Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) is experiencing a strong upward trend in its stock price, currently at 17.16 HKD, reflecting a 1.06% increase, following a rebound from a short-term support level of 16.2 HKD [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has surpassed all major technical moving averages, including the 10-day moving average at 16.4 HKD, the 30-day moving average at 15.63 HKD, and the 60-day moving average at 15.23 HKD, indicating a bullish structure [1] - The stock is approaching the first resistance level at 17.3 HKD, with a potential target of 18.3 HKD if this level is breached [2] - The recent volatility is reflected in a 6.8% fluctuation over five days, with an RSI index at 72, indicating a technical overbought condition [3] - The overall technical indicators are rated as "strong buy," with a signal strength of 16 points, supported by bullish momentum across all categories [3] - The MACD has completed a golden cross and maintains an expanding trend, supporting a continued upward pattern [3] - The price has successfully broken through the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting further upward potential in the coming weeks [3] Derivative Products Performance - On June 6, China Life's related structured products performed well, with a 2.76% increase in the underlying stock, leading to significant gains in derivatives [4] - The Societe Generale bull certificate (53998) led with a 15% increase, outperforming the underlying stock, showcasing the leverage advantage of bull certificates in rising markets [4] Investment Options - Current market conditions provide diverse investment options through China Life's related structured products, with call options offering a leverage of 4.1 times [7] - Bull certificates from HSBC (53706) and JPMorgan (53835) offer over 5 times actual leverage, with a buyback price set at 14 HKD [7] - For bearish strategies, Citigroup's bear certificate (56865) offers a leverage of 4.7 times, with a buyback price set at 20 HKD, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio [7] Summary - China Life is in a healthy upward phase with strong volume-price support and trend indicator resonance, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions and divergence risks [10]

Core Viewpoint - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) shows strong bullish signals despite short-term volatility risks, with technical indicators suggesting a potential upward trend in stock price [1][3]. Technical Analysis - Multiple moving averages indicate a strong buy signal, with MA10 at 5.76, MA30 at 5.59, and MA60 at 5.52, while the current price of 5.88 is above these averages, confirming a clear upward trend [3]. - The RSI index is at 69, indicating an overbought condition, while some indicators like the Williams and Stochastic Oscillators signal sell opportunities. However, ADX and psychological indicators remain neutral, and momentum indicators suggest buying [3]. - Key support and resistance levels are crucial for understanding ICBC's price movements, with immediate support at 5.68 and secondary support at 5.48. The first resistance level is at 5.99, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge at 6.28 [3]. Product Performance - Recent performance of ICBC-related derivatives has been strong, with products like JPMorgan's bull certificates and call options seeing significant gains of 12% and 9% respectively, while the underlying stock rose by 1.03% [5]. Derivative Products - Various options are available for investors, including JPMorgan's call option with a leverage of 9.5 times and an exercise price of 6.67, suitable for aggressive investors [7]. - For more defensive strategies, the Barclays call option offers a leverage of 10.4 times with an exercise price of 6.61, while UBS's bull certificates are recommended for short-term rebounds with a recovery price of 5 [7][8]. - Investors looking to hedge against potential downturns can consider UBS's and JPMorgan's bear certificates, with recovery prices around 6.2-6.3, but should be cautious of the resistance at 6.2 [7].

Core Viewpoint - Tencent is at a critical decision point with its stock price showing mixed signals from various technical indicators, indicating potential volatility in the near term [3][4][5]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently fluctuating around 518.5 HKD, with short-term support at 508.21 HKD (MA10) and 502.79 HKD (MA30), while the medium-term support is at 496.57 HKD (MA60) [3]. - Key support levels are identified at 499 HKD and 483 HKD, while resistance levels are at 531 HKD and 547 HKD [4]. - The stock has shown a volatility of 5.4% over five days, with a narrowing Bollinger Band indicating an impending breakout [4]. Short-term Trading Strategy - If the stock price stabilizes above 515 HKD and breaks through 531 HKD, it may trigger a new upward trend, suggesting the use of high-leverage bull certificates or near-price call options [5]. - Conversely, if the price falls below the 499 HKD support, investors should be cautious of potential pullback risks and consider deploying bear certificates or put options for hedging [5]. Performance of Derivative Products - From June 3 to June 5, Tencent's stock rose by 1.98%, positively impacting related derivative products, with UBS bull certificates surging by 33% and HSBC bull certificates increasing by 30% [6]. - Call options from UBS and JPMorgan also saw significant gains of 18% and 11%, respectively, highlighting the leverage effect of these products in a rising market [6]. Recommended Products - Among the current options, UBS call option 17137 offers a leverage of 11.1 times with a strike price of 563.5 HKD, suitable for bullish investors [7]. - For bearish positions, JPMorgan put option 15137 provides a leverage of 9.7 times with a strike price of 443.33 HKD, presenting a low premium for investors anticipating a downturn [7]. Popular Bull and Bear Certificates - HSBC bull certificates 67818 and 67820 offer leverage of 9.5 times and 8.8 times, respectively, with redemption prices set at 465 HKD and 460 HKD [10]. - For bearish strategies, Societe Generale bear certificate 58795 provides a high leverage of 17.8 times with a redemption price of 546 HKD, while JPMorgan bear certificate 58426 offers an even higher leverage of 20.2 times with a redemption price of 540 HKD [10].

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) shows strong upward momentum in technical analysis, with a recent price of HKD 405.2, reflecting a 0.5% increase and a stable influx of capital [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock has surpassed major moving averages, with MA10 at HKD 393.92, MA30 at HKD 372.25, and MA60 at HKD 358.2, indicating a bullish trend [1]. - The current support levels are at HKD 386 and HKD 361, while the short-term resistance is at HKD 410, with a potential upward challenge to HKD 423 if broken [4]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 70, indicating strong buying power, but caution is advised due to potential short-term pullback pressures [7]. - The technical model estimates a 52% probability of upward movement, aligning with current momentum trends [4]. Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment is generally positive, with many expecting continued interest in IPOs and a long-term target of at least HKD 450 [1]. - There are 17 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 6 neutral signals, suggesting a steady upward trend [1]. - Short-term resistance is closely aligned with investor expectations, indicating a consensus around HKD 409 as a critical level [1]. Derivative Products Performance - Derivative products linked to HKEX have shown significant leverage effects, with notable performances from bull certificates, such as Societe Generale's bull certificate 54739 and HSBC's bull certificate 53712, both achieving a 21% increase [2]. - Call options like HSBC's 29547 and Societe Generale's 27807 also reported gains of 18% and 15%, respectively [2]. Market Dynamics - The overall market atmosphere remains bullish, supported by strong technical indicators and high trading volumes, which reinforce the positive outlook for HKEX [11]. - The presence of various derivative products allows investors to align their strategies with market expectations, catering to different risk appetites [7][9].

Core Viewpoint - Anta Sports (02020.HK) shows a bullish technical trend, with various indicators suggesting potential for continued price increases, supported by market optimism [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The current price of Anta Sports is HKD 95.6, which is above key moving averages (MA10: 94.77, MA30: 93.13, MA60: 91.5), indicating a positive short to medium-term trend [1]. - The first support level is at HKD 92.3 and the second at HKD 88.4, suggesting limited downside potential. Initial resistance is at HKD 98.8, with a higher resistance level at HKD 102.8 [1]. - The stock recently experienced a single-day increase of 1.76%, indicating active buying interest in the market [1]. Volatility and Momentum Indicators - Anta's 5-day volatility is 9%, reflecting active trading and supporting upward price momentum [2]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 57, indicating a neutral to strong position without overheating, suggesting further upward potential [2]. - Technical indicators collectively signal a "strong buy" with a signal strength of 17 points, indicating a high-intensity bullish signal [2]. Derivative Products Performance - During the period from June 2 to 4, Anta Sports' stock price increased by 1.43%, with various derivative products showing different performances. Notably, the Societe Generale bull certificates (53978) and JPMorgan bull certificates (54458) recorded gains of 12% [4]. - Call options such as Huatai's (13440) and Macquarie's (15902) also showed positive performance, with increases of 6% and 5% respectively, reflecting stability in slightly fluctuating stock prices [4]. Investment Products Overview - Anta Sports offers a range of derivative products for investors, including call options with leverage ranging from 2.8x to 4.4x and bull certificates with leverage of 7x to 7.2x [7][8]. - Investors can choose from various products based on market expectations, considering factors such as leverage, exercise price, and premium [7]. Conclusion - Overall, Anta Sports exhibits strong technical advantages, with moving averages, momentum indicators, and market sentiment aligning to suggest potential for upward price challenges in the near term. Close attention should be paid to the resistance level at HKD 98.8 for potential breakout opportunities [1][2][4].

Core Viewpoint - Tongcheng Elong (00780.HK) is experiencing a period of consolidation after recent upward momentum, with a closing price of HKD 21.9, reflecting a slight increase of 0.23% [1] Price Movement and Technical Analysis - The stock has shown a significant volatility with a five-day amplitude of 15.1%, indicating high market interest [1] - Current price is above all major moving averages, with the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages at HKD 21.01, HKD 21.03, and HKD 20.3 respectively, suggesting a bullish trend [1] - The stock is forming a preliminary bottom and strengthening pattern, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the positive [1] Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level is at HKD 20.9, with a further support at HKD 19.9, which may act as potential rebound points [3] - The first key resistance level is at HKD 22.8, and a successful breakout could lead to a target of HKD 23.9 [3] - The probability of an upward movement is estimated at 52%, reflecting a generally positive market outlook [3] Technical Indicators - The RSI is at 61, indicating a strong position but not yet overbought, suggesting room for further price increases [3] - Overall technical indicators are summarized as "strong buy," with a signal strength of 16, indicating multiple indicators are aligned in a bullish signal [3] - The MACD and Ichimoku indicators are also signaling buy recommendations, reinforcing confidence in the current upward trend [3] Market Sentiment and Trading Volume - The stock's trading volume reached HKD 173 million, indicating active market participation [4] - Despite some divergence in oscillators, such as a short-term sell signal from the stochastic oscillator, other indicators like CCI and momentum oscillators are turning bullish, showing stable buying sentiment [3] - The VR ratio indicates a "oversold, potential bottoming" signal, suggesting that after high volatility adjustments, the stock is showing signs of bottoming out [3] Summary of Overall Trend - The technical trend for Tongcheng Elong is transitioning from high volatility to the early stages of an upward trend, with a solid bullish structure established [7] - If the stock can effectively break through the resistance at HKD 22.8, it will confirm the bottom structure and initiate a new upward wave [7] - Investors are advised to closely monitor changes in MACD and trading volume as key indicators for confirming the continuation of the upward trend [7]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings (00700) is currently trading around HKD 506, maintaining above the critical support level of HKD 490, with technical indicators suggesting potential upward movement [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The first support level for Tencent is at HKD 490, with a potential drop to HKD 474 if this level is breached. The key resistance level is at HKD 523, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge at HKD 538 [2]. - The 10-day moving average is at HKD 514.2, while the 30-day moving average is at HKD 490.79, indicating short-term support [1]. - The RSI is at a neutral level of 55, and the MACD and Bollinger Bands indicate potential for price increase, contingent on volume support [1]. Signal Summary - Current technical signals include 6 sell signals, 7 neutral signals, and 11 buy signals, suggesting a general "buy" recommendation [1][4]. Market Sentiment - Recent market activity shows a volatility of 3.6% over the past five trading days, indicating that the market is still searching for a clear direction [2]. - Investors are considering various derivative products, with some anticipating a drop to around HKD 495, while others are looking at options with a recovery price of HKD 491 [4][5]. Derivative Products - Multiple derivative tools are available for investors, including call options with leverage ranging from 9.5 to 10.1 times, and put options for bearish strategies with leverage up to 16.6 times [7][10]. - Notable products include Morgan Stanley's call option (13263) with a strike price of HKD 563.5 and a low premium, appealing to conservative investors [7]. Investment Discussion - Investors are encouraged to consider whether Tencent is more likely to break through HKD 523 or test the support at HKD 490 in the near term [13].

Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Bank (03968.HK) maintains a strong technical trend, closing at HKD 49.45 on May 29, 2025, with a slight increase of 0.20%, reinforcing its recent upward channel [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently above key technical support levels, with short-term support between HKD 47.50 and HKD 44.80, and upward resistance at HKD 50.60 and HKD 52.00 [1] - The overall upward probability is at 52%, indicating potential for breaking previous highs, with market sentiment remaining bullish [1] - Moving averages show the stock price is above the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day averages, which are HKD 49.30, HKD 46.43, and HKD 46.40 respectively, reflecting a standard bullish pattern [1] - Trading volume reached HKD 750 million, indicating strong liquidity and high market participation, which supports steady price increases [1] Technical Indicators - The RSI value is at 66, nearing the overbought zone but not yet overheated, suggesting active buying with room for further upward movement [2] - Other key oscillators like CCI and psychological lines maintain buy ratings, while the stochastic oscillator is in the overbought zone but signals a sell [2] - The MACD remains in positive territory with a buy signal, and the Ichimoku chart shows a clear upward trend, indicating a healthy technical structure [2] - The Bollinger Bands indicate the stock is trading between the upper and middle bands, reflecting a strong consolidation phase with upward breakout potential [2] - The overall technical summary signals a "strong buy" with a strength rating of 17, indicating a very strong upward signal [2] Market Outlook - As a core blue-chip in the financial sector, China Merchants Bank has established a clear and stable upward pattern [3] - A successful breakthrough of the key resistance at HKD 50.60 could lead to rapid advancement towards HKD 52 or higher [3] - As long as the stock does not fall below the critical support level of HKD 47.50, the overall bullish trend will be maintained, making it a potential target for medium-term positioning [3]

雖然RSI跌至40超賣區域，威廉指標與隨機震盪指標同步發出買入訊號，但MACD與保力加通道仍維持「強力賣出」觀點。值得關注的是，股價已跌破所有 主要均線，10日線(63.89元)形成明顯反壓，短線若無法收復59元支持位，恐下探51.3元年內低點。上方阻力在66.6元和74.4元。 截止14點30分，舜宇（02382）報59.8元，跌1.89%。股價呈現弱勢，自5月12日股價破頂後，股價持續下跌，目前逼近日線圖的保利加通道底部58.8元，今日盤中最低 59.8元。 | 0.236+ | - 最 高 - - - - | 0.243 開 市 ----- | 0.240 | 0.2 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | -0.012 -4.84% - - 最 低 -- | | 0.240 前 收 | 0.248 | -0.017 | | 成交量 | | 2.42萬 有效槓桿 | 3.55 成交量 | | | 街貨比 ① = = 溢 價 | | 8.15% 引申波幅 | 61.844 | 街貨比 | | 街貨量 | -- 換股價 | 11.800 換股比率 | 50.00 | 街貨量 ...

Group 1 - Meituan's stock price has been under pressure, currently trading at 128.5 HKD, down 0.62%, with a clear bearish technical pattern [1] - The stock has formed a death cross as the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 134.59 HKD has fallen below the 30-day (MA30) at 136.09 HKD and the 60-day moving average (MA60) at 150.42 HKD [1] - The stock is oscillating between 122.6 HKD and 136.4 HKD, with a 5-day volatility of 13.3%, indicating significant market divergence [1] Group 2 - There are 19 sell signals, 2 neutral signals, and 2 buy signals, indicating a strong sell sentiment [2] - Key support levels are identified at 126.4 HKD and 125.5 HKD, with a second support at 118.2 HKD [2] - The average daily trading volume is 54.3 billion HKD, showing sufficient liquidity but heavy selling pressure remains [3] Group 3 - Recent bearish derivative products related to Meituan have surged over 30%, with notable gains in put options and bear certificates [5][6] - The performance of these products highlights the explosive potential of bearish derivatives in a declining market [6] - For investors anticipating a rebound, HSBC's call options provide a leverage of 9 times with a strike price of 143.3 HKD, suitable for technical rebounds [8] Group 4 - Bull certificates from Morgan Stanley offer a recovery price of 117 HKD with a leverage of 9.8 times, while another option has a lower recovery price of 115 HKD with a leverage of 7.9 times [10] - Bear certificates from UBS and Societe Generale provide leverage of 7.7 times and 7.5 times, respectively, with recovery prices above 143 HKD [10]