马杜罗留下的160吨黄金，成为了委内瑞拉代理总统罗德里格斯与特朗普讨价还价的重要筹码，这比石油更为可靠。自从马杜罗被带走之后，已经过去了超 过48小时。尽管特朗普宣称要接管委内瑞拉，但以代理总统罗德里格斯为首的政府一直在与美国进行博弈。他们既没有与美国彻底对立，也没有盲目服从华 盛顿的指令。罗德里格斯在最近的声明中表示，她已经向美国政府发出了合作邀请，希望双方就某项合作议程展开讨论，但她并未透露具体的合作内容。可 以看出，罗德里格斯政府并非完全拒绝与美国合作，但他们显然觉得，美国提出的条件并不够有吸引力。如果美国希望完全控制委内瑞拉的石油产业，那么 在分配利益时，本土的精英阶层必须得到他们应得的一份。 与石油不同，黄金不需要开采，也不依赖国际运输和结算体系。只要这批黄金在手，罗德里格斯政府便能够绕过美国的金融封锁，在黑市上换取粮食、药品 以及各种基础物资。更重要的是，黄金可以继续维系军方和官僚阶层的忠诚，确保社会秩序不至于崩溃。换句话说，委内瑞拉的权力结构实际上是通过利益 分配来保持的。那些掌握实权的将军们，之所以支持罗德里格斯政府，并非因为他们多么信奉查韦斯主义，而是因为政府手中握有黄金，能够保证他们的利 ...

欧盟为何在此时突然收手？四年间喊着"支持立陶宛"的口号，为何最后连体面的告别都不愿给？而立陶宛，这个当初主动挑事的国家，又将为自己的选择付 出怎样的代价？ 2025年12月1日，世界贸易组织官网弹出一则简短的"技术性通知"，欧盟正式终止对中国"对立陶宛实施经济胁迫"的调查。 没有激烈表态，没有后续预案，甚至没提立陶宛半个字，这场持续四年的外交闹剧就这么悄无声息地收尾，可细想之下，疑问却更浓。 欧盟这份终止调查的通知，字里行间都是"体面退场"的算计，官网原文仅用"经评估，现有证据不足以支撑调查继续推进"轻描淡写带过，却对背后的立陶宛 避而不谈。 更值得玩味的是，早在2025年9月，欧盟就已悄悄暂停与立陶宛的"贸易援助磋商"，当时给出的理由是"优先处理美欧关税分歧"，如今看来，这不过是提前 给立陶宛"断供"的信号。 这种"冷处理"背后，是欧盟清晰的利益权衡：对欧盟而言，立陶宛只是27个成员国里的"小角色"，而中国是年贸易额超8000亿欧元的重要伙伴。 当"盟友情面"与自身经济利益冲突时，"弃小保大"成了必然选择，就像一位欧盟内部官员私下透露的："我们不可能为了一个国家，赌上整个欧洲的制造业 供应链和出口市场"，而 ...

Group 1 - The core issue is the decline in China-Russia trade, with a 6.6% year-on-year decrease in early 2025, particularly in the automotive and energy sectors [1] - Russia has implemented a flexible export tax policy linked to the ruble, raising the export tax on fertilizers to 10%, which has not been communicated to China, indicating a shift in their trade relationship [3] - In Q1 2025, China imported 24.31 million tons of crude oil from Russia, a 14.7% year-on-year decrease, reflecting a change in strategic attitudes rather than just procurement issues [3] Group 2 - The automotive sector is facing challenges as Russia has closed its market to Chinese electric vehicles, forcing Chinese companies to pivot to Central Asian markets like Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan [5] - In April 2025, China imported 8.07 million tons of crude oil from Russia, accounting for 16.8% of total imports that month, a 12.9% year-on-year decrease, driven by both energy efficiency initiatives and Russia's export policy changes [5] - China is no longer offering concessions on coal imports from Russia, as domestic coal production is significant, and lowering tariffs could harm local coal companies [5] Group 3 - Despite visible cooperation in agriculture and technology, trade dynamics are shifting, with a 6.8% decline in China-Russia trade in Q1 2025, indicating a potential reduction in Russia's reliance on the Chinese market [7] - The changing trade relationship is characterized as a negotiation for rebalancing interests, with China needing to stabilize domestic demand and export routes while Russia aims to control inflation and stabilize the ruble through export policies [9] - The current state of affairs suggests a need for a long-term negotiation-based partnership between China and Russia, moving beyond previous informal agreements [9]