每日发行总结 今日，一级市场，共2家公司发行： 数据来源：久期财经 | 序号 | 信用主体 | 期限 | | --- | --- | --- | | l | 中国西部水泥有限公 리 | 3NC2 | | | 成都经开资产管理有 | | | 2 | 限公司 | 3年期 | 每日评级总结 今日，共5家公司评级获机构更新： 久期财经讯，11月25日，据悉，美联储理事沃勒周一表示，他正主张在12月的政策会议上再次降息，但从明年1月开始，随着更多关键经济数据陆续公布， 决策可能会转向"逐次会议"判断的模式。 沃勒在接受采访时指出："我现在最主要的担忧是劳动市场，这关系到美联储的双重使命。因此，我主张在下一次会议上进行降息。"他补充称，随着进入1 月、更多延后的经济数据出炉，决策可能会采取更灵活的会议对会议方式。 根据利率期货，市场目前预计美联储将在12月9–10日会议上降息的概率约为70%。不过，决策者内部对是否需要在9月和10月连续降息之后再次采取行动仍 存在明显分歧。 沃勒表示，最新数据显示劳动力市场依然疲弱，但他也提醒称，部分因政府停摆而延后的关键经济报告将会在12月会议之后集中发布，使得1月的利率决 定"更加棘 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's October FOMC meeting minutes reveal significant internal divisions regarding future interest rate cuts, with discussions covering inflation risks, labor market cooling, and economic growth uncertainties [2] - The Fed ultimately voted 10 to 2 to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to 3.75% to 4%, but the decision was reached after intense debate [2] - There is a notable split among Fed officials regarding the appropriateness of further rate cuts in December, with some advocating for cuts if economic conditions align with expectations, while many prefer to maintain current rates [2] Group 2 - Following the release of the minutes, market expectations shifted significantly, with the probability of a December rate cut dropping from nearly 50% to around 30%, while the likelihood of no change rose to nearly 70% [2] - The swap market adjusted the expected cut magnitude for December from 11 basis points to just 6 basis points [2] Group 3 - In the primary market, four companies issued bonds today, including a merger agreement between CICC and two other securities firms, which requires board and regulatory approvals [4] - China Great Wall Asset Management announced plans to dispose of its debt claims against Evergrande Group, totaling approximately 1.09 billion yuan, with a principal amount of about 959 million yuan [4] - Zhongjun Group is seeking court approval for a creditor meeting to discuss a restructuring plan, with a hearing scheduled for March 24, 2026 [4]

Primary Market - A total of 26 offshore bonds were issued this week (November 3 - November 7, 2025), including 9 offshore RMB bonds and 17 USD bonds, with issuance scales of 10.3996 billion RMB and 10.58 billion USD respectively [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 3 billion RMB by China Railway Construction Corporation, while the highest coupon rate was 6.6% issued by Shandong High Creation Holdings Group [1] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 500 million USD by China Cinda (Hong Kong) Holdings, with the highest coupon rate of 5.15% issued by the Asian Development Bank [1] Secondary Market - The yield on Chinese USD bonds mostly declined this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index down 0.02% to 251.02 [2] - The investment-grade USD bond index increased by 0.05% to 243.65, while the high-yield USD bond index decreased by 0.53% to 244.48 [2] - The real estate USD bond index fell by 1.16% to 184.4, while the city investment USD bond index rose by 0.06% to 153 [2] Benchmark Spread - As of November 7, 2025, the spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US narrowed to 228.72 basis points, a decrease of 1.52 basis points from the previous week [3] Rating Changes - On November 3, China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co. withdrew the long-term credit rating of "BBBg-" for Chongqing Fuling Lingang Economic Zone Construction Development Group due to commercial reasons [5] - On November 6, Fitch Ratings withdrew the "A-" rating for Jiangxi Railway Aviation Investment Group Co., Ltd. as the company chose not to participate in the rating process [5] Domestic News - The People's Bank of China resumed open market operations for government bond trading, with a net injection of 20 billion RMB in October [6] - On November 5, the Ministry of Finance successfully issued 4 billion USD in sovereign bonds in Hong Kong, with a total subscription amount of 118.2 billion USD, 30 times the issuance amount [7] - The Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China, Lu Lei, announced measures to support the development of the offshore RMB market, including regular issuance of RMB central bank bills in Hong Kong [8] Offshore Debt Alerts - On November 5, Sunac China announced that its offshore debt restructuring plan was approved by the High Court [10] - On November 6, Yuexiu Property announced a financing agreement for a term loan of 600 million HKD [11] - On November 6, Country Garden's offshore debt restructuring plan was approved with over 75% of creditor votes in favor [12] - On November 7, Shimao Construction reported a significant lawsuit involving approximately 11.291 billion RMB and issues related to bond defaults and overdue debts [13]

Primary Market - A total of 34 offshore bonds were issued this week (September 22 - September 26, 2025), including 10 offshore RMB bonds, 19 USD bonds, 3 HKD bonds, 1 EUR bond, and 1 AUD bond, with issuance scales of 68.087 billion RMB, 2.63 billion USD, 1.585 billion HKD, 130 million EUR, and 250 million AUD [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 1 billion RMB by Shanghai Fosun High Technology (Group) Co., Ltd., while the highest coupon rate for RMB bonds was 6.4% issued by Pengze County Urban Development and Construction Group Co., Ltd. [1] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 500 million USD by CK Hutchison Holdings Limited, with the highest coupon rate of 4.73% issued by Dongfang Securities Co., Ltd. [1] Secondary Market - The yield on Chinese USD bonds mostly declined this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index down 0.09% to 249.14, and the investment-grade USD bond index down 0.07% to 237.93 [2] - The high-yield USD bond index increased by 0.23% to 241.15, while the real estate USD bond index fell by 0.55% to 155.62 [2] Benchmark Spread - As of September 26, 2025, the spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the U.S. widened to 236.19 basis points, an increase of 3.78 basis points from the previous week [3] Rating Changes - Moody's withdrew the "Ca" family rating for Road King Infrastructure Limited on September 26 for commercial reasons [5] - Moody's confirmed the "Ba3" family rating for Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited, changing the outlook from "stable" to "negative" on September 22 [5] Defaults and Extensions - Oceanwide Holdings announced that it plans to extend the maturity of its 134 million USD bond, which was due on September 23, to before March 23, 2026 [6] Domestic News - The total scale of domestic bond ETFs has surpassed 600 billion RMB, reaching 607.448 billion RMB as of September 22, 2025, marking a growth of over 2.4 times since the beginning of the year [8] - The People's Bank of China announced plans to accelerate the listing of RMB government bond futures in Hong Kong [9] - Shanghai Clearing House supported the issuance of the world's first private enterprise "Yulan Bond" by Shanghai Fosun High Technology (Group) Co., Ltd., with a scale of 1 billion RMB and an interest rate of 4.9% [10] International News - The International Institute of Finance reported that global debt reached approximately 338 trillion USD in the first half of 2025, a record high, driven by a loose global financial environment and weak dollar [12] Offshore Bond Alerts - Longfor Group announced that all of its outstanding corporate bonds will be suspended from trading starting September 29, 2025 [13] - Fantasia Holdings reported that approximately 84% of its existing noteholders have joined the debt restructuring support agreement [14] - New城控股 successfully issued 900 million RMB of medium-term notes with a coupon rate of 3.29% [15] - FWD Group plans to redeem two subordinated USD bonds totaling 1.65 billion USD on October 23 [16]

Primary Market - A total of 22 offshore bonds were issued by Chinese entities from September 1 to 5, 2025, including 3 offshore RMB bonds, 11 USD bonds, and 8 HKD bonds, with issuance sizes of 30 billion RMB, 4.15 billion USD, and 5.475 billion HKD respectively [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 2 billion RMB by China Construction Bank's London branch, with the highest coupon rate of 2.95% issued by East Asia Bank [1] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 2 billion USD by the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, with the highest coupon rate of 6.9% issued by Zhengding County State-owned Assets Holding and Operating Group [1] Secondary Market Overview - The yield on Chinese USD bonds rose across the board, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index increasing by 0.18% to 248.3, and the investment-grade USD bond index rising by 0.19% to 240.64 [2] - The high-yield USD bond index increased by 0.07% to 244.64, while the real estate USD bond index rose by 0.13% to 186.03 [2] - The local government financing vehicle (LGFV) USD bond index increased by 0.08% to 151.34, and the financial USD bond index rose by 0.1% to 288.27 [2] Benchmark Spread - The spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US narrowed to 241.16 basis points, a decrease of 6.07 basis points from the previous week [3] Rating Changes - Fitch adjusted Meituan's long-term issuer rating outlook from "Positive" to "Stable" on September 4 [4] - Moody's confirmed CITIC Resources' "Ba2" corporate family rating, changing the outlook from "Stable" to "Negative" on September 3 [4] - Several companies, including Weifang Haifa and Sichuan Xinyao Group, had their international long-term ratings withdrawn at their request [4] - Fitch changed Baidu's long-term foreign and local currency issuer default rating outlook from "Stable" to "Negative" on September 2 [4] Domestic News - Local government bond issuance in August exceeded expectations, with actual issuance of 977.6 billion RMB, higher than the planned 940.8 billion RMB, and a planned issuance of 726.5 billion RMB in September [5] - The existing stock of local government debt reached 53.05 trillion RMB, with general debt at 17.1 trillion RMB and special debt at 35.95 trillion RMB [5] Offshore RMB Bonds - Kazakhstan Development Bank successfully issued its first offshore RMB bond of 2 billion RMB with a 3.35% coupon rate on September 2, marking several market firsts [6] - Multiple offshore RMB local government bonds were announced, including plans from Hainan and Shenzhen to issue up to 5 billion RMB each [7] - Guangdong Province successfully issued 2.5 billion RMB in offshore RMB local government bonds in Macau, continuing a five-year trend [7] Overseas News - Federal Reserve's Williams indicated that policy rates are expected to gradually decrease over time, aligning with the dual mandate goals [8][9] Offshore Debt Alerts - Kaisa Group announced that its offshore debt restructuring plan is expected to take effect by the end of September, aiming to optimize its debt structure and reduce debt by approximately 8.6 billion USD [10] - AVIC Capital announced the early redemption of 32.45 million USD principal of its bond on September 4 [11] - Alibaba initiated an exchange offer for its outstanding senior notes, with a total principal amount not exceeding 1 billion USD for 2030 notes and 1.15 billion USD for 2035 notes [12] - DBS China signed a green loan agreement of 490 million RMB with Henderson Land for financing retail and office projects in Shanghai [13]

Primary Market - A total of 25 offshore bonds were issued this week, including 9 offshore RMB bonds, 10 USD bonds, 4 HKD bonds, 1 SGD bond, and 1 JPY bond, with issuance scales of 18.638 billion RMB, 1.428 billion USD, 1.55 billion HKD, 0.35 billion SGD, and 10.46 billion JPY respectively [2] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond sector was 4 billion RMB by State Grid Corporation, while the highest coupon rate for RMB bonds was 7% issued by Zhongmu Xinglv Cultural Investment Development Group [2] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 500 million USD by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, with the highest coupon rate of 6.8% issued by Binzhou Smart City Operation Co., Ltd. [2] Secondary Market Overview - The yield on Chinese USD bonds rose across the board this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index increasing by 0.44% to 246.48 [3] - The investment-grade USD bond index rose by 0.45% to 239, while the high-yield USD bond index increased by 0.36% to 242 [3] - The real estate USD bond index rose by 0.51% to 182.94, and the city investment USD bond index increased by 0.18% to 150.58 [3] Benchmark Spread - The spread between 10-year US and Chinese government bonds widened to 255.67 basis points, an increase of 3.78 basis points from the previous week [4] Domestic News - State Grid completed the issuance of 10 billion RMB in offshore dim sum bonds, setting records for the first central enterprise offshore RMB bond exceeding 10 billion and the first 20-year term issuance [7] - In July, the total bond financing for the real estate sector reached 71.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 90.3%, with credit bond financing accounting for 64% [8] - The China Securities Association announced an increase in the upper limit of lead underwriters for large bond issuances to 8 [9][10] Overseas News - The US Treasury's auction of 30-year bonds faced weak demand, with a yield of 4.813%, indicating that investors are seeking higher returns [11] Offshore Bond Alerts - ZTE Corporation successfully issued 3.584 billion RMB (equivalent to 500 million USD) in zero-coupon convertible bonds, marking the largest offshore refinancing since its Hong Kong listing [12] - Ocean Capital reported a recovery of 655 million RMB in bad debt provisions through various means [13] - KWG Group announced that its offshore bond will be delisted after defaulting, as it seeks a comprehensive solution for its offshore debt situation [14] - Sunac China announced the resumption of trading for three bonds following debt restructuring operations [15]

Group 1 - The largest decline in the price of offshore Chinese bonds on that day was observed in the bonds issued by Sunshine City Group, with a drop of 80.20%, bringing the price down to 0.10 [2][4] - The current prices of various bonds from different companies indicate a range of values, with some bonds from Zhengrong Real Estate Group priced as low as 0.54 and others from MicroPort Medical Science priced at 123.46 [2][4] - The data source for the bond prices is the China Economic Society's corporate external debt risk monitoring system, with updates as of Beijing time in 2025 [2][4] Group 2 - Zhengrong Real Estate Group has multiple bonds listed, with varying interest rates and maturities, reflecting the company's diverse financing strategies [2] - Sunshine City Group's bonds are consistently priced at 0.10, indicating potential liquidity issues or market concerns regarding the company's financial health [4] - The presence of multiple companies, such as Rongxin China Holdings and Lihigh Real Estate Group, in the bond market highlights the competitive landscape within the real estate sector [4]

Group 1: Market Performance - The iBoxx China USD bond investment-grade index rose by 0.12% while the speculative-grade index increased by 0.48% last week [2] - The investment-grade yield remained stable compared to the previous week, while the speculative-grade yield rose by 0.03% [2] - The offshore bond issuance scale decreased in the primary market, while the secondary market saw slight increases in both investment-grade and high-yield bond indices [3] Group 2: Macroeconomic Indicators - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.1% year-on-year, reversing the previous month's decline, while the core CPI increased by 0.7% [3] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 3.6% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.4% [3] - As of June 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $33,174 billion, an increase of $322 billion from May [3] Group 3: Corporate News - Kaisa Group has completed 76% of the cash repayments for its Jin Heng Wealth products, providing new solutions for outstanding amounts [25] - Longfor Group announced that the restructuring plan for its 21 domestic bonds and asset-backed securities has been approved by bondholders [25] - Times China Holdings reported that over 85.67% of its plan creditors have agreed to the proposed restructuring plan [25] Group 4: Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Finance issued a notice to guide insurance funds for long-term stable investments, adjusting the assessment method for net asset return rates [2] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announced measures to optimize and expand the Bond Connect program, enhancing Hong Kong's competitiveness as an offshore RMB business center [2] Group 5: Debt Issuance - Last week, 18 companies issued 21 offshore bonds totaling approximately $3.3 billion, with city investment bonds accounting for about $1.6 billion [8] - Changjiang Industrial issued over HKD 2 billion in medium-term notes, with competitive interest rates [8] - Tianchang Agricultural Development issued $90 million in bonds with a coupon rate of 6.45%, achieving a subscription rate of over four times [9]

Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm employment report for June is a key focus for the market, with attention on job vacancies, wage data, and manufacturing and service activity [2] - Market optimism is growing regarding a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with the probability of a cut at the end of July rising to 18.6% from 14.5% the previous week, and a significant increase to 93% for a cut by the end of September [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remains cautious about rate cuts, stating that the Fed is in a favorable position to wait and is not in a hurry to adjust rates [2] Group 2 - CIFI Holdings Group announced that its offshore debt restructuring plan was approved by the court, effective June 27, 2025 [7] - Hongyang Real Estate extended the deadline for its restructuring support agreement fees to July 11 and July 25, 2025, due to creditors needing more time [7] - Kaisa Group announced that the final deadline for its restructuring support agreement has been extended to September 30, 2025, with other terms remaining unchanged [7] - Shimao Group expects its offshore debt restructuring plan, approved by the Hong Kong High Court, to be completed by August 29, 2025, relieving approximately $11.5 billion in existing offshore debt [7] - New World Development successfully refinanced part of its existing offshore unsecured financial debt, covering approximately HKD 88.2 billion [7] Group 3 - In June, China's manufacturing PMI was at 49.7%, non-manufacturing PMI at 50.5%, and the composite PMI output index at 50.7%, indicating a general expansion in economic activity [13] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation of CNY 331.5 billion at a rate of 1.40%, with a net injection of CNY 111 billion for the day [13]

Primary Market - A total of 28 offshore bonds were issued this week, including 4 offshore RMB bonds, 17 USD bonds, 3 HKD bonds, and 4 EUR bonds, with issuance scales of 30 billion RMB, 5.525 billion USD, 839.9 billion HKD, and 825 million EUR respectively [2] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 2 billion RMB by Wuhan Optics Valley Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd., while the highest coupon rate was 5.5% issued by Taizhou Chemical New Materials Industry Development Group Co., Ltd. [2] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 2 billion USD by the International Finance Corporation, with the highest coupon rate of 6.8% issued by Binzhou Smart City Operation Co., Ltd. [2] Secondary Market - The yield of Chinese offshore USD bonds decreased across the board this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index rising by 0.47% to 244.11 [3] - The investment-grade USD bond index increased by 0.17% to 142.21, while the high-yield USD bond index rose by 0.44% to 238.27 [3] - The real estate USD bond index increased by 0.64% to 181, and the city investment USD bond index rose by 0.18% to 149.41 [3] Price Changes - The largest weekly price increase in Chinese offshore bonds was for the CAPG 0% 9/30/28 bond issued by China Aoyuan Group Co., Ltd., which rose by 188.89% to 6.50 [4] - The largest weekly price decrease was for the GRNLHK PERP bond issued by Greenland Holdings Group Co., Ltd., which fell by 39.74% to 7.05 [6] Benchmark Spread - As of June 27, the spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US widened to 260.11 basis points, a decrease of 13.94 basis points from the previous week [7] Credit Rating Changes - Fitch announced plans to withdraw the "A-" long-term issuer rating for Guangzhou Urban Investment Group around July 18 for commercial reasons [10] - China Chengxin International downgraded the credit rating of Mengzi New Urbanization Development Investment Co., Ltd. from AA to AA- on June 26 [10] Domestic News - In May, the Ministry of Finance reported that 443.2 billion RMB of new special bonds were issued nationwide, with a total of 779.5 billion RMB in local government bonds issued [12] - The Macau Stock Exchange announced the launch of Macau Science and Technology Innovation Bonds to support the financing needs of enterprises in the technology innovation sector [13] Overseas News - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 79.3%, with a 20.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut [15] - Zhongjun Group announced significant progress in its offshore debt restructuring plan, proposing to restructure 2.271 billion USD of debt [15] - Sunac China reported that approximately 75% of its existing debt holders have joined the offshore debt restructuring support agreement [16]