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全力提振内需消费的五个重点 | 封面专题
清华金融评论· 2025-05-09 10:33
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of enhancing consumer spending in China through improved income, social security, and consumption quality, while advocating for a systematic approach to consumption policy that aligns supply and demand effectively [1][2]. Group 1: Demand Side - The foundation for enhancing consumer spending lies in stabilizing the real estate and stock markets, which are crucial for maintaining residents' asset expectations and consumption willingness [4]. - Over 400 million people in China are classified as middle-income households, defined by an annual income between 100,000 and 500,000 yuan [4]. - The government aims to restore residents' balance sheets by ensuring stability in property and stock markets, thereby boosting consumer confidence [4]. Group 2: Supply Side - The shift towards a service and digital economy necessitates an increase in the supply of quality goods and services, as traditional goods consumption is declining [5][6]. - The rise of sectors such as cultural tourism, healthcare, and education indicates a growing demand for service consumption, with online retail's share of total social retail sales increasing from under 13% in 2015 to over 30% currently [5][6]. - Key areas for supply enhancement include green consumption, high-end products, and new consumption models, particularly in electric vehicles and smart home appliances [6]. Group 3: Government Coordination - There is a need for a coordinated consumption policy framework that addresses the diverse and multi-layered consumer demands across different regions and demographics [7]. - Central government policies should focus on overall planning and leverage fiscal incentives and major project layouts to stimulate consumption [7]. - Local governments should tailor policies to fit regional consumption habits and economic conditions, fostering a collaborative ecosystem between central and local authorities [7].
比音勒芬:营收稳步增长,盈利能力短期承压-20250430
HTSC· 2025-04-30 02:00
证券研究报告 比音勒芬 (002832 CH) 营收稳步增长,盈利能力短期承压 华泰研究 年报点评 2025 年 4 月 29 日│中国内地 服装 比音勒芬发布 2024 年报及 1Q25 业绩:2024 年公司实现营收 40.0 亿元 (yoy+13.2%),归母净利润 7.8 亿元(yoy-14.3%),低于我们此前预期(9.1 亿元),主因消费环境仍处于弱复苏,线下渠道毛利承压明显。1Q25 营收 12.9 亿元(yoy+1.4%),归母净利润 3.3 亿元(yoy-8.5%)。利润分配方面, 24 全年拟派息 0.5 元/股,分红率约 36.6%。公司盈利短期相对承压,但营 收在消费复苏尚不确定的环境下仍保持同业领先的稳健增长,叠加定位高端 消费人群的用户壁垒以及海外品牌 KENT&CURWEN 开启第二增长曲线等 优势,维持"买入"评级。 全品类、全渠道协同发展,共同驱动公司营收增长 分品类来看,上装、外套、下装收入分别同比+13.1%/17.5%/6.3%至 17.1/11.6/7.5 亿元,占营收比重分别为 42.8%/28.8%18.8%。上装作为核心 品类,凭借其丰富的款式设计与优质面料,持 ...