本周市场情况 一级市场： 据新华财经统计，本周（2025年9月22日 - 9月26日）共发行34笔中资离岸债券，其中包括10笔离岸人民币债券、19笔美元债券、3笔港币债 券，1笔欧元债券，1笔澳元债券。发行规模分别为680.87亿元人民币、26.3亿美元、15.85亿港币，1.3亿欧元，2.5亿澳元。本周发行方式为直 接发行的债券共23只，担保发行的债券共6只，直接发行+担保发行的债券共5只。 | 本周信用评级调整 | 评级事件 | 时间 | 相关主体 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 路劲集团 | 9月26日 | 穆迪:出于商业原因,撤销路劲"Ca"公司家族评级 | | | 穆迪:确认澳博控股"Ba3"公司家族评级,展望由"稳 | 澳博控股 | 9月22日 | 定"调整至"负面" | 违约与展期： 泛海控股：1.34亿美元债拟展期至明年3月23日前兑付 在离岸人民币债券领域，本周人民币企业债单笔最大发行规模为10亿元人民币，由上海复星高科技（集团）有限公司发行。本周人民币债券 发行最高票息6.4%，由彭泽县城市发展建设集团有限公司发行。 在中资美元债券市场，本周美元企业债单笔最大发 ...

Primary Market - A total of 22 offshore bonds were issued by Chinese entities from September 1 to 5, 2025, including 3 offshore RMB bonds, 11 USD bonds, and 8 HKD bonds, with issuance sizes of 30 billion RMB, 4.15 billion USD, and 5.475 billion HKD respectively [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 2 billion RMB by China Construction Bank's London branch, with the highest coupon rate of 2.95% issued by East Asia Bank [1] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 2 billion USD by the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, with the highest coupon rate of 6.9% issued by Zhengding County State-owned Assets Holding and Operating Group [1] Secondary Market Overview - The yield on Chinese USD bonds rose across the board, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index increasing by 0.18% to 248.3, and the investment-grade USD bond index rising by 0.19% to 240.64 [2] - The high-yield USD bond index increased by 0.07% to 244.64, while the real estate USD bond index rose by 0.13% to 186.03 [2] - The local government financing vehicle (LGFV) USD bond index increased by 0.08% to 151.34, and the financial USD bond index rose by 0.1% to 288.27 [2] Benchmark Spread - The spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US narrowed to 241.16 basis points, a decrease of 6.07 basis points from the previous week [3] Rating Changes - Fitch adjusted Meituan's long-term issuer rating outlook from "Positive" to "Stable" on September 4 [4] - Moody's confirmed CITIC Resources' "Ba2" corporate family rating, changing the outlook from "Stable" to "Negative" on September 3 [4] - Several companies, including Weifang Haifa and Sichuan Xinyao Group, had their international long-term ratings withdrawn at their request [4] - Fitch changed Baidu's long-term foreign and local currency issuer default rating outlook from "Stable" to "Negative" on September 2 [4] Domestic News - Local government bond issuance in August exceeded expectations, with actual issuance of 977.6 billion RMB, higher than the planned 940.8 billion RMB, and a planned issuance of 726.5 billion RMB in September [5] - The existing stock of local government debt reached 53.05 trillion RMB, with general debt at 17.1 trillion RMB and special debt at 35.95 trillion RMB [5] Offshore RMB Bonds - Kazakhstan Development Bank successfully issued its first offshore RMB bond of 2 billion RMB with a 3.35% coupon rate on September 2, marking several market firsts [6] - Multiple offshore RMB local government bonds were announced, including plans from Hainan and Shenzhen to issue up to 5 billion RMB each [7] - Guangdong Province successfully issued 2.5 billion RMB in offshore RMB local government bonds in Macau, continuing a five-year trend [7] Overseas News - Federal Reserve's Williams indicated that policy rates are expected to gradually decrease over time, aligning with the dual mandate goals [8][9] Offshore Debt Alerts - Kaisa Group announced that its offshore debt restructuring plan is expected to take effect by the end of September, aiming to optimize its debt structure and reduce debt by approximately 8.6 billion USD [10] - AVIC Capital announced the early redemption of 32.45 million USD principal of its bond on September 4 [11] - Alibaba initiated an exchange offer for its outstanding senior notes, with a total principal amount not exceeding 1 billion USD for 2030 notes and 1.15 billion USD for 2035 notes [12] - DBS China signed a green loan agreement of 490 million RMB with Henderson Land for financing retail and office projects in Shanghai [13]

Primary Market - A total of 25 offshore bonds were issued this week, including 9 offshore RMB bonds, 10 USD bonds, 4 HKD bonds, 1 SGD bond, and 1 JPY bond, with issuance scales of 18.638 billion RMB, 1.428 billion USD, 1.55 billion HKD, 0.35 billion SGD, and 10.46 billion JPY respectively [2] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond sector was 4 billion RMB by State Grid Corporation, while the highest coupon rate for RMB bonds was 7% issued by Zhongmu Xinglv Cultural Investment Development Group [2] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 500 million USD by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, with the highest coupon rate of 6.8% issued by Binzhou Smart City Operation Co., Ltd. [2] Secondary Market Overview - The yield on Chinese USD bonds rose across the board this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index increasing by 0.44% to 246.48 [3] - The investment-grade USD bond index rose by 0.45% to 239, while the high-yield USD bond index increased by 0.36% to 242 [3] - The real estate USD bond index rose by 0.51% to 182.94, and the city investment USD bond index increased by 0.18% to 150.58 [3] Benchmark Spread - The spread between 10-year US and Chinese government bonds widened to 255.67 basis points, an increase of 3.78 basis points from the previous week [4] Domestic News - State Grid completed the issuance of 10 billion RMB in offshore dim sum bonds, setting records for the first central enterprise offshore RMB bond exceeding 10 billion and the first 20-year term issuance [7] - In July, the total bond financing for the real estate sector reached 71.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 90.3%, with credit bond financing accounting for 64% [8] - The China Securities Association announced an increase in the upper limit of lead underwriters for large bond issuances to 8 [9][10] Overseas News - The US Treasury's auction of 30-year bonds faced weak demand, with a yield of 4.813%, indicating that investors are seeking higher returns [11] Offshore Bond Alerts - ZTE Corporation successfully issued 3.584 billion RMB (equivalent to 500 million USD) in zero-coupon convertible bonds, marking the largest offshore refinancing since its Hong Kong listing [12] - Ocean Capital reported a recovery of 655 million RMB in bad debt provisions through various means [13] - KWG Group announced that its offshore bond will be delisted after defaulting, as it seeks a comprehensive solution for its offshore debt situation [14] - Sunac China announced the resumption of trading for three bonds following debt restructuring operations [15]

Group 1 - The largest decline in the price of offshore Chinese bonds on that day was observed in the bonds issued by Sunshine City Group, with a drop of 80.20%, bringing the price down to 0.10 [2][4] - The current prices of various bonds from different companies indicate a range of values, with some bonds from Zhengrong Real Estate Group priced as low as 0.54 and others from MicroPort Medical Science priced at 123.46 [2][4] - The data source for the bond prices is the China Economic Society's corporate external debt risk monitoring system, with updates as of Beijing time in 2025 [2][4] Group 2 - Zhengrong Real Estate Group has multiple bonds listed, with varying interest rates and maturities, reflecting the company's diverse financing strategies [2] - Sunshine City Group's bonds are consistently priced at 0.10, indicating potential liquidity issues or market concerns regarding the company's financial health [4] - The presence of multiple companies, such as Rongxin China Holdings and Lihigh Real Estate Group, in the bond market highlights the competitive landscape within the real estate sector [4]

Group 1: Market Performance - The iBoxx China USD bond investment-grade index rose by 0.12% while the speculative-grade index increased by 0.48% last week [2] - The investment-grade yield remained stable compared to the previous week, while the speculative-grade yield rose by 0.03% [2] - The offshore bond issuance scale decreased in the primary market, while the secondary market saw slight increases in both investment-grade and high-yield bond indices [3] Group 2: Macroeconomic Indicators - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.1% year-on-year, reversing the previous month's decline, while the core CPI increased by 0.7% [3] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 3.6% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.4% [3] - As of June 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $33,174 billion, an increase of $322 billion from May [3] Group 3: Corporate News - Kaisa Group has completed 76% of the cash repayments for its Jin Heng Wealth products, providing new solutions for outstanding amounts [25] - Longfor Group announced that the restructuring plan for its 21 domestic bonds and asset-backed securities has been approved by bondholders [25] - Times China Holdings reported that over 85.67% of its plan creditors have agreed to the proposed restructuring plan [25] Group 4: Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Finance issued a notice to guide insurance funds for long-term stable investments, adjusting the assessment method for net asset return rates [2] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announced measures to optimize and expand the Bond Connect program, enhancing Hong Kong's competitiveness as an offshore RMB business center [2] Group 5: Debt Issuance - Last week, 18 companies issued 21 offshore bonds totaling approximately $3.3 billion, with city investment bonds accounting for about $1.6 billion [8] - Changjiang Industrial issued over HKD 2 billion in medium-term notes, with competitive interest rates [8] - Tianchang Agricultural Development issued $90 million in bonds with a coupon rate of 6.45%, achieving a subscription rate of over four times [9]

Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm employment report for June is a key focus for the market, with attention on job vacancies, wage data, and manufacturing and service activity [2] - Market optimism is growing regarding a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with the probability of a cut at the end of July rising to 18.6% from 14.5% the previous week, and a significant increase to 93% for a cut by the end of September [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remains cautious about rate cuts, stating that the Fed is in a favorable position to wait and is not in a hurry to adjust rates [2] Group 2 - CIFI Holdings Group announced that its offshore debt restructuring plan was approved by the court, effective June 27, 2025 [7] - Hongyang Real Estate extended the deadline for its restructuring support agreement fees to July 11 and July 25, 2025, due to creditors needing more time [7] - Kaisa Group announced that the final deadline for its restructuring support agreement has been extended to September 30, 2025, with other terms remaining unchanged [7] - Shimao Group expects its offshore debt restructuring plan, approved by the Hong Kong High Court, to be completed by August 29, 2025, relieving approximately $11.5 billion in existing offshore debt [7] - New World Development successfully refinanced part of its existing offshore unsecured financial debt, covering approximately HKD 88.2 billion [7] Group 3 - In June, China's manufacturing PMI was at 49.7%, non-manufacturing PMI at 50.5%, and the composite PMI output index at 50.7%, indicating a general expansion in economic activity [13] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation of CNY 331.5 billion at a rate of 1.40%, with a net injection of CNY 111 billion for the day [13]

Primary Market - A total of 28 offshore bonds were issued this week, including 4 offshore RMB bonds, 17 USD bonds, 3 HKD bonds, and 4 EUR bonds, with issuance scales of 30 billion RMB, 5.525 billion USD, 839.9 billion HKD, and 825 million EUR respectively [2] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 2 billion RMB by Wuhan Optics Valley Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd., while the highest coupon rate was 5.5% issued by Taizhou Chemical New Materials Industry Development Group Co., Ltd. [2] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 2 billion USD by the International Finance Corporation, with the highest coupon rate of 6.8% issued by Binzhou Smart City Operation Co., Ltd. [2] Secondary Market - The yield of Chinese offshore USD bonds decreased across the board this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index rising by 0.47% to 244.11 [3] - The investment-grade USD bond index increased by 0.17% to 142.21, while the high-yield USD bond index rose by 0.44% to 238.27 [3] - The real estate USD bond index increased by 0.64% to 181, and the city investment USD bond index rose by 0.18% to 149.41 [3] Price Changes - The largest weekly price increase in Chinese offshore bonds was for the CAPG 0% 9/30/28 bond issued by China Aoyuan Group Co., Ltd., which rose by 188.89% to 6.50 [4] - The largest weekly price decrease was for the GRNLHK PERP bond issued by Greenland Holdings Group Co., Ltd., which fell by 39.74% to 7.05 [6] Benchmark Spread - As of June 27, the spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US widened to 260.11 basis points, a decrease of 13.94 basis points from the previous week [7] Credit Rating Changes - Fitch announced plans to withdraw the "A-" long-term issuer rating for Guangzhou Urban Investment Group around July 18 for commercial reasons [10] - China Chengxin International downgraded the credit rating of Mengzi New Urbanization Development Investment Co., Ltd. from AA to AA- on June 26 [10] Domestic News - In May, the Ministry of Finance reported that 443.2 billion RMB of new special bonds were issued nationwide, with a total of 779.5 billion RMB in local government bonds issued [12] - The Macau Stock Exchange announced the launch of Macau Science and Technology Innovation Bonds to support the financing needs of enterprises in the technology innovation sector [13] Overseas News - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 79.3%, with a 20.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut [15] - Zhongjun Group announced significant progress in its offshore debt restructuring plan, proposing to restructure 2.271 billion USD of debt [15] - Sunac China reported that approximately 75% of its existing debt holders have joined the offshore debt restructuring support agreement [16]

Primary Market - A total of 18 offshore bonds were issued by Chinese companies this week, including 12 USD bonds and 6 HKD bonds, with issuance sizes of $2.2774 billion and HKD 83.878 billion respectively. No offshore RMB bonds were issued this week [2] - The largest single issuance in the HKD bond market was HKD 1 billion by Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation Limited, with the highest coupon rate of 3.3% issued by Henderson Land Development Company Limited [2] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was $600 million by Shanghai Construction Group Co., Ltd., with the highest coupon rate of 7% issued by Chengdu Ronghe Jiatai Modern Agriculture Development Co., Ltd. and Chengdu Tianfu Dagan Group Co., Ltd. [2] Secondary Market Overview - The yield on Chinese USD bonds has mostly increased over the past two weeks. As of May 30, the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index rose by 0.42% to 242.22, while the investment-grade USD bond index increased by 0.49% to 234.97. The high-yield USD bond index decreased by 0.06% to 237.09 [3] - The real estate USD bond index fell by 0.33% to 180.27, while the city investment bond index rose by 0.11% to 148.72, and the financial bond index increased by 0.12% to 282.57 [3] Price Movements - The largest weekly price increase in offshore Chinese bonds was seen in the USD bond issued by Zhengrong Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. (ZHPRHK 9.15% 5/6/23), which rose by 148.37% to 0.75 [4] - The largest weekly price decrease was also in a USD bond issued by Zhengrong Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. (ZHPRHK 8.7% 8/3/22), which fell by 63.33% to 0.41 [6] Credit Rating Adjustments - On May 27, the credit rating of Jinneng Technology Co., Ltd. was downgraded to "AA-" with a stable outlook by United Ratings [9] - On May 27, Suqian Canal Port Development Group Co., Ltd. had its "BBB-" international long-term issuer rating withdrawn for commercial reasons by United International [9] - On May 29, the credit rating of Taikang Insurance Group Co., Ltd. was confirmed at "A-" with a stable outlook by Fitch, but subsequently withdrawn for commercial reasons [9] Default and Extension - Pengbo Telecom Media announced that the principal repayment date for the "18 Pengbo Bond" has been adjusted from May 25, 2025, to August 25, 2025, with a full principal repayment scheduled for that date [10] Domestic News - In April 2025, the Ministry of Finance reported that a total of CNY 693.3 billion in local government bonds were issued, including CNY 2.534 billion in new bonds [12] - The China Securities Investment Fund Association reported that 914.59 billion in asset-backed special plans were newly filed in April, with the top three asset types being financing lease receivables, micro-loan receivables, and accounts receivable [13] Offshore Debt Alerts - Zhengrong Real Estate announced that "H20 Zhengrong 3" will resume trading on June 3, 2025 [17] - CIFI Group announced that seven company bonds will be suspended from trading starting June 3, 2025, to ensure fair information disclosure and protect bond investors [19] - Vanke's subsidiary applied for a loan of up to HKD 6.872 billion from an overseas bank, with a term of up to two years [20] - Hailong Holdings received a winding-up petition involving $379.135 million in unpaid notes [21]

Primary Market - In the past two weeks (April 28, 2025 - May 9, 2025), a total of 23 offshore bonds were issued by Chinese entities, including 4 RMB bonds, 8 USD bonds, 9 HKD bonds, and 2 EUR bonds, with issuance scales of 1.716 billion RMB, 582.57 million USD, 145.156 billion HKD, and 16 million EUR respectively [2] - The largest single issuance in the RMB bond market was 1 billion RMB by Hong Kong and China Gas Company Limited, while the highest coupon rate was 6.5% issued by Neijiang Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd [2] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 100 million USD, with three bonds reaching this scale, issued by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China London Branch, China Construction Bank, and Zhongyuan Asset Management Co., Ltd. The highest coupon rate was 7.6% issued by Xianning Urban Development Group Co., Ltd [2] Secondary Market Overview - In the past two weeks, the yield on Chinese USD bonds mostly declined. As of May 9, 2025, the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index fell by 0.17% to 241.03, while the investment-grade USD bond index decreased by 0.24% to 233.84, and the high-yield USD bond index dropped by 0.31% to 235.76 [3] - The real estate USD bond index increased by 0.53% to 179.64, while the city investment USD bond index rose by 0.11% to 148.21, and the financial USD bond index slightly increased by 0.03% to 281.54 [3] Price Movements - The largest weekly price increase among Chinese offshore bonds was for the bond issued by Zhengrong Real Estate Group Co., Ltd., which rose by 164.85% to 1.03 [4] - The largest weekly price decrease was for the bond issued by Peng Bo Telecom Media Group Co., Ltd., which fell by 74.43% to 1.95 [5] Benchmark Spread - As of May 9, 2025, the spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US widened to 275.98 basis points, an increase of 22.46 basis points since April 30, 2025 [6] Rating Changes - On April 30, 2025, China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co. withdrew the long-term credit rating of "BBBg-" for Longyou County State-owned Assets Management Co., Ltd. due to commercial reasons [9] - Moody's maintained the "A2" issuer rating for China State Construction Engineering Corporation, changing the outlook from "stable" to "negative" [9] - On May 6, 2025, United Ratings terminated the credit rating for Suining Xingye Investment Group Co., Ltd. [9] Default and Extension - Zhongjun Group announced it would likely be unable to repay the principal and interest of the CHINSC 7 05/02/25 bond on time, leading to its delisting on May 2, 2025 [10] Domestic News - The interbank bond market officially launched technology innovation bonds, with 36 companies announcing a total issuance of 21 billion RMB as of May 8, 2025 [12] - The total scale of bonds issued and listed by financial institutions in Macau exceeded 900 billion MOP, with a year-on-year growth of 25.7% [13] - Starting May 6, 2025, the London Clearing House began accepting offshore Chinese government bonds as eligible non-cash collateral [14] Overseas News - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, leading to a recovery in US Treasury trading sentiment [15] - The Bank of England announced a 25 basis point reduction in the benchmark interest rate to 4.25% on May 8, 2025 [17] Offshore Debt Alerts - Country Garden extended the deadline for its restructuring support agreement fee to June 6, 2025, with over 50% of public noteholders participating [18] - Aoyuan Group plans to hold a bondholder meeting to adjust the repayment scheme for "H20 Aoyuan 2" [19] - CIFI Group announced the sale of part of its assets to prioritize repayment of "H21 CIFI 3" bondholders [20] - Vanke decided to fully redeem its domestic bonds "20 Vanke 06" and "22 Vanke 03," totaling 1.55 billion RMB [21] - Poly Real Estate reported a contract sales amount of 564 million RMB for April 2025 [22]

Primary Market - A total of 19 offshore bonds were issued this week, including 6 offshore RMB bonds, 6 USD bonds, 4 HKD bonds, and 3 EUR bonds, with issuance sizes of 54.2 billion RMB, 615 million USD, 798.8 billion HKD, and 1.9 million EUR respectively [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 1 billion RMB by the Asian Development Bank, while the highest coupon rate was 6.5% issued by Huangshi Chantuo Holdings Group [1] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 200 million USD by Chengdu Economic Development Investment Group, with the highest coupon rate of 7.0% from two issuers: Fuzhou Digital Economy Investment Group and Emei Mountain Modern Agriculture Development Group [1] Secondary Market - The yield on Chinese offshore USD bonds rose across the board this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD bond composite index increasing by 0.33% to 240.93 [2] - The real estate USD bond index saw a significant increase of 1.94%, closing at 180.28, while the city investment bond index rose by 0.14% to 148.05 [2] Price Movements - The largest weekly price increase in Chinese offshore bonds was for the MOLAND 8% 12/30/24 bond from Contemporary Land, which rose by 56% to 2.75 [3] - The largest weekly price drop was for the HONGSL 5% 8/19/29 bond from Hongyang Group, which fell by 125.84% to 6.72 [5] Benchmark Spread - The spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US narrowed to 265.35 basis points, a decrease of 3.21 basis points from the previous week [6] Rating Changes - Moody's maintained the "A3" issuer ratings for China Railway Group and China Railway Construction, changing the outlook from "stable" to "negative" on April 24 [9] - Moody's also maintained the "Baal" issuer rating for China Communications Construction Group, adjusting the outlook to "negative" on April 25 [9] Defaults and Extensions - Xinyuan (China) Real Estate's bond "H20 Xinyuan 1" received approval for a 2-year extension, with the new maturity date set for November 13, 2027 [10] - Sunshine City Group failed to make timely payments on its 2020 first phase medium-term notes, with the company unable to raise sufficient funds by the accelerated maturity date [11] Market News - The issuance of the 2025 ultra-long special treasury bonds began on April 24, with a total planned issuance of 1.3 trillion RMB [12] - The first data center holding-type real estate ABS in the country was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, raising a total of 1.6092 billion RMB [13] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 600 billion RMB MLF operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system [14] Overseas News - Some Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of earlier interest rate cuts if economic conditions worsen [15] - Demand for US Treasury bonds from overseas reached a new low, with indirect bidders accounting for only 56.2% of the latest auction [16] Offshore Bond Alerts - Zhengrong Real Estate's proposal to extend the "H20 Zhengrong 2" bond was not approved, leading to a failure to repay interest [17] - Futong Group plans to pay interest on "H21 Futong 1" by April 28, 2025 [18] - The proposal for delisting 18 company bonds from AVIC Industrial was not approved, and the bonds will resume trading [19] - Aoyuan Group announced that three bonds, including "H20 Aoyuan 1," will be suspended from trading starting April 28 [20]