Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huatai Securities is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - Huatai Securities reported significant performance improvement in 2024, primarily driven by investment gains from the sale of AssetMark. The company's securities brokerage business showed steady performance, with a notable improvement in platform activity. The leading position in asset management is evident, with rapid growth in both the scale and profits of its public fund subsidiary. The market share in equity IPOs has significantly increased, and asset management scale has stabilized. The long-term leading layout in wealth management and financial technology is expected to continue generating positive effects [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Huatai Securities achieved operating revenue of 41.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 15.35 billion yuan, up 20.4%. The weighted average return on equity increased by 1.12 percentage points to 9.24% [6]. Business Segments - The company reported that, excluding the gains from AssetMark, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 29.3%. The revenue from brokerage, investment banking, asset management, interest, and proprietary trading was 6.45 billion, 2.10 billion, 4.15 billion, 2.70 billion, and 7.31 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +8.2%, -31.0%, -2.6%, +184.0%, and -48.7% [6]. Brokerage Business - The brokerage business performed steadily, with a market average daily trading volume of 1.06 trillion yuan, an increase of 21.2% year-on-year. The net income from agency trading and seat leasing rose by 15.5% to 5.48 billion yuan. The monthly active users of the company's securities app, Zhangle Wealth, reached 11.5 million, a year-on-year increase of 22.6% [6]. Asset Management - As of the end of 2024, Huatai Securities held equity and bond fund sizes of 120.2 billion and 166.6 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -10.6% and +4.3%. The company’s subsidiaries, Southern Fund and Huatai Baichuan Fund, had non-monetary management scales of 648.5 billion and 565.7 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +32.7% and +98.7% [6]. IPO Market Share - In a tightening equity financing environment, the company’s equity IPO, refinancing, and bond underwriting scales were 85.4 billion, 463.6 billion, and 1,289.6 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -50.8%, -37.3%, and +4.6%. The corresponding market shares were 12.9%, 20.8%, and 9.1%, with increases of 8.0 percentage points, 10.8 percentage points, and 0.002 percentage points, respectively [6]. Financial Assets and Investment Returns - By the end of 2024, the company reduced its financial asset scale to 359.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 25.0% year-on-year. The estimated static self-operated investment return rate was 2.9%, down 0.79 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Future Outlook - Huatai Securities is positioned as a pioneer in technology-enabled brokerage, successfully developing leading technology platforms such as "Zhangle Wealth" and "Xingzhi". The leading layout in wealth management and financial technology is expected to continue generating positive effects. The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 are 11.81 billion and 13.40 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to price-to-book ratios of 0.91 and 0.84 [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huatai Securities is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7] Core Views - The overall performance of Huatai Securities is in line with expectations, with brokerage and credit businesses being the main drivers of growth [1] - The wealth management business is expected to benefit from the recovery in market sentiment and increased trading volume, leading to a "dual-wheel drive" of wealth management and institutional services [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Huatai Securities achieved adjusted revenue of 94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.9%, and a full-year revenue of 334 billion yuan, up 6.0% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 was 28 billion yuan, down 10.6% year-on-year, while the full-year net profit was 154 billion yuan, up 20.4% year-on-year [1] - The return on equity (ROE) was 9.2%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] Brokerage Business - The brokerage business saw significant improvement in Q4 2024, with revenue of 24.8 billion yuan, up 86.1% year-on-year, and full-year revenue of 64.5 billion yuan, up 8.2% year-on-year [2] - The average daily trading volume for stock funds in Q4 was 20,684 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 119.3% [2] Investment Banking - The investment banking business reported revenue of 7.4 billion yuan in Q4, down 0.8% year-on-year, and 21.0 billion yuan for the full year, down 31.0% year-on-year [2] - The decline in revenue was attributed to stricter regulatory policies and a significant drop in underwriting scale for IPOs and refinancing [2] Asset Management - Asset management revenue for Q4 was 11.1 billion yuan, up 0.5% year-on-year, while the full-year revenue was 41.5 billion yuan, down 2.6% year-on-year [3] - The decline in revenue was mainly due to reduced fees in public funds, despite a significant increase in non-monetary public fund management scale [3] Credit Business - The credit business experienced substantial growth, with Q4 revenue of 14.0 billion yuan, up 1355.4% year-on-year, and full-year revenue of 27.1 billion yuan, up 184.0% year-on-year [4] - The increase was driven by active capital market trading and a rise in margin financing balances [4] Self-operated Business - The self-operated business reported a revenue of 83.0 billion yuan for the full year, down 28.9% year-on-year after excluding the sale of AssetMark [4] - The financial asset scale for self-operated business decreased by 25.5% year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 158 billion yuan and 179 billion yuan respectively, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 3.1% and 12.9% [5]

Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 63.789 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.20%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 21.704 billion yuan, up 5.67% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 5.2 yuan per 10 shares, with a payout ratio of 36.88% [1] Revenue Breakdown - The net income from brokerage, investment banking, asset management, credit, and proprietary trading for 2024 was 10.713 billion, 4.159 billion, 10.506 billion, 1.084 billion, and 26.345 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of +4.79%, -33.91%, +6.67%, -73.10%, and +20.60% [2] - In Q4, the net income from these segments was 3.558 billion, 1.340 billion, 3.027 billion, 0.164 billion, and 4.681 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of +48.94%, +29.52%, +23.49%, -78.10%, and -22.82% [2] Brokerage and Wealth Management - Brokerage income turned positive with a net income of 10.713 billion yuan, up 4.79% year-on-year, supported by a 22% increase in stock fund trading volume [3] - The company focused on refined customer management in its wealth management strategy, achieving a customer base of over 15.8 million, a 12% increase year-on-year [3] Investment Banking Performance - Investment banking revenue decreased by 33.91% to 4.159 billion yuan, with a significant drop in market IPO and refinancing volumes [3] - The company maintained a leading market share in A-share underwriting projects, with a market share of 21.87% [3] Asset Management Growth - Asset management revenue increased by 6.67% to 10.506 billion yuan, with total assets under management reaching 1.54 trillion yuan, an 11.09% year-on-year growth [4] - The company’s subsidiary, Huaxia Fund, managed assets of 2.46 trillion yuan, up 35.15% year-on-year [4] Proprietary Trading Success - Proprietary trading revenue grew by 20.60% to 26.345 billion yuan, with financial investment assets reaching 861.773 billion yuan, a 20.40% increase [5] - Other equity investments saw a dramatic increase of 852.97% year-on-year [5] Credit Business Challenges - Credit income fell by 73.10% to 1.084 billion yuan, despite an increase in the market margin trading scale [5] - The company’s financing and securities lending business had a market share of 7.42%, up 23 basis points year-on-year [5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a recovering market and improved customer engagement strategies, with projected net profits of 23.963 billion, 27.232 billion, and 30.471 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 10.41%, 13.64%, and 11.89% respectively [7]

Core Insights - The annual report of China Merchants Bank (CMB) for 2024 reveals a mixed performance with a slight net profit increase of 1.22% and a first-ever revenue decline, indicating significant challenges in the retail banking sector [1][3] - The bank's high human resource costs and reliance on elite talent have led to a paradox where high salaries do not correlate with growth, exposing vulnerabilities in its operational model [3][4] Group 1: Financial Performance - CMB's revenue from retail banking experienced a negative growth of 4.8%, marking a significant shift from the previous decade's 25% compound annual growth rate [3][5] - The human cost per employee reached 581,000 yuan, with labor costs now accounting for 38.7% of revenue, an increase of 6.3 percentage points since 2020 [3][4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The wealth management segment has seen a 32% reduction in fund distribution scale, and the growth rate of private banking clients' assets under management has dropped to single digits, reflecting a shift in client priorities from yield chasing to capital preservation [3][5] - Credit card circulation has decreased by 5.6%, and installment income has fallen by 12.4%, indicating a fundamental restructuring of consumer spending patterns [4][5] Group 3: Strategic Challenges - CMB's strategic missteps over the past five years have resulted in a lack of innovation and a rigid organizational structure, hindering its ability to adapt to digital transformation [7][8] - The bank's technology investment ratio stands at 3.5%, lower than competitors, highlighting a lag in adopting digital banking solutions [7][8] Group 4: Proposed Solutions - CMB needs to redefine its wealth management approach by transitioning from a sales-driven model to a fiduciary service model, akin to UBS's "wealth manager" strategy [8][9] - The bank should develop an industrial digital finance ecosystem by collaborating with leading companies in the new energy sector to create a supply chain finance and carbon account system [9][10] - Organizational restructuring is essential, including the potential spin-off of fintech subsidiaries and the introduction of project-based assessments to foster innovation [10][11] Group 5: Industry Implications - The challenges faced by CMB reflect broader issues within the Chinese banking industry, necessitating a reevaluation of value propositions and operational models in response to narrowing interest margins and technological disruptions [11][12] - Future winners in the banking sector may focus on risk management, data services, and cross-border integration, moving away from traditional profit models [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities reported strong financial performance in 2024, driven by significant growth in proprietary investment income, with total revenue and net profit reaching 19.19 billion and 3.35 billion yuan, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 12.3% and 21.7% [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 19.19 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.35 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12.3% and 21.7% [1][2] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) increased by 0.69 percentage points to 4.14% [1][2] - The operating leverage, excluding client funds, rose by 8.1% to 3.74 times compared to the beginning of the year [1] Quarterly Performance - In Q4, the company reported a significant recovery in performance, with revenue and net profit reaching 5.11 billion and 0.05 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 50.5% and 146.6% [2] - The recovery in the market contributed to this performance, with the overall equity market, as measured by the Wind All A Index, rising by 10.0% [3] Business Segments - Proprietary investment income surged to 5.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 81.2%, significantly boosting overall performance [2][3] - Brokerage, investment banking, asset management, interest income, and proprietary income for the year were 2.51 billion, 1.17 billion, 1.34 billion, 1.32 billion, and 5.38 billion yuan, respectively, with declines in brokerage, investment banking, asset management, and interest income, while proprietary income saw substantial growth [2] Market Conditions - The market showed signs of recovery, with average daily trading volume in the two markets reaching 1.8529 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 122.5% [4] - The number of client accounts increased to 2.9198 million, up 8.5% from the beginning of the year, and total custodial assets reached 878.273 billion yuan, a 17.74% increase [4] Asset Management - The asset management business faced challenges, with revenue declining to 1.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.9% [5] - Despite the decline, the company maintained a leading position in active management, with a ten-year stock investment return rate of 165.10%, ranking first in the industry [5] Long-term Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the capital markets, with projected net profits of 3.62 billion and 3.74 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 22.9 and 22.2, and price-to-book ratios of 1.11 and 1.06 [5]

丨证券研究报告丨 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 吴一凡 SAC：S0490519080007 SFC：BUV596 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 公司研究丨点评报告丨东方证券（600958.SH） [Table_Title] 东方证券 2024 年报点评：自营高增提振业绩表 现，期待资管及财富优势显现 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2024 年东方证券自营投资高增提振整体业绩表现，泛财富条线有所承压但降幅逐步收窄。展望 未来，公司仍是券商在财富管理和资产管理中受益的标杆，资本市场高位运行背景下期待公司 大资管+大财富优势逐步显现，维持买入评级。 [Table_Title 东方证券 2024 2] 年报点评：自营高增提振业绩表 现，期待资管及财富优势显现 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 东方证券发布 2024 年年报，报告期内分别实现营业收入和归母净利润 191.9、33.5 亿元，同 比分别+12.3%、+21.7%；加权平均净资产收益率同比+0.69pct 至 4.14%；剔除客户资金后的 经营杠杆较年初+8.1%至 3.74 倍。 事件评论 风险提示 1 ...

事件：中金公司公布2024 年报，利润好于预期。2024 年中金公司实现营业收入213.3 亿/yoy-7.2%；实 现归母净利润56.9 亿/yoy-7.5%；2024 年加权平均ROE 为5.52%/yoy-0.91pct。 各业务线均有承压，四季度经纪、自营业务加速修复。2024 年公司证券主营收入211.7 亿/yoy-6.8%。 1）主营收拆分看：2024 年公司经纪、投行、资管、其他手续费、净利息、净投资收入分别为42.6、 30.9、12.1、22.8、-13.9、117.2 亿元，收入占比20.1%、14.6%、5.7%、10.8%、-6.6%、55.4%；分别同 比-5.9%、-16.4%、-0.3%、-13.6%、-4.1%、-1.6%。2）四季度业绩加速修复：单季来看，4Q24 公司证 券主营收入78.4亿/yoy+43.0%/qoq+73.6%，其中经纪收入yoy+67.6%/qoq+115%、净投资收入 yoy+50.9%/qoq+76.4%（汇兑收益高增贡献、4Q24 汇兑净收益16.9 亿/去年同期-7.0 亿）；归母净利润 28.4 亿/yoy+83.2%/qoq+350%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 19.85, corresponding to a 0.94x PB for 2025 [8]. Core Insights - The company benefited from a recovery in wealth management and investment businesses, with Q4 performance exceeding expectations. The internationalization and specialization capabilities of the company are expected to continuously strengthen its business advantages, aiming to build a world-class investment bank [3][8]. Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of RMB 22,990.20 million, with a projected decline of 11.87%. The net profit for the same year was RMB 6,156.13 million, down 18.97% year-on-year. The forecast for 2024A shows revenue of RMB 21,333.44 million and net profit of RMB 5,694.34 million, reflecting a decrease of 7.21% and 7.50% respectively [7]. - Q4 single-quarter profit reached RMB 2,840 million, a year-on-year increase of 83.2%, driven primarily by the wealth management and investment business [8]. Business Performance - The wealth management business saw significant improvement, with Q4 brokerage revenue reaching RMB 1,700 million, up 67.6% year-on-year and 115.1% quarter-on-quarter. The asset allocation product scale has grown to nearly RMB 370 billion, marking five consecutive years of positive growth [8]. - The investment business benefited from an improved stock and bond environment, with a Q4 single-quarter investment return rate of 4.8%, an increase of 150 basis points year-on-year and 189 basis points quarter-on-quarter [8]. Industry Outlook - The report anticipates an acceleration in supply-side reforms within the industry, with the company’s international and specialized capabilities expected to solidify its business advantages. The new round of capital market reforms focuses on comprehensive investment and financing reforms, which will create opportunities for high-quality securities firms to accelerate their transformation [8].

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 邮储银行(601658) 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_Author] 张晓辉 银行业分析师 执业编号：S1500523080008 邮 箱：zhangxiaohui@cindasc.com 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 邮储银行 2024 三季报点评：营收利润 增速回正，代理费率调整贡献利润 邮储银行 2024 中报点评：对公贷款贡 献规模扩张，资产质量保持平稳 对公贷款贡献扩表，Q1 存款成本率再 下行 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 邮储银行 2024 年报点评：主动调费优化结 构，夯实资本规模稳增 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 03 月 29 日 充足率分别为 9.56%、11.89%、14.44%，分别相比 2023 年末+0.03pct、 +0.28pct、+0.11 pct。 盈利预测：邮储银行坚持 ...

Core Viewpoint - The transformation journey of CITIC Bank's "new retail" model reflects the evolution of China's retail banking sector, shifting from linear growth based on business scale to a focus on deep customer value extraction [1][16]. Industry Overview - The retail banking sector in China is at a crossroads, facing declining growth rates and profitability amidst a complex market environment [1][2]. - Despite challenges such as low interest rates and high risks, retail banking remains a crucial stabilizing force for banks [1][2]. - The traditional growth model based on scale expansion is becoming less viable, prompting banks to explore new paths focused on wealth management and customer service [1][2][6]. Performance Metrics - In 2024, CITIC Bank's retail assets under management (AUM) grew by 10.62% to 4.69 trillion yuan, while retail loan balances increased by 3.43% to 2.36 trillion yuan [2][6]. - Comparatively, China Merchants Bank (CMB) reported a retail AUM growth of over 12% and a 6% increase in retail loan balances [2]. Strategic Initiatives - CITIC Bank's retail banking strategy emphasizes understanding and adapting to market cycles, with a focus on resilience and strategic adjustments [3][10]. - The bank aims to enhance its retail banking capabilities through systematic and structural improvements, contrasting with competitors that focus on rapid scale maximization [2][10]. Risk Management - In response to rising credit risks, CITIC Bank has implemented various risk management strategies, resulting in a retail loan non-performing ratio of 1.25% in 2024, with improvements in individual loan and credit card delinquency rates [9][10]. Digital Transformation - The bank has invested in digital tools to enhance customer engagement, achieving a 58.8% increase in customer interactions to 106 million in 2024 [13]. - CITIC Bank's digital initiatives include the development of an agile operational framework and the integration of AI capabilities to improve service efficiency [12][13][14]. Customer Engagement - The number of customers with three or more primary services at CITIC Bank reached 24.26 million, a nearly 20% increase year-on-year, highlighting the bank's focus on deepening customer relationships [7][10]. Long-term Vision - CITIC Bank's leadership emphasizes the importance of a strong retail banking foundation for achieving its goal of becoming a top-tier bank, with a commitment to wealth management as a core business axis [10][11].