Core Viewpoint - BYD is committed to the photovoltaic industry with continuous technological innovation, adapting to changing market demands and diverse application scenarios [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - BYD has transitioned from PERC components to HJT components, enhancing product performance to meet personalized customer needs [1] - The company emphasizes the development of integrated solar energy storage solutions, aiming to harness, store, and utilize clean energy [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Customer Base - The diverse application scenarios of BYD's products have attracted numerous domestic and international customers [1] - BYD's focus on providing high-value photovoltaic products aligns with the growing market demand for renewable energy solutions [1]

Core Points - The 2026 Solar Solutions Amsterdam exhibition is a key event for solar energy companies aiming to enter the European market, taking place from March 10 to 12, 2026 [1][3] - The exhibition will be held at Expo Greater Amsterdam, a prime location for international events [2] - The event is the largest and most professional solar energy exhibition in Northwest Europe, attracting over 15,000 B2B visitors from more than 60 countries in 2026 [3] Exhibition Overview - The exhibition has been successfully held for thirteen editions and covers the solar energy sectors in the Netherlands, Belgium, and Luxembourg [3] - In 2025, the exhibition featured 276 companies and a total exhibition area of 24,000 square meters, with 12,841 professional visitors, including a significant percentage of decision-makers [3] - The event will showcase over 500 innovative technologies and host more than 100 practical seminars to support the growth of the renewable energy market [5][7] Market Potential - The Dutch solar market is experiencing rapid growth, with a cumulative installed capacity of 27.7 GW expected by 2024, a 14% increase from 2023, and solar energy accounting for 18% of the country's total electricity generation [10][11] - There is a significant gap in the storage market, with only 0.5% of households equipped with storage systems despite 33% having solar panels, indicating substantial growth potential [12] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that the installed capacity in the Netherlands could reach between 50.6 to 55 GW by 2030, with battery storage capacity expected to reach 56 GWh [13][14] Target Audience - The exhibition attracts a diverse audience, including business decision-makers and representatives from government agencies, providing valuable networking opportunities [15] - It is suitable for various solar energy companies, including manufacturers, suppliers, and service providers in the solar and storage sectors [16] Recommended Exhibition Service Provider - Omaten is recommended for exhibition design and construction, offering comprehensive services and expertise in the solar energy sector [17] - The company holds multiple certifications and has extensive experience, having served over 8,000 enterprises and completed more than 12,000 exhibition projects [19][20] - Omaten's strengths include innovative design, a global service network, and a rigorous project management process, ensuring effective exhibition solutions for solar energy companies [21][22][23] Conclusion - The 2026 Solar Solutions Amsterdam exhibition represents a strategic opportunity for solar energy companies to expand into the European market, supported by the growing solar capacity and storage market potential in the Netherlands [25]

证券研究报告：电力设备|行业周报 发布时间：2025-11-25 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 | 行业基本情况 | | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 9617.17 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 10950.05 | | 52 周最低 | | 6107.84 | 行业相对指数表现 2024-11 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 2025-09 2025-11 -19% -13% -7% -1% 5% 11% 17% 23% 29% 35% 41% 电力设备 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 l 投资要点 格局优化预期迎来政策支持。供给端的"反内卷"政策持续推动， 叠加中国提交 NDC3.0，国内的相关配套措施会使 2026 年整体呈现过 渡年状态，大基地的消纳有望加速解决，基于此，我们认为 2026 年 整体需求有支撑，整体的预期差加大。 2025 年 1-10 月，累计新增装机规模 252.GW，同比+39.3%，1-9 月消纳率 95%。2025 年 4-5 月受 136 号文 531 截止带来的抢装潮，9 月装机 9.7GW，同比 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic equipment industry is primarily focused on downstream capacity expansion and technological iteration, with limited short-term domestic expansion demand [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The overseas market is advancing integrated photovoltaic capacity construction, with a greater emphasis on equipment automation and intelligence, benefiting leading enterprises [1] - High-efficiency capacity remains a development priority, with the penetration rate of high-power BC and HJT components expected to gradually increase [1] - Structural expansion demand is anticipated to be released progressively, favoring equipment manufacturers that are early adopters of new technologies [1] Group 2: Investment Products - The Photovoltaic 50 ETF (159864) tracks the photovoltaic industry index (931151), which selects listed companies involved in the entire photovoltaic industry chain, including upstream silicon materials, midstream battery cells and components, and downstream power station operations [1] - This index reflects the overall performance and development trends of listed companies in the Chinese photovoltaic industry, characterized by significant growth and volatility [1]

Core Viewpoint - Guolian Minsheng's recent report highlights that Dongfang Risen is optimizing its product structure and accelerating the iteration of N-type high-efficiency capacity, which is expected to enhance its core competitiveness by mid-2025 [1] Company Summary - As of August 27, 2025, Dongfang Risen's HJT cell conversion efficiency has surpassed 26.60%, while HJT module conversion efficiency has exceeded 24.70%. The non-silicon cost of HJT cells has been reduced to 0.15 yuan/W [1] - Dongfang Risen's energy storage system business is advancing in tandem with its photovoltaic power station operations, focusing on large-scale energy storage systems primarily targeting key markets in Europe and the United States, maintaining a global record of zero safety incidents [1] - The company is actively expanding its commercial distributed photovoltaic power station business, with integrated solutions for "solar storage" and "solar storage charging," as well as smart microgrid solutions that have achieved commercial application [1] Industry Outlook - The report suggests that Dongfang Risen is a leading player in the HJT sector, with superior technology research and capacity reserves compared to the industry, and is expected to gradually recover its performance as the fundamentals of the photovoltaic industry improve, warranting attention [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in the solar energy market and increased competition [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 7.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -680 million yuan, an improvement from -960 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 4.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.4%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 48.9%, with a net profit of -410 million yuan [1]. - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 3.1%, down 5.9 percentage points year-on-year, while Q2's gross profit margin was 1.5%, down 8.3 percentage points year-on-year and 3.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The solar cell and module business generated revenue of 3.81 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 54.0%, with a gross margin of -4.5%, down 11.5 percentage points [2]. - The module business alone accounted for 3.75 billion yuan in revenue, also down 54.1% year-on-year, with sales volume of 5.7 GW, a decrease of 28% [2]. - The company is a leader in the HJT sector, optimizing product structure and accelerating the iteration of N-type high-efficiency capacity, achieving a cell conversion efficiency of over 26.60% and module efficiency of over 24.70% by August 27, 2025 [2]. Group 3: Energy Storage and Photovoltaic Integration - The energy storage system, lighting, and auxiliary photovoltaic products generated revenue of 480 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, with a gross margin of 18.2%, down 8.0 percentage points [3]. - The energy storage integration business focuses on large-scale systems primarily targeting the European and American markets, maintaining a record of zero safety incidents globally [3]. - The company is actively developing commercial distributed photovoltaic power station businesses, with integrated "solar-storage" and "solar-storage-charging" solutions already commercialized [3]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Suggestions - The company faces intensified industry competition, impacting shipment scale and profitability, with projected revenues of 16.19 billion yuan, 21.53 billion yuan, and 28.20 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of -20.0%, 33.0%, and 31.0% respectively [4]. - Expected net profits for the same period are -830 million yuan, 430 million yuan, and 1.20 billion yuan, indicating a narrowing loss, a return to profitability, and a growth rate of 176.2% [4]. - The company is positioned as a leading HJT enterprise with advanced R&D and capacity reserves, likely to benefit from improvements in the photovoltaic industry fundamentals [4].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Ratings - The report gives an optimistic outlook for industrial silicon, stating that market sentiment is boosted, and suggests a strategy of "buying on dips" for polysilicon, which is expected to trade in a range [1]. 2. Core Views - The report analyzes the fundamentals of industrial silicon and polysilicon, including price, profit, inventory, and raw material costs, and believes that industrial silicon market sentiment is positive while polysilicon is in a range - bound pattern [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Market**: Si2511 (industrial silicon) closed at 8,745 yuan/ton with a volume of 620,638 lots and an open interest of 279,381 lots; PS2511 (polysilicon) closed at 51,405 yuan/ton with a volume of 445,445 lots and an open interest of 142,397 lots [1]. - **Basis**: Industrial silicon's spot premium/discount varies with different benchmarks, and polysilicon's spot premium/discount (against N - type re - input) is - 2405 yuan/ton [1]. - **Price**: The price of Xinjiang 99 - silicon is 8450 yuan/ton, Yunnan Si4210 is 9850 yuan/ton, and polysilicon - N - type re - input material is 49000 yuan/ton [1]. - **Profit**: Silicon plant profits in Xinjiang and Yunnan are negative, at - 2556 yuan/ton and - 3251 yuan/ton respectively; polysilicon enterprise profit is - 15.7 yuan/kg [1]. - **Inventory**: Industrial silicon's social inventory is 54.3 million tons, enterprise inventory is 17.5 million tons, and total industry inventory is 71.8 million tons; polysilicon's manufacturer inventory is 24.9 million tons [1]. - **Raw Material Costs**: The prices of raw materials such as silicon ore, washed coal, petroleum coke, and electrodes are provided, with some showing no change recently [1]. - **Polysilicon (Photovoltaic)**: The prices of related products like silicon wafers, battery cells, components, and photovoltaic glass are given, with some prices rising and some falling [1]. - **Organic Silicon and Aluminum Alloy**: DMC price is 10750 yuan/ton with a negative profit of - 1225 yuan/ton; ADC12 price is 20450 yuan/ton, and the profit of recycled aluminum enterprises is - 260 yuan/ton [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - On August 22, 2025, Huadian Group's 2025 - 2026 photovoltaic module centralized procurement was bid - opened. The first bid section for N - type TOPCon modules has a scale of 18GW with an average bid price of 0.71 yuan/W, and the second bid section for N - type TOPCon, BC, and HJT modules has a scale of 2GW with an average bid price of 0.746 yuan/W [1][3]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of industrial silicon and polysilicon is both 1, indicating a neutral - to - slightly - positive outlook [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, considering it as one of the potential beneficiaries of the ongoing "anti-involution" in the industry [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 40.5 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -5.029 billion RMB, indicating a deeper loss compared to the previous year [1]. - The company achieved a sales volume of 161,300 tons of polysilicon, holding a global market share of approximately 30%, leading the industry. The price of polysilicon has seen a significant increase of 39% from its previous low, which is expected to gradually cover costs and restore profitability [2]. - The company sold 24.52 GW of solar modules in the first half of the year, with explosive growth in overseas markets, particularly in Poland, Romania, and Hungary [2]. - The company maintained its position as the global leader in battery cell sales, with a volume of 49.89 GW, and continues to lead in key competitive metrics such as A-grade ratio and conversion efficiency [3]. - The company has sufficient cash reserves, totaling approximately 33.229 billion RMB, which supports its ability to navigate through market cycles [3]. Financial Forecast - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders has been adjusted to -6.16 billion RMB for 2025, 2.972 billion RMB for 2026, and 6.071 billion RMB for 2027, reflecting the competitive advantages in the silicon and battery segments [4]. - Revenue projections for 2023 are set at 139.104 billion RMB, with a growth rate of -2.33% for 2024 and a recovery expected in subsequent years [8]. - The diluted earnings per share are projected to be -1.563 RMB in 2024, improving to 0.660 RMB in 2026 and 1.348 RMB in 2027 [8].

Core Insights - The photovoltaic module bidding scale reached 4.62GW in July 2025, with a significant share of N-type modules [1][2] - The bidding price range for photovoltaic modules was between 0.608-0.74 yuan/W, with an average price of 0.701 yuan/W [2][4] - Delivery periods are primarily set for August to October, with some projects extending to 2026 [5] Bidding Results - The disclosed bidding results for July 2025 show a total scale of 4.62GW, including a confirmed scale of 1.39GW, with the first bidder's scale at 3.23GW [2] - The confirmed scale for N-type modules reached 3.35GW, mainly driven by a 3GW procurement project from China Railway Construction [2][4] - Ten companies, including LONGi, Jinko, Trina Solar, and others, successfully entered the bidding [2] Price Trends - The bidding price for N-type modules ranged from 0.701 to 0.74 yuan/W, with an average of 0.715 yuan/W [4] - TOPCon module prices remained stable at or above 0.70 yuan/W, showing a slight increase due to policy and cost pressures [4] - The lowest bid was from Hebei Haopan Environmental Technology at 0.608 yuan/W, while the highest was from Chint New Energy at 0.74 yuan/W [2][4] Delivery Schedule - Most projects have a concentrated delivery window from August to October 2025, with some extending delivery deadlines to 2026 [5] - Projects like those from Huadian Group and Guangdong Energy Group have set their delivery periods within this timeframe [5] - Some projects are adopting phased delivery methods to accommodate immediate needs and long-term cooperation [5]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a downturn after a brief surge in demand due to policy incentives, with prices declining significantly across the supply chain [2][12]. Group 1: Market Trends - In the first half of the year, the photovoltaic industry saw a "rush to install" driven by policies like the "136 Document," but this has since subsided, leading to a decline in prices [2]. - As of July 2, the average trading price of dense silicon material is approximately 35 yuan/kg, down 2.7% month-on-month and over 10% compared to the beginning of the year, with a year-on-year decline of 46.2% [3]. - The average trading price of N-type 182-183.75mm silicon wafers is currently 0.88 yuan/piece, down 7.4% month-on-month and 58% compared to the beginning of the year [5][6]. Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - Major silicon material manufacturers are struggling to secure orders due to low prices, leading to a continuous decline in market averages [5]. - The "six giants" in the silicon material sector are reportedly considering a special fund to consolidate existing production capacity, indicating some progress in industry integration [5]. - The average trading price of N-type 182-183.75mm TOPCon battery cells is 0.23 yuan/W, reflecting an 8% month-on-month drop and a 51.1% decline since the beginning of the year [10]. Group 3: Industry Challenges - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant challenges, including overcapacity and a lack of clear policies following the "531 rush," which has led to a pessimistic outlook for downstream investment [12][14]. - The Central Financial Committee has emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and promote the exit of outdated production capacity [14]. - The industry is urged to break the "involution" cycle to achieve high-quality development, as highlighted in recent discussions and reports [13][14].