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镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250616
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:28
Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - **L利多因素**: Inventory is continuously decreasing, with both Shanghai Nickel and LME Nickel inventories reducing, alleviating short - term supply pressure; Nickel ore in Indonesia is in short supply, and prices are firm, providing cost support for nickel prices [3]. - **利空因素**: The long - term supply surplus pattern of refined nickel remains unchanged, and the bearish fundamental pattern persists; The demand for downstream stainless steel is weak, and the improvement in terminal orders is insufficient, dragging down nickel prices [3]. - **交易咨询观点**: The market is intertwined with long and short factors, lacking new drivers, and overall maintaining a volatile pattern [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Data - **镍期货价格**: The latest price of Shanghai Nickel main contract is 119,920 yuan/ton, down 1,470 yuan (-1.21%); the price of LME Nickel 3M is 15,105 dollars/ton, down 385 dollars (-2.28%) [4]. - **不锈钢期货 price**: The latest price of stainless steel main contract is 12,550 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan (1%) [4]. - **镍现货 price**: The latest price of Jinchuan Nickel is 122,650 yuan/ton, down 275 yuan (-0.22%); the price of imported nickel is 120,650 yuan/ton, down 350 yuan (-0.29%) [4]. - **库存情况**: Domestic social inventory of nickel is 39,383 tons, an increase of 8 tons; LME Nickel inventory is 197,538 tons, a decrease of 96 tons; stainless steel social inventory is 998.8 thousand tons, an increase of 15.5 thousand tons; nickel pig iron inventory is 31,462 tons, an increase of 1,907.5 tons [4][6]. 3.2 Charts - **盘面信息**: There are charts showing the trends of domestic and foreign nickel futures, stainless steel futures, nickel spot average prices, etc., as well as seasonal charts of supply, production, and inventory in various aspects of the nickel - stainless steel industry chain, including China's refined nickel monthly production, primary nickel total supply, domestic and LME nickel inventories, nickel ore prices and inventories, nickel iron production, downstream battery - grade nickel sulfate prices and production, and stainless steel production and inventory [7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33].