Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Overweight [1] Core Insights - The demand for green electricity is expected to increase due to direct connections, and offshore wind projects are progressing steadily [1][18] - The report highlights the importance of various segments within the power equipment industry, including photovoltaic, wind energy, energy storage, hydrogen energy, and grid equipment [3][4] Summary by Sections Photovoltaic - June production is expected to decline, with price trends remaining sticky; the impact of rush installations on prices is weakening [3][11] - The main industry chain prices are anticipated to remain stable but under downward pressure due to weak domestic demand [13][14] - Investment recommendation focuses on companies with high certainty in the BC technology trend, including Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar [17] Wind Energy - Offshore wind projects are entering a positive phase, with significant projects in Guangdong and Shandong progressing [18][19] Energy Storage - The release of the 136 document in Inner Mongolia aims to promote green electricity connections, with a mechanism price set at 0.3035 yuan/kWh [20][22] - Bulgaria has launched the largest battery storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 496.2MWh [23] Hydrogen Energy - The hydrogen drone industrial park is set to be established in Jiangxi, with a total investment of approximately 480 million yuan [29] - The hydrogen energy sector is accelerating, with a focus on hydrogen production and storage [28][30] Grid Equipment - The State Grid has announced a new batch of candidates for ultra-high voltage equipment, with a total bid amount of 519 million yuan [32] - The integration of source-network-load-storage is being accelerated in Henan province, promoting local consumption of renewable energy [32][33] Humanoid Robots - Companies like Honor and UBTECH are advancing in the humanoid robot sector, with significant developments in technology and applications [34][36] - The humanoid robot industry is expected to enter a mass production phase by 2025, with a focus on key components [38] Electric Vehicles - CATL's solid-state batteries are expected to achieve small-scale production by 2027, with a focus on high-profit companies [39][41] - The report emphasizes the importance of lithium battery technology and the shift towards lower-cost lithium iron phosphate batteries [42]

Investment Rating - Industry Investment Rating: Overweight [1] Core Insights - Green electricity direct connection is expected to boost demand, and offshore wind projects are progressing steadily [1] - The report highlights the stable development of offshore wind projects, with significant tenders and construction activities in various regions [18][19] - The energy storage sector is seeing policy support, with the introduction of market-driven pricing for renewable energy [20][22] - Hydrogen energy applications are accelerating, with new projects and government support for hydrogen production and storage [28][30] - The power grid equipment sector is advancing with new high-voltage equipment tenders and integrated energy solutions [32][33] Summary by Sections 1.1 Photovoltaics - June production is declining, and the price trend remains sticky, with a slight decrease in silicon material and N-type battery prices [11][12] - The report suggests a cautious outlook for the second quarter of 2025, with potential downward pressure on prices due to weak domestic demand [13][14] - Investment focus on companies with stable earnings and high certainty in the BC technology trend, including Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar [17] 1.2 Wind Power - Offshore wind projects are entering a positive phase, with significant tenders announced for various projects [18][19] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the progress of these projects and their impact on the industry [18] 1.3 Energy Storage - The introduction of a market-driven pricing mechanism for renewable energy in Inner Mongolia is a significant development [20][22] - The report notes the completion of a large-scale battery storage system in Bulgaria, marking a milestone in the EU [23] 1.4 Hydrogen Energy - The establishment of a hydrogen drone industrial park in Jiangxi is highlighted, with a total investment of approximately 480 million yuan [29] - The report discusses the international collaboration on hydrogen pipelines between the UK and Germany, enhancing energy security [28] 1.5 Power Grid Equipment - The State Grid has announced a new batch of high-voltage equipment candidates, with a total bid amount of 519 million yuan [32] - The report discusses the integration of source-network-load-storage systems in Henan province, promoting local consumption of renewable energy [32] 1.6 Humanoid Robots - The entry of major companies like Honor into the humanoid robotics sector is noted, indicating a growing market potential [34][35] - The report suggests that the humanoid robot industry is expected to enter a production phase in 2025, with significant investment opportunities [38] 1.7 Lithium Batteries - CATL's solid-state battery technology is projected to achieve small-scale production by 2027, representing a significant advancement in battery technology [39] - The report highlights the ongoing developments in lithium battery materials and the shift towards more cost-effective solutions [40][41]

Group 1: New Power System Development - The National Energy Administration has initiated pilot projects focusing on seven areas including grid technology, friendly renewable energy stations, smart microgrids, and virtual power plants to explore new technologies and models for building a new power system [1] - By 2025, the goal is to establish a nationwide unified electricity market, with a focus on enhancing the top-level design and basic rule system for the electricity market [1][2] - The new power system is characterized by a dominant position of renewable energy sources such as onshore wind, offshore wind, solar power, and new energy storage [1] Group 2: Electricity Consumption and Market Trends - In April, the total electricity consumption reached 772.1 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [2] - By 2025, the total electricity consumption is projected to reach 10.4 trillion kWh, with a growth rate of approximately 6% [2] - The demand for electricity is expected to rise due to the rapid growth of AI computing needs and the development of electric vehicles [2] Group 3: Virtual Power Plants and Energy Storage - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to accelerate the development of virtual power plants, aiming for a regulation capacity of over 20 million kW by 2027 and 50 million kW by 2030 [3] - New energy storage is identified as a crucial technology for building a new power system and achieving carbon neutrality goals, with a target of reaching a cumulative installed capacity of 73.76 million kW by the end of 2024 [3] Group 4: Investment and Market Environment - In 2024, multiple policies are expected to create a stable market environment for renewable energy operators, leading to a stabilization of the industry [4] - The investment in the power grid is anticipated to maintain a growth rate of over 10% in 2025, driven by the transition towards carbon neutrality and balanced investment in main grid and distribution segments [4] Group 5: Company Performance Highlights - China Resources Power (00836) has seen an upward adjustment in earnings forecasts for 2025 due to lower fuel costs, with a target price increase from HKD 20.5 to HKD 21.5 [5][6] - Huadian International Power (01071) reported a 3.7% increase in net profit for Q1, benefiting from a 9.7% decrease in standard coal costs [6] - Datang Renewable (01798) achieved a 15.47% increase in power generation in April 2025 compared to the previous year, with significant contributions from wind and solar power [7]

绿电直连政策以制度创新"四应"国家大局 绿电直连是风、光、生物质等新能源通过直连线路向单一电力用户供给绿电，实现电量清晰物理溯 源的模式。国家发展改革委、国家能源局不循旧历，联合 印发《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有关事 项的通知》（以下简称《通知》） ，实现 "四应"，即呼应社会诉求、响应行业发展、回应系统安 全、顺应电力改革，以制度创新服务国家大局，助推新质生产力发展，凸显了国家发展改革委、国 家能源局的政治机关意识和服务型政府责任担当。 一、呼应社会诉求快速出台政策 为此，《通知》从四个方面对加强规划引领进行部署。 一是在项目建设上区分四种情形 ， 对存量 负荷、新增负荷、出口外向型企业、新能源消纳受限等情况，分门别类予以规范。特别是对具有自 备电厂的存量负荷，提出足额清缴可再生能源发展基金前提下的绿电直连实施路径。 二是在规划统 筹上强调 "三入" ， 即风光发电规模要计入省级新能源发电开发建设方案，项目建设方案要纳入省 级或城市的能源电力和国土空间规划，特殊情况接入 220（330）千伏电网的要纳入电力系统安全 风险专项评估范畴。 三是模式创新上强调三个明确 ， 主责单位明确，原则上由负荷作为绿电直连 ...

3日，两市股指盘中维持震荡上扬走势，北证50指数涨超1%。截至收盘，沪指涨0.43%报3361.98点，深 证成指涨0.16%报10057.17点，创业板指涨0.48%报2002.7点，北证50指数涨1.03%，沪深北三市合计成 交11640亿元，成交额和此前一日大致相当。行业方面，医药、银行、纺织服装、食品饮料、军工、保 险、券商等板块走高，创新药、减肥药、医美概念、黄金概念、体育概念等活跃；钢铁、煤炭、电力等 板块疲弱。 光大证券认为，短期外部风险扰动最严重的时候或许已经过去，但仍需要对特朗普后续政策的反复保持 警惕。近期国内政策仍积极发力，预计后续政策仍将持续落地。随着中美两国为"对等关税"按下90 天"暂停键"，短期内出口或将保持高增，预计消费仍是经济修复的重要动能之一。内外因素交织之下， 预计指数6月整体保持震荡。 今日投资机会解析 光大证券指出，此次督察强调黄河流域生态保护，多地已有项目因环保问题关停。农药行业继续向绿色 清洁低碳方向发展，政策推动减量增效，淘汰高毒高风险产品，提升行业集中度。友道化学爆炸事件影 响氯虫苯甲酰胺短期供应，成本支撑增强，价格或上涨。有机颜料行业在环保趋严背景下持续整合 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Waste Incineration Industry and Hanlan Environment Industry Overview - The waste incineration industry is experiencing significant changes, particularly with the recent updates to the green electricity policy by the National Development and Reform Commission, which is expected to have a major impact on the sector [5][52]. - The collaboration between waste incineration plants and data centers (IDC) is becoming increasingly relevant, with the potential for direct electricity supply from waste-to-energy plants to data centers [14][68]. Company Insights: Hanlan Environment - Hanlan Environment has successfully completed the acquisition of Yuefeng, marking a significant milestone for the company [1][135]. - The merger is expected to enhance Hanlan's market position, with a projected waste incineration capacity of 97,600 tons per day, making it the largest in the A-share market [146][147]. - The acquisition is anticipated to lead to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% over the next three years, with a focus on improving cash flow and return on equity (ROE) [25][26]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Green Electricity Policy**: The updated policy allows for direct electricity supply from waste incineration plants to data centers, expanding the customer base beyond self-consumption [14][18][99]. 2. **Profitability Potential**: Projects utilizing self-consumption models are projected to have a profit elasticity of 15% to 50% [13][21]. 3. **Acquisition Benefits**: The merger with Yuefeng is expected to enhance Hanlan's cash flow and ROE, with a potential increase in net profit from 1.75 billion to 19 billion RMB in the current year [150][155]. 4. **Market Valuation**: Hanlan's valuation is currently at ten times earnings, with expectations to reach fifteen times as cash flow improves and dividend capabilities increase [50][56]. 5. **Operational Synergies**: The integration of Yuefeng is expected to yield operational efficiencies, including reduced financial costs and enhanced supply chain management [186][188]. 6. **Future Growth**: The company anticipates maintaining a growth rate of approximately 15% from 2025 to 2027, driven by both internal improvements and the benefits of the acquisition [226][230]. Additional Important Insights - The waste incineration sector is seen as a unique asset class within the A-share market, with a strong potential for dividend growth and ROE enhancement [54][56]. - The collaboration between waste incineration and data centers is expected to become a standard practice, driven by policy support and market demand [101][102]. - The financial metrics indicate that Hanlan's free cash flow could potentially exceed 40 billion RMB post-acquisition, supporting a dividend payout ratio above 100% [230][232]. - The overall sentiment is optimistic regarding the future of the waste incineration industry, with a focus on sustainable growth and profitability [236].

Group 1: Pet Economy - The pet economy in China has been growing steadily, with the market size for urban pet consumption increasing from 170.8 billion RMB in 2018 to 300.2 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.86% [2][6] - The pet food sector remains the primary market, with online market concentration (CR10) at only 33.7% in 2024, indicating a fragmented competitive landscape where domestic brands are gaining traction [2][6] - Companies like Lusi Co. and Haineng Technology are highlighted as key players in the pet industry chain, with Lusi focusing on meat snacks and expanding its overseas production capacity [2][6] Group 2: Autonomous Driving - The autonomous driving market in China is expected to reach nearly 450 billion RMB by 2025, with companies like Xiaoma Zhixing collaborating with public transport groups to commercialize self-driving technology [2][17] - The transition to L3+ level intelligent driving is underway, with significant investments in autonomous vehicle trials and applications across various sectors, including logistics and public transport [17][18] - The market for unmanned vehicles is expanding, with 11 companies identified in the North Exchange's autonomous vehicle industry chain, indicating a robust growth trajectory [17][19] Group 3: Media and Digital Assets - Hong Kong's introduction of the Stablecoin Bill is a significant step towards establishing itself as a digital finance hub, which may enhance the internationalization of the RMB and support offshore financial activities [10][11] - The upcoming summer film season is anticipated to boost box office performance, with several key films scheduled for release, highlighting the importance of quality content in driving industry growth [10][12] Group 4: Green Energy - The introduction of green electricity direct supply policies is expected to lower electricity costs for businesses and enhance carbon emission recognition, particularly benefiting export-oriented enterprises [23][24] - The policy allows for a more flexible supply model, which could accelerate the development of offshore wind energy projects in coastal regions [24][26] - Companies in the green energy sector, such as Shaoneng Co. and Yinxing Energy, are recommended for their potential to benefit from stable electricity demand through long-term contracts [27][28] Group 5: Pharmaceutical Industry - The Chinese innovative drug sector is experiencing significant growth, with a record high of 519 billion USD in license-out transactions in 2024, indicating increasing global recognition of domestic pharmaceutical companies [29][31] - The number of original research drugs entering clinical trials in China has surpassed that in the US, with 704 drugs reported in 2024, showcasing the country's growing capabilities in drug development [31][32] - Companies like Hengrui Medicine and Warner Pharmaceuticals are highlighted as key players in the innovative drug space, with strong potential for future growth [29][34] Group 6: Transportation and Logistics - The logistics industry is undergoing rapid transformation with the integration of artificial intelligence, as evidenced by the National Postal Administration's push for AI applications in postal services [36] - The introduction of new unmanned logistics vehicles, such as the E6 model by Jiushi Intelligent, is expected to lower operational costs and enhance delivery efficiency [36]

绿电直连试点政策三大亮点值得关注 "绿电直连"虽然是能源领域的创新之举，具有广阔的发展前景，但用户不仅要承担建设成本，还要 面临市场交易与收益的不确定性，绿电直连在推进过程中面临着安全、经济、技术等多重风险。必 须要看到，电力系统本身就是最大的网源荷储系统，"绿电直连"形成的小系统，在可靠性相同的前 提下，必然经济性低于大系统，因此减少对于大系统依赖、自由选择可靠性是小系统获得相对经济 性的必然选择。《通知》不失为一次迎难而上的试水，以"绿电直连"试点为契机，凝聚政府、企业 和科研机构等各方合力，加大技术研发投入，完善市场机制和监管体系，为清洁能源的高效利用开 辟新道路。（华能集团能源研究院副院长 陈大宇） 在全球气候治理格局深度重构的背景下，"绿电直连"作为破解能源转型与碳关税壁垒双重挑战的制 度创新，逐渐进入人们的视野。国家发展改革委、国家能源局印发《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有 关事项的通知》（以下简称《通知》）开展绿电直连试点项目，旨在提升清洁能源利用效率、提升 绿电的物理属性，这种创新模式将绿电消费在时间精度和发用电位置上的颗粒度进一步提升，为全 国新能源产业的发展提供了有益的探索和借鉴。 二是回归了 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1] Core Insights - The implementation plan for Document No. 136 of the Inner Mongolia Electric Power Grid has been officially released, promoting the development of green electricity direct connection [5] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration are orderly advancing the development of green electricity direct connection [5] - The average purchasing price of electricity from the grid in May 2025 decreased by 3% year-on-year, while it increased by 0.4% month-on-month [42] - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 611 RMB/ton as of May 30, 2025, showing a year-on-year decrease of 28.6% [47] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report highlights the official release of the implementation plan for the Inner Mongolia Electric Power Grid, which includes market-oriented reforms for renewable energy pricing [5] - The report notes that the proportion of renewable energy in the Inner Mongolia market reached 91% in 2024 [5] 2. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption from January to April 2025 was 3.16 trillion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [14] - The growth rate of electricity consumption in the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries was 10.0%, 2.3%, and 6.0% respectively [14] 3. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation from January to April 2025 was 2.98 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [25] - The growth rates for different power sources were as follows: thermal power -4.1%, hydropower +2.2%, nuclear power +12.7%, wind power +10.9%, and solar power +19.5% [25] 4. Electricity Prices - The average purchasing price of electricity from the grid in May 2025 was 394 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year [42] 5. Coal Prices - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 611 RMB/ton as of May 30, 2025, with no change week-on-week [47] 6. Hydropower - As of May 31, 2025, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 154.81 meters, which is normal compared to previous years [55] - The inflow and outflow rates at the Three Gorges Reservoir decreased by 14.1% and 33.1% year-on-year respectively [55] 7. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in hydropower and thermal power during the peak summer season [5] - Key recommendations include companies such as China Nuclear Power and Longjiang Power for nuclear and hydropower investments respectively [5]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 蒙东电网 136 号文实施方案正式出台，国家 有序推进绿电直连发展 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary ] ◼ 风险提示：需求不及预期、电价煤价波动风险、流域来水不及预期等 2025 年 06 月 03 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 任逸轩 执业证书：S0600522030002 renyx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -12% -9% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 2024/6/3 2024/10/1 2025/1/29 2025/5/29 公用事业 沪深300 相关研究 《需求偏弱国内气价回落，储库推进 欧洲气价回落》 2025-06-03 《库存大幅增长美国气价回落，需求 偏弱国内气价回落，库存偏低欧洲气 价微增》 2025-05-26 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周核心观点：1）蒙东电网 136 号文实施方案正式出台 ...