢用做实 ...

↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：张翼轸 来源：雪球 已经来到了 2025 年的 12 月 ， 转眼 2025 年即将翻篇 。 毫无疑问 ， 2025 年对于绝大多数行业均衡流的基金经理而言 ， 并不是一个太过于惬意的年份 。 尤其是如果将跑赢万得偏股型基金指数作为基金的目标的话 ， 那么能够实现的恐怕就并不太多了 —— 尤其是主观型非量化的行业均衡类基金 。 但我依然觉得 ， 即使他们今年可能没有跑赢万得偏股型基金指数 ， 但只要跑输的不太多 (轻微跑赢那么更好) 。 对于这些基金经理依然是值得珍 惜 ， 值得关注 。 行业均衡流基金 ， 顾名思义 ， 也就是在行业上没有过于集中的暴露 。 下面这张图可以看到 ， 如果我们以万得偏股型基金指数作为标杆的话 ， 前11 个月一共是上涨了29.23% 。 那么在万得31个一级行业指数中 ， 能够跑赢万得偏股型基金指数的行业一共有多少个 ？ 我数了一下 ， 区区只有7个 ， 分别是有色金属 、 电子 、 综合 、 电力设备传媒 、 通信 ， 还有机械设备 。 这意味着 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall market performance in the current year has been positive, with most stocks experiencing an increase, but there is significant differentiation based on fundamentals [4] Group 1: Market Performance - The cyclical industries are facing weak overall demand, while some sectors benefit from positive changes on the supply side, showing signs of profit recovery [4] - The real estate sector continues to see both volume and price declines, with over half of the companies reporting losses in the first three quarters [4] - The liquor industry is also experiencing structural demand decline, with many companies reporting rare negative profit growth in a single quarter [4] - Banks are showing weak cyclical characteristics, but have achieved positive returns this year due to a favorable interest margin [4] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The differentiation in the stock market has led to varied performance among fund managers, with the current portfolio showing slower growth [5] - The focus has been on learning about sectors like AI, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which occupy a significant portion of research time [5] - The portfolio has not changed much, indicating a low turnover rate, suggesting that new knowledge has not been effectively integrated into investment decisions [5] Group 3: Investment Philosophy - Understanding the valuation of a stock is complex and can be both quantitative and qualitative [6] - The concept of "weight" in stocks is emphasized, where long-term dividend discounting plays a crucial role in valuation [6] - The distinction between "derivative" and "integral" investment philosophies is highlighted, with each having its own merits and challenges [6] Group 4: Risk Assessment - The value of an investment can be compared to a chicken's ability to lay eggs, where various uncertainties exist regarding its future productivity [7] - The importance of negative imagination in investment decisions is stressed, as it can help mitigate potential losses [7] Group 5: Long-term Perspective - The overall returns for investors in the secondary market are derived from total dividends minus transaction costs, emphasizing the competitive nature of investment returns [8] - The company has achieved a mixed performance over the past seven years compared to the CSI 300 Total Return Index, with a goal of navigating through market cycles successfully [8]