| 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | any and | 3878.00c | -19.71 | -0.51% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | and all | 12955.25c | -101.45 | -0.78% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | will | 3036.79c | -34.36 | -1.12% | 盘面上，锂电池产业链全线回调，AI应用、电商、算力、消费电子、稳定币、6G、商业航天概念股跌幅居前。超硬材料、煤炭、铝业板 块逆势走强。 12月3日，A股市场全天震荡调整，截至收盘，沪指跌0.51%，深成指跌0.78%，创业板指跌1.12%。 具体来看，煤炭板块集体拉升，大有能源、安泰集团、新大洲A涨停。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅量 | 现价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600403 | 大有能源 | +10.05% | 9.20 | | 600408 | 安泰集团 | +10.04% | 5.59 ...

截至午间收盘，沪指跌0.09%，深成指跌0.19%，创业板指跌0.5%。AI应用、电商、锂矿、消费电子、 固态电池、算力题材纷纷走弱；超硬材料、煤炭、有色金属板块走强。 截至午间收盘，沪指跌0.09%，深成指跌0.19%，创业板指跌0.5%。AI应用、电商、锂矿、消费电子、 固态电池、算力题材纷纷走弱；超硬材料、煤炭、有色金属板块走强。 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices experienced a pullback after initially rising, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.19%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.5% at midday [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 10,756 billion yuan, an increase of 195 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,500 stocks declining across the market [1] Sector Performance - AI applications, e-commerce, lithium mining, consumer electronics, stablecoins, solid-state batteries, and computing power sectors showed weakness [1] - In contrast, sectors such as superhard materials, coal, and non-ferrous metals performed strongly [1] ETF Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector led the ETF gains, with Wanji Fund's Industrial Non-Ferrous ETF and Huaxia Fund's Non-Ferrous Metals ETF rising by 2.48% and 1.41% respectively [1] - Cross-border ETFs were all in the green, with Invesco Great Wall Fund's Nasdaq Technology ETF, Huaxia Fund's Brazil ETF, and Huitianfu Fund's Nasdaq 100 ETF increasing by 1.76%, 1.7%, and 1.6% respectively [1] - Cash strategy ETFs were active, with Huaxia Fund's Cash Flow 500 ETF rising by 1.37% [1] Weak Sectors - The AI application sector saw a broad decline, with the Film and Television ETF, Online Consumption ETF, and Media ETF falling by 2.31%, 2.3%, and 1.89% respectively [1] - The gaming sector also declined, with the Gaming ETF down by 1.65% [1] - The financial technology sector showed negative performance, with the Financial Technology ETF from Huitianfu down by 1.63% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The AI industry is experiencing a clear upward trend, with significant growth in the production of Google's TPU, indicating strong demand for computing power and AI applications [1][2]. Group 1: Market Activity - The optical module CPO and computing hardware continue to show strong activity, with New Yisheng rising over 4%, Tianfu Communication increasing over 3%, and Zhongji Xuchuang up over 1% [1]. - The AI-focused ETF (159363) saw its price rise over 2%, approaching its historical high since listing, with a real-time transaction volume exceeding 2.7 billion yuan, indicating a notable increase in trading activity [1]. Group 2: Supply Chain Insights - Morgan Stanley's latest research indicates a significant increase in Google's TPU production forecasts, with 2027 production estimates raised from approximately 3 million units to 5 million units (a 67% increase) and 2028 estimates from about 3.2 million units to 7 million units (a 120% increase) [1]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Huazhang Securities suggests that the AI industry's growth trend is clear, and the current short-term adjustment provides a good opportunity for future positioning, emphasizing the importance of computing power and AI applications [1]. - The first AI ETF on the ChiNext market (159363) and its corresponding off-market connection (023407) are recommended for investment, focusing on leading companies in the optical module sector, with over 56% of the ETF's holdings in optical modules [2].

Core Insights - The cloud computing sector is experiencing fluctuations, with the Huatai Cloud Computing ETF (159273) seeing significant trading volume exceeding 15 million yuan and a net inflow of over 52 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 1: Cloud Computing Developments - Amazon Web Services (AWS) launched the next-generation AI training chip, Trainium 3, at the re:Invent conference, and announced plans for Trainium 4, aiming to compete with Nvidia and Google in the AI chip market [3]. - Morgan Stanley raised its forecast for Google's TPU production for 2027-2028, indicating a positive outlook for hardware suppliers related to optical modules [3]. - Domestic company DeepSeek released two official model versions, DeepSeek-V3.2 and DeepSeek-V3.2-Speciale, enhancing its AI offerings [3]. Group 2: Market Performance of Key Stocks - The majority of the index component stocks of the Huatai Cloud Computing ETF showed declines, with notable drops including Huasheng Tiancheng and Data Port, both down over 3%, while NewEase and Kehua Data saw increases of over 4% and nearly 1%, respectively [3][4]. Group 3: Optical Module Market Insights - According to招商证券, 2025 is expected to be a standout year for optical module suppliers with high AI business ratios, driven by significant revenue growth and profit margin expansion [5]. - Major cloud providers in the U.S. are projected to spend $230 billion on capital expenditures in 2024, a 55% year-on-year increase, with further investments expected to reach $367 billion in 2025 [5]. - The revenue growth rates for leading optical module manufacturers like Coherent, Zhongji Xuchuang, and NewEase are forecasted at 15%, 120%, and 175% respectively for 2024, with continued strong performance anticipated through 2026 [7]. Group 4: Supply Chain and Technology Trends - The optical module industry is facing supply chain challenges, particularly with EML chips, but advancements in silicon photonics technology are expected to alleviate some of these bottlenecks [8]. - By 2026, the share of silicon photonics is projected to exceed 50%, with significant growth in the shipment of 800G and 1.6T optical module products [8]. - Key suppliers like Lumentum and Coherent are planning substantial capacity expansions to meet the growing demand in the optical module market [9]. Group 5: AI Infrastructure and Applications - The launch of the Doubao mobile assistant by ZTE is part of a broader trend towards AI applications in mobile technology, with significant government support for AI integration across various sectors by 2027 [10][11]. - The demand for computing infrastructure is expected to accelerate due to the increasing deployment of AI applications, benefiting the related supply chain, including optical modules and edge computing solutions [11].

Core Viewpoint - The market for AI-related hardware, particularly optical modules and computing power, is experiencing significant growth, driven by increased demand and production forecasts from major players like Google [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Activity - Optical module CPO and related hardware continue to show strong performance, with companies like Xinyisheng and Tianfu Communication seeing stock increases of over 4% and 3% respectively [1]. - The AI ETF (159363) with over 56% optical module CPO content has seen a price increase of over 2%, indicating strong market interest and a potential breakout from its trading range [1]. Group 2: Industry Forecasts - Morgan Stanley's research indicates a significant upward revision in Google's TPU production forecasts, with expected increases from approximately 3 million units in 2027 to 5 million units, a 67% increase, and from 3.2 million units in 2028 to 7 million units, a 120% increase [2]. - Zhongtai Securities highlights Google's comprehensive technology ecosystem, which strengthens its competitive position in AI and drives ongoing capital investment growth [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The first AI ETF tracking the ChiNext AI Index is recommended for investment, focusing on leading optical module companies, with over 70% of its portfolio allocated to computing power and over 20% to AI applications [4]. - The optical module industry is expected to see a significant capacity release in Q1 2026, driven by leading manufacturers expanding production in mainland China and Thailand [3].

来源：光大证券微资讯 热点聚焦 HOT 1、隔夜，美股三大指数集体收涨，英特尔涨超8%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.65%。COMEX黄金 期货收跌0.84%，报4238.7美元/盎司；COMEX白银期货收涨0.01%，报59.15美元/盎司。美联储降息预 期持续升温。美国银行最新报告预测，美联储将在12月会议上降息25个基点。美银此前曾预测，美联储 将在12月暂停降息。据CME"美联储观察"，截至北京时间12月3日07:00，美联储12月降息25个基点的概 率已升至89.2%。 2、隔夜，WTI原油期货收跌1.15%，报58.64美元/桶。布伦特原油期货收跌1.14%，报62.45美元/桶。此 前，美国和乌克兰在美国佛罗里达州举行了高级别会谈。乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示，乌克兰代表团已提 交了在美所有会谈的详细报告。乌美代表团在会谈中，基于乌美日内瓦会谈后的和平计划版本，进行了 进一步完善。与此同时，俄总统助理3日说，普京和美国中东问题特使的会谈没有达成解决乌克兰问题 的折中方案。美方的一些建议，俄方不能接受。 3、日前印发的《福建省有序推进算力基础设施发展若干措施》提到，到2027年底，全省公共算力规模 达到 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the gradual recovery of various industries, highlighting investment opportunities driven by supply and demand dynamics [6][15][17] - The macroeconomic environment is showing signs of stabilization, with expectations for a 5% growth target for the year, supported by upcoming policy meetings [5][11] - The report suggests a focus on sectors such as shipbuilding, pharmaceuticals, and consumer electronics for short-term investment opportunities [5][10][11] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,897.71, down 0.42%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.68% to 13,056.70 [3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 16.06 and 48.64, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [5][9] International Market Performance - Major international indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 experienced declines of 0.67% and 0.45%, respectively, reflecting a broader trend of market volatility [4] Industry Analysis - The chemical industry is entering a recovery phase, with improved profitability in sub-sectors like agricultural chemicals and fluorochemicals, while others face challenges due to rapid capacity expansion [14][15][17] - The AI sector is witnessing accelerated application and a reshaping of the global landscape, with significant advancements in domestic AI capabilities [18][19] - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, with emerging opportunities in the snack and soft drink markets projected to grow significantly [20][21][22] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on integrated leaders in the chemical sector, such as Wanhua Chemical and Satellite Chemical, as well as opportunities in organic silicon and polyester industries [15][17] - In the AI sector, companies like HUAWEI and domestic chip manufacturers are highlighted for their potential in the rapidly evolving landscape [18][19] - The food and beverage sector suggests monitoring companies involved in snacks, soft drinks, and health products, which are expected to see robust growth [21][22]

每经记者｜杨建 每经编辑｜彭水萍 ｜2025年12月3日 星期三｜ NO.1 2025脑机接口大会将于12月4日至5日在上海举行 12月2日，据上海市科委介绍，为推进脑机接口前沿技术创新与未来产业发展，12月4日至5日，以"脑联 世界·智汇上海"为主题的2025脑机接口大会将在"脑智天地"脑机接口未来产业集聚区举行。本届大会实 现多项"首次"突破：首次举办国内大规模多赛道脑机接口竞技赛，首次设立脑机接口开发者大会，首次 开设聚焦投融资的"投资合作"分论坛，旨在全方位搭建"技术-产业-资本"深度融合的生态平台。 NO.2 中信建投：商业航天司落地，我国商业航天高质量发展有望加速 中信建投研报表示，国家航天局正式设立商业航天司，作为专职监管机构，提升发射审批、牌照发放效 率，推动产业规范化、规模化发展。同期发布的《推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动计划（2025—2027 年）》提出四大核心目标：通过开放科研项目支持低成本技术（如可重复火箭、智能卫星），推动民商 标准融合共享国家资源，设立国家基金优化产业生态，并构建全生命周期安全监管体系。2025年产业加 速落地，GW与千帆星座在轨卫星超百颗，民营火箭企业切入国家级 ...

华见早安之声 市场概述 周二，特朗普暗示美联储主席人选为哈塞特、叠加日债拍卖企稳，全球市场暂获喘息。标普500和纳指涨，数字货币暴涨。 但对于科技巨头竞争格局的担 忧，以及市场谨慎情绪仍存，罗素小盘股收跌；尽管美股指过去七个交易日中六次上涨， 但大多数成分股下跌。 苹果领涨大盘股，但特斯拉下跌、"大空头"称其股票估值过高。波音涨近10%。 美债涨跌不一，10年期收益率基本持平于4.088%，2年期收益率跌1.6个基点。 美元兑日元反弹，一度涨近0.5%。 离岸人民币迈向14个月高位。 比特币涨超6%、收复9万美元，以太坊飙涨逾8%、重回3000美元上方，大体收复周一暴跌的失地。 黄金震荡走低0.58%。 白银V形反转，一度跌超2.3%，随后较日低涨逾3.6%、逼近昨日所创历史高点。原油跌约1.5%。 亚洲时段，A股震荡下跌，创业板跌0.69%，商业航天、医药商业板块爆发，港股指数表现分化，新能源车普跌。 要闻 特朗普称明年初将宣布美联储主席人选，强烈暗示哈塞特。新美联储通讯社：哈塞特当选美联储主席已"内部确定"。 美国假日购物季"开门红"！美国零售联合会：感恩节假日购物人数飙至超2亿人次。 OpenAI启动红 ...