Workflow
黄金投资
icon
Search documents
帮主郑重:国际金价跳水,国内金条反涨价!背后有啥门道?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 05:25
Core Insights - The international gold price is declining due to a stronger US dollar and easing geopolitical tensions, which have reduced safe-haven demand for gold [3] - In contrast, domestic gold prices are rising due to fluctuations in the RMB exchange rate and increased demand from young investors who are engaging in a trend of accumulating gold beans [4] Group 1: International Gold Price Dynamics - The recent decline in international gold prices is primarily driven by a stronger US dollar and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve [3] - Easing geopolitical tensions have led to a decrease in safe-haven demand for gold, contributing to the price drop [3] Group 2: Domestic Gold Price Trends - Domestic gold prices are experiencing an upward trend due to the volatility of the RMB exchange rate and a growing appetite for gold as a safe-haven asset among local investors [4] - The trend of young consumers accumulating gold beans as a form of savings and fashion is significantly influencing domestic demand, especially ahead of holiday seasons [4] Group 3: Investment Considerations - For conservative investors, gold can serve as a risk-hedging asset, but caution is advised against chasing high prices, particularly in the context of widening price discrepancies between domestic and international markets [5] - Young investors are encouraged to be mindful of purchasing channels and premium levels when buying gold beans, as retail outlets may impose high processing fees [6] - The long-term trend of central banks globally increasing their gold reserves remains intact, suggesting potential opportunities for phased investments during price corrections [6] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Supply-Demand Dynamics - The current "internal-external divergence" in the gold market is driven by supply-demand relationships and market sentiment, highlighting the importance of macroeconomic factors internationally and emotional factors domestically [7] - Investors are advised to focus on long-term trends rather than being swayed by short-term market fluctuations [7]
金价爆了!一地河道突现多人冒险淘金,“有人一盆就出了5克多”!当地紧急回应
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 04:26
10克金条上午还是9280元 下午变成了10218元! 一地又出现"淘金"热 引发当地紧急回应 随着11月1日上午财政部和税务总局发布关于黄金有关税收政策的公告,已经悄悄影响投资金条市场——当天下午不少品牌投资金条或下架或全面上调售 价。 金价的波动 也引发"淘金"这一现象的出现 一地河道多人冒严寒淘金 "凌晨1点还有人"! 据报道,昨天(11月2日),有甘肃陇南网友发布一河道视频,称有人在河道内淘金。 近日 有关"黄金"的话题 屡次冲上热搜 11月1日晚上,很多人发现仅仅一下午时间,1000元/克以下的投资金条和金豆几乎消失不见,目前在售的少数金条和金豆普遍涨到了1000元以上,部分品 牌金条超过1200元/克,甚至比黄金首饰还贵。 康县政府办工作人员称,明确禁止个人的淘金行为。记者核实,当地政府及自然资源局已多次发布公告,严禁任何非法淘金活动,违者将面临罚款、没收 所得直至追究刑事责任的处罚。 TITUTION POLICE AND STATE Clac the first 昨天下午,康县公安局有关人员介绍,这几天已经接到河里有人淘金的警情,因为影响河道清理施工,有施工人员也报过警,民警已到现场巡逻劝离, ...
11.3黄金日内交易思路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 04:17
Core Viewpoint - In October, London spot gold experienced volatility, ultimately rising by 3.76% to $4002.69 per ounce, with an intraday peak of $4381.484 per ounce, influenced by multiple factors including U.S. political instability and trade tensions with China [1] Group 1: Market Influences - The U.S. government shutdown highlighted political polarization, weakening the long-term credibility of the dollar and U.S. assets [1] - The ongoing government closure and negative economic forecasts strengthened market expectations for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - The announcement of a 100% additional tariff on Chinese imports by the U.S. President escalated trade tensions, increasing global economic uncertainty [1] Group 2: Geopolitical Developments - A joint statement from Ukraine regarding the Russia-Ukraine war indicated a softening of positions among Ukraine and major European countries, contributing to a reduction in geopolitical tensions [1] - Progress in U.S.-China trade talks and a meeting between the two nations' leaders further alleviated market risk aversion [1] Group 3: Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to remain volatile with no clear bullish factors for gold, potentially leading to a weak performance until the end of the year [2] - Investors are advised to adopt a wait-and-see approach or consider buying on dips from an asset allocation perspective [2] Group 4: Technical Analysis - Gold prices opened at $4000, dipped to around $3962, and then stabilized back at the $4000 mark, indicating a choppy trading environment [4] - The focus for the week includes non-farm employment data, which could influence market movements [4]
与黄金相关 工行宣布暂停!
21世纪经济报道记者 张欣 11月3日,工商银行发布关于暂停受理部分如意金积存业务申请的公告,受宏观政策影响,根据工商银行风险管理要求,自2025年11月3日起,工商银行暂停 受理如意金积存业务的开户、主动积存、新增定期积存计划以及提取实物的申请,存量客户处于有效期内的定期积存计划的执行以及办理赎回、销户不受影 响。相关业务恢复事宜,请关注工商银行后续公告。 如意金积存业务是工商银行推出的一款黄金投资业务,简单来说,就是投资者(甲方)在工行(乙方)开立专门账户,通过买入工行指定黄金产品并存放, 后续可选择提取实物黄金或赎回的业务。 就在工行暂停部分如意积存业务前两天,11月1日,财政部、税务总局联合发布《关于黄金有关税收政策的公告》。该政策自2025年11月1日起实施,执行至 2027年12月31日,具体使用时间以发生实物交割出库事件为准。 兴业银行10月21日发布公告称,自即日起计划调整积存金活期及普通定期业务按金额购买方式的购买起点金额。按金额交易时,单次购买、新增定投购买起 点由人民币1000元起调整为人民币1200元起。按重量交易时,单次购买、新增定投购买起点为1克不变。 此次税收政策调整的核心内容包 ...
研报掘金丨华泰证券:维持山东黄金“增持”评级 短期下跌不影响黄金长期逻辑
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-03 04:00
该行下调公司2025至2027年归母净利预测分别为跌7.9%、跌1.8%、跌0.23%至63.38亿、93.6亿、123.6亿 元(三年复合增速为61.19%),对应每股盈利分别为1.37、2.03、2.68元;对应A股目标价为38.52元,H股 目标价为35.02港元,均维持"增持"评级。 华泰证券发表研报指,山东黄金第三季度实现营收270.17亿元,按年增长27.25%,按季度跌12.37%,归 母净利11.48亿元。今年首三季实现营收837.83亿元,归母净利39.56亿元,扣非净利39.45亿元。该行认 为,短期下跌不影响黄金长期逻辑,回调反而提供加仓机会,企稳后建议重新关注。 ...
黄金早参丨中美达成协议,美联储延续降息,金价底部支撑或将显现
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-03 03:28
兴业期货研究分析指出,当前宏观利好集中兑现,国内十五五规划建议全文公布、中美经贸谈判结果落 地、美联储如期降息等,市场风险偏好进一步大幅上修的概率降低。周末财政部、税务总局联合发布 《关于黄金有关税收政策的公告》,区分投资性黄金和消费性黄金,投资性实物金持有成本或上升,限 制实物黄金投资,金饰企业从交易所购入非投资性黄金享受进项税抵扣,定向支持黄金消费企业。微观 层面,金价短期回调10%左右后,已明显压低波动率。鉴于金价长期上行逻辑未变,金价底部支撑或将 显现。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 10月27日-10月31日,上周受中美两国达成达成贸易缓和协议,美联储如期降息,但鲍威尔释放鹰派言 论,金价延续回调,周四止跌回升,截至收盘,COMEX黄金期货周度跌3.00%报4077.2美元/盎司,连 续两周走低,截至亚市收盘,黄金ETF华夏(518850)周度跌1.75%,黄金股ETF(159562)周度涨 0.99%。 消息面上,中美两国元首会晤,达成一项为期一年的缓和协议,美国政府"停摆"满月,目前市场普遍预 期政府在11月中下旬结束停摆,避险情绪降温;美联储10月议息会议如期降息25BP,并宣布12月1日起 停 ...
秦氏金升:11.3金价弱势反弹,黄金行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 03:01
一小时级别的盘面,早盘跳空低开后虽出现短暂反弹,但价格未能突破关键压力位,整体维持震荡格局。在1小时K线图中可以清晰看到,价格低开后反弹 至4000附近再度承压下行,4000-4030区间形成了明显的阻力区域。此外,小时图上的均线系统呈现空头排列,5小时、10小时和20小时均线依次压制价格, 使得短期多头难以组织有效的反攻。 黄金现在的结构上是从4380双顶的高位走回调的趋势,截止上周到3886有接近500个点的跌幅,但上周有止跌的反弹的趋势,虽然反弹力度不够,短线趋势 上也形成了一个上升趋势,现在的趋势支撑处于3950附近,上方的压制位可以参考4046上周反弹高点的位置,故本周上半周先参考这个区间去操作。 消息面分析:美国财长贝森特周日表示,若通胀持续回落,美联储应继续降息。美联储在9月和10月已实施两次25个基点的降息,而最新报告显示美联储青 睐的PCE通胀率维持在2.7%。美国经济和财政风险仍在,政府关门僵局未见缓解,市场数据缺失,使得金价下行空间预计有限。本周(11月3日-7日)将迎 来数据密集的关键交易周,多国制造业与服务业PMI集中亮相、央行利率决议落地、"小非农"(ADP就业数据)重磅登场,叠加 ...
黄金又有大消息,工行宣布暂停
Wind万得· 2025-11-03 02:30
11月3日,工商银行发布公告,受宏观政策影响,根据相关风险管理要求,自2025年11月3日起, 工行暂停受理如意金积存业务的开户、主动积 存、新增定期积存计划以及提取实物的申请 ,存量客户处于有效期内的定期积存计划的执行以及办理赎回、销户不受影响。相关业务恢复事宜,请 关注后续公告。 此前包括工商银行、兴业银行、宁波银行等多家银行相继上调"积存金"的起存门槛。其中,中国银行在官网发文称,自10月15日起,积存金最小购买金额 由850元调整为950元,追加购买金额维持200元整数倍不变,已在执行中的定投计划不受影响。 Wind用户在金融终端输入 IBR(投行业务排行榜) 纵观股票、债券一级承销风云 过去十年投行承销排名一应俱全 分行业、分地域多维度呈现市场融资规模 点" 阅读原文 ",申请Wind金融终端 "金积存"业务是一种面向个人投资者的黄金积存产品,客户可通过开立专门账户,以按金额或按克数的方式定期或主动购买黄金,实现黄金资产的灵活配 置。该产品支持随时赎回变现,并可选择兑换为实物黄金(如金条等),操作便捷,适合希望通过小额、持续投资平摊成本、分散风险的投资者。 值得注意的是,11月1日,财政部、税务总局 ...
黄金交易税收政策迎来调整,上海金ETF(159830)3连涨,机构:ETF资金和央行购金仍是金价持续上行的推手
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a notable increase in the Shanghai Gold ETF (159830) during the latter half of the week, achieving a cumulative rise of 2.19% from October 29 to October 31 [1] - The Shanghai Gold ETF has attracted over 620 million yuan in the last 10 trading days, reflecting strong investor interest [2] - Recent adjustments to gold trading tax policies, effective from November 1, aim to clarify the boundaries between "investment gold" and "non-investment gold," marking a significant step towards a more refined and standardized tax system for gold trading in China [2] Group 2 - According to Guangfa Securities, the influx of funds into ETFs and central bank gold purchases are key drivers for the sustained rise in gold prices [3] - The potential for European investors to shift away from dollar assets towards gold, especially if the U.S. economy weakens, could lead to increased demand and push gold prices to new highs [3] - Ongoing global monetary credit system restructuring, de-dollarization trends, and continuous gold purchases by central banks are expected to support the upward trajectory of gold prices [3]
黄金的避险吸引力未能得到提振,短期内缺乏冲刺新高的动力
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-11-03 01:12
另据世界黄金协会发布数据显示,三季度黄金投资需求激增至537吨,同比增长47%。前三季度,中国零售黄金投资需 求达313吨,为2013年以来的最高水平。世界黄金协会认为,当前的市场环境显示黄金仍有进一步上行的空间。 【环球网财经综合报道】近日,财政部、国家税务总局发布关于黄金有关税收政策的公告,自11月1日起实施,执行 至2027年12月31日,适用时间以发生实物交割出库的时间为准。 业内人士分析表示,政策是对现有黄金市场政策的进一步完善,可以更好区分黄金的商品和金融属性;且本次政策调 整主要对交易所购买黄金的增值税政策进行了适当调整,预计调整后黄金市场消费及投资环境将更为透明和健康。 《联合早报》发文称,受美国联邦储备局降息立场趋于谨慎,以及中美贸易谈判进展良好影响,黄金的避险吸引力未 能得到提振,现货金价上周进一步下跌逾2%,本周预计持续疲弱。Asset Strategies International总裁兼首席运营官查坎 (Rich Checkan)认为,尽管黄金的长期上行趋势不变,但短期内缺乏冲刺新高的动力。 ...