Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance relative to the benchmark index [5][91]. Core Insights - The chemical sector experienced a decline of 1.46% in the fifth week of July, underperforming the Shanghai A-share index by 0.52 percentage points. The dynamic PE ratio for the sector is 26.53 times, which is 2.62 times lower than the average since 2015 [12][21]. - Key products showing significant price increases include liquid chlorine (+12.72%), formic acid (+12.65%), and monochloromethane (+11.11%). Conversely, PVDF powder saw a notable price drop of -15.38% [3][21]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring specific companies such as Dawn Co., which is advancing DVA products, and Guangxin Materials, which is focusing on marine coatings [4]. Industry Performance - In the fifth week of July, five sub-industries within the chemical sector saw gains, while 26 sub-industries experienced declines. The top-performing sub-industries included carbon black (+4.16%) and other rubber products (+1.62%) [2][15]. - The report indicates that the overall market capitalization of the chemical sector is approximately 640.53 billion, with 442 listed companies [5]. Price and Spread Trends - The report provides a detailed analysis of price movements for 256 products, with the top five price increases and decreases highlighted. The price spread for ethylene increased by 27.08%, indicating strong market dynamics [3][41]. - The inventory changes for key products show a significant increase in polyester filament (+24.84%) and ethylene glycol (+12.60%), while epoxy propane saw a decrease of -10.56% [4][57]. Important Developments - The report notes that international oil prices have fluctuated, with recent agreements between the US and EU alleviating some market concerns regarding tariffs, although negative economic data continues to make traders cautious [85][87]. - Several companies have made significant announcements, including investment partnerships and project terminations, which may impact their market positions and future performance [88][89].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance exceeding the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The chemical sector experienced a 3.11% increase in the week of June 30, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.19 percentage points [1][13]. - Key stocks that led the gains included Dazhongnan (+50%), Tiensheng New Materials (+31.41%), and Cangzhou Mingzhu (+26.93%) [1][13]. - The report suggests focusing on electronic chemicals related to PCB, particularly highlighting the price increases of ketone and monochloro methane [1]. Industry Performance - In the week of June 30, 2025, 26 sub-industries within the chemical sector saw increases, while 5 experienced declines. The top-performing sub-industries included other plastic products (+8.45%) and carbon black (+7.65%) [2][17]. - The dynamic PE ratio for the chemical sector was reported at 24.76 times, which is 9.15 times lower than the average PE since 2015 [1][13]. Price and Spread Trends - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases were ketone (+11.77%), monochloro methane (+9.09%), and liquid chlorine (+7.35%) [3][20]. - Conversely, Brent crude oil saw a significant decline of 14.1%, while WTI crude oil dropped by 13.18% [3][20]. - The report also noted substantial changes in product spreads, with PX (CFR China) spread increasing by 71.09% [3][42]. Inventory Changes - Significant inventory changes were observed, with the highest increases in stocks of chlorpyrifos (+16.67%) and polyester chips (+9.16%) [4][60]. - Notably, urea and glyphosate inventories decreased by 8.33% and 7.69%, respectively [4][63]. Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring leading companies in the compound fertilizer sector, such as Xinyangfeng, and in spherical silica powder, such as Lianrui New Materials [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the basic chemical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that inventory is continuously being released, leading to an upward trend in the polyester filament market. As of April 29, the average market price for POY was 6350 CNY/ton, an increase of 71.43 CNY/ton from the previous week. However, the average prices for FDY and DTY decreased by 7.14 CNY/ton and 8.57 CNY/ton, respectively [5][22][20] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The chemical industry index underperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.07% this week, with 261 out of 545 stocks in the chemical sector rising and 267 falling [18] - The CCPI (China Chemical Product Price Index) remained stable at 4024 points [21] Key Product Tracking - The operating rate of weaving machines in Jiangsu and Zhejiang decreased to 54%, down 5 percentage points from the previous week [23] - The average price of viscose staple fiber fell by 1.13% to 13150 CNY/ton due to increased low-priced supply and weak demand [26] - The pure soda market showed a steady upward trend, with light soda averaging 1329 CNY/ton and heavy soda at 1467 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.76% and 0.34% increase, respectively [38] Industry News - Kuwait Petrochemical Company signed a joint venture agreement to acquire 25% of Wanhua Chemical's subsidiary for 638 million USD [6] Recommended and Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include leading companies in the chemical sector such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Hengli Petrochemical. Beneficiary stocks include companies like Yuntianhua and Zhongjin Lingnan Nonfemet Company [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the chemical industry, specifically recommending Guoguang Co., Shengquan Group, and others as strong investment opportunities [4]. Core Insights - The chemical market is experiencing active trading, with growth stocks presenting favorable allocation opportunities. The report highlights the "Five Tigers" of Minsheng Chemical, which includes Shengquan Group, Guoci Materials, Guoguang Co., Amway Co., and Polymeric Co. [1][4]. - Phosphate fertilizer demand remains stable, with high prices for phosphate rock expected to continue due to increased entry barriers and a delayed supply release from new mines [1]. - The report suggests focusing on large phosphate chemical enterprises with integrated advantages, such as Yuntianhua, Xingfa Group, Chuanheng Co., and Chuanfa Longmang [1]. Summary by Sections Chemical Sector Overview - The basic chemical industry index closed at 3335.36 points, up 2.71% from the previous week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.32% [10]. - Among 462 stocks in the chemical sector, 298 stocks rose (65%), while 148 stocks fell (32%) [16]. Key Chemical Products - The report tracks 380 chemical products, with 59 products seeing price increases and 119 products experiencing declines. Notable price increases were observed in liquid chlorine, sulfuric acid, and MDI [21]. - Liquid chlorine prices surged by 105% to 41 CNY/ton, while sulfuric acid prices rose by 21% to 100 CNY/ton [22]. Subsector Tracking - Polycarbonate (PC) production capacity is expected to grow from 875,000 tons in 2018 to 3,810,000 tons by 2024, with a gradual improvement in supply-demand balance anticipated from 2025 to 2029 [2]. - The organic silicon sector is projected to see a recovery in supply-demand balance, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.4% in production capacity from 2021 to 2024 [2]. Company Profit Forecasts - Guoguang Co. is forecasted to have an EPS of 0.78 CNY in 2024, with a PE ratio of 19, while Shengquan Group is expected to have an EPS of 1.03 CNY with a PE ratio of 24 [4].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on the compound fertilizer industry due to its increasing concentration and potential benefits from tariff responses against the US [4] Core Viewpoints - The chemical sector saw a slight increase of 0.31% in the third week of April, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.88 percentage points [12] - Key stocks that performed well include Hongbaoli (+55.21%), Lingpai Technology (+28.07%), and Hongqiang Co. (+24.25%) [12] - The report highlights the significant price increases in trichloroethylene (+16.28%) and WTI crude oil (+7.67%) [20] - The report emphasizes the potential growth of companies like Xinyangfeng in the compound fertilizer sector, Chenghe Technology benefiting from tariff responses, Baofeng Energy with increasing production capacity, and Huangma Technology as a leader in specialty surfactants [4] Industry Performance - The chemical sector's dynamic PE is reported at 23.28 times, lower than the average PE of 14.76 times since 2015 [12] - In the third week of April, 20 sub-industries within the chemical sector increased, while 11 decreased, with textile chemicals (+6.07%) and modified plastics (+4.8%) leading the gains [15] - The report notes significant fluctuations in product prices, with liquid chlorine experiencing a drastic drop of -62.28% [20][39] Price and Spread Trends - The report lists the top five products with the highest weekly price increases, including trichloroethylene (+16.28%) and WTI crude oil (+7.67%) [20] - It also highlights the top five products with the largest price spread increases, such as ethylene glycol (+1154%) and naphtha (+32.58%) [39] Inventory Changes - Notable inventory changes include polyester chips (+17.14%) and polyester filament (+14.11%) showing significant increases [60]