Group 1 - The market is experiencing increased volatility since December, reflecting a series of important events impacting liquidity and fundamental expectations, leading to a cautious and speculative sentiment among investors [1][27] - The recent Federal Reserve meeting and the domestic Central Economic Work Conference have set a more favorable overall tone than market expectations, laying a good foundation for a potential market rally [1][32] - The U.S. employment and inflation data released this week did not trigger further pessimism, instead providing more room for the Fed to consider further easing, with the November unemployment rate slightly rising and CPI data significantly below expectations [1][30] Group 2 - Japan's recent interest rate hike of 25 basis points did not lead to the anticipated liquidity shock from carry trade unwinding, as market expectations were already priced in [4][30] - The Bank of Japan's governor indicated that further data would be needed before making additional rate decisions, suggesting a cautious approach moving forward [4][30] - The convergence of various international events affecting liquidity expectations, combined with a supportive domestic policy environment, is expected to shift investor behavior from cautiousness to actively seeking opportunities [6][32] Group 3 - Historical patterns indicate that market rallies often require a catalytic event, with potential signals for the current rally categorized into three types: strong macro policy shifts, year-end market performance stabilization, and early-year market dynamics [7][33] - The current market conditions align with the second category, where strong performance throughout the year leads to a rally after year-end disturbances are resolved [7][33] - Key indicators to watch for potential rally signals include the possibility of interest rate cuts and improvements in fundamental data such as PPI, PMI, and corporate earnings forecasts [17][19] Group 4 - The investment strategy should focus on sectors benefiting from economic recovery and supportive policies, particularly in cyclical industries and new consumption trends [20][22] - High-growth sectors such as AI, renewable energy, and advanced manufacturing are expected to lead the market rally, supported by favorable liquidity conditions and risk appetite [24][22] - The market is anticipated to transition from a balanced style to favoring small-cap and technology growth sectors as the rally progresses [18][24]

中证报中证网讯（记者 王鹤静）展望2026年的AI产业趋势，朱雀基金公募投资部投资副总监、基金经 理陈飞日前发表观点称，AI依旧是资本密集、人才密集、数据密集型的实业，能否形成应用、数据与 模型之间的飞轮效应，是每家AI企业成功的关键。AI将催生更多人机交互范式的创新，进而带动产品 与应用侧的全面革新，AI正大幅提升决策与执行的能力值。随着多模态模型的迭代，AI从最初偏被动 的文本、图片交互，逐步升级为能够识别人类所处的真实世界。AI感知与改变真实世界的能力正在大 幅提升。 基于以上产业趋势，陈飞重点关注以下三大方向： 第一个重点关注的方向是国内科技大厂。陈飞认为，当前AI领域的竞争已不再是单点竞争，而是系统 性竞争，可以概括为科技大厂的"极致协同设计能力"。具体而言，这些AI企业能够对底层芯片、系统、 软件以及上层模型与应用进行同步优化，通过打通产业链上下游，实现性能的巨大飞跃与成本的大幅降 低。海外企业之所以能厚积薄发，核心得益于其一体化打通的AI全栈能力。国内头部部分科技大厂， 同样具备覆盖全产业链上下游的强大AI全栈能力。 第三个重点方向是实体AI，典型的代表是机器人等新型硬件载体的创新。陈飞表示，当 ...

截至2025年12月18日 13:06，中证A500指数(000510)下跌0.44%。成分股方面卫宁健康(300253)领涨 10.18%，美年健康(002044)上涨10.05%，中国卫星(600118)上涨10.00%；天华新能(300390)领跌，东山 精密(002384)、生益科技(600183)跟跌。A500ETF基金(512050)最新报价1.16元。 A500ETF基金紧密跟踪中证A500指数，中证A500指数从各行业选取市值较大、流动性较好的500只证券 作为指数样本，以反映各行业最具代表性上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年11月28日，中证A500指数(000510)前十大权重股分别为宁德时代(300750)、贵州 茅台(600519)、中国平安(601318)、招商银行(600036)、紫金矿业(601899)、中际旭创(300308)、美的集 团(000333)、兴业银行(601166)、新易盛(300502)、长江电力(600900)，前十大权重股合计占比20.04%。 A500ETF基金(512050)，场外联接(华夏中证A500ETF联接A：022430；华夏中证 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a recovery in sentiment following a significant meeting, with expectations for a potential year-end rally driven by structural market dynamics and capital market reforms [1][8]. Market Performance - A-share daily average trading volume increased to 19,530.44 billion yuan from the previous week, marking a rise of 2,568.66 billion yuan [4]. - The ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.74% and 0.84%, respectively, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% during the same period [4]. - Key sectors such as aerospace equipment, communication devices, and electronic chemicals saw significant gains, with increases of 7.89%, 7.81%, and 6.99% respectively [4]. Fund Flows - Institutional and retail investors showed synchronized net inflows into the consumer sector, while there were divergent trends in other sectors [5][6]. - The financing balance increased to 2.48 trillion yuan, reflecting a rise of 196.21 billion yuan, indicating a relatively positive stance on leverage [5]. - Notably, the A500 ETFs attracted significant inflows, with top funds like Huatai-PB and Southern Fund seeing net inflows of 40.33 billion yuan and 37.64 billion yuan respectively [6]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict a potential year-end rally for A-shares, supported by improving liquidity and institutional fund flows [8][9]. - Key sectors expected to perform well in 2026 include AI, advantageous manufacturing, "anti-involution," and structural recovery in domestic demand, with projected net profit growth exceeding 30% [10]. - The macroeconomic environment is anticipated to remain supportive, with a combination of fiscal and monetary policies aimed at enhancing market liquidity [9][10].

Market Overview - A-share market sentiment has improved following a significant meeting, with average daily trading volume increasing to 19,530.44 billion yuan, up by 2,568.66 billion yuan from the previous week [1][3] - The market has shown a mixed performance, with the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.74% and 0.84% respectively, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% [2] Fund Flows - Institutional and retail investors have shown synchronized net inflows into the consumer sector, while there are divergences in other sectors, with institutions reducing exposure to technology and cyclical manufacturing [5] - Northbound capital's average daily trading volume increased to 2,324.71 billion yuan, up by 397.27 billion yuan from the previous week [4] Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest that A-shares may experience a year-end rally, driven by structural market dynamics and capital market reforms [8] - Key sectors expected to perform well in 2026 include AI industry trends, advantageous manufacturing, "anti-involution," and structural recovery in domestic demand, with predicted net profit growth exceeding 30% [11] ETF Trends - There is a notable divergence in ETF fund flows, with broad-based ETFs gaining significant attention, particularly the A500 ETFs, which saw net inflows of 40.33 billion yuan, 37.64 billion yuan, and 20.58 billion yuan from major fund houses [6][7] Future Outlook - The market is anticipated to benefit from continued economic policy support, with expectations of a reasonable growth rate and a favorable liquidity environment for capital markets [9][10] - The focus for 2026 will likely shift towards AI applications, with a significant emphasis on commercial viability and cross-industry investment opportunities [11]

Market Overview - A-share market sentiment has improved following a significant meeting, with average daily trading volume increasing to 19,530.44 billion yuan, up by 2,568.66 billion yuan from the previous week [1][4] - The market has maintained a volatile trend in December, with the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.74% and 0.84% respectively, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% [3] Fund Flows - Institutional and retail investors have shown synchronized net inflows into the consumer sector, while there are divergences in other sectors, with institutions reducing outflows in technology and cyclical manufacturing [6] - Northbound trading volume increased to 2,324.71 billion yuan, up by 397.27 billion yuan from the previous week, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment [5] Sector Performance - The aerospace equipment, communication equipment, and electronic chemicals sectors saw significant gains, with increases of 7.89%, 7.81%, and 6.99% respectively [3] - Conversely, sectors such as coking coal, fisheries, automotive services, oil services, and pharmaceutical commerce experienced declines exceeding 4% [4] Investment Outlook - Institutions anticipate a potential year-end rally in the A-share market, driven by structural market dynamics and capital market reforms [8][9] - Key sectors expected to perform well in 2026 include AI industry trends, advantageous manufacturing, "anti-involution," and structural recovery in domestic demand, with predicted net profit growth exceeding 30% [11] ETF Trends - There is a notable divergence in ETF fund flows, with broad-based ETFs gaining popularity, particularly the A500 ETFs, which attracted significant net inflows [7][8] - The market is expected to see improved liquidity and active trading as institutions reallocate funds towards the end of the year [9]

一、交易提示 12月11日,A股三大股指全天维持震荡下行走势,截止收盘,沪指跌0.7%报3873.32点,深成指跌1.27%报13147.39点,创业板指跌 1.41%报3163.67点,科创50指数跌1.55%报1325.83点;沪深两市成交额1.86万亿,全市场近4400只个股下跌。 年末冲刺窗口，百亿级基金经理持仓变动陆续曝光。半导体方向，嘉实王贵重、永赢张海啸同步加仓普冉股份，兴证全球 谢治宇则减持纳芯微；医药赛道，汇添富张韡新进热景生物，大成徐彦增持普洛药业，操作分歧显露无遗。与此同时，机 构调研热度不减，近一月累计走访1343家公司、超2000次，电子、机械设备等科技制造板块成为"必争之地"，立讯精密单 场吸引近400家机构扎堆。当前市场处于情绪整固与方向抉择阶段，AI产业趋势仍是长期核心，在盈利修复与流动性宽松支 撑下，"慢牛"格局有望延续，资金将从概念炒作逐步转向基本面验证。 二、基金要闻 （1）12月11日新发基金共有3只，主要为混合型基金和股票型基金，其中易方达中证工程机械主题ETF募集目标金额达 80.00亿元亿元；基金分红54只，多为债券型，派发红利最多的基金是汇添富九州通医药仓储物流 ...

岁末将至，A股市场进入跨年布局的关键窗口期。多家头部券商近期密集发布策略研报，围绕跨年行情的启动逻辑、驱动因素及配置方向形成密集研判。 尽管市场对行情强度存在分歧，但多数机构认为，在国内政策窗口期临近、全球流动性宽松预期升温、增量资金持续入场等多重因素共振下，2025年末至 2026年初的跨年行情已具备良好基础，"布局窗口"与"结构性机会"成为研报高频关键词。 （全文2314字，阅读需要8分钟） 记者｜朱开云 摄影｜朱开云 编辑｜朱开云 实习生｜赵涵萱 政策预期成跨年行情支撑逻辑 跨年行情的核心支撑逻辑，首 先源于政策面的明确预期。作为年末最重要的政策风向标，12月召开的中央政治局会议和中央经济工作会议将确定2026年经济发展目标与宏观政策基调， 成为市场凝聚共识的关键催化剂。中信证券在研报中指出，积极财政政策有望成为本次会议亮点，而"反内卷"、促消费、新质生产力等政策方向将直接催 化相关板块行情。中信建投则强调，近期地产、消费等产业政策已陆续推进，11月制造业PMI连续3个月上升并稳定在扩张区间，核心城市房地产销售面 积呈现企稳迹象，基本面边际改善为政策发力提供了良好基础，若会议释放超预期指引，将有效激活市 ...

港股信息技术ETF（159131）被动跟踪港股通信息C(港元)指数，该指数前十大权重股分别为中芯国 际、小米集团-W、联想集团、商汤-W、华虹半导体、金蝶国际、舜宇光学科技、优必选、美图公司、 比亚迪电子。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：以上产品由基金管理人发行与管理，代销机构不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。投 资人应当认真阅读《基金合同》、《招募说明书》、《基金产品资料概要》等基金法律文件，了解基金 的风险收益特征，选择与自身风险承受能力相适应的产品。基金过往业绩并不预示其未来表现，基金投 资须谨慎！销售机构（包括基金管理人直销机构和其他销售机构）根据相关法律法规对本基金进行风险 评价，投资者应及时关注基金管理人出具的适当性意见，各销售机构关于适当性的意见不必然一致，且 基金销售机构所出具的基金产品风险等级评价结果不得低于基金管理人作出的风险等级评价结果。基金 合同中关于基金风险收益特征与基金风险等级因考虑因素不同而存在差异。投资者应了解基金的风险收 益情况，结合自身投资目的、期限、投资经验及风险承受能力谨慎选择基金产品并自行承担风险。中国 证监会对上述基金的注册，并不表明其对上述基金 ...

来源：新浪基金 12月4日，截至10时54分，港股信息技术ETF（159131）盘中表现活跃，场内价格现涨2.1%，成交额为 3431.61万元。 成份股方面，金山云、英诺赛科和优必选表现最为突出，涨幅分别达到3.75%、3.48%和3.2%。另一方 面，天岳先进、高伟电子和富智康集团表现较弱，跌幅分别为3.48%、2.84%和2.14%。 消息面上，港股IPO募资额达2600亿港元，时隔四年重回2000亿规模，中资投行在承销中占据主导地 位，反映市场活跃度提升；此外，优地机器人境外发行上市备案获证监会通过，拟发行不超过7360万股 并在港交所上市，标志着其上市进程进入关键阶段。 光大证券指出，港股整体盈利能力较强，互联网、新消费、创新药等资产相对稀缺，尽管连续多月上 涨，估值仍偏低，长期配置性价比高。在AI产业趋势及美联储12月可能降息的背景下，港股或继续震 荡上行。 港股信息技术ETF（159131）被动跟踪港股通信息C（港元）指数，该指数前十大权重股分别为中芯国 际、小米集团-W、联想集团、商汤-W、华虹半导体、金蝶国际、舜宇光学科技、优必选、美图公司、 比亚迪电子。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 ...