Group 1: Economic Growth Indicators - In May, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year, maintaining rapid growth [1] - The service production index grew by 6.2% year-on-year, with an acceleration of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods (referred to as "social retail total") increased by 6.4% year-on-year, with a growth acceleration of 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Group 2: Consumer Spending Insights - The social retail total's year-on-year growth rate in May reached the highest level since early 2024, with a seasonally adjusted month-on-month growth of 0.93%, marking the highest level for the same period in the past five years [1] - Cumulative growth for service retail from January to May was 5.2%, which is an acceleration of 0.1 percentage points compared to January to April [1] - Factors supporting the acceleration in consumption growth include the old-for-new policy, "6·18" online shopping promotions, and the continuous release of new consumption drivers [1] Group 3: Fixed Asset Investment and Industrial Development - Fixed asset investment growth has slowed, but there are expectations for a rebound in infrastructure investment as funding becomes available [2] - The high-end, intelligent, and green development of industries is progressing steadily, with significant growth in key sectors such as automotive manufacturing and electronic equipment [2] - In May, the added value of the automotive manufacturing industry and computer communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing increased by 11.6% and 10.2% year-on-year, respectively [2] Group 4: Employment and Price Trends - The national urban survey unemployment rate in May was 5%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with youth unemployment rate declining for three consecutive months [3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slight year-on-year decline, with the decline rate remaining consistent with the previous month [3] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, saw an increase compared to the previous month [3]

Core Viewpoint - In May, the industrial production in China showed a robust growth, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 5.8% year-on-year, supported by the equipment manufacturing sector and stable growth in consumer goods manufacturing [1][2]. Group 1: Industrial Production Data - The industrial added value of large-scale enterprises grew by 5.8% year-on-year in May, with a month-on-month increase of 0.61% after seasonal adjustments [1]. - Manufacturing sector growth was recorded at 6.2%, surpassing the overall industrial growth by 0.4 percentage points [1]. - Among 41 major industries, 35 experienced year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 85.4% [1]. Group 2: Equipment Manufacturing Sector - The added value of the equipment manufacturing sector increased by 9.0% year-on-year, contributing 54.3% to the overall industrial growth [2]. - The automotive industry saw a significant increase in added value by 11.6%, with a month-on-month acceleration of 2.4 percentage points [2]. - All eight sub-sectors within equipment manufacturing reported growth, with notable increases in railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and electrical machinery sectors [2]. Group 3: High-end, Intelligent, and Green Manufacturing - High-tech manufacturing added value rose by 8.6% year-on-year, contributing 1.4 percentage points to overall industrial growth [3]. - Key products in high-end manufacturing, such as aircraft and industrial control systems, saw substantial growth rates of 18.7% and 15.5% respectively [3]. - The digital economy's integration into industrial production is increasing, with digital product manufacturing growing by 9.1% [3]. Group 4: Green Transformation and New Energy Products - The demand for new energy products and green materials is expanding, with the production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries increasing by 31.7% and 52.5% respectively [4]. - The supply of green products is also on the rise, with high-performance chemical fibers and bio-based chemical fibers seeing production increases of 92.2% and 21.5% [4]. Group 5: Policy Impact and Economic Recovery - The "two new" policy effects are positively influencing industrial production, with significant growth in sectors like motor manufacturing and shipbuilding [5]. - The automotive sector benefited from vehicle replacement subsidies, leading to an 11.3% increase in production [6]. - Overall, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose by 0.5 percentage points, indicating improved business expectations [6].

Economic Growth - In May, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year, maintaining a rapid growth rate [1] - The service production index grew by 6.2% year-on-year, with an acceleration of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods (referred to as "social retail total") increased by 6.4% year-on-year, with a growth acceleration of 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Consumer Spending - The social retail total's year-on-year growth rate in May was significantly higher than the market consensus forecast [1] - The chief economist of China Minmetals Bank noted that the growth rate of social retail total reached the highest level since early 2024, with a seasonally adjusted month-on-month increase of 0.93%, the highest for the same period in nearly five years [1] - Cumulative growth for service retail from January to May was 5.2%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to January to April [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment growth has slowed, but there are expectations for a rebound in infrastructure investment as funding becomes available [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission aims to finalize the project list for this year's "two heavy" construction and central budget investment by the end of June [2] Industrial Development - The high-end, intelligent, and green development of industries is progressing steadily [2] - In May, the added value of the automotive manufacturing industry and computer communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing increased by 11.6% and 10.2% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Production of high-tech products such as 3D printing equipment and integrated circuits grew by 40% and 11.5%, respectively [2] Employment and Prices - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in May was 5%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with youth unemployment rate declining for three consecutive months [3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) saw a slight year-on-year decline, with the core CPI, excluding food and energy, showing an expanded increase compared to the previous month [3]

Economic Growth and Stability - China's national economy continues to show stable growth, with multiple indicators signaling positive trends despite a complex international environment [1][7] - In April, the industrial production showed a steady recovery, with the industrial added value for large enterprises increasing by 6.1% year-on-year, marking one of the fastest monthly growth rates since last year [2][3] Industrial Production and New Quality Productivity - The industrial sector is transitioning towards high-end, intelligent, and green development, supported by effective policy measures [2][3] - High-tech industries are experiencing rapid growth, with the added value of equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9.8% and 10.0% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Notable growth in specific sectors includes aerospace equipment manufacturing and integrated circuit manufacturing, with increases of 21.4% and 21.3% [2] Consumer Market Dynamics - The consumer market is showing stable growth, with total retail sales of consumer goods reaching 37,174 billion yuan in April, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [4][5] - The sales of essential and upgraded goods are performing well, with significant growth in categories such as food and sports entertainment products [4] - The "old for new" policy is driving substantial sales increases in home appliances and communication equipment, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.8% and 19.9%, respectively [4] Investment and Trade Performance - Despite external pressures, China's foreign trade remains stable, with total goods import and export value increasing by 2.4% in the first four months of the year [7] - Fixed asset investment grew by 4% in the same period, with equipment investment rising by 18.2%, contributing significantly to overall investment growth [7] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slight year-on-year decline of 0.1% in April, indicating a stable inflation environment [7][8] Economic Resilience and Future Outlook - China's economic foundation is solid, with a robust manufacturing sector and a large consumer market, providing strong resilience against various risks [8] - The government aims to enhance domestic demand and implement policies to support industrial development and innovation [3][5]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial production in China has shown a stable and rapid growth in April 2023, driven by effective macro policies and a strong push towards high-end, intelligent, and green transformation in the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Industrial Production Growth - In April, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 6.1% year-on-year, marking a relatively high growth rate compared to previous months [1]. - Out of 41 major industries, 36 experienced year-on-year growth, indicating a broad-based recovery with over 80% of industries showing positive performance [1]. Group 2: Industrial Transformation and Upgrading - The trend towards high-end industrial development is evident, with high-tech manufacturing value-added increasing by 10% year-on-year in April, significantly outpacing overall industrial growth [1]. - Specific sectors such as integrated circuit manufacturing and optoelectronic device manufacturing saw substantial increases of 21.3% and 19% respectively in added value [1]. - Notable product growth includes 3D printing equipment and industrial control computers, which surged by 60.7% and 29.5% in production [1]. Group 3: New Industrial Dynamics - The shift towards intelligent and green industrial practices is accelerating, with the new energy sector performing well; production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries for vehicles rose by 38.9% and 61.8% respectively in April [2]. - The production of smart products is also on the rise, with intelligent unmanned aerial vehicle manufacturing and smart vehicle equipment manufacturing increasing by 74.2% and 29.3% respectively [2]. - Industrial robot production saw a significant increase of 51.5% [2]. Group 4: Policy Impact - The "Two New" policies have had a noticeable impact, promoting technological upgrades and expanding market demand, which in turn supports industrial production growth [2]. - Under the influence of equipment renewal policies, production of agricultural product processing machinery and specialized packaging equipment maintained double-digit growth in April [2]. - The "old-for-new" policy has also driven rapid growth in the production of electric bicycles and LCD screens [2]. Group 5: Overall Economic Outlook - The overall industrial production has been stable and growing, supported by the continuous release of macro policy effectiveness and the stimulation of domestic demand through the "Two New" policies [3]. - The trend towards high-end, intelligent, and green development is becoming more pronounced, with new productive forces being cultivated [3]. - However, challenges remain, including low industrial product prices and operational difficulties faced by some enterprises [3].