Core Viewpoint - The recent appreciation of the Renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar is influenced by expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and strong inflows of foreign capital into the domestic stock market [1][3]. Group 1: Exchange Rate Movements - In August, the onshore and offshore RMB appreciated by 0.83% and 1.21% against the US dollar, respectively [1]. - As of September 17, the onshore RMB reached a high of 7.1080 and the offshore RMB peaked at 7.1003 [1]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate decision is contributing to a decline in the US dollar index, which is providing upward momentum for non-USD currencies, including the RMB [3]. - The strong performance of the domestic stock market is attracting foreign investment, increasing demand for currency exchange and improving market sentiment [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - If the Federal Reserve resumes interest rate cuts and the impact of US government tariffs on the economy becomes more pronounced, the US dollar index may face further downward pressure, making it easier for non-USD currencies to appreciate [3]. - The domestic economic policies aimed at stabilizing economic performance will provide essential support for the RMB exchange rate, which is expected to maintain a stable trajectory with limited risk of rapid appreciation or depreciation [3].

欧洲三大股指16日全线下跌。英国伦敦股市《金融时报》100种股票平均价格指数报收于9195.66点，较前一交易日下跌81.37点，跌幅为0.88%；法国巴黎股 市CAC40指数报收于7818.22点，较前一交易日下跌78.71点，跌幅为1.00%；德国法兰克福股市DAX指数报收于23329.24点，较前一交易日下跌419.62点，跌 美东时间周二（16日）美股三大指数高开低走，集体收跌。截至收盘，道指跌0.27%，纳指跌0.07%，标普500指数跌0.13%。美国消费者与商业频道(CNBC) 称，由于投资者在备受期待的美联储利率决定公布前获利了结，股市小幅下跌。 幅为1.77%。路透社分析称，投资者在美联储披露货币政策前变得谨慎，对利率敏感的金融板块走弱拖累欧股下跌。 国际油价16日上涨。截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所10月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨1.22美元，收于每桶64.52美元，涨幅为1.93%；11月交货的伦敦布伦 特原油期货价格上涨1.03美元，收于每桶68.47美元，涨幅为1.53%。 来源：Wind 美国大型科技股涨跌不一，特斯拉涨近3%，脸书涨近2%，亚马逊涨超1%，苹果涨0.61%，谷歌跌0 ...

周二（9月16日，美联储货币政策会议开幕当天）纽约尾盘，ICE美元指数跌0.69%，报96.630点，日内 交投区间为97.388-96.556点，逼近7月1日底部76.377点和2022年2月21日底部95.686点，全天持续、平滑 地震荡下挫，仅仅亚太盘初微幅上涨。彭博美元指数跌0.55%，报1188.36点，日内交投区间为1195.49- 1187.71点。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Currency Market - The US dollar index fell by 0.56%, reaching 96.81 points, while the euro rose to 1.1836, the highest level since September 2021 [1] - The USD/JPY decreased by 0.5% to 146.66, and the GBP/USD increased by 0.4559% to 1.3662 [1] Commodity Market - Spot gold surged past $3700 per ounce, marking a 0.56% increase and setting a new historical high, with a total annual increase of $1076 per ounce [2] Stock Market - US stock indices opened slightly higher, with the Nasdaq up 0.22%, S&P 500 up 0.13%, and Dow Jones up 0.08% [3] - WEBTOON's stock rose by 32% following Disney's acquisition of a 2% stake in the company [4] - Wolf Speed, a global silicon carbide manufacturer, saw its stock increase by over 6%, doubling its market value in the last three trading days [5] - The New York Times stock fell approximately 2% due to a $15 billion defamation lawsuit filed by former President Trump [6] - Several cryptocurrency-related stocks saw early gains, with Figure up over 8% and Circle nearly 5% [7] Federal Reserve and Economic Policy - President Trump signed documents for Stephen Milan's appointment to the Federal Reserve, emphasizing the need for the Fed's independence [8] - Milan is expected to participate in the Federal Reserve meeting starting on September 16 [9] - Analysts suggest that at least three Fed governors, including those appointed by Trump, may support a rate cut in the upcoming meeting [11] - The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 95.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 17 meeting, with a 4.2% chance of a 50 basis point cut [13]

Core Points - The US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen to its lowest level since July 4, with a daily decline of nearly 0.5%, currently reported at 96.89 [1] Group 1 - The decline in the DXY indicates a weakening of the US dollar against other currencies [1] - The drop in the index may have implications for international trade and investment flows [1] - Market participants may interpret this movement as a signal of changing economic conditions or monetary policy expectations [1]

每经AI快讯，9月16日，美元指数跌至7月4日以来的最低水平，最新下跌0.47%，报96.89。 ...

截至今日发稿，美元指数跌0.38%，报96.99点，创7月7日以来新低。 ...

格隆汇9月16日｜美元指数跌0.36%，报97.0点，创7月7日以来新低。 ...

每经AI快讯，9月16日，美元指数跌0.36%，报97.0点，创7月7日以来新低。 ...

随着米兰就任美联储理事，特朗普总统对于美联储货币政策的干预能力在提升，但是特朗普总统尚未获 得对于美联储的完全的掌控权。不过，随着美联储重启降息，美元的走软趋势大概率会延续，而且走软 的强度会加深。目前，美元指数已经降至97附近。笔者认为，美元指数仍然有相当的下降空间。这会在 美国资本市场，乃至全球资本市场掀起不小的波澜，引发一系列的动荡。 JerryZang 免责声明：本文内容及观点仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。一切有关市 场的准确信息，请以相关官方公告为准。市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 据媒体9月16日消息，由美国总统特朗普提名的斯蒂芬-米兰的美联储理事一职已经获得美国参议院投票 通过批准。这意味着，米兰可以参加本周三（9月17日）的美联储9月议息会议，并拥有投票权。 一段时间以来，特朗普总统一直在向美联储主席鲍威尔施压，希望美联储尽快降息。市场普遍认为，在 即将召开的美联储9月议息会议上，美联储会重启降息进程，不过降息的幅度可能为25个基点。 不过，就在昨天（9月15日），特朗普总统预测，美联储本次降息幅度可能会达到50个基点。但是，从 美联储主席鲍威尔一贯在货币政策方面的谨慎态度 ...