Core Viewpoint - The 2025-2026 China Economic Annual Conference highlighted the significance of this year in the context of China's modernization process, with expectations of achieving major economic and social development goals [2][5]. Economic Performance - China's economic output is projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year, reflecting a robust performance that exceeds expectations [4][5]. - Many institutions forecast a GDP growth rate of around 5% for the year, positioning China as the largest engine of global economic growth [5]. Trade and Policy - The conference emphasized the need to expand both exports and imports, promoting sustainable foreign trade development [7][8]. - There is a focus on enhancing service exports and developing digital and green trade [8]. Income and Economic Growth - The government aims to synchronize the growth of residents' income with economic growth, implementing proactive fiscal policies and maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment [9]. - Policies will include maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and debt levels while ensuring the stability of the RMB exchange rate [9]. Consumption and Market Dynamics - The "old for new" consumption policy has spurred rapid sales growth in related goods, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles nearing 60% [11]. - There is a plan to implement actions to boost consumption and increase the supply of quality goods and services [11]. Green Development - The conference underscored the importance of green development as a foundation for high-quality growth, with plans to accelerate the construction of a new energy system and expand the application of green electricity [12]. Education and Employment - There is a need to increase the supply of ordinary high school places and improve undergraduate enrollment in quality universities to adapt to changes in the school-age population [13]. - Employment policies will focus on stabilizing job opportunities for key groups, including college graduates and migrant workers [13]. Corporate Environment - The government will continue to address issues related to overdue payments to enterprises and enhance the regulatory environment to foster fair competition [14].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is expected to perform better than anticipated, with a projected GDP of approximately 140 trillion yuan in 2025, and the implementation of incremental policies in 2026 to support economic stability and growth [1][3][4]. Economic Performance - Major economic indicators have exceeded expectations, with a predicted annual growth rate of around 5% for this year, positioning China as the largest engine of global economic growth [3][4]. - The economy has shown resilience and vitality, with stable employment, rapid growth in foreign trade, and significant advancements in modern industrial systems, particularly in AI, biomedicine, and robotics [3][4]. Policy Implementation - The government plans to implement a series of incremental policies in 2026 based on evolving circumstances, aiming to enhance macroeconomic governance and maintain economic stability [5][6]. - A more proactive fiscal policy will be adopted, maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and total debt levels while optimizing expenditure structures to support major national strategies [6][7]. Five Musts for Economic Work - The central government emphasizes five essential strategies for economic work: 1. Fully explore economic potential by expanding consumption and investment [9]. 2. Combine policy support with reform innovation to address intertwined economic issues [10]. 3. Balance deregulation with effective management to enhance productivity [10]. 4. Integrate investments in physical and human capital to promote overall development [10]. 5. Strengthen internal capabilities to face external challenges and enhance self-reliance [10]. Trade and Market Development - The government aims to deepen the construction of a unified national market and address issues like corporate debt [12]. - There is a commitment to expand both exports and imports, promoting sustainable foreign trade development and enhancing the resilience of international trade [13]. Income and Consumption Growth - The focus for 2026 includes synchronizing income growth with economic growth, enhancing consumer spending through targeted policies, and improving the quality of employment [15]. - Initiatives will be taken to boost consumption, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles and tourism, while optimizing the environment for inbound consumption [15]. Green Development - Green development is highlighted as a cornerstone of high-quality growth, with plans to advance energy transition and carbon emission control measures [16].

Economic Situation - The economic situation is characterized by persistent challenges, but the overall tone is becoming more positive. The external environment is expected to stabilize marginally, while domestic supply-demand imbalances are highlighted as a significant issue [2][10]. - The meeting emphasizes the need to address "development and transformation" issues, indicating that many challenges can be resolved through concerted efforts [10]. Five Musts - The meeting outlines "Five Musts" to enhance economic potential, focusing on internal capacity building to respond to external challenges and the importance of policy support alongside reform innovation [2][18]. - Key strategies include ensuring effective market regulation while promoting investment in both physical and human capital [19]. 2025 Growth Target - The growth target for 2026 is set at approximately 5% for both nominal and real GDP, reflecting a pragmatic approach to align with long-term goals and current economic conditions [3][21]. - The transition of growth drivers is expected, with the "three new economies" projected to surpass the real estate sector historically [21]. Macroeconomic Policy - The macroeconomic policy framework is shifting from "promoting stability through growth" to "enhancing quality and efficiency," indicating a focus on structural optimization rather than mere expansion [4][26]. - Fiscal policy is expected to maintain a deficit rate around 4%, with a focus on improving the efficiency of spending rather than just increasing the scale [30][31]. - Monetary policy will remain moderately accommodative, with expectations for potential rate cuts and targeted support for key sectors [36][40]. Key Tasks - The emphasis on domestic demand is paramount, with strategies to boost consumption and stabilize investment growth projected at 2-3% for 2026 [5][46]. - Innovation-driven growth is prioritized, with plans to strengthen the integration of education, technology, and talent development [6][50]. - Reforms will focus on eliminating barriers to development, enhancing market dynamics, and improving the business environment [7][57]. Real Estate Market - The policy focus is shifting towards stabilizing the real estate market, moving from demand stimulation to a balanced supply-demand approach [8][63].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is expected to perform better than anticipated, with a projected GDP of approximately 140 trillion yuan for 2025, and policies will be implemented in 2026 to further stimulate economic growth [1][3]. Economic Performance - Major economic indicators in China are showing better-than-expected results, with a projected annual growth rate of around 5%, making China the largest engine of global economic growth [2]. - The economy has demonstrated resilience and vitality, with stable employment, rapid growth in foreign trade, and significant advancements in modern industrial systems [2]. Economic Projections - The GDP is expected to reach around 140 trillion yuan this year, marking a significant milestone in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3]. - International institutions, including the IMF and Goldman Sachs, have raised their economic growth forecasts for China for the next two years [3]. Policy Implementation - In 2024, new incremental policies will be introduced based on changing circumstances, aiming to synergize existing and new policies to promote stable economic growth [4]. Risk Mitigation - Positive progress has been made in mitigating risks in key areas, including the orderly replacement of local government hidden debts and the completion of housing delivery tasks [5]. Economic Work Guidelines - The central economic work meeting outlined five essential principles for economic work under new circumstances, emphasizing the need to explore economic potential, combine policy support with reform, and ensure effective management [6][7][8]. Income and Economic Growth - In 2026, efforts will focus on synchronizing income growth with economic growth, maintaining stability in employment and prices, and implementing proactive fiscal policies [9]. Trade and Openness - China aims to expand both exports and imports, promoting sustainable foreign trade and enhancing service sector openness [10]. Innovation and Technology - The focus will be on innovation-driven growth, with plans to expand international science and technology innovation centers to foster original innovation [11]. Consumer Market Development - Policies will be optimized to stimulate consumption, including enhancing the supply of quality goods and services and improving the inbound consumption environment [12]. Corporate Debt Management - Measures will be taken to address corporate debt issues and ensure a healthy market order through regulatory actions [13]. Education and Employment - There will be an increase in high school enrollment and quality university admissions to adapt to demographic changes and improve employment quality [14]. Green Energy Initiatives - The construction of a new energy system will be accelerated, with a focus on expanding green electricity applications and promoting carbon emission control [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of maintaining openness and promoting win-win cooperation in various fields, aiming to expand both exports and imports for sustainable foreign trade development [1] Group 1: Economic Policy - The Chinese government plans to steadily expand institutional openness and orderly increase autonomous openness in the service sector [1] - The layout of free trade pilot zones will be optimized to enhance trade efficiency [1] Group 2: Foreign Trade Development - In 2025, China's foreign trade demonstrated strong resilience, achieving growth against the trend [1] - The government aims to encourage and support service exports while actively developing digital and green trade [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of maintaining openness and promoting win-win cooperation in various fields, aiming to expand both exports and imports for sustainable foreign trade development [1] Group 1: Economic Strategy - The Chinese government plans to steadily expand institutional openness and orderly increase autonomous openness in the service sector [1] - The layout of free trade pilot zones will be optimized to enhance trade resilience [1] Group 2: Trade Development - In 2025, China's foreign trade demonstrated strong resilience, achieving growth against the trend [1] - The government aims to encourage and support service exports while actively developing digital and green trade [1]

中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议以顶层设计锚定"十五五"开局航向，将《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的 建议》战略部署转化为年度具体行动。会议深刻总结2025年经济工作、分析当前形势，明确2026年经济工作的总基调、政策取向和重点任务，为"基本实 现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期"筑牢开局根基。中央经济工作会议用精准政策破解发展难题，让"十五五"开局之年的政策底色愈发鲜 明。 （全文2891字，阅读需要8分钟） 记者｜朱开云 编辑｜温婧 实习生｜陈子荣 总基调：稳中求进 会议明确提出，2026年经济工作要"坚持稳中求进工作总基调"，同时凸显"积极主动、前置发力"的实践特征，这与党的二十届四中全会确立的"六个坚 持"原则一脉相承。会议强调，做好明年经济工作必须"完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，加快构建新发展格局，着力推动高质量发展"，更好统筹国内经济 工作和国际经贸斗争、更好统筹发展和安全，推动经济实现质的有效提升和量的合理增长。 在形势判断上，会议既肯定"2025年我国经济顶压前行、向新向优发展，现代化产业体系建设持续推进，改革开放迈出新步伐，重点领域风险化解取 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hainan is positioned as a pivotal element in China's macroeconomic development, serving as a vanguard for a new round of openness and aiming to lead in the development of new productive forces, particularly in commercial aerospace [2][3]. Group 1: Role of Hainan in Economic Development - Hainan Free Trade Port is set to become an important gateway for China's new era of openness, implementing higher-level open policies to create a more favorable business environment and stronger radiating effects [4]. - After the full closure of the island, Hainan will enhance its role as a strategic hub for domestic and international dual circulation, facilitating the free flow and optimal allocation of resources [5]. - Hainan will actively align with international high-standard economic and trade rules, serving as a highland for institutional openness and providing pioneering experiences for national reforms and expansions [5]. Group 2: Development of New Productive Forces - Hainan's advantages in developing new productive forces are summarized as "three degrees and one color," focusing on commercial aerospace, high-tech agriculture, and green development [7]. - The region aims to deepen institutional openness to align with international business environments, which is crucial for developing any industry and boosting consumption [8]. - Strengthening the integration of technological and industrial innovation is essential for attracting relevant talents and enterprises to Hainan [8]. Group 3: Building an International Consumption Center - Hainan can leverage its unique policy advantages to enhance duty-free shopping, education, and healthcare, creating attractive service consumption scenarios [9]. - In the duty-free shopping sector, Hainan should expand consumer groups, diversify product offerings, and improve logistics efficiency to establish a global duty-free shopping paradise [9]. - The education sector should focus on introducing high-quality overseas educational resources and creating a lifelong learning public service platform to meet industry demands [10]. - In healthcare, Hainan aims to become an international medical tourism destination by integrating innovative pharmaceutical production and high-end medical services with tourism [10].

明年中国经济怎么干？对比去年的中央经济工作会议内容可以发现，今年的会议内容出现不少新表述。 比如，去年关于"当前外部环境变化带来的不利影响加深"的表述，今年变成了"外部环境变化影响加 深"。有分析称，这说明中国更有信心和能力去应对外部压力、主动运筹国际空间。再比如，今年会议 提出"加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度"。分析人士指出，这意味着后续政策改革更加基于长远经济周期变 化，体现出中国决策层对经济规律的精准把握以及审时度势的调整。 转自：北京日报客户端 "在全球经济不确定性上升的背景下，中国以更主动、更稳健的政策调节经济，有助于自身经济增长， 并为世界经济提供有效需求。"对于10日至11日在北京召开的中央经济工作会议，美中合作基金会执行 主席约翰·米勒-怀特与《国际锐评》进行了交流。消费者健康企业科赴中国总裁沈馥安对《国际锐评》 表示，会议部署的建设强大国内市场、坚持创新驱动、坚持对外开放等2026年重点任务让人印象深 刻，"这意味着外资将迎来更多发展机遇，我们有信心与中国经济共成长"。 中国这场年度经济会议何以吸引世界目光？从中国发展方位看，明年是"十五五"开局之年，这次会议 在"十四五"即将圆满收官、"十五五 ...

12月10日至11日召开的中央经济工作会议，站在"十四五"即将圆满收官、"十五五"迎来稳健开局的交汇 点，为中国经济把脉定向，也为世界观察中国提供一扇权威"窗口"。今年以来，从国际资本加码布局中 国新质生产力，到近期国际金融机构密集上调中国增速预期，"看好中国"的共识正不断成形和升温。世 界究竟看好的是什么，中国又向世界递出了怎样一份"机遇清单"？ 即将过去的2025年，是十分不平凡的一年。在外部环境不确定性上升、国内结构调整任务繁重的背景 下，中国经济顶压前行、向新向优发展，前三季度国内生产总值同比增长5.2%，全年经济社会发展主 要目标有望顺利完成。在外部环境变化影响加深，国内供强需弱矛盾突出的背景下，这本身就是经济韧 性和潜力的体现。中央经济工作会议在总结今年工作时指出，现代化产业体系建设持续推进，改革开放 迈出新步伐，重点领域风险化解取得积极进展，民生保障更加有力。近日，包括世界银行、国际货币基 金组织、亚洲开发银行在内的多家国际机构密集上调2025年中国经济增速预期。世界看好的，是具备强 劲增长韧性的中国经济所带来的发展动能和合作机遇，是在不断解决"老问题"和"新挑战"中提升现代化 经济社会治理水平 ...