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阿特斯:大储打造第二增增长引擎,美国产能稳步推进-20250521
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-21 04:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][7]. Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue at 46.17 billion yuan, down 10.0% year-on-year, and net profit at 2.25 billion yuan, down 22.6% year-on-year [3]. - The energy storage business shows strong growth, with revenue reaching 9.74 billion yuan in 2024, up 420.8% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 30.8% [5]. - The photovoltaic module business saw a revenue decline to 31.48 billion yuan in 2024, down 25.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.8% [6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.59 billion yuan, down 10.5% year-on-year and 28.4% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 47 million yuan, down 91.8% year-on-year and 83.8% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 0.61, 0.82, and 1.15 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 16.5, 12.1, and 8.7 [7]. Market Position - The company maintains a leading position in module delivery, with a total shipment of 31.1 GW in 2024, including a record 8.2 GW in Q4 [6]. - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, with 5 GW of module capacity in the U.S. expected to ramp up in the second half of 2025 [6]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a significant increase in energy storage shipments, projecting a total of 11-13 GWh for 2025, supported by a backlog of potential orders of approximately 79 GWh [5]. - The report highlights the competitive nature of the solar industry and the uncertainties in international trade and policies [7].
阿特斯(688472):大储打造第二增增长引擎,美国产能稳步推进
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-21 03:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 461.7 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 10.0% year-on-year, with a net profit of 22.5 billion yuan, down 22.6% year-on-year [4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 85.9 billion yuan, a decline of 10.5% year-on-year and 28.4% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 0.47 billion yuan, down 91.8% year-on-year and 83.8% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The energy storage business showed strong growth, with a revenue of 97.4 billion yuan in 2024, up 420.8% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 30.8%, an increase of 13.7 percentage points [5]. - The company expects its energy storage business shipment scale to increase to 11-13 GWh in 2025, maintaining high growth [5]. - The photovoltaic module business generated a revenue of 314.8 billion yuan in 2024, down 25.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.8%, a decrease of 3.0 percentage points [6]. - The company is steadily advancing its overseas production capacity, with 5 GW of module capacity in the U.S. expected to ramp up in the second half of 2025 [6]. Financial Data Summary - The company’s projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.61, 0.82, and 1.15 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.5, 12.1, and 8.7 [7]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 is 51.6 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.2 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.5% year-on-year [11]. - The gross margin is expected to be 13.8% in 2025, with a net margin of 4.3% [11]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 73.6 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities of 48.4 billion yuan [12].
禾迈股份(688032):终端需求平淡影响微逆销量,静待需求修复和工商储放量
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-20 02:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.993 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 344 million yuan, down 33% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, revenue reached 727 million yuan, an increase of 18% year-on-year and a 103% increase quarter-on-quarter. The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 336 million yuan, a 1% increase year-on-year but a 54% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 10 million yuan, down 115% year-on-year and 111% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company sold 990,000 micro-inverters, a decrease of 25% year-on-year, while monitoring equipment sales remained stable at 230,000 units. The demand in Europe and the US was subdued due to economic conditions and policy changes. The average selling price of micro-inverters slightly increased due to a higher proportion of high-power micro-inverters. The gross margin for micro-inverters and DTUs was 53.5%, up 5.3 percentage points year-on-year [9]. Business Expansion - The company actively expanded its energy storage business, launching several new products, with annual revenue of 310 million yuan, remaining stable year-on-year, and a gross margin of 18.9%, up 2.3 percentage points. Revenue from photovoltaic power generation systems reached 400 million yuan, a 157% increase year-on-year, although the gross margin decreased by 30.7 percentage points due to a higher proportion of low-margin commercial photovoltaic power generation systems [9]. Future Outlook - For Q1 2025, a decline in micro-inverter sales is expected due to revenue recognition timing and continued weak demand in Europe and the US, although monthly trends are showing improvement. The company anticipates a profit of around 400 million yuan in 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of 32 times. The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the potential for significant growth in the commercial storage sector and the expected recovery in demand [9].
组件跌价需求下滑,储能驱动阿特斯二季度收入预计增逾六成
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-05-18 11:57
一季度,阿特斯营收占CSIQ的比例超过90%(未经审计),是其主要生产经营主体。因此虽然公告披 露的是控股股东经营情况,但其实也是衡量阿特斯业绩的重要参考信息。 凭借储能系统产品维持增长,CSIQ预计二季度实现营收至少为136.4亿元,环比增长超六成,毛利率预 计由11.7%环比增长至23%~25%,主要因储能系统产品出货延续高增态势,成为组件跌价与需求下滑之 际的业绩第二增长点。 近日,光伏龙头阿特斯(688472.SZ)发布了控股股东阿特斯集团Canadian Solar Inc.(下称"CSIQ") 2025年第一季度业绩以及第二季度、2025年度经营展望的公告。 CSIQ披露的全年光伏制造环节产能计划显示,预计拉棒、硅片、电池片和组件的二季度到四季度合计 增长约4%,其中拉棒和组件产能没有扩产,可见在行业供需依然严峻的背景下,光伏制造商正大幅放 缓投建产能的落地速度。 预计二季度收入环比增六成,全年组件出货或同比微降 CSIQ的生产经营主体是阿特斯,根据公告,CSIQ一季度的营业收入为12亿美元(折合人民币86.2亿 元)。而根据财报,一季度阿特斯实现营收85.85亿元,两者相差不到0.4亿元。对比可 ...
清源股份(603628):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:支架业务市场份额稳固,储能业务打造第二增长曲线
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-14 11:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [20]. Core Insights - The company's bracket business maintains a solid market share, while the energy storage business is being developed as a second growth curve [1][7]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 1.919 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.9% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 90 million yuan, down 46.7% year-on-year [7][8]. - The company is actively expanding its energy storage business and overseas markets, leveraging its existing distribution channels in distributed photovoltaic brackets [7]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Financials**: Total revenue of 1,919 million yuan, net profit of 90 million yuan, and a gross margin of 21.26% [3][7]. - **2025 Projections**: Expected revenue growth of 28.1% to 2,459 million yuan, with net profit projected to increase by 54.2% to 139 million yuan [3][7]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Projected to rise from 0.33 yuan in 2024 to 0.51 yuan in 2025 [3][7]. - **Valuation Metrics**: The company is expected to have a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24 in 2025, decreasing to 17 by 2027 [3][7]. Business Segment Insights - **Bracket Business**: Revenue from the bracket business in 2024 was 1.588 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 17.01%. The domestic market share increased, with domestic revenue reaching 710 million yuan [7]. - **International Markets**: The company maintains a leading market share in Australia and is expanding in Europe and Asia-Pacific regions, with significant growth in Thailand and the Philippines [7]. - **Energy Storage Development**: The company is launching its TNK series home energy storage systems in Australia and Southeast Asia, aiming to create a second growth curve [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company's bracket business is developing steadily, while the energy storage business is expected to become a significant growth driver. The target price is set at 15.23 yuan based on a 30x P/E ratio for 2025 [7].
崧盛股份(301002) - 2025年5月8日投资者关系活动记录表(2024年度及2025年一季度业绩网上说明会)
2025-05-08 09:56
Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 202 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.25%, but reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -35,900 yuan [6] - The annual report indicated a significant decline in performance, attributed to losses from the energy storage subsidiary, increased R&D expenses, and interest expenses from convertible bonds [2][3] - The company aims to improve profitability in 2025 through increased revenue from core businesses and the energy storage segment [3] Group 2: Market and Business Strategy - The company plans to expand into high-barrier incremental markets to enhance performance and explore high-potential overseas markets [4][6] - The energy storage subsidiary, established in 2022, is expected to accelerate commercialization and contribute to revenue starting in 2025 [4] - The company is focusing on optimizing R&D, smart manufacturing, and refined management to reduce costs and increase efficiency [6] Group 3: Industry Context - The Chinese lighting industry experienced a peak export value of 65.47 billion USD in 2021, but faced a decline to 56.3 billion USD in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.3% [7] - LED lighting products accounted for 75% of total exports in 2024, with a decline of 2.5% compared to the previous year [7] - The market for LED plant lighting is projected to grow, with an expected market value of 1.158 billion USD by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 7.5% from 2024 to 2029 [8] Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Goals - The company has set strategic goals to expand into new areas such as renewable energy, AI, and digital transformation, while leveraging its strengths in advanced manufacturing [4] - The government plans to invest over 200 billion yuan in outdoor lighting renovations by 2025, with 30% allocated for upgrading driving power systems [8] - The company is committed to enhancing its market share in domestic infrastructure projects, particularly in outdoor lighting applications [9]
协鑫能科:持续优化能源资产,看好能源服务业务的持续开拓-20250508
China Post Securities· 2025-05-08 02:50
Investment Rating - The report gives an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [7]. Core Views - The company is focusing on optimizing its energy assets and expanding its energy service business, which is expected to drive future growth [4][6]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 9.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 490 million yuan, down 46.9% year-on-year, primarily due to asset impairment losses and reduced non-operating income [4][11]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 21.5% year-on-year to 2.93 billion yuan, with a net profit of 250 million yuan, up 35.1% year-on-year [4][11]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 23.3% and 10.2%, respectively, showing improvements from the previous year [5]. - The company has been reducing its expense ratios, with significant decreases in sales, management, and financial expense ratios, contributing to enhanced profitability [5]. - The energy asset business has a total installed capacity of 5,871.01 MW, including various energy sources such as thermal, coal, solar, wind, and storage [5][6]. Energy Service Business - The energy service segment saw a remarkable revenue growth of 337.25% in 2024, with energy-saving services growing by 500.67% and trading services by 188.46% [6]. - The company is actively investing in distributed solar power, with significant new installations and transfers in 2024 [6]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 10.02 billion yuan in 2025, 10.55 billion yuan in 2026, and 11.07 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 900 million yuan, 1 billion yuan, and 1.1 billion yuan [7][11]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the forecasted years are expected to be 13, 12, and 11, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [7].
晶科能源2024年经营性现金流78亿,负债率下降2个百分点
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-29 11:03
Core Insights - JinkoSolar achieved a record shipment of 92.87GW in 2024, marking an 18.28% year-on-year increase and securing its position as the global leader in module shipments for the sixth consecutive year [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 92.47 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.99 billion yuan, alongside a significant operating cash flow of 7.867 billion yuan [1] - JinkoSolar's debt ratio decreased by 2 percentage points, showcasing its financial resilience amid a challenging global solar market [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - The average efficiency of battery production in the company's prime regions exceeded 26.7%, while the lab efficiency for TOPCon perovskite tandem cells reached 34.22%, indicating advancements in both mainstream and next-generation technologies [1] - The company plans to upgrade over 40% of its production capacity by 2025, aiming to establish a high-power TOPCon capacity of 40-50GW by the end of the year [1] Group 2: Global Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - JinkoSolar's overseas sales accounted for nearly 70% of total sales in 2024, reflecting its ongoing global expansion efforts [2] - The company is collaborating with the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF) and Vision Industries Company to develop a 10GW high-efficiency battery and module project, expected to commence production in the second half of 2026 [2] - The U.S. factory has completed upgrades and expansions, achieving full operational capacity of 2GW, which helps overcome trade barriers through localized supply [2] Group 3: Financial Strategies and Future Outlook - JinkoSolar is issuing Global Depositary Receipts (GDR) and applying for a listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange to enhance its international financing capabilities [2] - The company optimized its accounts payable turnover days and increased the use of supply chain finance notes, effectively reducing capital costs [2] - In 2024, JinkoSolar's energy storage system shipments exceeded 1GWh, showing significant growth and earning a spot in the BNEF Tier 1 list of energy storage manufacturers [2] - The company plans to expand its energy storage business internationally, targeting a shipment goal of 6GWh by 2025 [2]
12C快充、纳新电池与“双核”架构,宁德时代科技日晒出“硬核”科技
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-04-23 08:25
Group 1 - The core announcement from CATL's Super Technology Day includes the launch of three new battery products: sodium-ion passenger vehicle battery, Xiaoyao dual-core battery, and the second-generation Shenxing supercharging battery, along with a sodium-ion 24V heavy truck battery [2][3] - The Xiaoyao dual-core battery is described as a continuation of the AB battery technology introduced in 2020, allowing for the integration of two different battery chemistries within a single battery pack, enhancing performance and safety [3][4] - CATL's chairman emphasized that the dual-core to multi-core innovation will extend beyond passenger vehicles to electric buses, heavy trucks, aircraft, ships, and industrial applications, accelerating the industrialization of new energy across various scenarios [4] Group 2 - The sodium-ion battery technology has reached significant breakthroughs, addressing previous limitations in energy density, lifespan, safety, and cycling, thus facilitating the arrival of the multi-core era [5] - The first sodium-ion product, the sodium-ion 24V heavy truck battery, is set to begin mass production in June 2023, while the sodium-ion power battery will be launched in December 2023 [5] - The second-generation Shenxing supercharging battery can achieve over 520 kilometers of range with just 5 minutes of charging and has improved low-temperature performance, enhancing charging efficiency by 100% compared to current industry standards [5] Group 3 - CATL maintains a dominant position in the power battery sector, holding a market share of 37.9% as of the end of 2024, and has reported a revenue of 84.7 billion yuan and a net profit of 13.96 billion yuan for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.9% [6] - The company is actively exploring a "second growth curve" in areas such as battery swapping, energy storage, and international markets to counteract the slowing growth in its core battery business [6][7] - In the energy storage sector, CATL achieved a sales volume of 93 GWh in 2024, with a market share of 36.5%, and its energy storage systems generated revenue of 57.29 billion yuan, surpassing power batteries as the primary profit contributor [8] Group 4 - CATL has signed a framework agreement with Sinopec to build a nationwide battery swapping network, aiming to establish at least 500 swapping stations by 2025, with a long-term goal of expanding to 10,000 stations [7] - The company is also pursuing international expansion through a secondary listing in Hong Kong, aiming to raise approximately 50 billion yuan to support overseas capacity expansion and international business development [8]
亿纬锂能(300014):业绩符合市场预期 储能业务持续放量
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 02:45
Core Insights - The company reported a slight decline in annual revenue for 2024, with total revenue of 48.615 billion yuan, down 0.35% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 0.63% to 4.076 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Energy Storage Business - The energy storage business saw significant growth, with cell shipments reaching 50.45 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 91.9%, securing the second-largest global market share [2] - Revenue from the energy storage segment reached 19 billion yuan, supported by advancements in product technology, including the fourth-generation Mr.Big series cells [2] - The company’s 60 GWh super factory commenced production by the end of 2024, with a Malaysian production line expected to start in early 2026, enhancing global delivery capabilities [2] Group 2: Power Battery Sales - Power battery shipments totaled 30.29 GWh in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.87%, although revenue declined by 20.08% to 19.167 billion yuan due to fluctuations in downstream customer sales [3] - The company maintained a strong position in the commercial vehicle sector, achieving a market share of 12.15%, ranking second in the industry [3] Group 3: Consumer Battery Performance - The consumer battery segment generated revenue of 10.322 billion yuan, up 23.44% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 27.58%, an increase of 3.85 percentage points [4] - The company achieved full production and sales capacity in the small cylindrical battery segment, expanding its market share in various applications [4] - New market entries include BBU/eVTOL/robotics, with production capabilities from the Chengdu base and a Malaysian factory set to enhance customer demand fulfillment [4] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company anticipates revenue growth from 63.44 billion yuan in 2025 to 99.43 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 31%, 25%, and 25% respectively [5] - Net profit is projected to rise from 5.66 billion yuan in 2025 to 7.82 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 39%, 21%, and 14% [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase to 3.8 yuan by 2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 14 to 10 over the same period, maintaining a "buy" rating due to the company's leadership in the lithium battery industry [5]