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“真正的投资逻辑是非共识”丨和高资本、昆仲资本荐书荐影
Core Insights - The essence of successful investing lies in accurately assessing profitability, which is fundamentally tied to the depth of understanding [1] - Engaging with literature allows investors to expand their cognitive horizons and identify enduring truths amidst change [1] Group 1: Recommended Literature - "The Possible Futures of the Next 10,000 Days" by Kevin Kelly is recommended for its insights into future societal structures, interpersonal relationships, and personal growth, beyond just technological advancements [2] - The book encourages readers to actively shape the future rather than passively accept changes, providing a comprehensive view of potential future scenarios [2] Group 2: Film Recommendation - The film "The Big Short" illustrates how a few individuals foresaw the 2008 financial crisis and profited from it by shorting the housing market, highlighting the concept of non-consensus investing [3] - The film's narrative centers on the subprime mortgage crisis, showcasing how flawed financial products were misrated and sold, leading to a market collapse [3] - Key investment lessons from the film include the importance of independent judgment that contrasts with market consensus, the necessity of thorough research to support non-consensus views, and the psychological challenges faced before being proven right [3]
Market euphoria can get more euphoric before something turns it around, says SoFi's Liz Thomas
Youtube· 2025-10-07 19:53
Let's welcome in Liz Thomas, SoFi's head of investment strategy. She's with me here at Post9 as you see. Welcome back.>> Thank you. >> All right. So, that's the kind of market we're in right now where you've gotten a lot of commentary from a lot of different people um about where we are, whether we have a bubble.How do you feel about things. >> I saw a tweet on my way here that said there's a bubble in people talking about bubbles. >> Yeah, that was what Edard Denny said yesterday.There's a bubble in bubble ...
PagSeguro's Discipline In A Market That Overlooks It
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 15:46
It all started with a comment. A reader, patiently and with a wink, thanked me for a previous analysis and confessed that he was waiting for my view on PagSeguro (I am an individual investor with over five years of experience in personal investing, holding a PhD in Economics from UCEMA. My investment approach focuses on value companies with solid long-term potential. I share my knowledge with the community by offering analysis to support individual investors. My articles reflect personal opinions and do not ...
25年前,巴菲特在大学的一场演讲,至今仍是投资者的精神底稿
雪球· 2025-10-07 13:00
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the timeless relevance of Warren Buffett's investment philosophy, particularly the importance of focusing on a company's intrinsic value rather than short-term stock price fluctuations [3][4]. Group 1: Life Philosophy - Character is the core determinant of long-term success, with qualities like integrity and responsibility being essential for cultivating beneficial habits [4]. - Investment and business selection fundamentally represent a "vote for people," highlighting the importance of character in mitigating risks and generating compound returns [4]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The principle of "buying a company" underscores that stocks represent ownership in a business, necessitating a focus on long-term value rather than short-term price movements [5][6]. - Long-termism is crucial, as time benefits good businesses, allowing overvaluations to correct while poor businesses yield mediocre returns regardless of purchase price [6]. - The essence of value investing is to buy simple, durable, and trustworthy companies at reasonable prices and hold them long-term [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy should focus on businesses that are easily understandable, filtering out 90% of complex industries [8]. - A safety margin is vital in risk management, avoiding high-risk decisions even with a high probability of success [9][10]. - Leverage should be avoided, as it amplifies risk and creates an asymmetry between potential gains and losses [10]. Group 4: Market Behavior - Investors should ignore market noise and focus on holding quality companies, akin to patient farming [12]. - Market downturns present opportunities to acquire quality assets at lower prices, with Buffett expressing a preference for market declines for potential excess returns [13]. - Ignoring macroeconomic predictions and focusing on company fundamentals is essential for sound investment decisions [14]. Group 5: Historical Lessons - Acknowledging past mistakes is crucial, with Buffett noting that the biggest errors often stem from missed opportunities rather than poor decisions [16]. Group 6: Career and Happiness - Passion for work is more important than monetary gain, with Buffett advising individuals to pursue careers they love [17]. - True happiness transcends material wealth, emphasizing the importance of autonomy and character in achieving a fulfilling life [18]. Conclusion - The ultimate value of Buffett's teachings lies in the principle that simplicity is eternal, with concepts like value investing, economic moats, and zero leverage remaining applicable in 2025 [19].
2 Defense Stocks Riding 2025's Massive Momentum Wave
MarketBeat· 2025-10-07 12:05
To this day, an age-old battle between stock market investing strategies wages: value versus momentum. Value investing is a tactic famously employed by legends like Warren Buffett. It seeks to identify stocks with depressed valuations, often due to disruptions perceived as temporary. On the other hand, many investors deploy a momentum strategy. It relies on the idea that stocks that have risen substantially in a short period tend to continue rising. In 2025, momentum has been the clear winner among these co ...
924行情一周年:你成了别人口中的“老登”吗?
雪球· 2025-10-07 04:13
↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:变富路上的冠杰 来源:雪球 朋友们,国庆假期好! 白驹过隙,转眼间距离去年那场波澜壮阔的"924行情"已整整一年。我还清晰地记得,当时A股连 续数日千股涨停,打开盘面,是望不到尽头的一片火红。短短5天时间,我的账户就从亏损500万 变成了盈利300万,那种感觉至今记忆犹新。 一年过去了,市场却上演了极致的分化。许多朋友踩中了科技的风口,资产翻了几倍甚至十倍; 而当初选择了消费的朋友,绝大多数至今仍在深坑里煎熬。甚至当中有些人,已经忍不住去追高 科技了。 这里我想问问,那些仍在坚守消费的朋友们:此刻你的内心,是否已经动摇?你是否已对消费彻 底失去信心,后悔当初的10月8日应该一开盘就割肉离场,去追逐那辆疾驰在风口上的科技战车。 这篇文章无法决定大家的投资方向,但或许能给大家带来一丝启发,那便值得了。 看到文章的标题了吗?在科技股狂飙突进的这一年,坚守传统的你,是否成了"小登"眼中那个浪 费了一年光阴的"老登"呢? 可能有些新朋友还不懂,我先简单科普下 "小登" 和 "老登" 这两个词 ...
投资,不急,才更有乐趣
雪球· 2025-10-07 04:13
以下文章来源于终身黑白 ,作者终身黑白投资感悟 终身黑白 . 畅销书《行稳致远,价值投资的底层逻辑》作者,雪球网2024年十大影响力用户,聊聊投资和人生,适 度分散 长期持有 选优秀的企业 做时间的朋友 1 、愿三月有耕耘,九月有惊讶 今天是国庆节,先祝大家国庆快乐,假期就好好休息,优秀的企业不用我们天天费心,他自己会 照顾好自己。 什么时候你发现自己持有的企业一周,一月不看,你也并不着急,那么证明你选对了企业,选到 了确实是自己认可的那些企业,也找对了方法,能基于长期价值。 昨天的雪球文章下收到这样一篇评论 来源:雪球 《皮囊》里有句话: 有人说生命始于40岁,也有人说是50岁。其实都不对,生命应该始于你不再 取悦围观者的那一天。 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:终身黑白 确实啊,不知不觉我们都走过了艰难的阶段,获得了不错的收获。 "愿三月有耕耘,九月有惊讶",这是《岁月里的话》这首歌的一句歌词。 初看歌词,可能有些不理解,如果说有惊讶的收成需要祝愿。那么,播种有什么好祝愿的,这不 是应该做的事吗?没见过哪个农 ...
Nexxen International Ltd. Sponsored ADR (NASDAQ:NEXN) Sees Significant Growth Potential
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-07 03:11
Tyler DiMatteo from BTIG sets a price target of $13 for NASDAQ:NEXN, indicating a potential upside of about 55.5%.NEXN holds a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and an "A" grade in the Value category, making it a strong candidate for value investors.The stock's current price is $8.36, with a year range between $6.93 and $12.60, suggesting volatility but also growth potential.Nexxen International Ltd. Sponsored ADR (NASDAQ:NEXN) is currently attracting attention in the stock market. On October 6, 2025, Tyler DiMatteo from ...
Are Investors Undervaluing Sumitomo (SSUMY) Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-06 14:40
While the proven Zacks Rank places an emphasis on earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find strong stocks, we also know that investors tend to develop their own individual strategies. With this in mind, we are always looking at value, growth, and momentum trends to discover great companies.Looking at the history of these trends, perhaps none is more beloved than value investing. This strategy simply looks to identify companies that are being undervalued by the broader market. Value investors rely on ...
为什么投资赚钱的永远是少数人?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 10:47
林奇还是有许多真知灼见的,相比之下,国内国外到处流行什么"轻松理财"啊,什么在"小吃店遇见巴 菲特"啊,什么"隔壁的百万富翁"啊,我们得提防着点,它们只会轻松地从你口袋里掏钱,而不是让你 轻松地赚钱。一个稍有脑子的人只要想想,如果赚钱这么容易,天下人一定都赚钱了,钱也就不是稀缺 资源了。但我们绝大多数人能轻松地买一艘游艇吗?唯一看似轻松的彩票中奖赚大钱也不容易,如果你 刻意要成功的话。 遗憾的是,除了买彩票之外,不少人都认为通过股票(或房地产)投机是最容易的赚钱方式。同理,如 果通过这种方式最容易赚钱,古往今来(至少三百年来),股市或房地产业的富翁应该占世界富豪榜的 绝大多数。当然不是。 导读:投资环境的变化沧海桑田,犹如地震般不可预期,但健全的投资原则会产生健全的投资结果,这 大抵仍是不变的事实,它们将持续如此发展,我们的理论则必须建立在这个假定之上。 人都是趋利避害,每次市场开始有波动的时候,大多数的投资者就会开始怀疑自己的选择,这样往往会 导致买了牛股却拿不住,最终赚不到钱,甚至是亏钱。而伟大的投资者之所以伟大,恰恰是因为能够坚 持自己的观点,不为外界因素所干扰,某些时候敢于站在人群的对立面。一些短期看 ...