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整理:每日全球外汇市场要闻速递(7月7日)
news flash· 2025-07-07 06:35
1. 荷兰国际:通胀持续放缓为澳洲联储降息再开窗口。 2. 分析师:强劲的澳大利亚就业数据给澳洲联储鸽派敲响警钟。 日元: 1. 惠誉:若不大幅削减汽车关税,日美将难以达成贸易协议。 2. 穆迪:仍认为日本央行将继续加息,但疲弱的薪资数据令其处境艰难。 澳元: 金十数据整理:每日全球外汇市场要闻速递(7月7日) 其它: 1. 印度尼西亚6月底外汇储备升至1526亿美元。 2. 泰国6月消费者价格指数下降幅度超出预期。 3. 普京呼吁扩大本币结算,提议创建新的金砖国家投资平台。 4. 经济学家:新西兰联储本周将"鸽派暂停",为评估经济留出缓冲空间。 ...
程序化交易新规今起施行;马斯克宣布“美国党”成立|南财早新闻
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-06 23:49
Investment News - The Hong Kong government reported that the stock market rose by 18% last year, with a strong momentum expected to continue into 2025, as the number of IPO applications in Hong Kong is rapidly increasing, with fundraising exceeding 107 billion HKD in the first half of the year [4] - In the first half of 2025, the Beijing Stock Exchange received 115 IPO applications, maintaining a steady acceptance pace, with 97 applications in June alone, accounting for over 80% of the total [4] - Since the announcement of the "merger and acquisition guidelines" on September 24, 2024, there have been 23 cases of A-share companies announcing mergers and acquisitions aimed at IPOs, with 31 focusing on core business integration and 9 on cross-industry mergers [4] Company Movements - Meituan and Taobao have launched aggressive promotions, distributing numerous food delivery coupons, including significant discounts, while JD.com also issued millions of exclusive coupons [6] - NIO's founder and CEO Li Bin announced that the starting price for the Lido L90 will be below 300,000 RMB, with the vehicle set to be available for pre-sale starting July 10 [6] - Roma Technology and Anker Innovations have announced recalls of over 1.2 million power bank products due to safety hazards from battery contamination [6]
特朗普要加税到 70%,印度硬刚还告到 WTO,转头就抱中国大腿?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 19:09
Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the escalating trade tensions between the US and its allies, particularly India, in response to Trump's proposed tariff increases from 50% to 70% [2][4] - India has reacted strongly against the US tariffs, refusing to accept the proposed 70% tariff and retaliating by filing a complaint with the WTO while also imposing tariffs on US agricultural products [4][6] - The situation has led to a significant shift in India's foreign policy, as it seeks to strengthen ties with BRICS nations and explore alternative trade agreements, indicating a strategic pivot away from reliance on the US [8][10] Group 2 - Japan and South Korea are also feeling the pressure, with Japan advocating for negotiations instead of tariffs, while South Korea is caught between maintaining US relations and appeasing China [10][11] - Southeast Asian countries are reacting to the shifting trade dynamics, with Thailand imposing tariffs on Vietnamese goods, and German companies expanding production in India to mitigate supply chain risks [11][12] - The overall trade landscape in Asia is becoming increasingly volatile, with countries adjusting their strategies in response to US tariff threats and the evolving geopolitical climate [12][13]
普京呼吁扩大本币结算 提议创建新的金砖国家投资平台
news flash· 2025-07-06 16:31
Core Viewpoint - Russian President Putin called for the expansion of local currency settlements and proposed the creation of a new investment platform for BRICS countries during the 17th BRICS summit [1] Group 1: Currency and Settlement Initiatives - Putin proposed the establishment of an independent settlement and custody system within the BRICS framework [1] - He emphasized the goal of increasing the share of settlements in rubles and currencies of "friendly countries" to 90% by 2024 [1] Group 2: Investment and Economic Cooperation - The proposal includes increasing the scale of bilateral investments among BRICS member countries [1] - A new investment platform for BRICS countries was suggested to facilitate this increase [1] Group 3: Additional Proposals - Putin proposed the establishment of a carbon market partnership, an arbitration investment center, a fair competition platform, and a permanent tax secretariat within the BRICS framework [1]
澳前总理顾问:美制造业“空心化”不是贸易造成的 再全球化不可逆
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 16:19
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that the recent U.S. tariff increases are ineffective and that the trend of re-globalization is irreversible [1][3] - It discusses the anxiety in the U.S. regarding its declining global dominance, which has led to current tensions, particularly in the context of U.S.-China relations [3][4] - The article highlights that the U.S. has shifted from multilateralism to a more transactional approach, which reveals a lack of strategic coherence [3][4] Group 2 - It points out that the U.S. manufacturing sector's decline is not solely due to trade agreements but is a result of a deep transformation of American capital over the past 40 years [4][5] - The article notes that while the U.S. continues to produce high-end and advanced technology products, these sectors are capital-intensive and cannot replace the jobs lost in labor-intensive manufacturing [4][5] - It mentions that emerging economies are increasingly seeking alternatives to the U.S. dollar for trade, particularly in the context of regional trade agreements [5][6] Group 3 - The article concludes that the U.S.-China trade dispute reflects a broader historical trend towards multipolarity and diversification of global reserve currencies [5][6] - It asserts that the world is not experiencing de-globalization but is instead advancing re-globalization under new conditions and rules [5][6]
俄政府已动用最后储备,普京转向中俄能源合作求援,中国会接吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-14 08:53
Group 1 - Russia's financial reserves have significantly decreased from 10 trillion rubles to 6 trillion rubles in just two months, indicating a severe fiscal crisis [1] - The average daily expenditure of Russia in the ongoing conflict is over 400 million USD, approximately 30 billion RMB, highlighting the financial strain of military operations [3] - The energy export sector, previously a major revenue source for Russia, is under pressure due to Western sanctions, with the IMF predicting a mere 0.3% GDP growth for Russia this year, suggesting economic stagnation [5][7] Group 2 - Russia is actively seeking to enhance energy cooperation with China, with the Russian Energy Minister frequently visiting China to discuss potential projects [9] - The "Power of Siberia 2" pipeline project is a focal point for Russia, aiming to transport natural gas to China, but the financial terms proposed by Russia may be seen as excessive by China [11][13] - China is shifting from emotional cooperation to interest-based cooperation, emphasizing the need for mutually beneficial agreements rather than one-sided concessions [15][25] Group 3 - Russian energy companies are facing a significant decline in net profits, dropping from 1.445 trillion rubles to 789.5 billion rubles year-on-year, reflecting a severe downturn in the energy sector [20] - High domestic interest rates and a rapidly increasing debt burden are exacerbating Russia's financial challenges, with 20% benchmark interest rates and a 14% annual debt growth rate [21] - The reliance on Chinese markets for energy exports is seen as a potential lifeline for Russia, but sustainable cooperation must be based on shared interests and risk-sharing [23][27]
30天倒计时!特朗普逼印度“退群”金砖,莫迪沉默背后藏着大棋
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-08 20:02
Core Points - The U.S. is pressuring India to distance itself from BRICS in exchange for a trade agreement, highlighting a shift in diplomatic tactics [1][3] - The U.S. sees India as a crucial player in its Indo-Pacific strategy, aiming to weaken China's influence by leveraging India's position [3][5] - India's reliance on Chinese manufacturing is significant, with a projected 37% increase in imports of Chinese machinery and electrical products in 2024 [5] - The U.S. demands include opening India's agricultural market to American soybeans and threatening military supply chains, particularly for F-21 fighter jet parts [7] - India is strategically delaying its response to U.S. demands while strengthening ties with Russia and exploring alternative currency agreements with the Middle East [9] - China's response to the situation has been measured, with support for India through infrastructure loans, contrasting with U.S. tactics [10] - Internal divisions in India are evident, with public sentiment largely against U.S. economic pressure and protests against American agricultural imports [12] - Global reactions to U.S. pressure include support for BRICS from other nations, indicating a broader resistance to U.S. hegemony [14] Summary by Sections U.S.-India Relations - The U.S. Commerce Secretary's visit to India was marked by a stark warning to sever ties with BRICS for a trade deal [1] - The U.S. initially expected compliance from 75 countries regarding tariffs but faced resistance, particularly from India [3] Economic Implications - The U.S. is pushing for India to open its agricultural market, which could significantly impact local farmers [7] - India's imports from China are expected to rise sharply, indicating a complex economic interdependence [5] Strategic Maneuvering - India is employing a strategy of delay while seeking to strengthen its energy ties with Russia and explore alternative economic frameworks [9] - China's support for India through financial means contrasts with U.S. pressure tactics, showcasing a different diplomatic approach [10] Domestic Sentiment - There is significant public backlash in India against U.S. economic policies, with protests emerging against American agricultural imports [12] - The internal political landscape in India is divided, with strong opposition to U.S. influence and calls for maintaining BRICS membership [12] Global Context - Other BRICS nations are rallying against U.S. pressure, indicating a potential shift in global power dynamics [14]
中国若不接盘美债,美国将面临信誉崩盘!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-07 23:41
先说个扎心的事实:美国现在每天光利息就得烧掉27亿美元,这还不算本金。你没听错,光是利息钱就能压垮华盛顿那帮人。去年日本还攥着1.1万亿美元 美债,结果上个月直接甩卖了500亿,搞得美债利率一晚上窜高20个点。连日本都开始跑路了,你觉得中国会傻到去接盘?这不是"农夫与蛇"的故事,是"东 郭先生救狼"的翻版。 美债曾经是全球金融市场的"定海神针",但现在呢?越来越多国家开始用自己的货币结算,东盟搞了本币结算圈,巴西卖大豆直接收人民币,俄罗斯更是把 存在美国的黄金全拉回国。美元的国际地位正在一步步被蚕食,这不是危言耸听,而是肉眼可见的趋势。 美债这事儿,最近又成了全球金融圈的头号瓜。6月份到期的6.5万亿美元美债,像一颗定时炸弹,正悬在华盛顿的头顶。而大家最关心的问题是:中国会不 会接盘?我的答案很简单——别开玩笑了,接盘就是给自己挖坑! 还有人提到比特币,说美国可能用比特币来化债。这更是个笑话。比特币是什么?它是个虚拟品,网络崩溃了它就归零。美国拿虚拟货币换中国的真金白 银,这不是明抢是什么?拿中国人当傻子吗? 美国的债务问题已经不是靠"化债"能解决的了,它的问题是系统性的。贪腐严重、贫富差距拉大、财政赤字失控 ...
影响市场重大事件:2025年上海合作组织财长和央行行长会议在北京举行,探讨本币结算
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-04 23:17
Group 1 - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) finance ministers and central bank governors meeting was held in Beijing, discussing global and regional economic challenges and financial cooperation [1] - The meeting achieved substantial progress towards the establishment of the SCO Development Bank and agreed to create a financial think tank network [1] - Topics included improving local currency settlement arrangements and enhancing digital inclusive finance cooperation [1] Group 2 - The National Energy Administration announced the initiation of pilot projects for new power systems, focusing on building or upgrading renewable energy power stations in areas with tight supply or significant consumption pressure [2] - The projects aim to enhance system performance with a target of increasing output by over 10% during peak hours [2] - Priority will be given to projects with installed capacity of over 200,000 kilowatts [2] Group 3 - Guangdong Province is planning to develop a marine strong province indicator system to evaluate the effectiveness of marine development [3] - The system will include functional positioning, compilation principles, and calculation methods, ensuring practical implementation [3] - This initiative aims to support the construction of a new marine Guangdong [3] Group 4 - Shenzhen's Industrial and Information Technology Bureau announced a support plan for the smart terminal industry, with funding up to 20 million yuan for various AI terminal projects [4] - The focus is on research, production, and application promotion of innovative consumer electronics, including smartphones and smart home products [4] - The application system for funding will open on June 13 [4] Group 5 - The National Railway Administration is promoting the green transformation of old diesel locomotives by replacing fossil fuel systems with electric and hydrogen fuel cell systems [5] - This initiative aims to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions from railway operations [5] Group 6 - PingPong has received preliminary approval from the Central Bank of the UAE to become the first Chinese third-party payment institution to hold a UAE payment license [6] - This marks a significant step for Chinese payment platforms in expanding their international presence [6] Group 7 - Shanghai's Development and Reform Commission encourages local enterprises to actively apply for infrastructure REITs reserve projects, with a minimum asset valuation of 1 billion yuan for new issuances [8] - Existing REITs can expand without asset size restrictions, allowing for bundled calculations of multiple projects [8] Group 8 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Chinese Academy of Sciences are launching an innovation task for high-performance bioreactors, focusing on key technologies and applications [9] - The initiative aims to enhance the integrated development capabilities of technology research, supply-demand matching, and large-scale application [9] Group 9 - In May 2025, A-share new account openings reached 1.56 million, a year-on-year increase of 22.86% compared to 1.27 million in May 2024 [10] - Despite a decline from previous months, the overall trend remains robust, with the total new accounts in 2025 exceeding the first six months of 2024 [10] Group 10 - China Eastern Airlines announced a new fuel surcharge policy effective June 5, 2025, exempting fuel surcharges for domestic flights under 800 kilometers [11] - For flights over 800 kilometers, a surcharge of 10 yuan per passenger will be applied [11] - The policy aims to adjust pricing structures for domestic air travel [11]