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2025年11月价格数据点评:CPI涨势能否延续?
EBSCN· 2025-12-10 08:52
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In November 2025, the CPI increased by 0.7% year-on-year, up from 0.2% in the previous month, aligning with market expectations[2] - The main driver for the CPI increase was the turnaround in food prices, particularly fresh vegetable prices, which rose by 14.5% year-on-year, compared to a decline of 7.3% in the previous month[4][5] - Core CPI remained stable at 1.2% year-on-year, with gold prices contributing significantly to this stability, while service prices showed a slowdown due to seasonal demand[6] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 2.2% year-on-year in November, slightly worse than the previous month's decline of 2.1%, primarily due to a high base effect from the previous year[8] - PPI showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the second consecutive month of growth, driven by rising prices in the coal and non-ferrous metal sectors[8][9] - The "anti-involution" effect is evident as downstream consumer goods prices stabilize, while upstream coal and metal prices continue to rise[11] Group 3: Future Outlook - The CPI is expected to maintain its upward trend in December, supported by low base effects and rising food prices, with a projected average CPI growth rate of 0.7% for the coming year[10] - The PPI's year-on-year decline is anticipated to narrow, influenced by global manufacturing recovery and domestic supply-demand adjustments, although the timing for a return to positive growth remains uncertain[11] - The recovery of domestic demand and the potential for a rebound in pork prices are critical factors that could influence CPI trends in the upcoming months[10]
我国2025年11月份CPI同比涨幅扩大 核心CPI继续上涨
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-12-10 07:47
11月份,居民消费持续恢复,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比略降0.1%,同比上涨0.7%,扣除食品和能源 价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%。受国内部分行业供需结构优化、国际大宗商品价格传导等因素影响,工 业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比上涨0.1%,同比下降2.2%。 CPI同比涨幅扩大 服务价格下降0.4%,影响CPI环比下降约0.16个百分点。其中,节后出行需求季节性回落,宾馆住宿、 飞机票、旅行社收费和交通工具租赁费价格分别下降10.4%、10.2%、6.2%和3.6%,合计影响CPI环比下 降约0.13个百分点;房屋租赁进入淡季,房租价格下降0.2%。 核心CPI上涨1.2% CPI同比上涨0.7%,涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点,为2024年3月份以来最高,同比涨幅扩大主要是食品 价格由降转涨拉动。 食品价格由上月下降2.9%转为上涨0.2%,对CPI同比的影响由上月下拉0.54个百分点转为上拉0.04个百 分点。食品中,鲜菜价格由上月下降7.3%转为上涨14.5%,为连续下降9个月后首次转涨,对CPI同比的 上拉影响比上月增加约0.49个百分点;鲜果价格由上月下降2.0%转为上涨0.7%;牛肉和羊 ...
11月PPI环比连续两个月上涨,CPI同比创20个月新高
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-10 07:40
(全国居民消费价格涨跌幅来源:国家统计局) 核心CPI涨幅连续三月保持1%以上 同比来看,11月份,CPI同比上涨0.7%。其中,城市上涨0.7%,农村上涨0.4%;食品价格上涨0.2%,非食品价格上涨0.8%;消 费品价格上涨0.6%,服务价格上涨0.7%。 1—11月平均,CPI与上年同期持平。 国家统计局数据显示,9月份,CPI同比下降0.3%;10月份,同比上涨0.2%。对比前两个月,CPI由降转涨后持续恢复,11月CPI 同比上涨0.7%,涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点。 21世纪经济报道记者冉黎黎北京报道12月10日,国家统计局发布的数据显示,2025年11月份,全国居民消费价格(CPI)同比上 涨0.7%,环比下降0.1%;全国工业生产者出厂价格(PPI)同比下降2.2%,环比上涨0.1%。值得注意的是,11月CPI同比上涨 0.7%,涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点,为2024年3月份以来最高。PPI环比上涨0.1%,连续两个月上涨。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读称,CPI同比涨幅扩大主要是食品价格由降转涨拉动。食品价格由上月下降2.9%转为上 涨0.2%,对CPI同比的影响由上月下拉0.5 ...
解读:2025年11月份CPI同比涨幅扩大 核心CPI继续上涨
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-12-10 07:24
CPI同比上涨0.7%,涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点,为2024年3月份以来最高,同比涨幅扩大主要是食品 价格由降转涨拉动。食品价格由上月下降2.9%转为上涨0.2%,对CPI同比的影响由上月下拉0.54个百分 点转为上拉0.04个百分点。食品中,鲜菜价格由上月下降7.3%转为上涨14.5%,为连续下降9个月后首次 转涨,对CPI同比的上拉影响比上月增加约0.49个百分点;鲜果价格由上月下降2.0%转为上涨0.7%;牛 肉和羊肉价格分别上涨6.2%和3.7%,涨幅均有扩大;猪肉和禽肉类价格分别下降15.0%和0.6%,降幅均 有收窄。能源价格下降3.4%,降幅比上月扩大1.0个百分点,其中汽油价格降幅扩大至7.5%。扣除食品 和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%,涨幅连续3个月保持在1%以上。服务和扣除能源的工业消费品价 格分别上涨0.7%和2.1%,分别影响CPI同比上涨约0.29个百分点和0.53个百分点。其中扩内需政策措施 继续显效,家用器具和服装价格分别上涨4.9%和2.0%,飞机票、家政服务和在外餐饮价格分别上涨 7.0%、2.4%和1.2%。金饰品价格涨幅扩大至58.4%。另外,燃油小汽车和新能 ...
2025年11月份CPI同比涨幅扩大核心CPI继续上涨
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-12-10 06:02
11月份,居民消费持续恢复,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比略降0.1%,同比上涨0.7%,扣除食品和能 源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%。受国内部分行业供需结构优化、国际大宗商品价格传导等因素影响, 工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比上涨0.1%,同比下降2.2%。 一、CPI同比涨幅扩大,核心CPI上涨1.2% CPI环比下降0.1%,主要受服务价格季节性下降影响。服务价格下降0.4%,影响CPI环比下降约0.16个 百分点。其中,节后出行需求季节性回落,宾馆住宿、飞机票、旅行社收费和交通工具租赁费价格分别 下降10.4%、10.2%、6.2%和3.6%,合计影响CPI环比下降约0.13个百分点;房屋租赁进入淡季,房租价 格下降0.2%。受国际油价变动影响,国内汽油价格下降2.2%,影响CPI环比下降约0.07个百分点。扣除 能源的工业消费品价格上涨0.3%,其中受国际金价变动影响国内金饰品价格上涨7.3%,受冬装换季上 新影响服装价格上涨0.8%。食品价格上涨0.5%,高于季节性水平0.9个百分点,主要是鲜菜价格上涨影 响。部分地区降雨降温影响鲜菜生产储运,鲜菜价格上涨7.2%,远高于平均下降3.2% ...
重磅经济数据发布!
证券时报· 2025-12-10 04:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continuous recovery of consumer spending in November, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, marking the highest growth since March 2024 [1][3] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, maintaining a growth rate above 1% for three consecutive months [5][6] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) experienced a year-on-year decline of 2.2%, with the drop rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, primarily due to a high comparison base from the previous year [9][10] Group 2 - In November, food prices increased by 0.5%, exceeding seasonal levels by 0.9 percentage points, largely driven by a significant rise in fresh vegetable prices, which turned from a 7.3% decline to a 14.5% increase [4][3] - Fresh vegetable prices rose by 7.2% month-on-month, significantly higher than the average seasonal decline of 3.2%, contributing approximately 0.17 percentage points to the month-on-month CPI increase [2][3] - The increase in food prices was complemented by rising prices in other categories, such as household appliances and clothing, which rose by 4.9% and 2.0% respectively [7] Group 3 - The article notes that the comprehensive rectification of "involution-style" competition has shown results, with price declines in industries such as coal mining, photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, and lithium-ion battery manufacturing narrowing for several consecutive months [1][10] - Emerging industries are experiencing rapid development, leading to price increases in related sectors, such as a 13.9% rise in external storage devices and components, and a 3.8% increase in graphite and carbon products manufacturing [11] - The effective release of consumer potential is reflected in price recoveries in various industries, including a 20.6% increase in the manufacturing of arts and crafts and ceremonial goods [11]
0.7%
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-10 04:32
Group 1 - In November, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.7% year-on-year, marking the highest level since March 2024, with a 0.5 percentage point increase from October [1][3] - The rise in CPI was primarily driven by a turnaround in food prices, which shifted from a 2.9% decline in October to a 0.2% increase in November, positively impacting the CPI by 0.04 percentage points [3] - Fresh vegetable prices saw a significant increase, rising by 14.5% year-on-year in November after nine consecutive months of decline, while pork and poultry prices experienced a narrowing of their decline [3] Group 2 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.1% month-on-month in November, continuing the upward trend for the second consecutive month, driven by seasonal demand increases in coal and gas [5][6] - The PPI year-on-year decreased by 2.2%, with the decline slightly widening compared to October, primarily due to high comparison bases from the previous year [6] - Key industries such as coal mining, photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, and lithium-ion battery manufacturing saw a narrowing of their year-on-year price declines, indicating effective capacity management policies [7] Group 3 - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, maintaining a level above 1% for three consecutive months, with service prices and industrial consumer goods prices also showing positive growth [3][4] - Seasonal factors led to a decrease in service prices, with significant declines observed in accommodation, airfares, and travel-related costs [4] - Emerging industries are experiencing rapid growth, with notable year-on-year price increases in sectors such as external storage devices (13.9%), graphite and carbon products (3.8%), and integrated circuit manufacturing (1.7%) [7][8]
1.2%↑!创2024年3月以来新高!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-10 03:53
(原标题:1.2%↑!创2024年3月以来新高!) "11月份食品价格环比上涨0.5%,高于季节性水平0.9个百分点,主要是鲜菜价格上涨影响。"董莉娟 说。 核心CPI涨幅连续3个月保持在1%以上 除了食品价格外,11月份扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%,涨幅连续3个月保持在1%以 上。服务和扣除能源的工业消费品价格分别上涨0.7%和2.1%,分别影响CPI同比上涨约0.29个百分点和 0.53个百分点。 同期,工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比上涨0.1%,连续两个月上涨;同比下降2.2%,降幅比上月 扩大0.1个百分点。值得注意的是,综合整治"内卷式"竞争成效持续显现,如煤炭开采和洗选业、光伏 设备及元器件制造、锂离子电池制造等行业价格同比降幅均已连续多个月收窄。部分行业价格走势反映 出新兴产业快速发展、消费潜力有效释放。 鲜菜价格上涨明显,环比大超季节性 11月份,CPI同比上涨0.7%,涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点。国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟表示, CPI同比涨幅为2024年3月份以来最高,同比涨幅扩大主要是食品价格由降转涨拉动。 数据显示,11月份,CPI的分项数据中,食品价格 ...
1.2%↑!创2024年3月以来新高!
券商中国· 2025-12-10 03:32
11月份居民消费持续恢复,综合整治"内卷式"竞争成效显现。 12月10日,国家统计局公布数据显示,11月份居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比上涨0.7%,涨幅扩大;扣除食品 和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%,涨幅连续3个月保持在1%以上。 同期,工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比上涨0.1%,连续两个月上涨;同比下降2.2%,降幅比上月扩大0.1 个百分点。值得注意的是,综合整治"内卷式"竞争成效持续显现,如煤炭开采和洗选业、光伏设备及元器件制 造、锂离子电池制造等行业价格同比降幅均已连续多个月收窄。部分行业价格走势反映出新兴产业快速发展、 消费潜力有效释放。 鲜菜价格上涨明显,环比大超季节性 11月份,CPI同比上涨0.7%,涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点。国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟表示,CPI同 比涨幅为2024年3月份以来最高,同比涨幅扩大主要是食品价格由降转涨拉动。 数据显示,11月份,CPI的分项数据中,食品价格同比上涨0.2%,非食品价格上涨0.8%。"鲜菜价格由上月下 降7.3%转为上涨14.5%,为连续下降9个月后首次转涨,对CPI同比的上拉影响比上月增加约0.49个百分 点。"董莉娟 ...
国家统计局:11月CPI同比上涨0.7%,PPI环比上涨0.1%
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-10 02:13
经济观察网 据国家统计局数据,11月份,居民消费持续恢复,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比略降 0.1%,同比上涨0.7%,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%。受国内部分行业供需结构优化、 国际大宗商品价格传导等因素影响,工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比上涨0.1%,同比下降2.2%。 ...