全球金融秩序重构
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特朗普还没动身来中国,中方忽然亮出黄金储备,美元霸权眼看撑不住了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 23:53
曾经,中国是美债最大海外持有者,一度超过一万三千亿美元。 如今,这个数字已经连续多年下滑,节奏虽缓,方向明确。 这不是孤立动作。 连美国最铁的盟友日本——高市早苗政府下的财务省——也在加速抛售美债。 大家都看到了同一个问题:美国债务雪球越滚越大,财政纪律形同虚设,政治极化让债务上限谈判变成人质游戏。 持有越多,风险敞口越大。 中国的选择,不是立刻清仓美元资产,而是一边有序减持美债,一边稳步增持黄金。 这是一场精密的资产置换,不是情绪化脱钩。 美债仍是流动性最好的安全资产之一,彻底抛弃不现实。 但过度依赖,等于把国家金融命脉绑在别人的信用绳索上。 中国央行在十一月七日公布的黄金储备数据,一下子把全球金融圈的注意力拽了过来。 七千四百一十二万盎司,比上个月又多了三万盎司。 这已经是连续第十三个月增持了。 从二〇二四年十一月起,每个月都买,风雨无阻。 数字本身不算爆炸,但公布的时间点,像一根针扎进了敏感神经。 几乎就在同一天,特朗普放出口风,打算在二〇二五年四月正式访华。 一个还没动身,一个先亮出底牌。 这场面,怎么看都不是巧合。 黄金储备的变动,向来不是简单的资产配置问题。 尤其当它出现在中美关系再度绷紧的节骨眼 ...
美国拒绝归还600吨黄金?我国只用了一招,俄罗斯:早就该这样!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 06:24
Group 1 - The core issue revolves around China's request for the return of 600 tons of gold stored in the U.S., which was denied, raising concerns about global financial trust and economic order [1] - The U.S. cited "technical complexities" as reasons for the refusal, impacting market confidence and undermining its status as a "neutral financial infrastructure" [1] - Previous similar refusals faced by Germany and Venezuela highlight the politicization of U.S. financial services [1] Group 2 - In response, China sold $57.3 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds in April 2025, reducing its holdings to the lowest level since 2011 at $759 billion, causing a spike in 10-year Treasury yields above 5% [3] - This action received support from countries like Russia and is viewed as a significant challenge to U.S. dollar hegemony [3] - The incident reveals cracks in international trust and accelerates the restructuring of the global financial order, with the dollar's share in foreign exchange reserves dropping to its lowest since 1999 at 58.2% [3] - The strategic value of gold as hard currency is further emphasized, with the competition for reserves reflecting a struggle for global economic dominance [3] - Countries are reassessing economic policies, with de-dollarization and multipolarity becoming central trends in the evolution of the international financial system, while China's strategic initiatives offer a more resilient development approach [3]
特朗普大败而归,美联储拉响警报,全球财富洗牌,人民币资产躺赢
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 11:33
Group 1 - The article discusses the political and financial turmoil initiated by Trump's attempts to influence the Federal Reserve, which has led to a significant shift in the global financial landscape [1][3][5] - Trump's efforts to push for interest rate cuts to alleviate the federal debt burden and boost the stock market were met with judicial resistance, emphasizing the independence of the Federal Reserve [3][5][9] - The decline in the US dollar's credibility is highlighted, with the dollar index dropping 8% this year and a historic low in domestic investor allocation for US Treasury bonds [7][9] Group 2 - The article notes a shift in global central banks' trust in the US dollar, with a record increase in gold holdings and a reduction in US Treasury bond investments [9][11] - The stability of Chinese assets is emphasized, with the Chinese government bonds offering a stable yield compared to the volatility of US bonds, attracting global capital [11][13] - China's proactive measures in "de-dollarization," including currency swap agreements and increased use of the yuan in international trade, are discussed as part of a broader strategy to enhance the yuan's global standing [13][15] Group 3 - The article outlines the transition from a dollar-dominated financial order to a more multipolar system, driven by the US's fiscal challenges and geopolitical conflicts [15][17] - The redefinition of "safe assets" by hedge funds and sovereign wealth funds is noted, with the yuan emerging as a reliable alternative amidst increasing global uncertainty [17][19] - The ongoing financial restructuring is characterized as a reassessment of trust, safety, and institutional integrity in global capital markets, with the yuan potentially becoming a new anchor currency [19]
机构称港股将成为本土在岸资金+全球新秩序下的核心资本市场,重点关注科技板块
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-13 01:52
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on June 13, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 0.95%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) also followed the decline with a slight premium [1] - Key stocks such as Xiaopeng Motors, BYD, NIO, Kingsoft, Tencent Music, BYD Electronics, and Li Auto experienced significant declines [1] - As of June 12, the latest valuation (PETTM) of the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) was only 20.27 times, placing it in the historical undervaluation range, below 90% of the time since its inception on July 27, 2020 [1] Group 2 - Shenyin Wanguo believes that Hong Kong will play a crucial role in the restructuring of the global financial order, becoming a core capital market under the new global order [1] - The firm anticipates that investment opportunities in Hong Kong stocks will continue to expand by the second half of 2025, focusing on broad growth sectors represented by internet technology and pharmaceuticals [1] - The new consumption sector still holds mid-term alpha advantages, although it faces short-term issues regarding cost-effectiveness [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) combines e-commerce and new consumption, covering relatively scarce new consumption sectors compared to A-shares [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) includes core AI assets and encompasses technology leaders that are relatively scarce in A-shares [2]