Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a broad decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3850 points, while market volume saw a slight increase [2][5] - The performance of various sectors showed that home appliance manufacturing, media and internet, food and beverage, and banking sectors performed relatively well, while metal materials and mining, power and new energy equipment, and electronics sectors led the decline [2][5] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 2.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 3.41%, the ChiNext Index dropped by 4.02%, the SSE 50 Index declined by 1.74%, the CSI 300 Index decreased by 2.44%, the STAR 50 Index fell by 3.19%, and the CSI 1000 Index dropped by 3.72%, with a total market turnover of approximately 1.98 trillion yuan [2][8] Sector Analysis - The leading sectors included home appliance manufacturing, media and internet, food and beverage, and banking, while the lagging sectors were metal materials and mining (-5.11%), power and new energy equipment (-4.78%), and electronics (-4.66%) [8] - Concept stocks such as China Shipbuilding System (+3.51%), aquatic products (+0.65%), Xiaohongshu platform (+0.47%), and Pinduoduo partners (+0.42%) showed gains, while lithium mining and related concepts faced declines [8] Market Drivers - Key market drivers included the unexpected rise in U.S. unemployment rates despite job growth, leading to uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [8] - Concerns about high asset prices and AI bubble risks contributed to a decline in U.S. stocks, which in turn affected market sentiment in the Asia-Pacific region [8] Short-term and Long-term Outlook - The report suggests a short-term market correction may occur due to rapid price increases, but the long-term outlook remains positive with expectations of a "slow bull" market trend [14] - In the medium term, the market's strength may depend on macroeconomic policies and technological advancements, particularly in AI and robotics, which are seen as key areas for creating new demand [15] - Long-term fundamentals, including stabilization in the real estate market and the effectiveness of "anti-involution" policies, are expected to support continued growth in the A-share market [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry, indicating expectations for better performance compared to the market index [5][40]. Core Insights - The media industry experienced a decline of 2.31% during the week of November 10 to November 16, underperforming against the CSI 300 index (-0.66%) and the ChiNext index (-1.68%) [1][12]. - Key companies showing positive performance included Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, Sanwei Communication, Xinhua Du, and Tianxia Show, while companies like Yue Media, Kunlun Wanwei, Rongxin Culture, and Kaiying Network faced significant declines [1][12]. - The report highlights the launch of Marble 3D by World Labs, which allows the creation of navigable 3D virtual worlds from various input formats, marking a significant advancement in AI-generated content [2][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI applications and policy shifts in the media sector, recommending companies such as Mango TV, Bilibili, Light Media, and Huace Film & TV for potential investment opportunities [4][35]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector's performance ranked 23rd among all sectors, with a notable decline of 2.31% [1][12][14]. - The top three films for the week generated a total box office of 5.81 billion yuan, with "The Life of Langlang" leading at 3.38 billion yuan, accounting for 58.2% of the total [3][19]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies within the gaming and IP sectors, particularly Giant Network, Kaiying Network, and Jibite, as well as IP brands like Pop Mart [4][35]. - For media companies, it suggests monitoring potential improvements in advertising spending as the economy stabilizes, with a focus on companies like Focus Media and Bilibili [4][35]. AI and Content Development - The report discusses the launch of the Kosong AI framework, which enhances the development of intelligent applications, and the improvements in the 2.5 Turbo model for video generation [2][17]. - It highlights the potential for AI applications in various sectors, including animation, marketing, education, e-commerce, and social media [4][35].

Global Market Outlook - The recovery in traditional cycle-related investments and consumption in non-US regions is expected to continue, although terminal consumption may recover slowly due to widening wealth disparities and increased uncertainty in economic, political, and employment prospects [2][6] - The Eurozone is maintaining its recovery, with domestic demand expected to replace net exports as the main contributor to economic growth in 2026 [10][11] - Southeast Asia is projected to outperform global growth, with Vietnam and Indonesia as key beneficiaries of industrial relocation and global supply chain diversification [2][17] Industry Outlook - Continued optimism in AI, electrification, and finance sectors, with high demand for overseas computing power expected to persist until the end of 2026 [3][9] - Capital expenditure in high-demand sectors like defense and AI infrastructure is anticipated to expand, while traditional cycle-related capital expenditure may recover at a slower pace due to terminal demand influences [8][9] - The consumer sector is expected to face challenges, with US consumption growth potentially cooling, while non-US regions may see marginal recovery [3][9] Regional Insights - In the Eurozone, private consumption is expected to grow, but high uncertainty may slow consumer confidence recovery [11][12] - Japan's economy is projected to grow above potential GDP, driven by expanding consumption and equipment investment [13][14] - Southeast Asia's average economic growth is forecasted at 4.2%, with specific countries like Vietnam and Indonesia leading in growth rates [17][18] Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors with reasonable valuations and positive catalysts, such as pharmaceuticals and automotive [9][10] - In Japan, attention is drawn to sectors benefiting from external economic improvements, particularly electronics, machinery, and automotive [15][61] - In Southeast Asia, the real estate sector is expected to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment, while industrial and logistics sectors may benefit from effective tariff rates [18][19] Technology and AI - The demand for AI infrastructure is expected to remain robust, with significant capital expenditure growth anticipated in 2026 [27][28] - AI ASIC and GPU markets are projected to see substantial growth, driven by increased deployment by major cloud service providers [23][26] - Software and AI are expected to mutually enhance each other, with software playing a crucial role in AI application deployment [30][31] Consumer Goods - The food and beverage sector is expected to see a divergence in revenue growth, with leading companies likely to outperform smaller competitors [48][49] - The home care and personal care sectors may face short-term pressure due to slowing growth rates and cost challenges [50][51] - The luxury goods market is projected to recover in 2026, driven by consumer demand in key regions [52][54] Automotive Sector - Global passenger car sales are expected to see a slight increase, particularly in Europe due to new product cycles and improving labor markets [45][46] - European automakers are anticipated to accelerate their electric vehicle transitions, while US automakers stabilize after tariff impacts [46][47]

Group 1: Public Utilities and Environmental Protection - The profitability of waste incineration power generation companies has significantly increased, with net profits for major companies like Junxin Co. (+47.6%), Hanlan Environment (+28.1%), and Yongxing Co. (+25.6%) showing substantial growth in Q3 2025 [7][12] - The improvement in cash flow for waste incineration companies is attributed to capacity expansion, increased utilization rates, and enhanced heating services, with profit increments of approximately 80 yuan per ton of waste [8][12] - The biofuel sector has also seen a substantial increase in profitability, driven by rising prices for used cooking oil (UCO), which increased by 16.7%-22.2% year-on-year [10][12] Group 2: Infrastructure and Construction - In the first ten months of 2025, the broad infrastructure growth rate was slightly positive at 1.51%, while narrow infrastructure (excluding electricity) saw a minor decline of 0.10% [19][20] - Significant projects under the "14th Five-Year Plan" are expected to sustain investment resilience, including major constructions like the Yajiang Hydropower Station and the New Tibet Railway [19][20] - The construction sector is recommended to focus on high-dividend and low-valuation stocks, with companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge and Jianghe Group highlighted for their potential [21][22] Group 3: Media and Internet - Apple has introduced a partnership plan for mini-programs, reducing the revenue share for developers from 30% to 15%, which may enhance the growth of Tencent's mini-program ecosystem [24] - The collaboration is expected to drive traffic growth for WeChat, benefiting Tencent's advertising and gaming business [24] - The media industry is advised to focus on new channels and content directions, with a positive outlook on the ongoing industry recovery [34] Group 4: Specialty Materials - Global Pearl Pigments International has emerged as a leader in the pearl pigment industry, with a CAGR of 36.58% in revenue from 2017 to 2024 [35][36] - The company has strategically acquired international brands to penetrate the high-end market and plans to expand its domestic production capacity to approximately 48,700 tons [37][38] - The pearl pigment industry is characterized by high growth potential and low price sensitivity, making it an attractive investment opportunity [36][37]

Core Viewpoint - New Media Co., Ltd. (300770) reported that as of November 10, 2025, the total number of shareholders is 24,953 [1] Summary by Category - **Company Information** - New Media Co., Ltd. has a total of 24,953 shareholders as of the specified date [1]

Fixed Income - October foreign trade underperformed expectations, while prices showed some recovery, indicating potential economic downward pressure in Q4 [7] - The cumulative year-on-year growth of fixed asset investment showed negative growth, suggesting that traditional investment-driven economic models may no longer be sustainable [7] - The consumer sentiment remains low, with October's price recovery being weak, reflecting a lack of domestic economic recovery momentum [7] - The cancellation of tariffs on fentanyl by the US and the extension of the suspension of reciprocal tariffs may provide some support for foreign trade in November and December [7] - The bond market remains optimistic, with the expectation of further policy interest rate cuts as the cost of interest-bearing liabilities for banks declines [7] Credit Analysis - The credit spread for most industries has compressed, with significant reductions in city investment bonds [11] - The credit market is expected to maintain a relatively optimistic outlook in November due to several factors, including high historical percentiles for mid-to-long-term credit bonds and a favorable funding environment [14] - The overall credit market saw a decrease in transaction volume, but the credit spreads for various industries showed different degrees of compression [12][14] New Consumption - The beauty market in China showed steady performance, with retail sales of cosmetics growing by 3.9% year-on-year from January to September 2025, outperforming the overall retail sales growth [16] - The personal care segment performed better than the overall beauty market, with significant growth in specific brands driven by product innovation and channel expansion [17] - Domestic leading brands are expected to continue their strong performance due to their multi-faceted advantages in branding, products, channels, and management [18] Food Container Industry - The food container industry is experiencing steady expansion, driven by diverse downstream demand [20] - The global food container market is projected to grow from $163.7 billion in 2024 to $227.3 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.19% [21] - The proposed listing of New Tianli, a leading company in the thermoformed food container industry, is expected to enhance its influence in the market [20][21] Agriculture - The pig breeding industry is undergoing significant policy transformations, with a notable decline in breeding stock and an increase in the culling of sows [25][26] - The price of pork has dropped below the industry cost line, leading to accelerated capacity reduction in the industry [26] - The poultry industry faces a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, with leading companies expected to gain market share [28] - Recommendations include focusing on cost-efficient leading companies in the agriculture sector, which are likely to benefit from policy support and market dynamics [27]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment rating for the company, indicating strong growth potential and confidence in profitability due to high dividend payouts [1]. Core Insights - The company's main business shows resilience in growth, supported by a high dividend payout ratio that reinforces profit confidence [1]. - Revenue projections for the upcoming years indicate a steady increase, with expected revenues of 1,653.67 million in 2025 and 1,787.17 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.74% [6][10]. - The report highlights a focus on IPTV and OTT services, with significant year-on-year growth rates projected for these segments [7][8]. Financial Summary - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 699.90 million in 2025, with a gradual increase to 782.05 million by 2027 [10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 3.07 in 2025, increasing to 3.43 by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [8][10]. - The report outlines a stable gross margin of around 50% over the forecast period, suggesting effective cost management and pricing strategies [10]. Growth Projections - The report anticipates a revenue growth rate of 6.64% for 2023, followed by 3.63% in 2024, and a slight recovery to 4.74% in 2025 [10]. - The operating profit is expected to remain stable, with a slight increase projected for the coming years, indicating operational efficiency [10]. - The company is also expected to maintain a healthy return on equity (ROE) of around 19% throughout the forecast period [10].

Market Overview - On Thursday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.0%, the CSI 300 increased by 1.4%, the STAR Market 50 surged by 3.3%, the CSI 1000 climbed by 1.2%, the ChiNext Index went up by 1.8%, and the Hang Seng Index gained 2.1% [5][6] - The best-performing sectors on Thursday included non-ferrous metals (+3.1%), electronics (+3.0%), telecommunications (+2.4%), basic chemicals (+2.0%), and automobiles (+1.8%). The worst-performing sectors were media (-1.4%), social services (-1.1%), retail (-1.0%), beauty and personal care (-0.5%), and banking (-0.4%) [5][6] - The total transaction amount in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets on Thursday was 20,553 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 5.48 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [6] Important Recommendations Company Analysis: *ST He (002816) - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation and diversification, anticipating a recovery in profitability. The leading position in cleaning equipment is expected to benefit from the semiconductor business expansion [7] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 273 million, 419 million, and 543 million yuan, with growth rates of 1010%, 54%, and 29% respectively. Net profit forecasts are 11.77 million, 53.39 million, and 87.16 million yuan, with growth rates of -354%, 63% [7] - Catalysts include the delivery of maskless lithography equipment and new equipment orders [7] Company Analysis: Jianfa Co. (600153) - Jianfa Co. is expected to experience a turnaround, with previously pessimistic market expectations regarding its joint venture and home furnishing business being challenged by new operational changes [8] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 652,563 million, 672,826 million, and 697,093 million yuan, with growth rates of -6.95%, 3.11%, and 3.61%. Net profit projections are 2,286 million, 3,076 million, and 4,560 million yuan, with growth rates of -22.39%, 34.55%, and 48.26% [8] - Key drivers include changes in management and operational strategy [8] Important Insights Fixed Income Credit Bonds - The financial bond market has become the largest sector for non-bank institutional investment, showcasing higher market value due to its safety compared to interest rate bonds and liquidity of public bonds [10] - The likelihood of unexpected credit events in the future is considered low, and there is a detailed analysis of the investment value in niche financial sectors such as AMC, financial leasing, and commercial leasing [10] Media Industry Analysis - The proportion of heavy positions in media stocks rose to 4.66% in Q3 2025, an increase of 0.55 percentage points, significantly above the industry standard of 2.88% [11] - The top ten media heavy positions include Tencent, Kuaishou, Giant Network, and ST Huasheng, with notable increases in holdings for gaming-related stocks [11] - Investment opportunities are highlighted for ST Huasheng, which may expand significantly if it completes its delisting process [11]

Group 1 - The company, Xinmei Co., stated on November 4 that as of September 30, 2025, the total number of shareholders is 23,129 [2]

Group 1 - The report suggests that the Hong Kong stock market is entering an adjustment phase at the end of the year, but it remains in a long-term upward trend [1] - The report emphasizes a continued positive outlook on AI technology, predicting a marginal recovery in Hong Kong's EPS in the first quarter of next year [2] - There is an increased allocation towards dividend stocks due to a decline in market sentiment and a historical trend showing higher win rates for dividend stocks in November and December [2] - The report maintains a favorable view on innovative pharmaceuticals, citing benefits from potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and a clear trend in the innovative drug industry [2] Group 2 - The report lists a selection of "golden stocks" with detailed financial metrics, including Alibaba, XPeng Motors, CICC, Shenzhou International, Innovent Biologics, Kelun-Biotech, 3SBio, Gree Power, Sinopec, and Guoquan [3][8] - Alibaba is highlighted for its leadership in AI and cloud computing, with significant revenue growth expected from its cloud business [11][12] - XPeng Motors is projected to achieve substantial revenue growth, with a focus on developing a platform for mass-market vehicles [17][19] - CICC is expected to benefit from a recovering IPO market and increased trading activity, enhancing its competitive position in investment banking and wealth management [24][26] - Shenzhou International is anticipated to see sales growth driven by strong demand from major clients like Adidas and Nike [30][32] - Innovent Biologics is expected to achieve profitability in 2025, with a strong pipeline of innovative drugs [35][40] - Kelun-Biotech is advancing its clinical trials and commercialization efforts, maintaining a positive outlook [44][46] - 3SBio is positioned for growth with its innovative drug pipeline and international expansion [48][50] - Gree Power is expected to improve its financial performance through increased cash flow and dividend potential [52][56] - Sinopec is focusing on upstream exploration and development, with a strong outlook for its natural gas segment [60][62] - Guoquan is experiencing improved same-store sales and expansion in rural areas, indicating strong operational capabilities [66][68]