投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 有色金属 姓名：龙奥明 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3035632 投资咨询证号：Z0014648 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会授 予的期货从业资格证书，期货投 资咨询资格证书，本人承诺以勤 勉的职业态度，独立、客观地出 具本报告。本报告清晰准确地反 映了本人的研究观点。本人不会 因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观 点而直接或间接接收到任何形式 的报酬。 有色金属 | 日报 2025 年 7 月 3 日 有色日报 专业研究·创造价值 日内有色偏弱震荡 核心观点 沪铜 昨夜铜价冲高，主力期价逼近 8.1 万关口，今日铜价震荡回落。 宏观层面，中东局势缓和，海外风险偏好回升；国内中央财经委员 会第六次会议后，国内宏观预期升温，此外，国内财新制造业 PMI 超 预期，利好铜价。今日黑色板块明显回暖，给予有色板块支撑。产 业层面，随着铜价上行，下游观望意愿上升，周四 Mysteel 社库小幅 上升。宏观推动铜价上行，期价增仓上行突破 8 万后，预计维持强势 运行，关注 5 日均 ...

市场主流观点汇总 2025/7/1 报告说明 关 迪 此报告，意在客观反映行业内期货公司、证券公司对大宗商品各品种的 研究观点，追踪热点品种，分析市场投资情绪，总结投资驱动逻辑等。 本报告不构成个人投资建议，仅供公司内部使用，仅作参考之用。 报告中策略观点和投资逻辑是基于所采纳的机构当周公开发布的研究报 告，对于各期货品种的多空观点、交易逻辑进行整理加工汇总而成，收 盘价数据选择上周五，周度涨跌为上周五较前一周五收盘价变动幅度。 期货从业资格证号：F3036000 投资咨询从业资格证号：Z0016090 黄 恬 期货从业资格证号：F03100883 投资咨询从业资格证号：Z0021089 | 【行情数据】 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 资产类别 | 细分品种 | 收盘价 | | 周度涨跌情况 | | | 数据时点 | | 2025/6/27 | | 2025/6/23 | 至 2025/6/27 | | | 焦炭 | 1421.50 | 焦炭 | | 2.67% | | | 铜 | 79920.00 | 铜 | | 2.47% | | ...

2025.06.30-07.04 豆粕、豆油 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 豆粕期货 Contents 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 目录 中线行情分析 中线趋势来看，豆粕主力处于宽幅震荡的阶段。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 据Mysteel数据：第25周油厂大豆实际压榨量238.42万吨，开机率为 67.02%；大豆库存637.99万吨，较上周增加38.39万吨，增幅6.40%。豆 粕库存50.89万吨，较上周增加9.89万吨，增幅24.12%。当前，进口大豆 到港量维持高位，油厂在供应充足的情况下保持较高的开机率，豆粕产 量随之提升，下游饲料企业采取高头寸滚动补库策略，豆粕延续累库， 供应宽松格局持续。然而巴西大豆升贴水报价走强，叠加中美贸易存在 不确定性。综合来看，豆粕期货延续宽幅震荡运行。 2 建议观望。 3 中线策略建议 品种交易策略 n 上周策略回顾 豆粕期价整体趋势横盘阶段,资金方面较为偏空。M2509短期 内维持宽幅震荡，预计运行区间：2900-3120，可考虑区间 操作。 n 本周策略建议 豆粕期价整体趋势横盘阶段,资金方面较为偏空。M2509或维持 ...

Group 1 - Iran launched two rounds of missiles totaling 19 towards the U.S. Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, with no casualties or material damage reported [1] - The first round consisted of 7 missiles, all intercepted by Qatar's defense system, while 11 out of 12 missiles in the second round were intercepted, with one landing on the base without causing harm [1] - Iran notified the U.S. and Qatar through diplomatic channels prior to the attack, indicating a level of caution and strategic planning [1][6] Group 2 - Trump's response to the missile attack expressed gratitude for Iran's prior notification and suggested a potential for peace in the region, contrasting with his previous aggressive stance [2][4] - Following Trump's comments, WTI crude oil prices dropped by 9% and Brent crude by 8.5%, reflecting market relief over the limited nature of the Iranian attack [2] - Analysts noted that the attack appeared to be a symbolic gesture rather than a significant military escalation, which contributed to the decline in oil prices [5][6] Group 3 - The attack was characterized as a "conflict de-escalation" tactic by Iran, allowing them to claim a response to U.S. actions while avoiding further military entanglement [6] - The strategic approach taken by Iran mirrors previous limited attacks on Israel, suggesting a calculated response aimed at maintaining internal stability [6] - The situation remains fluid, with potential implications for ongoing conflicts in the region, particularly between Iran and Israel [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that UK Prime Minister Starmer believes there is a consensus reached at the G7 meeting regarding the easing of tensions in the Middle East [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Germany, France, and the UK are prepared to engage in immediate discussions with Iran regarding Tehran's nuclear program to ease tensions in the Middle East [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Slovak Foreign Minister emphasizes the need for all parties in the Middle East to exercise restraint and focus on de-escalating tensions [1] Group 1 - The Slovak Foreign Minister calls for a collective effort to maintain calm in the region [1] - The statement highlights the importance of dialogue and cooperation among involved parties to address the ongoing situation [1]