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货币市场日报:6月30日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 12:19
Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 331.5 billion yuan, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [1] - With 220.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing on the same day, the net injection into the open market was 111.0 billion yuan [1] Interbank Offered Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term products rose across the board, with the 7-day Shibor leading the increase [1] - Specifically, the overnight Shibor increased by 5.10 basis points to 1.4220%, while the 7-day Shibor rose by 9.50 basis points to 1.7630% [2][3] - The 14-day Shibor saw a smaller increase of 1.10 basis points, reaching 1.7660% [2] Repo Market Activity - In the interbank pledged repo market, short-term rates increased significantly, with DR001 and R001 weighted average rates rising by 14.2 basis points and 83.5 basis points, respectively [4] - The transaction volumes for DR001 and R001 decreased by 363.6 billion yuan and 414.6 billion yuan, respectively [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 also increased, with DR007 rising by 21.9 basis points to 1.9159% and R007 increasing by 8.5 basis points to 2.0056% [4] Funding Conditions - On June 30, the funding environment was tight in the morning, influenced by the quarter-end [9] - The overnight lending rates ranged from 3.50% to 3.80%, while the 7-day credit lending rate opened around 2.05% [9] - By the afternoon, the funding conditions balanced out but remained slightly tight, with overnight lending rates dropping to around 1.75% by the end of the trading day [9] Interbank Certificate of Deposit Issuance - As of June 30, there were 32 interbank certificates of deposit issued, with a total issuance amount of 16.78 billion yuan [9]
永安期货大类资产早报-20250626
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 06:38
Report Overview - Report Title: Big Asset Morning Report - Report Date: June 26, 2025 - Report Team: Macro Team of the Research Center 1. Global Asset Market Performance 1.1 Major Economies' 10 - Year Treasury Yields - On June 25, 2025, yields in the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.293, 4.480, 3.257 respectively [3] - Latest changes ranged from - 0.043 (Japan) to 0.036 (Switzerland), one - week changes from - 0.160 (Japan) to 0.132 (Switzerland), one - month changes from - 0.200 (Japan) to 0.134 (Switzerland), and one - year changes from - 0.984 (Japan) to 0.366 (UK) [3] 1.2 Major Economies' 2 - Year Treasury Yields - On June 25, 2025, yields in the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.840, 3.851, 1.840 respectively [3] - Latest changes ranged from - 0.060 (US) to 0.016 (South Korea), one - week changes from - 0.130 (US) to 0.012 (South Korea), one - month changes from - 0.170 (US) to 0.143 (South Korea), and one - year changes from - 0.970 (Germany) to 0.433 (Japan) [3] 1.3 US Dollar vs. Major Emerging Economies' Currencies Exchange Rates - On June 25, 2025, exchange rates against the Brazilian real, Russian ruble, etc. were 5.564, 108.000 respectively [3] - Latest changes ranged from - 1.38% (South African rand) to 1.29% (Brazilian real), one - week changes from - 1.39% (Brazilian real) to 0.00% (Russian ruble), one - month changes from - 11.28% (Thai baht) to 2.65% (Brazilian real) [3] 1.4 Major Economies' Stock Indexes - On June 25, 2025, the Dow Jones was 6092.160, S&P 500 was 42982.430, etc. [3] - Latest changes ranged from - 1.59% (Spanish index) to 2.19% (French CAC), one - week changes from - 3.43% (Mexican index) to 4.03% (French CAC), one - month changes from - 0.18% (Mexican index) to 30.05% (UK index), and one - year changes showed various trends [3] 1.5 Credit Bond Indexes - Latest changes ranged from - 0.09% (Emerging economies' high - yield credit bond index) to 0.13% (Eurozone high - yield credit bond index), one - week changes from - 0.03% (Emerging economies' high - yield credit bond index) to 0.82% (Eurozone high - yield credit bond index), one - month changes from 0.41% (Emerging economies' high - yield credit bond index) to 1.73% (Eurozone high - yield credit bond index), and one - year changes from 5.75% (Emerging economies' investment - grade credit bond index) to 13.70% (Eurozone high - yield credit bond index) [4] 2. Stock Index Futures Trading Data 2.1 Index Performance - On June 25, 2025, the A - share index closed at 3455.97, with a 1.04% increase, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 at 3960.07, up 1.44%, etc. [5] 2.2 Valuation - PE(TTM) of the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 was 13.17, with a 0.14%环比 change, the S&P 500 was 25.85, with a 0.00%环比 change [5] 2.3 Risk Premium - The risk premium of the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 was 3.70, with a 0.00%环比 change, the S&P 500 was - 0.43, with a 0.00%环比 change [5] 2.4 Fund Flows - The latest value of A - share fund flows was 469.76, the 5 - day average was - 26.39 [5] 2.5 Transaction Amount - The latest transaction amount of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 16027.40, with a 1881.58 increase compared to the previous period [5] 2.6 Main Contract Premium/Discount - The basis of IF was - 37.27, with a - 0.94% amplitude, IH was - 25.13, with a - 0.91% amplitude, and IC was - 28.35, with a - 0.48% amplitude [5] 3. Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data 3.1 Futures Prices - On June 25, 2025, the closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.995, 106.190, 109.010, and 106.275 respectively, with - 0.12%, - 0.08%, - 0.12%, and - 0.08% changes [6] 3.2 Fund Rates - The R001 was 1.4402%, with a - 38.00 BP daily change, R007 was 1.8593%, with a 4.00 BP daily change, and SHIBOR - 3M was 1.6300%, with a 0.00 BP daily change [6]
货币市场日报:6月25日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 12:27
Monetary Policy Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 365.3 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a rate of 1.40%, unchanged from previous levels, resulting in a net injection of 209 billion yuan after 156.3 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term instruments saw a slight increase, with overnight Shibor rising by 0.10 basis points to 1.3710%, and 7-day Shibor increasing by 4.20 basis points to 1.6710% [1][2] Interbank Repo Market - In the interbank pledged repo market, all varieties experienced slight increases, with the R007 transaction ratio rising to 15.6%, while R014 continued to be inverted [4] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 rose by 0.1 basis points and 0.2 basis points, respectively, while DR007 and R007 saw increases of 2.5 basis points and 3.7 basis points [4] Money Market Rates - The overall funding situation in the money market on June 25 was balanced and slightly loose, with various rates showing minor declines post-OMO [10] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit totaled 100.77 billion yuan, with trading sentiment remaining subdued, particularly in the 9-month maturity segment [11] REITs Market Development - On June 25, the Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT expansion project was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking the first successful expansion of a rental housing REIT in China, indicating a further development in the public REITs market [13]
2025年5月银行间本币市场运行报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 02:24
Group 1: Money Market Overview - The average daily trading volume in the money market increased, with a total transaction volume of 136.5 trillion yuan in May, reflecting a 4.6% decrease month-on-month, while the average daily transaction rose by 10.4% to 7.2 trillion yuan [2] - The overall liquidity in the market remained balanced and loose, with the central bank implementing a 10 basis point interest rate cut and a 0.5 percentage point reserve requirement ratio reduction, releasing 1 trillion yuan in funds [3] - The average daily balance in the money market increased to 11.7 trillion yuan, up 1.2% month-on-month, while the average net lending balance of large commercial banks rose by 20.4% [4] Group 2: Bond Market Dynamics - The issuance of bonds decreased to 4.48 trillion yuan in May, down 9.8% month-on-month but up 18.8% year-on-year, with net financing increasing by 68% to 2.11 trillion yuan [6] - The trading volume of bonds increased, with a total of 30 trillion yuan traded in May, reflecting a 6.7% month-on-month increase and a 5.5% year-on-year increase [8] - Bond yields experienced fluctuations, with the 10-year government bond yield ranging between 1.63% and 1.73%, indicating a steepening yield curve [10] Group 3: Interest Rate Swaps - The interest rate swap curve shifted upward overall, with slight increases in the swap prices for various maturities [11] - The average daily transaction volume for interest rate swaps saw a minor increase, with a total nominal principal amount of 3.2 trillion yuan traded in May [11]
货币市场日报:6月20日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 12:44
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 161.2 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate; with 202.5 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal from the open market was 41.3 billion yuan [1] - This week, the total amount of 7-day reverse repurchase operations conducted by the People's Bank of China reached 960.3 billion yuan, with 1,040.2 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing, resulting in a total net withdrawal of 79.9 billion yuan from the open market [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term products saw a slight increase, with overnight Shibor rising by 0.10 basis points to 1.3680%, 7-day Shibor increasing by 0.50 basis points to 1.5290%, and 14-day Shibor up by 6.10 basis points to 1.7190% [1][2] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, overnight funding rates remained low, while the price spread for 7-day and 14-day funds widened; the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 increased by 0.3 basis points and 0.7 basis points, respectively, to 1.3742% and 1.4478%, with transaction volumes decreasing by 25.5 billion yuan and 147.7 billion yuan [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 decreased by 5.0 basis points and 1.1 basis points, respectively, to 1.4941% and 1.591%, with transaction volumes increasing by 15.7 billion yuan and decreasing by 43.1 billion yuan [4] - The overall trading sentiment in the interbank certificate of deposit market was active, with 133 certificates issued on June 20, amounting to an actual issuance of 170.44 billion yuan; the secondary market showed stable yields compared to the previous day's close [11]
货币市场日报:6月19日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 13:44
新华财经北京6月19日电(刘润榕)人民银行19日开展2035亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利率持平1.40%;鉴于当日有1193亿元7天期逆回购到期,公开市 场实现净投放842亿元。 上海银行间同业拆放利率(Shibor)波动甚微。具体来看,隔夜Shibor上涨0.10BP,报1.3670%;7天Shibor上涨1.90BP,报1.5240%;14天Shibor上涨 0.30BP,报1.6580%。 上海银行间同业拆放利率(6月19日) 银行间质押式回购市场方面,短期资金价格整体上扬,低位震荡。具体看,DR001、R001加权平均利率分别上行0.1BP、1.0BP,报1.3713%、1.4407%, 成交额分别增加492亿元、2644亿元;DR007、R007加权平均利率分别上行1.7BP、2.5BP,报1.5441%、1.6019%,成交额分别增加59亿元、减少374亿 元;DR014、R014加权平均利率分别上行0.4BP、1.4BP,报1.6768%、1.7608%,成交额分别增加9亿元、421亿元。 据上海国际货币经纪公司交易员消息,19日资金面偏紧,下午转松。早盘大行国股部分融出。押利率成交在1.52% ...
大类资产早报-20250617
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-17 13:50
Report Summary 1. Report Information - Report Title: "大类资产早报" - Release Date: June 17, 2025 - Author: Research Center Macro Team [2] 2. Global Asset Market Performance 2.1 Major Economies' 10 - Year Treasury Yields - On June 16, 2025, yields varied across countries, e.g., the US was 4.448%, the UK was 4.532%, and China was 1.644%. - Changes in yields differed in the latest, one - week, one - month, and one - year periods. For example, the US had a latest change of 0.047%, a one - week change of - 0.028%, a one - month change of - 0.032%, and a one - year change of 0.172%. [3] 2.2 Major Economies' 2 - Year Treasury Yields - As of June 16, 2025, the US was 3.900%, the UK was 3.901%, and Germany was 1.838%. - Yield changes also varied over different time frames. For instance, the US had a latest change of - 0.040%, a one - week change of - 0.020%, a one - month change of - 0.060%, and a one - year change of - 0.920%. [3] 2.3 Dollar Exchange Rates against Major Emerging Economies' Currencies - On June 16, 2025, exchange rates and their changes were presented. For example, the dollar - to - Brazilian real rate was 5.493 with a latest change of - 0.92%. - Changes over one - week, one - month, and one - year periods were also provided. The dollar - to - Brazilian real had a one - week change of - 1.19%, a one - month change of - 3.05%, and a one - year change of 3.66%. [3] 2.4 Stock Indexes and Credit Bond Indexes - Stock indexes of major economies and emerging economies showed different performances. For example, the S&P 500 had a one - week change of 0.04%, a one - month change of - 3.29%, and a one - year change not given. - Credit bond indexes also had their respective changes. For example, the US investment - grade credit bond index had a latest change of - 0.15%, a one - week change of 0.31%, a one - month change of 0.86%, and a one - year change of 4.61%. [3] 3. Stock Index Futures Trading Data 3.1 Index Performance - A - shares closed at 3388.73 with a 0.35% increase, the CSI 300 closed at 3873.80 with a 0.25% increase, etc. [4] 3.2 Valuation - PE (TTM) values were provided for different indexes, such as 12.78 for the CSI 300, 10.91 for the SSE 50, etc., along with their环比 changes. [4] 3.3 Risk Premium - Risk premium data and their环比 changes were presented for some indexes, e.g., the S&P 500 had a risk premium of - 0.55 with a环比 change of - 0.09. [4] 3.4 Fund Flows - Latest values and 5 - day average values of fund flows were given for different markets, such as 122.23 for A - shares and - 595.70 for the 5 - day average. [4] 3.5 Trading Volume - Latest trading volumes and their环比 changes were provided for different markets, e.g., 12150.76 for the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets with a环比 change of - 2521.21. [4] 3.6 Basis and Spread - Basis and spread data were given for stock index futures, such as - 4.00 for the IF basis with a - 0.10% spread. [4] 4. Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - Closing prices and price changes of treasury bond futures (T00, TF00, T01, TF01) were presented, all with 0.00% changes on the given day. - Money market fund rates (R001, R007, SHIBOR - 3M) and their daily changes were also provided, e.g., R001 was 1.4450% with a - 13.00 BP change. [5]
货币市场日报:6月17日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 12:45
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 197.3 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [1] - On the same day, 198.6 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 182 billion yuan of 1-year MLF matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 183.3 billion yuan from the open market [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed a narrow fluctuation, with overnight Shibor down by 1.90 basis points to 1.3690%, and 7-day Shibor down by 0.20 basis points to 1.5080% [1][2] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, DR001 remained below 1.4%, with a weighted average rate of 1.371% after a decrease of 2.0 basis points, and a transaction volume increase of 51.7 billion yuan [6] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 also decreased, reporting 1.5227% and 1.5525% respectively, with transaction volumes increasing by 24.2 billion yuan and 172.2 billion yuan [6] - The overall funding environment was balanced and slightly loose, with overnight rates fluctuating between 1.50% and 1.55% [10] Group 3 - As of June 17, 157 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with a total issuance amount of 310.63 billion yuan [11] - The trading sentiment in the primary market for certificates of deposit was strong, with significant declines in secondary market yields [11] - The balance of both domestic and foreign currency loans in Shanghai reached 12.73 trillion yuan at the end of May, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.6% [13]
资金观察,货币瞭望:半年末叠加到期高峰,预计6月资金利率季节性上行
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-17 03:25
Group 1 - The report indicates that the domestic monetary market continued to ease in May, with the average repo rates in the interbank and exchange markets mostly declining [2][3][13] - The average values for R001, GC001, R007, and GC007 decreased by 16 basis points, 9 basis points, 14 basis points, and 14 basis points respectively, reaching 1.54%, 1.57%, 1.63%, and 1.64% [14][16] - The report forecasts a seasonal increase in funding rates for June due to the quarter-end factors and the peak of maturing interbank certificates of deposit and reverse repos [6][12][55] Group 2 - The report highlights that the Federal Reserve's June meeting is expected to maintain the pause on interest rate cuts, with stable short-term U.S. Treasury rates observed since May [8] - The European Central Bank decided to lower the three key rates in the Eurozone by 25 basis points on June 5 [8][9] - The report notes that the excess reserve ratio is estimated to be 1.1% for May and 1.3% for June, indicating a slight increase in liquidity [2][46][74] Group 3 - The report mentions that the central bank is expected to actively inject liquidity in June, with a projected slight increase in the excess reserve ratio [6][12][55] - The report also states that the interbank and exchange overnight transaction volumes and proportions increased compared to the previous month, with the average daily transaction volume for R001 at 58.6 trillion and for GC001 at 19.1 trillion [38][40] - The report anticipates that the seasonal increase in funding rates will be influenced by the high financing scale of government bonds and the pressure from maturing financial instruments [79]
货币市场日报:6月16日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 12:38
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 242 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 68.2 billion yuan after 173.8 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed mixed movements, with the overnight Shibor decreasing by 2.30 basis points to 1.3880%, while the 7-day Shibor increased by 0.20 basis points to 1.5100% [1][2] - In the interbank pledged repo market, the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 fell by 2.2 basis points and 1.7 basis points, respectively, while DR007 and R007 saw mixed movements with DR007 rising by 2.4 basis points [4] Group 2 - The money market rates on June 16 indicated a balanced to loose funding environment, with overnight rates around 1.50% and 7-day rates between 1.52% and 1.55% [9] - A total of 107 interbank certificates of deposit were issued on June 16, with an actual issuance volume of 193.28 billion yuan, reflecting active trading sentiment [10] - The Shanghai interest rate self-discipline mechanism meeting emphasized the importance of effective interest rate management and the need to enhance the pricing capabilities of member institutions [13]