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江问樵:1.30黄金过山车式震荡,晚间操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 10:39
消息面来看,短期利空已集中释放,中长期利多逻辑未改,支撑5060附近做多策略。当日金价暴跌源于 高位获利盘出逃、美联储政策预期转向及保证金上调等多重利空共振,但全球央行持续购金的中长期支 撑未变,中国央行已连续14个月增持,为金价筑牢底部。美联储1月28日维持利率不变但存在政策分 歧,后续降息预期仍在,美元吸引力边际削弱,叠加地缘风险未完全消退,短期回调后多头动能有望重 启,5200美元作为前期重要阻力转化的目标位,盈利空间清晰,回调至5060附近介入,可实现风险与收 益的合理平衡。 黄金回调附近5060做多,止损20个点,目标5200附近。 黄金市场剧烈震荡,技术面显示当前回调至5060美元/盎司附近具备明确做多条件。当日伦敦金现经 历"过山车"行情,早盘暴跌后最低探至5057美元,接近5060关键支撑位,该点位贴合前期上升趋势线支 撑,同时处于近期回调区间的核心支撑带。技术指标上,前期RSI超买压力已通过暴跌充分释放,当前 回落至中线下方,4小时图MACD负向柱状图扩张势头放缓,短期止跌信号初现,5060附近形成强支 撑,为做多提供技术依据,上方5200美元作为前期震荡区间关键位,是短期反弹的合理目标。 ...
金价涨疯了!现货黄金突破5300美元,不到一个月涨了近1000美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 10:22
多家品牌的黄金饰品价格也继续走高,突破1600元关口。智通财经查询获悉,1月28日,周生生足金饰品克价报1614 元,比2天前上涨40元;老庙黄金的足金饰品克价报1618元,比2天前上涨43元;周大福足金克价报1618元,比2天前上 涨40元。 今年以来,国际金价上涨势头不减,年初还在4300美元关口,不到一个月就涨了近1000美元。 1月28日,国际金价在亚洲交易时段继续上涨。伦敦黄金现货价格以及COMEX纽约黄金期货价格均连续突破每盎司 5200美元、5300美元两大历史性关口,持续创历史新高。其中,伦敦金最高触及5311.58美元/盎司,COMEX黄金期货 最高触及5306美元/盎司。 截至智通财经发稿,伦敦金报5277.25美元/盎司,涨1.83%;COMEX黄金期货报5268.4美元/盎司,涨3.66%,;两者日内 都大涨了100多美元/盎司。 受此影响,A股黄金板块再掀涨停潮。截至1月28日下午15:00收盘,30多个黄金概念股涨停。其中,中国黄金、四川黄 金、豫光金铅已收获4连板,湖南黄金、招金黄金3连板紧随其后。中金黄金等多股已大涨近一周。 多只黄金股ETF涨停,包括全市场规模最大的黄金股ET ...
日本薪谈遇美关税预警纸黄金强势
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-27 04:00
摘要今日周二(1月27日)亚盘时段,纸黄金目前交投于1138.50元附近,截至发稿,纸黄金暂报1133.47元/ 克,跌幅0.41%,最高触及1141.09元/克,最低下探1116.29元/克。目前来看,纸黄金短线偏向看涨走 势。 今日周二(1月27日)亚盘时段,纸黄金目前交投于1138.50元附近,截至发稿,纸黄金暂报1133.47元/克, 跌幅0.41%,最高触及1141.09元/克,最低下探1116.29元/克。目前来看,纸黄金短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 【最新纸黄金行情解析】 工行纸黄金于2026年1月27日10:27报1132.76元/克,日内微跌0.48%,延续此前强势走势后进入短期盘 整。国际金价XAU/USD站稳5093美元/盎司高位,为纸黄金提供坚实定价基准。技术面显示,RSI维持 在65附近,未现超买拐点;MACD红柱虽缩量但仍位于零轴上方,多头动能未衰。关键阻力位聚焦1140 元/克(对应5100美元/盎司),支撑位下移至1100元/克整数关口,若失守或回测1085元/克。市场情绪受美 联储降息预期与全球央行持续购金支撑,避险需求稳定,短期震荡上行格局未改。 不过,十仓雅和也指出, ...
三方面因素推动金银价格攀升
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2026-01-27 03:21
1月26日,黄金和白银价格再创新高。伦敦现货黄金价格盘中一度突破5100美元/盎司,年内涨幅超 18%;伦敦现货白银价格盘中一度突破110美元/盎司,年内涨幅超50%。今年以来,贵金属价格震荡 走高,笔者认为,核心驱动来自贸易冲突、全球央行购金、地缘风险三方面。 最后,地缘风险上升使得贵金属获得了较高的风险溢价。美国年初对委内瑞拉发起大规模军事行动,强 行控制委内瑞拉总统马杜罗及其夫人并将他们带至美国,进一步强化了美国所谓"门罗主义"叙事,而争 夺关键矿产资源的目的也令贵金属直接受益。伊朗方面,美国官员表示,尽管已撤回对伊朗的打击计 划,但特朗普仍要求幕僚提供所谓的"决定性"军事选项。相关讨论正值美国向中东派遣航空母舰与喷气 式战斗机之际。这些部署可能标志着更大规模军事集结的开始,若特朗普决定对伊朗实施打击,此举将 为打击行动提供所需火力。美国官员透露,特朗普在描述希望美国行动对伊朗产生何种效果时,反复使 用了"决定性"一词。这一措辞促使美国五角大楼和白宫的幕僚细化了一系列供特朗普选择的方案,其中 一些方案旨在推动伊朗政权更迭。格陵兰岛方面,特朗普自去年上任以来曾多次扬言要得到格陵兰岛。 1月20日,美国总统 ...
黄金、白银期货品种周报-20260126
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-26 05:36
Report Overview - Report Title: Gold, Silver Futures Weekly Report [2] - Report Period: January 26 - 30, 2026 [1] 1. Gold Futures 1.1 Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 1.2 Core View - The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is in a strong upward phase, possibly at the end of the trend. Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases provide long - term support, but short - term risks of high - level corrections exist [7]. - It is recommended to wait and see in the medium term [8]. 1.3 Summary by Directory 1.3.1 Medium - term Market Analysis - Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is strongly rising, possibly at the end of the trend [7]. - Driving Factors: Last week's strong rise was driven by geopolitical conflicts, central bank gold purchases, a weak dollar, and interest - rate cut expectations [7]. - Support: Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases provide long - term support [7]. - Risks: Short - term risks include overbought technical indicators and policy uncertainties [7]. - Focus: Future attention should be on the Fed's policy path and global macroeconomic data [7]. - Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [8]. 1.3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: For the Shanghai Gold contract 2604, it was recommended to be cautiously bullish in the short term, with a resistance level of 1045 - 1050 yuan/gram and a support level of 1020 - 1025 yuan/gram. It was advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [10]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: For the Shanghai Gold contract 2604, it is recommended to be cautiously bullish in the short term, with a support level of 1085 - 1095 yuan/gram. It is advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [11]. - Market Conditions: The daily line is in a strong upward phase, at a sensitive position in the head. There is a possibility of trend reversal. The main force shows a strong bullish sentiment, and there is a certain risk of a market turn [12]. 1.3.3 Relevant Data Situation - Data includes the price trends of Shanghai Gold and COMEX gold, SPDR gold ETF holdings, COMEX gold inventory, US 10 - year Treasury yields, the US dollar index, the US dollar against the offshore RMB, the gold - silver ratio, Shanghai Gold basis, and the gold price difference between domestic and foreign markets [18][21][23][25][28] 2. Silver Futures 2.1 Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2.2 Core View - The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is in a strong upward phase, currently at the end of the trend. Geopolitical risks, industrial supply - demand gaps, and market funds drive the price up. In the long - term, the price center has the basis to move up, but short - term correction risks exist [32]. - It is recommended to wait and see in the medium term [32]. 1.3 Summary by Directory 2.3.1 Medium - term Market Analysis - Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is strongly rising, currently at the end of the trend [32]. - Driving Factors: Last week's price increase was driven by geopolitical risks, industrial supply - demand gaps, and market funds [32]. - Support: In the long - term, the price center has the basis to move up due to the growth of green industry demand, continuous supply - demand gaps, and asset allocation diversification [32]. - Risks: Short - term risks include overbought technical indicators, ETF reductions, and policy uncertainties [32]. - Focus: Future attention should be on the Fed's policy and global manufacturing PMI [32]. - Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [32]. 2.3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The silver contract 2604 was trading at a high level, with a resistance level of 23,200 - 23,700 yuan and a support level of 21,000 - 21,500 yuan/kg. It was advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [35]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: The silver contract 2604 is trading at a high level, with a support level of 22,500 - 23,000 yuan/kg. It is advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [36]. - Market Conditions: The daily line is in a strong upward phase, possibly near the end of the trend. The main force shows a strong bullish sentiment, with large capital inflows and increased attention. The external market had a significant pre - opening increase [37]. 2.3.3 Relevant Data Situation - Data includes the price trends of Shanghai Silver and COMEX silver, SLV silver ETF holdings, COMEX silver inventory, Shanghai Silver basis, and the silver price difference between domestic and foreign markets [43][46][48]
突破5000美元!国际金价再创历史新高,为什么?怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 04:05
1月26日,现货黄金价格突破每盎司5000美元,再度刷新历史新高。去年,国际金价全年涨幅70%左右,创下自1979年石油危机以来年度最大涨幅。今年 以来,国际金价继续强势上涨,目前与年初相比已上涨15%左右。 不同于一般投资品,黄金具备商品属性、金融属性、投资属性等特点。影响黄金价格走势的不只是供需基本面,还有货币政策、对冲风险、对冲通胀等多 重因素。 受国际金价影响,国内金价同样大幅上涨。今年以来,上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格多次创下新高,品牌金店的足金饰品报价突破每克1500元。 从国际金价突破整数关口的速度可以观察近期金价上涨的迅猛程度。从每盎司1000美元到2020年8月首次触及2000美元,黄金用了12年半。2023年11月, 国际金价再度触及每盎司2000美元后开始上涨,至2025年3月触及每盎司3000美元,用时17个月左右。之后,国际金价一路上行,至2025年10月,触及每 盎司4000美元,用时7个月左右。而国际金价自每盎司4000美元至今涨破每盎司5000美元,用时仅为3个多月。 避险功能是黄金的重要价值,风险始终是推升金价的"关键词"。今年以来黄金价格上涨的主要推动力,来自地缘政治紧张局势 ...
金价再创历史新高!为什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 03:21
1月26日,现货黄金价格突破每盎司5000美元,再度刷新历史新高。去年,国际金价全年涨幅70%左右,创下自1979年石油危机以来年度最大涨幅。今年 以来,国际金价继续强势上涨,目前与年初相比已上涨15%左右。 受国际金价影响,国内金价同样大幅上涨。今年以来,上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格多次创下新高,品牌金店的足金饰品报价突破每克1500元。 避险功能是黄金的重要价值,风险始终是推升金价的"关键词"。今年以来黄金价格上涨的主要推动力,来自地缘政治紧张局势加剧和由此导致的市场避险 情绪快速升温。美国突袭委内瑞拉、致力于获取格陵兰岛等多重风险因素叠加,共同推动了市场对黄金的强烈避险需求。 全球央行加快购金步伐,也是今年以来推动黄金价格上涨的重要因素。当地时间1月20日,波兰央行表示,已批准一项购买多达150吨黄金的计划,此举将 使该国的黄金储备总量增加到700吨。众多国家央行购金,除了为优化自身外汇储备资产结构,实现资产保值增值,还是为了对冲地缘政治风险而采取的 长远战略。 通过黄金价格变化,一定程度上可以洞察世界经济趋势。总体来说,在经济上行期,市场会更加偏好风险资产,黄金的避险需求相对降低。而当全球经济 遭遇危机 ...
突破5000美元!金价再创历史新高,为什么?怎么看?
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-26 02:04
不同于一般投资品,黄金具备商品属性、金融属性、投资属性等特点。影响黄金价格走势的不只是供需 基本面,还有货币政策、对冲风险、对冲通胀等多重因素。 1月26日,现货黄金价格突破每盎司5000美元,再度刷新历史新高。去年,国际金价全年涨幅70%左 右,创下自1979年石油危机以来年度最大涨幅。今年以来,国际金价继续强势上涨,目前与年初相比已 上涨15%左右。 受国际金价影响,国内金价同样大幅上涨。今年以来,上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格多次创下新高,品 牌金店的足金饰品报价突破每克1500元。 从国际金价突破整数关口的速度可以观察近期金价上涨的迅猛程度。从每盎司1000美元到2020年8月首 次触及2000美元,黄金用了12年半。2023年11月,国际金价再度触及每盎司2000美元后开始上涨,至 2025年3月触及每盎司3000美元,用时17个月左右。之后,国际金价一路上行,至2025年10月,触及每 盎司4000美元,用时7个月左右。而国际金价自每盎司4000美元至今涨破每盎司5000美元,用时仅为3个 多月。 来源:人民日报经济社会,记者:葛孟超 避险功能是黄金的重要价值,风险始终是推升金价的"关键词"。今年以来 ...
半两财经|5000美元!国际金价站上历史性关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 01:35
有媒体统计,伦敦现货黄金自北京时间1月12日突破前高站上4600美元/盎司关口至1月21日,每盎司现货黄金价格 上涨超过300美元,盘中最高价六次刷新历史纪录;上海黄金交易所现货黄金(Au99.99)也在此期间实现单克上 涨超90元,七次刷新历史纪录。2026年初至今,国际、国内现货黄金价格涨幅分别超过11%和9%。其中,国内品 牌金饰价格在24日已经大多逼近1550元/克的水平。 对于国际金价不断上涨,分析人士表示,支撑黄金上涨的核心逻辑仍在,全球格局的不确定性或许导致黄金价格 依旧易涨难跌,但短期而言,金价波动率恐将放大,投资者需警惕技术性回调风险。 文/北京青年报记者 张鑫 1月26日,国际金价继续上涨。截至北京青年报发稿时,COMEX黄金涨1.33%,报5045.9美元/盎司;现货黄金涨 1.36%,报5050.93美元/盎司。美国东部时间1月25日傍晚,COMEX黄金期货价格在电子盘交易中突破每盎司5000 美元的历史性关口。 26日早盘交易中,金价大幅上涨,上周已累计上涨8.5%,短期原因是美元走软提振了对贵金属的需求。作为衡量 美元汇率的关键指标——彭博美元即期指数下跌1.6%,创下5月以来最大 ...
2026年1月26日,国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 01:10
Core Insights - Domestic gold price reached 1121.16 CNY per gram, up by 1.66% [1] - International gold price reported at 5032.9 USD per ounce, up by 1.07% [2] Group 1: Price Movements - Spot gold price first broke the 5000 USD per ounce mark, setting a historical high on January 26. Multiple institutions have raised their gold price forecasts, with Goldman Sachs increasing its 2026 year-end target from 4900 USD to 5400 USD, and Jefferies providing an aggressive target of 6600 USD. This breakthrough is attributed to the weakening of the US dollar's credibility, a resonance of demand from global central banks and the private sector, and rising expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - Escalating geopolitical risks have heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Ongoing disputes between the US and Europe over Greenland remain unresolved, with Trump threatening significant retaliation against Europe for selling US assets. Additionally, tensions in the Middle East have intensified, with the US increasing military presence in the Persian Gulf, and both Israel and Iran on high alert. Turkey has warned external forces against interfering in Iranian affairs, leading to a surge in global risk aversion and capital flowing into gold as a safe haven [4] Group 3: Central Bank Actions - Global central banks continue to purchase gold, with the People's Bank of China having increased its gold holdings for 14 consecutive months. The average monthly gold purchase by global central banks is expected to reach 60 tons by 2026, reinforcing the price support for gold. The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement 2 to 3 rate cuts in 2026, leading to a continued decline in the US dollar index and reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, further boosting investment demand for the metal [5]