Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong Q1 2025 performance with revenue of 145 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.14%, driven by pre-market installations of new energy power stations and contributions from distributed power stations under the "Four Can" requirements [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 16.61 million yuan in Q1 2025, up from 12.34 million yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to revenue growth enhancing profitability [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 56.12%, a decrease of 9.14 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher proportion of hardware in new customer installations [2] - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 20.29%, 7.26%, and 14.27% respectively, showing significant declines of -5.76, -2.54, and -6.17 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: Market Opportunities - The distributed photovoltaic incremental market is expected to grow, with the company being a leading provider of power prediction services, achieving industry-leading accuracy and market share [3] - The release of the "Management Measures for the Development and Construction of Distributed Photovoltaic Power Generation" by the National Energy Administration is anticipated to create an incremental market for the company's business [4] Group 3: Growth Potential - The company has served over 4,000 new energy power station clients, providing data support for the development of an electricity trading decision-making platform [5] - The recent policy changes aimed at market-oriented pricing for new energy generation are expected to deepen the market reform, making price curve predictions a necessity for power stations, thus presenting a potential turning point for the company's second growth curve [5] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to be 122 million, 154 million, and 196 million yuan for 2025-2027 [6] - The target price is set at 79.06 yuan, based on a 65.0 times 2025 price-to-earnings ratio, reflecting the growth potential from the distributed market and the second growth curve [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company's performance meets expectations, with distributed power forecasting and the electricity trading market opening up significant growth opportunities [5][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 550 million RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.5%, and a net profit of 94 million RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 11.1% [7] - The revenue from power forecasting products steadily increased, with a gross margin of 69.3%, and the number of customers reached 4,345 by the end of 2024 [7] - The company’s revenue from grid connection control systems grew by 28% year-on-year, driven by record new installations of wind and solar power in 2024 [7] - Innovative businesses such as electricity trading and virtual power plants are being actively developed, with a revenue growth of 24% year-on-year [7] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 784 million RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 42.54% [6] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 143 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52.91% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.43 RMB in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.51 [6][8] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase to 11.07% in 2025 [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a surge in demand due to a "rush to install" solar components, leading to price increases and supply shortages, which are expected to create opportunities within the industry [1][2]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic sector is witnessing a significant increase in component demand driven by a surge in installations, with the photovoltaic 50 ETF (516880) rising by 1.11% [1]. - Supply-demand imbalances are causing manufacturers to "cancel orders" and request price hikes, indicating a potential for price volatility until late April [1]. - The distributed photovoltaic industry is rapidly developing under policy support, with new regulations aimed at enhancing project management and market participation [1]. Market Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has introduced measures to promote the development of distributed photovoltaic projects, which are expected to increase market participation and flexibility [1]. - The introduction of a producer payment model is anticipated to improve cash flow for waste incineration power generation projects, alleviating local financial pressures [1]. - The securitization of nuclear power assets is also expected to address funding gaps and enhance competitiveness in the nuclear sector [1]. Challenges and Outlook - The industry faces external challenges, including a U.S. investigation into specific photovoltaic components, which may impact export markets [2]. - Despite supply-demand imbalances and quality concerns, increased policy support is expected to boost market expectations and overall industry prospects [2]. - The photovoltaic industry is projected to see significant growth in the second half of the year, with optimistic expectations for terminal demand performance [2]. Investment Recommendations - The industry is advised to focus on four core areas: glass, battery cells, new technologies, and large storage, with particular attention to segments likely to benefit from increased component production [2].

Group 1: Solar Industry - The solar industry is experiencing a price increase across the supply chain due to domestic demand surge and supply discipline, with a notable rise in photovoltaic glass prices by 2 CNY/square meter [11][29]. - In Q1, domestic solar installations reached 39.5 GW, a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, driven by the "Thousand Households in the Sun" initiative and market reforms [17][20]. - The global solar installation growth rate is expected to be around 15% in 2025, with non-European and non-American markets projected to grow over 40% [20][21]. Group 2: Energy Storage - The energy storage sector is witnessing robust demand growth, with domestic large-scale storage projects showing a cumulative bidding capacity of 75.6 GWh in the first two months of 2025, a 400% year-on-year increase [43]. - The cancellation of mandatory storage requirements in China and the adjustment of tariffs in the U.S. are expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory for both domestic and overseas energy storage markets [56]. - The global energy storage market is projected to grow by 45-50% year-on-year in 2025, with significant contributions from both developed and emerging markets [48][49]. Group 3: Lithium Battery - The lithium battery sector is poised for a spring rally, driven by demand and profitability resonance, as the market anticipates a recovery in pricing and demand dynamics [57]. - The first quarter of 2025 is expected to see a seasonal decline in shipments, but profitability is stabilizing due to price adjustments in the supply chain [40][41].

创业板投资风险提示：本次股票发行后拟在创业板市场上市，该市场具有较高的投资风 险。创业板公司具有创新投入大、新旧产业融合成功与否存在不确定性、尚处于成长期、 经营风险高、业绩不稳定、退市风险高等特点，投资者面临较大的市场风险。投资者应 充分了解创业板市场的投资风险及本公司所披露的风险因素，审慎作出投资决定。 苏州未来电器股份有限公司 Suzhou Future Electrical Company Co.,Ltd. （苏州市相城区北桥街道庄基村） 首次公开发行股票并在创业板上市 招股意向书 保荐人（主承销商） （济南市市中区经七路 86 号） 苏州未来电器股份有限公司 招股意向书 声 明 中国证监会、交易所对本次发行所作的任何决定或意见，均不表明其对注册申请文件及所 披露信息的真实性、准确性、完整性作出保证，也不表明其对发行人的盈利能力、投资价值或 者对投资者的收益作出实质性判断或保证。任何与之相反的声明均属虚假不实陈述。 根据《证券法》的规定，股票依法发行后，发行人经营与收益的变化，由发行人自行负责； 投资者自主判断发行人的投资价值，自主作出投资决策，自行承担股票依法发行后因发行人经 营与收益变化或者股票价 ...