证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 06 年 月 日 润泽科技（300442.SZ） 改造机房适配新需求，AIDC 高增趋势未改 投资建议：我们预计公司 2025-2027 年收入为 63/79/96 亿元，归母净利润为 26.8/33.0/39.9 亿元，对应 PE 分别为 31/25/21 倍。公司是园区级数据中心龙 头，未来有望凭借其前瞻性的布局充分受益于 AI 迅速发展带来的智算中心需 求，但鉴于公司由于会计核算调整以及机房改造可能造成短期业绩承压，我们 下调公司的业绩预测，维持 买入"评级。 风险提示：上架率不及预期、市场竞争风险、AIGC 进展不达预期。 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 4,351 | 4,365 | 6,307 | 7,906 | 9,580 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 60.3 | 0.3 | 44.5 | 25.4 | 21.2 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月30日 润泽科技（300442.SZ） 优于大市 积极储备稀缺能耗资源，稳步推进智算中心建设交付 润泽科技 2024 年总营业收入 43.65 亿元，同比上升 0.32%；归母净利润 17.9 亿元，同比上升 1.62%；扣非归母净利润 17.78 亿元,同比上升 4.07%。公司 2025 年一季度单季营收 11.98 亿元，同比上升 21.4%，环比上升 32%；归母 净利润 4.3 亿元，同比下降 9%，环比上升 55.5%。2024 年，董事会提议， 拟向全体股东按每 10 股派发现金红利 1.288 元（含税）。 公司正经历 IDC 向 AIDC 升级阵痛期，业绩短期承压。2024 年公司 IDC 业务 实现营收29.14亿元（占收比66.8%），同比下降7.6%，IDC业务毛利率47.53%， 同比减少 6.9pct。IDC 业务短期承压主要原因为：对早期的多栋低功率数据 中心进行升级改造，改造期间不形成服务费用，但同时折旧费用仍在发生。 公司目前已逐步恢复上架，截止 2025 年 3 月末改造的数据中心计费机柜总 功率已超改造前的 90%。 公司 AIDC 业务 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and performance are expected to rise steadily, with overseas expansion and AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) likely to contribute to incremental growth [1] - The company reported a revenue of 7.76 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.71%, and a net profit of 315.18 million yuan, down 37.90% year-on-year [7] - The data center business is showing strong growth, with revenue from this segment reaching 3.15 billion yuan in 2024, up 14.70% year-on-year, accounting for over 40% of total revenue [7] - The company is focusing on core products and product upgrades, which has led to improved profitability despite a decline in revenue from certain segments [7] - The company is increasing its overseas business efforts, particularly in the renewable energy sector, which is expected to recover by the end of Q3 2025 [7] - The company has demonstrated excellent cost control, with operating expenses decreasing by 5.7% year-on-year in 2024 [7] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is 688 million yuan, 1.05 billion yuan, and 1.4 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 118%, 52%, and 34% [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 8.92 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 14.93% [1] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 688 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase from the previous year [1] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.33 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.69 [1] - The company’s total assets are estimated to reach 13.02 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities of 7.78 billion yuan [8]

Core Insights - The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology has intensified global strategic competition, with intelligent computing centers becoming a new infrastructure in tech competition [1] - Investment in intelligent computing centers in China has surged from hundreds of billions to trillions, with nearly 150 operational projects and close to 400 under construction or planning as of November 2024 [2][3] Investment Trends - As of August 2024, the total number of intelligent computing center projects in China exceeded 300, with a computing power scale surpassing 500,000 PFlops, and over 50 new projects launched in 2024 alone [3] - The total investment in 128 disclosed projects reached over 430 billion yuan, but only 16 projects are in operation or trial phases, indicating a significant gap between planned and actual deployment [3][9] Structural Issues - The market is experiencing a "structural mismatch" rather than an outright surplus of computing power, with significant demand growth in AI inference driving the need for more efficient resource allocation [5][9] - Some intelligent computing centers report utilization rates as low as 10-15%, with certain centers having GPU utilization below 30%, leading to concerns about resource wastage [9][11] Management and Operational Challenges - The supply chain uncertainties, particularly regarding NVIDIA chips, pose challenges for intelligent computing centers, prompting a shift towards domestic chip manufacturers providing comprehensive solutions [12][14] - The industry is moving towards "refined management," with traditional leasing models becoming less profitable, necessitating mergers and resource reallocation to enhance efficiency [14][15] Future Outlook - The ongoing demand for AI inference and the acceleration of domestic chip development are critical for the industry's future, with a focus on building a sustainable computing power system [14] - The integration of AI technology with industry applications requires a skilled workforce, emphasizing the need for professionals who understand both AI and industry-specific needs [14]

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's total revenue was CNY 7.757 billion, a decrease of 4.71% year-on-year [3] - Data center revenue reached CNY 3.152 billion, an increase of 14.07% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 28.77% [3] - Smart energy revenue was CNY 922 million, down 9.01% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 41.06% [3] - New energy revenue was CNY 3.608 billion, a decline of 15.98% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 16.78% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 315 million, impacted by credit and asset impairment losses totaling CNY 258 million [3] Business Development - The smart computing center business generated approximately CNY 3.152 billion in revenue, growing 14.07% year-on-year [4] - The company is actively engaging in AI, computing power, and autonomous driving markets, establishing a robust heterogeneous computing power platform [4] - The company has secured numerous product orders from major clients in the internet, telecommunications, and finance sectors, with significant growth expected in 2025 [5] Technological Advancements - The company has been recognized as a top 10 service provider in the third-party computing power center sector, ranking 8th in comprehensive development and 4th in technical capability [6] - In the smart energy sector, the company has launched innovative products such as the 1500V 5MW liquid-cooled photovoltaic inverter, enhancing its market position [8] - The company has achieved the highest shipment volume of energy storage PCS among Chinese enterprises globally, maintaining a strong presence in the renewable energy sector [9] Future Outlook - The company plans to intensify its focus on the smart computing center business, leveraging its core technology in power electronics for new product development [10] - A strategic customer department has been established to deepen collaborations with major internet companies and expand into various sectors [10] - The company is considering future financing plans based on strategic goals and market conditions, following the successful completion of a convertible bond project [11]

" AI和云的盛宴，京东还能喝上汤吗？ " 作者丨周蕾 编辑丨王亚峰 2025年2月25日，AIDC概念股光环新网创下了近五年来的股价新高。今年春节前到现在，光环新网的股价几 乎实现了翻番。 次日，京东云发布了八款智算产品，自家大模型言犀也在发布会上再度亮相。 光环新网作为老牌IDC企业，其机房之一坐落在北京亦庄太和桥，机房十公里开外便是京东集团的总部。 数年前，这两家企业擦肩而过—— 京东曾计划收购光环新网。 时任京东首席战略官的廖建文，对此事投出了 反对票。京东投委会最终未能通过这次收购决定。 京东会遗憾自己没有拿下光环新网吗？ 01 京东的"光环"往事 据多位知情人士透露，那年的京东投委会上，京东针对收购光环新网一事，核心管理成员徐雷、陈生强、王振 辉均投出了赞成票，而廖建文毅然投出两次反对票。 此外，由于当时的投委会由廖建文召集，第三次会议本来能够决定此收购决策是否通过，但廖建文迟迟不给安 排项目决议，最终导致收购案不了了之。 有人试图说服廖建文："京东本身就是偏重资产型的企业，收购光环新网这类IDC重资产项目，是非常符合本 土资产运作逻辑的，资产越大，越容易与合地方合作，拿地搞建设，把资产做大进行证 ...